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Lietkabelis vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 67-77
17-17 12-21 16-17 22-22
Position#2
Record2-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game97.0
Allowed / game77.0
vs
Position#1
Record2-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game75.5
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas CupKing Mindaugas Cup - Semi-finals
Other2022-23
Meetings · Lietkabelis v Zalgiris Kaunas
07 Mar 2027
LIE v ZAL
upcoming
22 Nov 2026
LIE v ZAL
upcoming
28 May 2026
LIE75
ZAL95
04 Apr 2026
LIE82
ZAL94
23 Nov 2025
LIE77
ZAL81
03 May 2025
LIE76
ZAL88
05 Jan 2025
LIE85
ZAL89
23 May 2024
LIE89
ZAL90
01 Apr 2024
LIE77
ZAL83
03 Dec 2023
LIE68
ZAL80
28 May 2023
LIE66
ZAL95
24 May 2023
LIE83
ZAL86
09 May 2023
LIE87
ZAL85
18 Feb 2023
LIE67
ZAL77
09 Oct 2022
LIE66
ZAL74
21 May 2022
LIE86
ZAL75
16 May 2022
LIE79
ZAL55
24 Apr 2022
LIE85
ZAL67
27 Sep 2021
LIE69
ZAL73
06 Apr 2021
LIE88
ZAL94
20 Dec 2020
LIE77
ZAL82
19 Apr 2020
LIE v ZAL
upcoming
05 Jan 2020
LIE83
ZAL72
23 May 2019
LIE v ZAL
upcoming
04 May 2019
LIE76
ZAL81
13 Jan 2019
LIE69
ZAL73
31 May 2018
LIE79
ZAL94
02 May 2018
LIE74
ZAL81
19 Nov 2017
LIE66
ZAL70
06 Jun 2017
LIE59
ZAL72
31 May 2017
LIE86
ZAL83
30 Jan 2017
LIE79
ZAL77
22 Sep 2016
LIE90
ZAL86
14 Mar 2016
LIE70
ZAL90
16 Nov 2015
LIE69
ZAL95
02 May 2015
LIE67
ZAL73
04 Jan 2015
LIE63
ZAL82
02 Oct 2014
LIE70
ZAL88
13 Apr 2014
LIE64
ZAL76
28 Jan 2013
LIE61
ZAL113
26 Nov 2011
LIE79
ZAL89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lietkabelis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LietkabelisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#7
L
73-81
73
81
-8
66avg 75
H14/01
LKL
Ulm
#6
L
69-78
69
78
-9
58avg 75
A18/01
Eurocup
Juventus
#7
W
109-73
109
73
+36
no box
H22/01
King Mindaugas Cup
JL Bourg
#12
W
92-88
92
88
+4
91avg 75
H25/01
Eurocup
Prienai
#12
L
74-86
74
86
-12
71avg 75
H28/01
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#17
W
77-75
77
75
+2
69avg 75
A31/01
Eurocup
Siauliai
#9
L
94-103
94
103
-9
90avg 75
H05/02
LKL
Venezia
#10
W
87-84
87
84
+3
85avg 75
H08/02
Eurocup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
77-71
77
71
+6
74avg 75
A11/02
LKL
Nevezis
#8
W
111-108
111
108
+3
111avg 75
H14/02
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
23-29
22-16
12-17
13-27
25-16
11-22
20-13
32-21
25-17
23-20
29-15
16-18
24-13
32-16
20-41
15-28
18-15
19-22
22-21
19-19
22-20
23-15
13-21
15-26
23-25
22-20
34-32
27-28
16-18
21-21
23-17
25-15
13-15
18-22
21-19
30-31
23-19
28-24
30-34
171.0Avg total
86.3Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)97.077.0174.0+20.0100%
Season at home (1)109.073.0182.0+36.0100%
Season away (1)85.081.0166.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.384.7171.0+1.660%
Last 5 (5)89.288.2177.4+1.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)82.785.3168.0-2.733%
vs Similar ◀ (10)80.580.4160.9+0.170%
vs Weaker (11)89.284.0173.2+5.273%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
71-66
71
66
+5
66avg 76
H20/01
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#6
W
91-72
91
72
+19
no box
H22/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Panathinaikos
#15
L
65-89
65
89
-24
57avg 76
A26/01
Euroleague
Jonava
#6
L
76-80
76
80
-4
74avg 76
H29/01
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
70-80
70
80
-10
59avg 76
A01/02
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
L
74-88
74
88
-14
66avg 76
H03/02
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#3
L
75-80
75
80
-5
73avg 76
A06/02
LKL
Baskonia
#8
W
79-75
79
75
+4
74avg 76
H10/02
Euroleague
Prienai
#12
W
86-80
86
80
+6
85avg 76
H12/02
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
78-67
78
67
+11
70avg 76
A15/02
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
18-16
12-26
21-10
22-14
21-14
23-19
25-25
24-19
18-8
16-37
7-25
12-22
26-21
24-13
14-24
16-16
12-22
21-17
21-25
15-26
15-21
24-14
20-27
17-23
16-16
19-19
23-22
20-18
18-24
23-18
18-15
23-19
15-17
19-21
29-23
14-14
19-22
22-11
23-20
154.2Avg total
76.5Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)93.075.5168.5+17.5100%
Season at home (1)91.072.0163.0+19.0100%
Season away (1)95.079.0174.0+16.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.577.7154.2-1.250%
Last 5 (5)78.478.0156.4+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)76.882.0158.8-5.250%
vs Similar ◀ (12)73.575.8149.3-2.350%
vs Weaker (14)85.171.9157.0+13.186%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -1.5-1.5
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -1.5-1.5
LietkabelisZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#7
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H14/01
LKL
Ulm
#6
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A18/01
Eurocup
Juventus
#7
W
57-38
57
38
+19
H22/01
King Mindaugas Cup
JL Bourg
#12
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H25/01
Eurocup
Prienai
#12
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H28/01
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#17
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A31/01
Eurocup
Siauliai
#9
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H05/02
LKL
Venezia
#10
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H08/02
Eurocup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A11/02
LKL
Nevezis
#8
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H14/02
LKL
83.9Avg total
42.0Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.239.180.3+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.239.681.9+2.665%-
Last 30 away (13)39.838.578.2+1.346%-
Last 10 (10)42.041.983.9+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)42.643.285.8-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.837.877.6+2.067%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)39.338.077.3+1.350%-
vs Weaker (11)44.041.385.3+2.755%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H20/01
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#6
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H22/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Panathinaikos
#15
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A26/01
Euroleague
Jonava
#6
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H29/01
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A01/02
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H03/02
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#3
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A06/02
LKL
Baskonia
#8
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H10/02
Euroleague
Prienai
#12
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H12/02
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A15/02
LKL
72.7Avg total
36.1Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.435.874.2+2.767%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.035.872.8+1.260%-
Last 30 away (15)39.935.775.6+4.173%-
Last 10 (10)36.136.672.7-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)34.440.074.4-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.241.578.8-4.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)37.835.273.0+2.767%-
vs Weaker (14)39.334.673.9+4.671%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.719.6
52.0%
55.2%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.6
33.9%
34.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws17.914.0
78.2%
74.2%14.0
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.718.9
54.5%
55.2%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.3
35.5%
34.6%24.9
🏀 Free throws15.713.2
84.1%
74.2%13.2
They take 58.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Feb 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lietkabelis
WWWLWLWWLL
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWLLLLLWW
#2
League position
#1
-2.7
Net rating
-1.9
112.3
Offensive rating
112.3
115.1
Defensive rating
114.2
51.5%
Effective FG%
54.0%
57.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
17.7%
Turnover %
20.4%
35.8%
Off. rebound %
36.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.9%
3-point %
35.5%
66.1%
Assist %
57.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.3 · 112.3Defence115.1 · 114.2Shooting51.5% · 54.0%3-point %33.9% · 35.5%Ball care17.7% · 20.4%Off. rebounds35.8% · 36.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Lietkabelis   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Lietkabelis wins
6
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/23HNevezis111-108
11/02/23APieno Zvaigzdes77-71
08/02/23HVenezia87-84
05/02/23HSiauliai94-103
31/01/23ACluj-Napoca77-75
28/01/23HPrienai74-86
25/01/23HJL Bourg92-88
22/01/23HJuventus109-73
18/01/23AUlm69-78
14/01/23HNeptunas73-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/23AJuventus78-67
12/02/23HPrienai86-80
10/02/23HBaskonia79-75
06/02/23ABC Wolves75-80
03/02/23HPartizan74-88
01/02/23AAnadolu Efes70-80
29/01/23HJonava76-80
26/01/23APanathinaikos65-89
22/01/23HBC Wolves91-72
20/01/23HCrvena zvezda71-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lietkabelis
King Mindaugas Cup 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game97.0109.085.0
Allowed / game77.073.081.0
Point differential+20.0+36.0+4.0
Avg total174.0182.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
King Mindaugas Cup 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game93.091.095.0
Allowed / game75.572.079.0
Point differential+17.5+19.0+16.0
Avg total168.5163.0174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lietkabelis220100%97.077.0+20.0
2 Zalgiris Kaunas220100%93.075.5+17.5
3 Jonava97278%81.977.9+4.0
4 Neptunas85362%91.283.5+7.8
5 Nevezis85362%90.590.2+0.2
6 BC Wolves84450%85.182.9+2.2
7 Juventus94544%91.291.8-0.6
8 Siauliai73443%84.087.6-3.6
9 Rytas31233%84.782.7+2.0
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes61517%82.388.0-5.7
11 Prienai6060%76.899.3-22.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lietkabelis1712162267
Zalgiris Kaunas1721172277
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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