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Brescia vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 74-57
14-16 22-6 15-14 23-21
Position#1
Record1-0
FormWLWLW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game72.0
Brescia 🏆
Italy
vs
Pesaro
Italy
Position#3
Record1-0
FormWLWLW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game80.0
ItalyItalian CupItalian Cup - Semi-finals
Other2023
Meetings · Brescia v Pesaro
01 Oct 2023
BRE81
PES79
18 Feb 2023
BRE74
PES57
29 Oct 2022
BRE97
PES98
20 Jan 2022
BRE110
PES78
10 May 2021
BRE86
PES84
24 Nov 2019
BRE101
PES74
04 Nov 2018
BRE84
PES81
21 Jan 2018
BRE88
PES70
22 Jan 2017
BRE99
PES68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Verona
#16
L
77-81
77
81
-4
71avg 76
A15/01
Lega A
Prometey
#2
L
72-79
72
79
-7
62avg 76
A18/01
Eurocup
Treviso
#13
L
80-81
80
81
-1
76avg 76
H22/01
Lega A
Ulm
#6
L
72-85
72
85
-13
no box
H25/01
Eurocup
Varese
#4
L
72-80
72
80
-8
62avg 76
A28/01
Lega A
JL Bourg
#12
W
74-66
74
66
+8
71avg 76
A31/01
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
78-84
78
84
-6
72avg 76
A05/02
Lega A
Cluj-Napoca
#17
W
103-84
103
84
+19
101avg 76
H08/02
Eurocup
Sassari
#5
L
80-93
80
93
-13
71avg 76
H12/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
75-72
75
72
+3
no box
A15/02
Italian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
18-22
17-20
22-25
19-15
16-16
18-23
19-25
23-18
16-18
23-24
18-21
18-15
21-21
16-22
17-27
16-15
22-29
17-27
17-9
20-20
20-19
18-14
16-13
17-20
23-19
22-23
16-22
22-19
20-19
22-22
39-24
17-25
19-21
22-20
22-27
20-19
25-10
11-26
19-17
158.8Avg total
78.3Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)75.072.0147.0+3.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)75.072.0147.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.380.5158.8-2.230%
Last 5 (5)82.079.8161.8+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.092.2164.2-20.212%
vs Similar (13)78.578.8157.3-0.438%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)88.484.8173.1+3.650%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Verona
#16
W
94-90
94
90
+4
91avg 75
A18/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
82-87 OT
82
87
-5
no box
H26/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
76-95
76
95
-19
67avg 75
A30/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
101-72
101
72
+29
no box
H08/01
Lega A
Scafati
#11
W
81-69
81
69
+12
76avg 75
A15/01
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
76-73
76
73
+3
64avg 75
H21/01
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
74-110
74
110
-36
60avg 75
A29/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
85-74
85
74
+11
74avg 75
H05/02
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
77-93
77
93
-16
65avg 75
A12/02
Lega A
Varese
#7
W
84-80
84
80
+4
no box
H15/02
Italian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
22-25
22-21
25-21
18-25
22-14
19-20
14-14
18-16
21-26
23-25
14-28
21-27
20-13
32-14
28-18
15-13
26-18
11-24
29-14
18-20
23-19
10-20
25-14
21-29
15-32
19-28
19-21
24-15
15-21
18-19
28-19
7-28
30-20
23-29
17-16
29-12
15-23
23-29
17-16
167.3Avg total
83.0Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)84.080.0164.0+4.0100%
Season at home (1)84.080.0164.0+4.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.084.3167.3-1.360%
Last 5 (5)79.286.0165.2-6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)79.184.4163.5-5.441%
vs Similar (12)86.881.5168.2+5.275%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +3.5+3.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +3.5+3.5
BresciaPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#16
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A15/01
Lega A
Prometey
#2
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A18/01
Eurocup
Treviso
#13
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H22/01
Lega A
Ulm
#6
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H25/01
Eurocup
Varese
#4
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A28/01
Lega A
JL Bourg
#12
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A31/01
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A05/02
Lega A
Cluj-Napoca
#17
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H08/02
Eurocup
Sassari
#5
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H12/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A15/02
Italian Cup
76.6Avg total
39.2Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.941.580.4-2.653%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.140.379.4-1.262%-
Last 30 away (17)38.742.481.1-3.747%-
Last 10 (10)39.237.476.6+1.880%-
Last 5 (5)40.638.278.8+2.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)33.943.977.8-10.038%-
vs Similar (13)39.241.280.4-2.154%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)42.641.183.8+1.562%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#16
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A18/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H26/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A30/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H08/01
Lega A
Scafati
#11
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A15/01
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H21/01
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
36-61
36
61
-25
A29/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H05/02
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A12/02
Lega A
Varese
#7
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H15/02
Italian Cup
82.4Avg total
40.5Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.440.581.9+0.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.340.082.3+2.360%-
Last 30 away (15)40.541.081.5-0.553%-
Last 10 (10)40.541.982.4-1.460%-
Last 5 (5)39.443.883.2-4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)40.841.482.2-0.641%-
vs Similar (12)42.039.781.7+2.375%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 23% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.316.8
50.5%
-33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.1
35.8%
-27.3
🏀 Free throws21.417.8
83.2%
-17.8
They take 58.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.317.8
50.4%
-35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.410.6
37.3%
-31.8
🏀 Free throws20.415.1
74.0%
-15.1
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Feb 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
WLWLWLLLLL
Pesaro
WLWLWWWLLW
#1
League position
#3
-11.0
Net rating
-1.5
109.2
Offensive rating
111.5
120.2
Defensive rating
112.9
51.9%
Effective FG%
52.9%
57.6%
Opp. effective FG%
56.8%
16.4%
Turnover %
15.1%
25.1%
Off. rebound %
25.7%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.8%
3-point %
37.3%
62.9%
Assist %
58.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Brescia   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Brescia wins
2
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
29/10/22Brescia v Pesaro97-98
27/03/22Pesaro v Brescia83-88
20/01/22Brescia v Pesaro110-78
10/05/21Brescia v Pesaro86-84
10/01/21Pesaro v Brescia98-88
24/11/19Brescia v Pesaro101-74
03/03/19Pesaro v Brescia86-92
04/11/18Brescia v Pesaro84-81
21/01/18Brescia v Pesaro88-70
01/10/17Pesaro v Brescia70-73
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/23AOlimpia Milano75-72
12/02/23HSassari80-93
08/02/23HCluj-Napoca103-84
05/02/23AVirtus Bologna78-84
31/01/23AJL Bourg74-66
28/01/23AVarese72-80
25/01/23HUlm72-85
22/01/23HTreviso80-81
18/01/23APrometey72-79
15/01/23AVerona77-81
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/23HVarese84-80
12/02/23AVenezia77-93
05/02/23HReggiana85-74
29/01/23ASassari74-110
21/01/23HVerona76-73
15/01/23AScafati81-69
08/01/23HTreviso101-72
30/12/22AReggiana76-95
26/12/22HVirtus Bologna82-87 OT
18/12/22AVerona94-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Italian Cup 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game75.0-75.0
Allowed / game72.0-72.0
Point differential+3.0-+3.0
Avg total147.0-147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Pesaro
Italian Cup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game84.084.0-
Allowed / game80.080.0-
Point differential+4.0+4.0-
Avg total164.0164.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna220100%86.066.5+19.5
2 Pesaro110100%84.080.0+4.0
3 Brescia110100%75.072.0+3.0
4 Tortona21150%69.580.0-10.5
5 Olimpia Milano1010%72.075.0-3.0
6 Trento1010%70.074.0-4.0
7 Varese1010%80.084.0-4.0
8 Venezia1010%68.082.0-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia1422152374
Pesaro166142157
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