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Virtus Bologna vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 84-78
20-17 19-23 23-22 22-16
Position#2
Record13-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game77.6
vs
Position#8
Record7-10
FormLLLLW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game83.0
ItalyLega ARound 18
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Brescia
22 Dec 2025
VIR86
BRE76
14 Jun 2025
VIR75
BRE65
12 Jun 2025
VIR90
BRE87
14 Apr 2025
VIR91
BRE79
20 Nov 2023
VIR88
BRE76
24 Sep 2023
VIR97
BRE60
19 Feb 2023
VIR76
BRE84
05 Feb 2023
VIR84
BRE78
08 May 2022
VIR79
BRE57
23 Jan 2021
VIR89
BRE90
01 Mar 2020
VIR v BRE
upcoming
06 Jan 2019
VIR88
BRE80
12 Nov 2017
VIR74
BRE76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Tortona
#3
L
81-89
81
89
-8
no box
A07/01
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
77-87
77
87
-10
75avg 79
H10/01
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
83-85
83
85
-2
84avg 79
H12/01
Euroleague
Venezia
#6
W
79-78
79
78
+1
82avg 79
H15/01
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#15
W
74-64
74
64
+10
79avg 79
H19/01
Euroleague
Brindisi
#9
L
77-78
77
78
-1
no box
A22/01
Lega A
Bayern
#16
L
84-91
84
91
-7
75avg 79
A27/01
Euroleague
Verona
#16
W
87-82
87
82
+5
81avg 79
H29/01
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
84-72
84
72
+12
88avg 79
H31/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
77-64
77
64
+13
75avg 79
A03/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-29
11-19
26-20
22-21
13-24
23-16
24-20
17-27
22-22
16-20
15-21
30-22
26-20
16-14
10-24
27-20
18-11
25-19
12-21
19-13
23-15
15-19
29-13
10-31
18-22
20-21
17-23
29-25
24-17
25-25
19-20
19-20
30-14
18-21
22-16
14-21
21-14
18-23
16-11
22-16
159.3Avg total
80.3Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)84.577.6162.2+6.976%
Season at home (8)84.578.0162.5+6.575%
Season away (9)84.677.3161.9+7.278%
Last 10 (10)80.379.0159.3+1.350%
Last 5 (5)81.877.4159.2+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)80.485.3165.8-4.944%
vs Similar (10)78.876.8155.6+2.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)84.878.8163.6+6.073%
This opponent (Brescia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#14
W
84-77
84
77
+7
73avg 76
H26/12
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
94-92 OT
94
92
+2
no box
A02/01
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
73-78
73
78
-5
67avg 76
H07/01
Lega A
Joventut Badalona
#4
W
85-75
85
75
+10
82avg 76
H10/01
Eurocup
Verona
#16
L
77-81
77
81
-4
71avg 76
A15/01
Lega A
Prometey
#2
L
72-79
72
79
-7
62avg 76
A18/01
Eurocup
Treviso
#13
L
80-81
80
81
-1
76avg 76
H22/01
Lega A
Ulm
#6
L
72-85
72
85
-13
no box
H25/01
Eurocup
Varese
#4
L
72-80
72
80
-8
62avg 76
A28/01
Lega A
JL Bourg
#12
W
74-66
74
66
+8
71avg 76
A31/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
24-15
20-19
19-25
21-17
23-23
13-29
27-15
20-25
12-25
17-13
24-15
25-17
19-20
16-18
25-20
20-14
18-22
17-20
22-25
19-15
16-16
18-23
19-25
23-18
16-18
23-24
18-21
18-15
21-21
16-22
17-27
16-15
22-29
17-27
17-9
20-20
20-19
18-14
16-13
157.7Avg total
78.3Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)83.683.0166.6+0.641%
Season at home (9)84.380.8165.1+3.656%
Season away (8)82.985.5168.4-2.625%
Last 10 (10)78.379.4157.7-1.140%
Last 5 (5)74.078.2152.2-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)75.290.5165.8-15.225%
vs Similar (14)79.978.9158.8+1.143%
vs Weaker (8)87.686.5174.1+1.138%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +0.9+0.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +0.9+0.9
Virtus BolognaBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tortona
#3
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A07/01
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H10/01
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H12/01
Euroleague
Venezia
#6
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H15/01
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#15
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H19/01
Euroleague
Brindisi
#9
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A22/01
Lega A
Bayern
#16
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A27/01
Euroleague
Verona
#16
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H29/01
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H31/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A03/02
Euroleague
78.9Avg total
40.4Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.938.979.9+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.437.578.9+3.956%-
Last 30 away (14)40.440.680.9-0.257%-
Last 10 (10)40.438.578.9+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)42.438.280.6+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.943.483.3-3.633%-
vs Similar (10)40.035.375.3+4.770%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)42.638.581.2+4.164%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#14
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H26/12
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A02/01
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
32-50
32
50
-18
H07/01
Lega A
Joventut Badalona
#4
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H10/01
Eurocup
Verona
#16
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A15/01
Lega A
Prometey
#2
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A18/01
Eurocup
Treviso
#13
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H22/01
Lega A
Ulm
#6
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H25/01
Eurocup
Varese
#4
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A28/01
Lega A
JL Bourg
#12
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A31/01
Eurocup
77.6Avg total
39.4Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.442.581.9-3.150%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.341.081.3-0.762%-
Last 30 away (17)38.643.682.3-5.041%-
Last 10 (10)39.438.277.6+1.280%-
Last 5 (5)38.237.275.4+1.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)34.944.279.1-9.438%-
vs Similar (14)39.841.481.1-1.657%-
vs Weaker (8)43.142.885.9+0.450%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.919.5
59.3%
51.3%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.3
34.0%
36.4%24.9
🏀 Free throws19.315.6
80.8%
76.1%15.6
They take 57.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.718.1
52.2%
51.3%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.9
35.9%
36.4%26.7
🏀 Free throws20.316.4
80.8%
76.1%16.4
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Feb 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
WWWLLWWLLL
Brescia
WLLLLLWLWW
#2
League position
#8
+1.9
Net rating
-5.5
113.6
Offensive rating
109.0
111.8
Defensive rating
114.5
55.8%
Effective FG%
52.9%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
57.0%
19.3%
Turnover %
17.4%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
26.7%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.0%
3-point %
35.9%
70.9%
Assist %
61.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence113.6 · 109.0Defence111.8 · 114.5Shooting55.8% · 52.9%3-point %34.0% · 35.9%Ball care19.3% · 17.4%Off. rebounds30.6% · 26.7%Free throws0.34 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Virtus Bologna wins
3
Brescia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/23ALyon-Villeurbanne77-64
31/01/23HCrvena zvezda84-72
29/01/23HVerona87-82
27/01/23ABayern84-91
22/01/23ABrindisi77-78
19/01/23HPanathinaikos74-64
15/01/23HVenezia79-78
12/01/23HOlympiacos83-85
10/01/23HZalgiris Kaunas77-87
07/01/23ATortona81-89
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/23AJL Bourg74-66
28/01/23AVarese72-80
25/01/23HUlm72-85
22/01/23HTreviso80-81
18/01/23APrometey72-79
15/01/23AVerona77-81
10/01/23HJoventut Badalona85-75
07/01/23HTrento73-78
02/01/23ASassari94-92 OT
26/12/22HReggiana84-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW76%
HomeWLLWW75%
AwayWWWLL78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %76%75%78%
Points / game84.584.584.6
Allowed / game77.678.077.3
Point differential+6.9+6.5+7.2
Avg total162.2162.5161.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%38%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Brescia
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL41%
HomeWLWLL56%
AwayWLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %41%56%25%
Points / game83.684.382.9
Allowed / game83.080.885.5
Point differential+0.6+3.6-2.6
Avg total166.6165.1168.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)40% (5)33% (6)
Overtime %18%11%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1814478%81.772.0+9.7
2 Virtus Bologna1713476%84.577.6+6.9
3 Tortona1813572%82.477.0+5.4
4 Pesaro1710759%86.684.8+1.8
5 Varese1810856%92.190.6+1.5
6 Sassari189950%85.081.0+4.0
7 Trento189950%74.376.8-2.5
8 Brindisi189950%79.883.2-3.4
9 Venezia1881044%81.979.6+2.3
10 Trieste1881044%78.681.8-3.3
11 Brescia1771041%83.683.0+0.6
12 Scafati1871139%76.877.6-0.8
13 Treviso1871139%79.384.7-5.3
14 Basket Napoli1871139%76.883.4-6.7
15 Verona1861233%78.886.3-7.5
16 Reggiana1751229%75.677.9-2.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna2019232284
Brescia1723221678
← all games of the day
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