Olimpia Milano vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Feb 2023

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 72-75

19-20 10-25 26-11 17-19

Position#5

Record-

FormWWWWW

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

Olimpia Milano

Brescia 🏆

Position#1

Record-

FormLWLWL

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

Italian CupItalian Cup - Quarter-finals

Other2023

Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Brescia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Brescia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia Milano Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormMilano

Date

Competition

Zalgiris Kaunas

61-66

-5

50avg 71

H13/01

Euroleague

Tortona

79-63

+16

no box

H15/01

Lega A

Lyon-Villeurbanne

#18

73-79

-6

71avg 71

H20/01

Euroleague

Reggiana

#14

68-73

-5

60avg 71

A22/01

Lega A

Monaco

88-101

101

-13

83avg 71

A26/01

Euroleague

Trento

78-65

+13

70avg 71

H29/01

Lega A

Baskonia

89-83

no box

H31/01

Euroleague

Crvena zvezda

#11

74-68

no box

H02/02

Euroleague

Trieste

#15

65-59

56avg 71

A05/02

Lega A

Varese

87-75

+12

89avg 71

A12/02

Lega A

9-19

18-18

13-22

21-7

22-12

17-17

32-19

8-15

17-19

20-23

20-15

16-22

15-18

23-21

17-26

13-8

22-29

28-28

24-23

14-21

28-15

15-22

13-17

22-11

18-17

22-17

22-26

27-23

22-18

23-14

14-17

15-19

12-15

21-20

18-16

14-8

21-22

24-23

23-18

19-12

149.4Avg total

76.2Scored

73.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	76.2	73.2	149.4	+3.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	78.6	70.0	148.6	+8.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	68.5	80.3	148.8	-11.8	17%
vs Similar (11)	74.5	75.8	150.4	-1.3	45%
vs Weaker (13)	82.0	73.0	155.0	+9.0	69%

Brescia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBrescia

Date

Competition

Joventut Badalona

85-75

+10

82avg 76

H10/01

Eurocup

Verona

#16

77-81

-4

71avg 76

A15/01

Lega A

Prometey

72-79

-7

62avg 76

A18/01

Eurocup

Treviso

#13

80-81

-1

76avg 76

H22/01

Lega A

Ulm

72-85

-13

no box

H25/01

Eurocup

Varese

72-80

-8

62avg 76

A28/01

Lega A

JL Bourg

#12

74-66

71avg 76

A31/01

Eurocup

Virtus Bologna

78-84

-6

72avg 76

A05/02

Lega A

Cluj-Napoca

#17

103-84

103

+19

101avg 76

H08/02

Eurocup

Sassari

80-93

-13

71avg 76

H12/02

Lega A

25-17

19-20

16-18

25-20

20-14

18-22

17-20

22-25

19-15

16-16

18-23

19-25

23-18

16-18

23-24

18-21

18-15

21-21

16-22

17-27

16-15

22-29

17-27

17-9

20-20

20-19

18-14

16-13

17-20

23-19

22-23

16-22

22-19

20-19

22-22

39-24

17-25

19-21

22-20

22-27

160.1Avg total

79.3Scored

80.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	79.3	80.8	160.1	-1.5	30%
Last 5 (5)	81.4	81.4	162.8	+0.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	72.0	92.2	164.2	-20.2	12%
vs Similar (13)	78.5	78.8	157.3	-0.4	38%
vs Weaker (9)	89.3	86.2	175.6	+3.1	44%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Olimpia MilanoBrescia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	18.6	38.6	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	17.5	39.7	+4.8	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	19.7	37.4	-1.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	18.4	37.0	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	17.4	37.6	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.0	20.3	37.3	-3.3	33%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.9	18.3	38.2	+1.6	64%	-
vs Weaker (13)	21.5	18.0	39.5	+3.5	54%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	17.0	34.8	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	19.9	40.8	+1.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	15.1	14.4	29.5	+0.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	17.8	37.5	+1.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	19.8	38.2	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	10.0	9.6	19.6	+0.4	25%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.1	20.0	39.1	-0.9	54%	-
vs Weaker (9)	22.9	19.1	42.0	+3.8	78%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	18.7	37.8	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.7	18.9	36.5	-1.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	18.5	39.0	+1.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	20.3	41.4	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	19.2	40.2	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.0	15.3	34.3	+3.7	67%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.5	20.6	39.2	-2.1	27%	-
vs Weaker (13)	19.5	18.6	38.2	+0.9	54%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	25.3	46.4	-4.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.6	21.2	39.9	-2.6	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.2	28.8	52.1	-5.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	20.4	39.8	-1.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	21.4	42.2	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	23.9	34.2	58.1	-10.4	12%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.1	21.2	41.3	-1.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (9)	20.1	23.1	43.2	-3.0	33%	-

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zalgiris Kaunas

27-37

-10

H13/01

Euroleague

Tortona

39-29

+10

H15/01

Lega A

Lyon-Villeurbanne

#18

37-42

-5

H20/01

Euroleague

Reggiana

#14

38-39

-1

A22/01

Lega A

Monaco

50-57

-7

A26/01

Euroleague

Trento

43-37

H29/01

Lega A

Baskonia

40-34

H31/01

Euroleague

Crvena zvezda

#11

45-32

+13

H02/02

Euroleague

Trieste

#15

33-35

-2

A05/02

Lega A

Varese

45-45

A12/02

Lega A

78.4Avg total

39.7Scored

38.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	37.3	76.3	+1.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.9	36.3	76.3	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.2	38.2	76.4	+0.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	38.7	78.4	+1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	36.6	77.8	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	36.0	35.7	71.7	+0.3	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	38.5	38.9	77.4	-0.5	45%	-
vs Weaker (13)	41.0	36.6	77.6	+4.4	46%	-

BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Joventut Badalona

44-37

H10/01

Eurocup

Verona

#16

38-36

A15/01

Lega A

Prometey

35-31

A18/01

Eurocup

Treviso

#13

39-36

H22/01

Lega A

Ulm

39-36

H25/01

Eurocup

Varese

38-44

-6

A28/01

Lega A

JL Bourg

#12

40-39

A31/01

Eurocup

Virtus Bologna

40-39

A05/02

Lega A

Cluj-Napoca

#17

42-38

H08/02

Eurocup

Sassari

36-46

-10

H12/02

Lega A

77.3Avg total

39.1Scored

38.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	42.2	81.1	-3.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.6	41.1	80.6	-1.5	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.3	43.2	81.6	-4.9	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.1	38.2	77.3	+0.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	41.2	80.4	-2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	33.9	43.9	77.8	-10.0	38%	-
vs Similar (13)	39.2	41.2	80.4	-2.1	54%	-
vs Weaker (9)	43.0	42.2	85.2	+0.8	56%	-

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	19.0	37.7	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	19.7	37.9	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	18.2	37.5	+1.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	19.9	39.5	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	18.8	36.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	13.8	21.8	35.7	-8.0	17%	-
vs Similar (11)	16.7	17.7	34.5	-1.0	45%	-
vs Weaker (13)	22.7	18.7	41.4	+4.0	69%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	17.8	35.4	-0.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	19.7	41.1	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	14.3	16.1	30.4	-1.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	21.3	40.4	-2.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	21.2	41.4	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	10.2	10.2	20.5	+0.0	12%	-
vs Similar (13)	18.2	18.8	36.9	-0.6	54%	-
vs Weaker (9)	23.3	23.1	46.4	+0.2	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	18.3	36.7	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	17.6	36.3	+1.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	18.9	37.1	-0.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	14.6	31.5	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	14.6	34.0	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.7	22.8	41.5	-4.2	17%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.9	17.5	36.5	+1.4	45%	-
vs Weaker (13)	17.8	16.8	34.6	+1.1	54%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	24.0	46.9	-1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.5	19.6	42.1	+2.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.1	27.9	51.1	-4.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	21.3	42.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	19.0	41.0	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	27.9	38.1	66.0	-10.2	12%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.4	18.2	38.6	+2.2	62%	-
vs Weaker (9)	21.9	19.9	41.8	+2.0	56%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.1	37.2	74.4	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.8	37.3	74.1	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.5	37.1	74.6	+0.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.5	34.5	71.0	+2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	33.4	70.8	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	32.5	44.7	77.2	-12.2	0%	-
vs Similar (11)	35.6	35.3	70.9	+0.4	45%	-
vs Weaker (13)	40.5	35.5	76.0	+5.1	77%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	41.8	82.3	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.9	39.3	83.1	+4.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.4	44.1	81.5	-6.6	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	42.6	82.8	-2.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	40.2	82.4	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	38.1	48.4	86.5	-10.2	25%	-
vs Similar (13)	38.5	37.0	75.5	+1.5	46%	-
vs Weaker (9)	45.2	43.0	88.2	+2.2	56%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 76.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀53%

🏀🏀🏀28%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 53% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 28% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 19% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.6	20.1	53.5%	-	40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.5	7.2	32.0%	-	21.6
🏀 Free throws	18.1	14.2	78.5%	-	14.2

They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 78.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀43%

🏀🏀🏀35%

🏀23%

🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 43% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 23% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.3	16.8	50.5%	-	33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.4	9.1	35.8%	-	27.3
🏀 Free throws	21.4	17.8	83.2%	-	17.8

They take 58.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.8	18.8	49.7%	-	37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.7	7.6	32.1%	-	22.8
🏀 Free throws	16.0	11.7	73.1%	-	11.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.2	19.8	59.6%	-	39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.0	9.9	36.7%	-	29.7
🏀 Free throws	23.7	17.3	73.0%	-	17.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.7	17.6	52.3%	-	35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	9.0	35.0%	-	27.1
🏀 Free throws	17.8	13.7	77.3%	-	13.7

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.6	18.5	50.7%	-	37.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.7	9.3	37.6%	-	27.8
🏀 Free throws	20.6	16.7	80.8%	-	16.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.4	17.6	49.6%	-	35.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	8.9	35.7%	-	26.8
🏀 Free throws	16.3	11.8	72.7%	-	11.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.8	18.9	54.3%	-	37.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.9	9.2	36.9%	-	27.6
🏀 Free throws	22.7	17.3	76.2%	-	17.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Feb 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Olimpia Milano

WWWWWLLLWL

Brescia

LWLWLLLLLW

League position

+5.5

Net rating

-11.0

107.6

Offensive rating

109.2

102.0

Defensive rating

120.2

51.4%

Effective FG%

51.9%

49.1%

Opp. effective FG%

57.6%

16.3%

Turnover %

16.4%

26.3%

Off. rebound %

25.1%

0.30

Free-throw rate

0.36

32.0%

3-point %

35.8%

53.5%

Assist %

62.9%

60%

Form (last 10/10)

30%

Profile

■ Olimpia Milano ■ Brescia

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Olimpia Milano wins

Brescia wins

Date	Game	Score
02/10/22	Olimpia Milano v Brescia	78-77
20/03/22	Brescia v Olimpia Milano	82-74
19/02/22	Olimpia Milano v Brescia	69-63
12/12/21	Olimpia Milano v Brescia	76-62
14/03/21	Brescia v Olimpia Milano	92-99
08/11/20	Olimpia Milano v Brescia	87-56
07/09/20	Brescia v Olimpia Milano	79-91
04/09/20	Olimpia Milano v Brescia	81-67
19/01/20	Brescia v Olimpia Milano	78-72
29/09/19	Olimpia Milano v Brescia	65-73

Olimpia Milanolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/02/23	A	Varese	87-75
05/02/23	A	Trieste	65-59
02/02/23	H	Crvena zvezda	74-68
31/01/23	H	Baskonia	89-83
29/01/23	H	Trento	78-65
26/01/23	A	Monaco	88-101
22/01/23	A	Reggiana	68-73
20/01/23	H	Lyon-Villeurbanne	73-79
15/01/23	H	Tortona	79-63
13/01/23	H	Zalgiris Kaunas	61-66

Brescialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/02/23	H	Sassari	80-93
08/02/23	H	Cluj-Napoca	103-84
05/02/23	A	Virtus Bologna	78-84
31/01/23	A	JL Bourg	74-66
28/01/23	A	Varese	72-80
25/01/23	H	Ulm	72-85
22/01/23	H	Treviso	80-81
18/01/23	A	Prometey	72-79
15/01/23	A	Verona	77-81
10/01/23	H	Joventut Badalona	85-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano

Italian Cup 2023

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

Brescia

Italian Cup 2023

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Olimpia Milano	19	10	26	17	72
Brescia	20	25	11	19	75

← all games of the day

Olimpia Milano vs Brescia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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