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Tortona vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 77-90 (OT)
20-24 19-20 17-14 15-13 6-19
Position#3
Record17-8
FormWWLWL
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game77.5
Tortona
Italy
vs
Brescia 🏆
Italy
Position#8
Record11-14
FormWLWWL
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game81.6
ItalyLega ARound 26
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Tortona v Brescia
03 May 2026
TOR88
BRE80
17 Nov 2024
TOR78
BRE85
05 Nov 2023
TOR59
BRE87
16 Apr 2023
TOR77
BRE90
13 Apr 2022
TOR81
BRE74
23 May 2016
TOR76
BRE72
21 May 2016
TOR76
BRE72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tortona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Varese
#4
W
103-91
103
91
+12
95avg 73
H05/02
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
80-69
80
69
+11
74avg 73
H12/02
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
74-70
74
70
+4
no box
H16/02
Italian Cup
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
65-90
65
90
-25
no box
A18/02
Italian Cup
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
90-91
90
91
-1
85avg 73
A05/03
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
73-69
73
69
+4
67avg 73
H12/03
Lega A
Trento
#7
W
75-73
75
73
+2
66avg 73
A18/03
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
72-84
72
84
-12
66avg 73
A26/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
81-77
81
77
+4
75avg 73
H02/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
80-89
80
89
-9
70avg 73
A08/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
34-31
31-20
18-17
25-16
25-25
18-11
12-17
22-16
16-20
21-12
15-22
12-29
21-23
18-21
14-17
25-18
18-26
18-23
29-24
24-17
21-18
18-13
10-21
18-22
16-20
27-23
14-8
20-19
20-20
16-27
16-18
22-17
17-22
25-13
17-25
25-25
22-24
16-21
17-19
159.6Avg total
79.3Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)81.477.5158.9+3.868%
Season at home (12)81.876.2158.1+5.683%
Season away (13)80.978.7159.6+2.254%
Last 10 (10)79.380.3159.6-1.060%
Last 5 (5)76.278.4154.6-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.384.8159.2-10.517%
vs Similar ◀ (14)79.877.8157.6+2.064%
vs Weaker (8)84.474.8159.1+9.688%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Venezia
#10
L
64-90
64
90
-26
49avg 74
A08/03
Eurocup
Trieste
#15
W
95-59
95
59
+36
no box
H12/03
Lega A
Lietkabelis
#9
L
65-74
65
74
-9
56avg 74
H15/03
Eurocup
Pesaro
#10
L
79-88
79
88
-9
68avg 74
A18/03
Lega A
Cedevita Olimpija
#19
W
84-82
84
82
+2
no box
H21/03
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
83-74
83
74
+9
80avg 74
H26/03
Lega A
Bursaspor
#15
L
76-86
76
86
-10
70avg 74
A28/03
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#12
W
72-69
72
69
+3
65avg 74
A01/04
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
88-79
88
79
+9
87avg 74
H08/04
Lega A
Turk Telekom
#3
L
69-77
69
77
-8
61avg 74
A13/04
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
13-22
14-28
16-15
26-20
27-14
21-17
21-8
17-18
12-20
19-14
17-22
22-18
15-17
22-24
20-29
24-16
28-20
17-21
15-25
11-21
26-14
23-15
23-24
19-16
11-24
24-28
22-18
19-16
17-16
19-10
17-27
26-23
24-22
24-17
14-17
15-17
23-19
20-23
11-18
155.3Avg total
77.5Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)82.981.6164.5+1.344%
Season at home (13)85.079.4164.4+5.662%
Season away (12)80.784.0164.7-3.325%
Last 10 (10)77.577.8155.3-0.350%
Last 5 (5)77.677.0154.6+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)78.182.3160.4-4.129%
vs Similar ◀ (13)78.881.1159.8-2.338%
vs Weaker (9)83.675.6159.1+8.067%
This opponent (Tortona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -2.7-2.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -2.7-2.7
TortonaBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#4
D
54-54
54
54
+0
H05/02
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H12/02
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H16/02
Italian Cup
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A18/02
Italian Cup
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A05/03
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H12/03
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A18/03
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A26/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H02/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A08/04
Lega A
85.4Avg total
42.3Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.440.480.7+0.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.139.180.3+2.047%-
Last 30 away (15)39.641.681.2-2.033%-
Last 10 (10)42.343.185.4-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)41.040.881.8+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.842.779.5-5.817%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.941.081.9-0.136%-
vs Weaker (8)42.037.679.6+4.462%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#10
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A08/03
Eurocup
Trieste
#15
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H12/03
Lega A
Lietkabelis
#9
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H15/03
Eurocup
Pesaro
#10
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A18/03
Lega A
Cedevita Olimpija
#19
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H21/03
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H26/03
Lega A
Bursaspor
#15
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A28/03
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#12
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A01/04
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H08/04
Lega A
Turk Telekom
#3
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A13/04
Eurocup
77.4Avg total
39.6Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.138.278.4+1.973%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.138.579.7+2.673%-
Last 30 away (15)39.137.977.1+1.273%-
Last 10 (10)39.637.877.4+1.870%-
Last 5 (5)38.237.675.8+0.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.440.379.7-0.971%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)38.540.278.6-1.754%-
vs Weaker (9)42.634.977.4+7.7100%-
This opponent (Tortona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.620.9
57.1%
51.3%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.4
37.0%
36.4%28.2
🏀 Free throws17.212.7
73.8%
76.1%12.7
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 68.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.214.1
46.7%
51.3%28.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.58.9
37.9%
36.4%26.7
🏀 Free throws18.013.8
76.7%
76.1%13.8
They take 53.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tortona
LWLWWLLWWW
Brescia
LWWLWWLLWL
#3
League position
#8
+5.2
Net rating
-4.8
115.4
Offensive rating
108.8
110.2
Defensive rating
113.5
56.5%
Effective FG%
51.1%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
14.6%
Turnover %
13.9%
24.2%
Off. rebound %
22.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.34
37.0%
3-point %
37.9%
51.8%
Assist %
66.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence115.4 · 108.8Defence110.2 · 113.5Shooting56.5% · 51.1%3-point %37.0% · 37.9%Ball care14.6% · 13.9%Off. rebounds24.2% · 22.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Tortona   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Tortona wins
4
Brescia wins
DateGameScore
20/11/22Brescia v Tortona83-68
13/04/22Tortona v Brescia81-74
03/10/21Brescia v Tortona77-79
26/05/16Brescia v Tortona97-72
23/05/16Tortona v Brescia76-72
21/05/16Tortona v Brescia76-72
18/05/16Brescia v Tortona92-86
16/05/16Brescia v Tortona108-76
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/23AVenezia80-89
02/04/23HBrindisi81-77
26/03/23ASassari72-84
18/03/23ATrento75-73
12/03/23HVerona73-69
05/03/23AVirtus Bologna90-91
18/02/23AVirtus Bologna65-90
16/02/23HTrento74-70
12/02/23HTrieste80-69
05/02/23HVarese103-91
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/23ATurk Telekom69-77
08/04/23HVerona88-79
01/04/23ABasket Napoli72-69
28/03/23ABursaspor76-86
26/03/23HOlimpia Milano83-74
21/03/23HCedevita Olimpija84-82
18/03/23APesaro79-88
15/03/23HLietkabelis65-74
12/03/23HTrieste95-59
08/03/23AVenezia64-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tortona
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL68%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWLWLL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %68%83%54%
Points / game81.481.880.9
Allowed / game77.576.278.7
Point differential+3.8+5.6+2.2
Avg total158.9158.1159.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%25%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)67% (6)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brescia
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW44%
HomeLLWWW62%
AwayLLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %44%62%25%
Points / game82.985.080.7
Allowed / game81.679.484.0
Point differential+1.3+5.6-3.3
Avg total164.5164.4164.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%23%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)40% (5)43% (7)
Overtime %12%8%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2519676%83.677.3+6.3
2 Olimpia Milano2619773%82.572.9+9.6
3 Tortona2517868%81.477.5+3.8
4 Sassari26151158%84.780.4+4.3
5 Varese25141156%91.791.4+0.3
6 Venezia26141254%82.680.3+2.3
7 Brindisi26141254%83.681.6+2.0
8 Trento25131252%75.976.7-0.8
9 Pesaro25121348%84.386.9-2.6
10 Brescia25111444%82.981.6+1.3
11 Trieste25101540%77.982.8-4.9
12 Reggiana26101638%76.177.1-1.0
13 Treviso26101638%80.786.2-5.5
14 Scafati2591636%78.179.6-1.6
15 Basket Napoli2691735%78.384.2-5.9
16 Verona2681831%78.786.2-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Tortona20191715677
Brescia242014131990
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