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Varese vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 77-118
19-30 21-28 18-35 19-25
Position#12
Record6-10
FormLWWWL
Points / game89.7
Allowed / game96.8
Varese
Italy
vs
Brescia 🏆
Italy
Position#2
Record12-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game86.2
ItalyLega ARound 17· Palasport Lino Oldrini
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Varese v Brescia
14 Feb 2026
VAR98
BRE96
25 Jan 2025
VAR77
BRE118
30 Mar 2024
VAR92
BRE95
28 Jan 2023
VAR80
BRE72
26 Sep 2021
VAR75
BRE72
27 Sep 2020
VAR94
BRE89
13 Sep 2020
VAR102
BRE100
11 Mar 2020
VAR v BRE
upcoming
07 Oct 2018
VAR81
BRE80
16 May 2018
VAR64
BRE69
11 Feb 2018
VAR100
BRE72
19 Nov 2016
VAR68
BRE74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
104-95
104
95
+9
100avg 81
H10/11
Lega A
Scafati
#15
L
85-94
85
94
-9
73avg 81
A16/11
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
77-86
77
86
-9
65avg 81
H01/12
Lega A
Cremona
#13
L
60-78
60
78
-18
51avg 81
A08/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
94-92
94
92
+2
87avg 81
H15/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
80-97
80
97
-17
68avg 81
A22/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
89-86
89
86
+3
86avg 81
H28/12
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
86-81
86
81
+5
84avg 81
A05/01
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
92-89
92
89
+3
88avg 81
H12/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
96-111
96
111
-15
88avg 81
A19/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
27-22
25-30
28-21
25-27
25-22
21-18
14-27
27-21
12-27
21-20
17-18
14-17
18-18
8-23
20-20
25-19
29-24
18-22
22-27
17-22
24-26
21-28
18-21
22-12
27-27
19-29
21-18
26-30
20-13
18-12
22-26
25-18
31-25
17-29
19-17
28-28
31-17
14-36
23-30
177.2Avg total
86.3Scored
90.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)89.796.8186.5-7.138%
Season at home (8)94.194.6188.8-0.562%
Season away (8)85.299.0184.2-13.812%
Last 10 (10)86.390.9177.2-4.650%
Last 5 (5)88.692.8181.4-4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)87.595.7183.1-8.233%
vs Similar (15)90.288.5178.7+1.753%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Bellarmine
#362
L
66-94
66
94
-28
no box
A07/12
NCAA
Trieste
#6
W
69-65
69
65
+4
56avg 82
A08/12
Lega A
Cleveland State
#95
L
37-103
37
103
-66
no box
A14/12
NCAA
Basket Napoli
#14
W
97-84
97
84
+13
95avg 82
H15/12
Lega A
Venezia
#8
W
90-89
90
89
+1
85avg 82
A22/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
90-83
90
83
+7
84avg 82
H29/12
Lega A
Austin Peay
#275
L
46-93
46
93
-47
no box
A29/12
NCAA
Treviso
#11
L
84-86
84
86
-2
77avg 82
A04/01
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
83-77
83
77
+6
76avg 82
H11/01
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
98-106 OT
98
106
-8
91avg 82
H19/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
29-36
0-0
37-58
14-17
21-9
18-8
16-31
0-0
26-51
0-0
11-52
31-21
19-23
29-24
18-16
24-14
19-31
20-12
27-32
29-14
22-27
24-24
15-18
0-0
21-39
0-0
25-54
13-26
21-24
28-21
22-15
11-27
30-16
23-21
19-13
23-19
29-24
18-17
18-28
164.0Avg total
76.0Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)90.086.2176.2+3.875%
Season at home (8)94.090.4184.4+3.675%
Season away (8)86.082.0168.0+4.075%
Last 10 (10)76.088.0164.0-12.050%
Last 5 (5)80.289.0169.2-8.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)49.596.5146.0-47.00%
vs Similar (11)81.584.5166.1-3.045%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)93.184.3177.4+8.780%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: -6.5-6.5Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -10.9-10.9
-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: -6.5-6.5Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -10.9-10.9
VareseBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H10/11
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A16/11
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H01/12
Lega A
Cremona
#13
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A08/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H15/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A22/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H28/12
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A05/01
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H12/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
59-45
59
45
+14
A19/01
Lega A
91.4Avg total
47.7Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.845.692.4+1.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.445.294.6+4.271%-
Last 30 away (16)44.645.990.5-1.444%-
Last 10 (10)47.743.791.4+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)50.243.693.8+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)47.447.995.3-0.560%-
vs Similar (15)46.343.389.5+3.053%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bellarmine
#362
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A07/12
NCAA
Trieste
#6
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A08/12
Lega A
Cleveland State
#95
L
26-51
26
51
-25
A14/12
NCAA
Basket Napoli
#14
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H15/12
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A22/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H29/12
Lega A
Austin Peay
#275
L
21-39
21
39
-18
A29/12
NCAA
Treviso
#11
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A04/01
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H11/01
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H19/01
Lega A
80.0Avg total
38.2Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.842.484.2-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.343.189.4+3.269%-
Last 30 away (17)38.441.880.2-3.429%-
Last 10 (10)38.241.880.0-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)39.843.283.0-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)24.843.568.2-18.80%-
vs Similar (11)40.444.284.5-3.818%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)47.540.788.2+6.780%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀36%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.715.4
50.2%
52.9%30.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.912.7
36.4%
35.8%38.1
🏀 Free throws21.016.6
79.0%
76.8%16.6
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 88.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.1 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.521.2
52.3%
52.9%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.48.3
37.1%
35.8%24.9
🏀 Free throws27.821.1
75.9%
76.8%21.1
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LWWWLWLLLW
Brescia
LWLLWWWLWL
#12
League position
#2
-5.9
Net rating
+5.0
109.9
Offensive rating
117.3
115.9
Defensive rating
112.2
52.5%
Effective FG%
53.5%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
15.8%
Turnover %
14.9%
24.5%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.44
36.4%
3-point %
37.1%
63.3%
Assist %
51.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.9 · 117.3Defence115.9 · 112.2Shooting52.5% · 53.5%3-point %36.4% · 37.1%Ball care15.8% · 14.9%Off. rebounds24.5% · 32.1%Free throws0.32 · 0.44Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Varese   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Varese wins
6
Brescia wins
DateGameScore
29/09/24Brescia v Varese118-94
30/03/24Varese v Brescia92-95
26/11/23Brescia v Varese116-73
28/01/23Varese v Brescia80-72
08/10/22Brescia v Varese88-83
01/05/22Brescia v Varese102-71
26/09/21Varese v Brescia75-72
10/02/21Brescia v Varese98-83
27/09/20Varese v Brescia94-89 OT
13/09/20Varese v Brescia102-100
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/25APistoia96-111
12/01/25HTreviso92-89
05/01/25ASassari86-81
28/12/24HBasket Napoli89-86
22/12/24AReggiana80-97
15/12/24HOlimpia Milano94-92
08/12/24ACremona60-78
01/12/24HVenezia77-86
16/11/24AScafati85-94
10/11/24HVirtus Bologna104-95
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/25HTortona98-106 OT
11/01/25HTrento83-77
04/01/25ATreviso84-86
29/12/24AAustin Peay46-93
29/12/24HPistoia90-83
22/12/24AVenezia90-89
15/12/24HBasket Napoli97-84
14/12/24ACleveland State37-103
08/12/24ATrieste69-65
07/12/24ABellarmine66-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL38%
HomeWLWWW62%
AwayLLLWL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %38%62%12%
Points / game89.794.185.2
Allowed / game96.894.699.0
Point differential-7.1-0.5-13.8
Avg total186.5188.8184.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brescia
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL75%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayWWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game90.094.086.0
Allowed / game86.290.482.0
Point differential+3.8+3.6+4.0
Avg total176.2184.4168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (1)60% (5)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani1612475%92.784.1+8.6
2 Virtus Bologna1612475%85.278.9+6.3
3 Trento1612475%89.583.4+6.1
4 Brescia1612475%90.086.2+3.8
5 Olimpia Milano1610662%88.685.8+2.8
6 Trieste1610662%86.984.3+2.6
7 Tortona1710759%87.084.7+2.3
8 Reggiana1710759%80.079.0+1.0
9 Venezia168850%78.577.0+1.5
10 Treviso167944%86.087.8-1.8
11 Sassari1661038%81.484.7-3.3
12 Varese1661038%89.796.8-7.1
13 Pistoia1641225%83.488.4-5.0
14 Scafati1641225%86.593.9-7.4
15 Cremona1631319%76.081.1-5.1
16 Basket Napoli1631319%82.387.7-5.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese1921181977
Brescia30283525118
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