PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Brescia vs Trento Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 83-77
11-27 30-16 23-21 19-13
Position#2
Record11-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game89.9
Allowed / game85.4
Brescia 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#4
Record11-3
FormWLLLL
Points / game89.6
Allowed / game83.3
ItalyLega ARound 15· PalaLeonessa
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Brescia v Trento
11 Oct 2025
BRE72
TRE63
11 Jan 2025
BRE83
TRE77
28 Oct 2023
BRE82
TRE90
07 Jan 2023
BRE73
TRE78
03 Apr 2022
BRE86
TRE62
15 Nov 2020
BRE73
TRE80
13 Oct 2019
BRE92
TRE66
10 Mar 2019
BRE79
TRE84
04 Feb 2018
BRE70
TRE78
27 Dec 2016
BRE74
TRE80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trento winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Tortona
#9
W
85-78
85
78
+7
76avg 83
A17/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
98-97
98
97
+1
88avg 83
H01/12
Lega A
Bellarmine
#362
L
66-94
66
94
-28
no box
A07/12
NCAA
Trieste
#6
W
69-65
69
65
+4
56avg 83
A08/12
Lega A
Cleveland State
#95
L
37-103
37
103
-66
no box
A14/12
NCAA
Basket Napoli
#14
W
97-84
97
84
+13
95avg 83
H15/12
Lega A
Venezia
#8
W
90-89
90
89
+1
85avg 83
A22/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
90-83
90
83
+7
84avg 83
H29/12
Lega A
Austin Peay
#275
L
46-93
46
93
-47
no box
A29/12
NCAA
Treviso
#11
L
84-86
84
86
-2
77avg 83
A04/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-23
20-22
15-21
21-12
27-19
19-32
18-21
34-25
0-0
29-36
0-0
37-58
14-17
21-9
18-8
16-31
0-0
26-51
0-0
11-52
31-21
19-23
29-24
18-16
24-14
19-31
20-12
27-32
29-14
22-27
24-24
15-18
0-0
21-39
0-0
25-54
13-26
21-24
28-21
22-15
163.4Avg total
76.2Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)89.985.4175.4+4.579%
Season at home (6)95.290.0185.2+5.283%
Season away (8)86.082.0168.0+4.075%
Last 10 (10)76.287.2163.4-11.060%
Last 5 (5)81.487.0168.4-5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)49.596.5146.0-47.00%
vs Similar ◀ (10)81.485.3166.7-3.940%
vs Weaker (16)91.682.2173.8+9.388%
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#4
L
70-81
70
81
-11
57avg 75
H03/12
Eurocup
Scafati
#15
W
119-110
119
110
+9
113avg 75
A08/12
Lega A
Trefl Sopot
#20
W
82-70
82
70
+12
57avg 75
A10/12
Eurocup
Trapani
#3
L
99-107
99
107
-8
97avg 75
A15/12
Lega A
Buducnost
#14
L
108-110 OT
108
110
-2
105avg 75
A18/12
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
87-79
87
79
+8
78avg 75
H22/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
77-91
77
91
-14
67avg 75
A29/12
Lega A
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
L
69-73
69
73
-4
60avg 75
H03/01
Eurocup
Cremona
#13
L
76-80
76
80
-4
74avg 75
H05/01
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
68-89
68
89
-21
63avg 75
A07/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
18-26
16-21
14-15
31-30
29-29
28-23
31-28
22-16
20-19
19-13
21-22
30-32
28-27
22-26
19-22
25-24
24-23
22-30
24-18
20-23
21-29
25-5
21-22
16-25
25-19
15-25
21-22
14-24
17-14
25-14
13-21
22-9
22-27
15-16
17-28
17-26
15-22
18-17
18-24
174.5Avg total
85.5Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)89.683.3172.9+6.379%
Season at home (7)86.976.7163.6+10.186%
Season away (7)92.389.9182.1+2.471%
Last 10 (10)85.589.0174.5-3.530%
Last 5 (5)75.482.4157.8-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)74.887.2161.9-12.48%
vs Similar ◀ (7)86.378.6164.9+7.771%
vs Weaker (11)89.584.8174.4+4.782%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -7.7-7.7Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -8.7-8.7Q4: -2.3-2.3
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -7.7-7.7Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -8.7-8.7Q4: -2.3-2.3
BresciaTrento
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tortona
#9
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A17/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H01/12
Lega A
Bellarmine
#362
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A07/12
NCAA
Trieste
#6
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A08/12
Lega A
Cleveland State
#95
L
26-51
26
51
-25
A14/12
NCAA
Basket Napoli
#14
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H15/12
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A22/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H29/12
Lega A
Austin Peay
#275
L
21-39
21
39
-18
A29/12
NCAA
Treviso
#11
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A04/01
Lega A
81.2Avg total
38.4Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.342.383.6-1.043%-
Last 30 at home (12)45.242.587.7+2.767%-
Last 30 away (18)38.742.280.9-3.428%-
Last 10 (10)38.442.881.2-4.440%-
Last 5 (5)39.843.883.6-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)24.843.568.2-18.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.344.384.6-4.020%-
vs Weaker (16)46.140.886.8+5.369%-
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#4
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H03/12
Eurocup
Scafati
#15
W
60-59
60
59
+1
A08/12
Lega A
Trefl Sopot
#20
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A10/12
Eurocup
Trapani
#3
L
58-59
58
59
-1
A15/12
Lega A
Buducnost
#14
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A18/12
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H22/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A29/12
Lega A
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H03/01
Eurocup
Cremona
#13
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H05/01
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A07/01
Eurocup
90.1Avg total
43.8Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.042.385.3+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.139.879.9+0.438%-
Last 30 away (14)46.245.391.5+0.964%-
Last 10 (10)43.846.390.1-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)37.843.681.4-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)39.143.983.0-4.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)45.140.785.9+4.443%-
vs Weaker (11)45.841.687.5+4.273%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.120.2
51.7%
52.9%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.78.7
38.3%
35.8%26.1
🏀 Free throws26.719.0
71.2%
76.8%19.0
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.919.3
53.8%
52.9%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.611.2
39.2%
35.8%33.6
🏀 Free throws16.912.1
71.6%
76.8%12.1
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
LLWWWLWLWW
Trento
LLLLWLLWWL
#2
League position
#4
+3.6
Net rating
-5.4
114.4
Offensive rating
112.0
110.8
Defensive rating
117.5
53.8%
Effective FG%
56.0%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
57.6%
16.6%
Turnover %
19.9%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.26
38.3%
3-point %
39.2%
52.6%
Assist %
63.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence114.4 · 112.0Defence110.8 · 117.5Shooting53.8% · 56.0%3-point %38.3% · 39.2%Ball care16.6% · 19.9%Off. rebounds33.0% · 31.8%Free throws0.43 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Brescia   ■ Trento
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Brescia wins
7
Trento wins
DateGameScore
20/01/24Trento v Brescia69-93
28/10/23Brescia v Trento82-90
05/03/23Trento v Brescia83-76
07/01/23Brescia v Trento73-78
03/04/22Brescia v Trento86-62
16/02/22Trento v Brescia73-78
06/11/21Trento v Brescia78-72
20/03/21Trento v Brescia91-67
15/11/20Brescia v Trento73-80
02/02/20Trento v Brescia63-56
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25ATreviso84-86
29/12/24AAustin Peay46-93
29/12/24HPistoia90-83
22/12/24AVenezia90-89
15/12/24HBasket Napoli97-84
14/12/24ACleveland State37-103
08/12/24ATrieste69-65
07/12/24ABellarmine66-94
01/12/24HVirtus Bologna98-97
17/11/24ATortona85-78
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/25AHapoel Tel-Aviv68-89
05/01/25HCremona76-80
03/01/25HBahcesehir Kol.69-73
29/12/24ATortona77-91
22/12/24HVirtus Bologna87-79
18/12/24ABuducnost108-110 OT
15/12/24ATrapani99-107
10/12/24ATrefl Sopot82-70
08/12/24AScafati119-110
03/12/24HGran Canaria70-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL79%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayWWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %79%83%75%
Points / game89.995.286.0
Allowed / game85.490.082.0
Point differential+4.5+5.2+4.0
Avg total175.4185.2168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (1)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Trento
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL79%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayWWWLL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %79%86%71%
Points / game89.686.992.3
Allowed / game83.376.789.9
Point differential+6.3+10.1+2.4
Avg total172.9163.6182.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%29%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trento1411379%89.683.3+6.3
2 Brescia1411379%89.985.4+4.5
3 Trapani1410471%93.786.6+7.1
4 Virtus Bologna1410471%85.480.3+5.1
5 Olimpia Milano149564%88.484.4+4.0
6 Reggiana149564%78.976.6+2.3
7 Tortona159660%87.184.9+2.2
8 Trieste148657%86.785.2+1.5
9 Treviso147750%85.886.6-0.8
10 Venezia146843%77.577.3+0.2
11 Sassari146843%83.184.3-1.1
12 Varese145936%89.196.4-7.3
13 Scafati1541127%87.994.6-6.7
14 Cremona1431121%76.880.8-4.0
15 Pistoia1431121%82.188.5-6.4
16 Basket Napoli1421214%82.589.1-6.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia1130231983
Trento2716211377
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.