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Basket Napoli vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 90-85
27-23 17-21 19-19 27-22
Position#14
Record4-13
FormLWLWW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game87.1
vs
Position#2
Record13-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game91.6
Allowed / game85.6
ItalyLega ARound 18· PalaBarbuto
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Basket Napoli v Brescia
16 Nov 2025
NAP72
BRE85
02 Feb 2025
NAP90
BRE85
03 Feb 2024
NAP83
BRE104
01 Apr 2023
NAP69
BRE72
09 Apr 2022
NAP68
BRE70
13 Sep 2021
NAP74
BRE81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Basket Napoli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Basket NapoliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNapoli
Date
Competition
Treviso
#11
L
69-84
69
84
-15
69avg 75
H17/11
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
83-90
83
90
-7
72avg 75
A01/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
76-84
76
84
-8
61avg 75
H08/12
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
84-97
84
97
-13
69avg 75
A15/12
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
96-94 OT
96
94
+2
84avg 75
H22/12
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
86-89
86
89
-3
76avg 75
A28/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
92-83
92
83
+9
85avg 75
H04/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
75-86
75
86
-11
66avg 75
A12/01
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
87-70
87
70
+17
87avg 75
H19/01
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
90-78
90
78
+12
78avg 75
A25/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-15
22-22
16-18
16-29
14-22
19-16
26-23
24-29
17-18
11-23
23-17
25-26
21-31
23-19
24-29
16-18
22-19
24-19
18-19
18-25
12-22
27-27
29-19
18-21
20-17
23-22
26-18
23-26
13-26
22-18
21-30
19-12
27-11
24-21
17-15
19-23
17-25
24-17
26-19
23-17
169.3Avg total
83.8Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)82.887.1169.9-4.424%
Season at home (8)83.084.4167.4-1.438%
Season away (9)82.689.6172.1-7.011%
Last 10 (10)83.885.5169.3-1.740%
Last 5 (5)86.081.2167.2+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)81.986.8168.7-4.918%
vs Similar (16)85.790.1175.8-4.438%
vs Weaker (2)84.583.0167.5+1.550%
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Trieste
#6
W
69-65
69
65
+4
56avg 83
A08/12
Lega A
Cleveland State
#95
L
37-103
37
103
-66
no box
A14/12
NCAA
Basket Napoli
#14
W
97-84
97
84
+13
95avg 83
H15/12
Lega A
Venezia
#8
W
90-89
90
89
+1
85avg 83
A22/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
90-83
90
83
+7
84avg 83
H29/12
Lega A
Austin Peay
#275
L
46-93
46
93
-47
no box
A29/12
NCAA
Treviso
#11
L
84-86
84
86
-2
77avg 83
A04/01
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
83-77
83
77
+6
76avg 83
H11/01
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
98-106 OT
98
106
-8
91avg 83
H19/01
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
118-77
118
77
+41
127avg 83
A25/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
21-9
18-8
16-31
0-0
26-51
0-0
11-52
31-21
19-23
29-24
18-16
24-14
19-31
20-12
27-32
29-14
22-27
24-24
15-18
0-0
21-39
0-0
25-54
13-26
21-24
28-21
22-15
11-27
30-16
23-21
19-13
23-19
29-24
18-17
18-28
30-19
28-21
35-18
25-19
167.5Avg total
81.2Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)91.685.6177.3+6.076%
Season at home (8)94.090.4184.4+3.675%
Season away (9)89.681.4171.0+8.178%
Last 10 (10)81.286.3167.5-5.160%
Last 5 (5)85.887.8173.6-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)49.596.5146.0-47.00%
vs Similar (11)81.584.5166.1-3.045%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)94.983.9178.8+11.180%
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -8.2-8.2
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -8.2-8.2
Basket NapoliBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Basket NapoliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#11
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H17/11
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A01/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H08/12
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A15/12
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H22/12
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A28/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H04/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A12/01
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H19/01
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A25/01
Lega A
80.7Avg total
39.7Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.243.985.1-2.633%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.142.385.4+0.760%-
Last 30 away (15)39.445.484.8-6.07%-
Last 10 (10)39.741.080.7-1.330%-
Last 5 (5)41.841.283.0+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)40.042.182.1-2.136%-
vs Similar (16)42.644.086.6-1.438%-
vs Weaker (2)41.048.589.5-7.50%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#6
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A08/12
Lega A
Cleveland State
#95
L
26-51
26
51
-25
A14/12
NCAA
Basket Napoli
#14
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H15/12
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A22/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H29/12
Lega A
Austin Peay
#275
L
21-39
21
39
-18
A29/12
NCAA
Treviso
#11
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A04/01
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H11/01
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H19/01
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
58-40
58
40
+18
A25/01
Lega A
83.3Avg total
41.1Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.342.384.6-0.047%-
Last 30 at home (12)46.543.289.8+3.267%-
Last 30 away (18)39.541.781.2-2.233%-
Last 10 (10)41.142.283.3-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)41.243.084.2-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)24.843.568.2-18.80%-
vs Similar (11)40.444.284.5-3.818%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)48.440.789.1+7.780%-
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Basket Napolitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Napoli: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.519.2
52.6%
52.9%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.6
33.9%
35.8%28.8
🏀 Free throws22.315.6
70.0%
76.8%15.6
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 90.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.722.2
52.0%
52.9%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.28.2
36.9%
35.8%24.6
🏀 Free throws27.921.2
76.0%
76.8%21.2
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Basket Napoli
WWLWLWLLLL
Brescia
WLWLLWWWLW
#14
League position
#2
-2.3
Net rating
+8.9
110.2
Offensive rating
118.2
112.4
Defensive rating
109.3
51.9%
Effective FG%
53.2%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
12.3%
Turnover %
14.0%
25.1%
Off. rebound %
32.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.43
33.9%
3-point %
36.9%
61.5%
Assist %
54.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.2 · 118.2Defence112.4 · 109.3Shooting51.9% · 53.2%3-point %33.9% · 36.9%Ball care12.3% · 14.0%Off. rebounds25.1% · 32.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Basket Napoli   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Basket Napoli wins
8
Brescia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25ATreviso90-78
19/01/25HSassari87-70
12/01/25AVirtus Bologna75-86
04/01/25HTortona92-83
28/12/24AVarese86-89
22/12/24HScafati96-94 OT
15/12/24ABrescia84-97
08/12/24HReggiana76-84
01/12/24ATrento83-90
17/11/24HTreviso69-84
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25AVarese118-77
19/01/25HTortona98-106 OT
11/01/25HTrento83-77
04/01/25ATreviso84-86
29/12/24AAustin Peay46-93
29/12/24HPistoia90-83
22/12/24AVenezia90-89
15/12/24HBasket Napoli97-84
14/12/24ACleveland State37-103
08/12/24ATrieste69-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Basket Napoli
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW24%
HomeLLWWW38%
AwayLLLLW11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %24%38%11%
Points / game82.883.082.6
Allowed / game87.184.489.6
Point differential-4.4-1.4-7.0
Avg total169.9167.4172.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Brescia
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW76%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayWWWLW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %76%75%78%
Points / game91.694.089.6
Allowed / game85.690.481.4
Point differential+6.0+3.6+8.1
Avg total177.3184.4171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (1)60% (5)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani1713476%93.482.7+10.6
2 Brescia1713476%91.685.6+6.0
3 Trento1713476%88.682.6+5.9
4 Virtus Bologna1712571%84.278.7+5.5
5 Olimpia Milano1711665%88.585.1+3.4
6 Reggiana1811761%79.977.4+2.4
7 Trieste1811761%86.183.8+2.3
8 Tortona1810856%86.284.8+1.4
9 Venezia178947%78.076.8+1.2
10 Treviso1771041%85.587.9-2.4
11 Sassari1771041%81.183.7-2.6
12 Varese1761135%88.998.1-9.1
13 Basket Napoli1741324%82.887.1-4.4
14 Scafati1741324%86.493.5-7.1
15 Pistoia1741324%82.189.4-7.3
16 Cremona1841422%75.381.2-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Basket Napoli2717192790
Brescia2321192285
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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