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Brescia vs Ulm Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 25 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 72-85
18-15 21-21 16-22 17-27
Position#13
Record5-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game79.0
Brescia
vs
Ulm 🏆
Position#6
Record6-5
FormWLLWW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game87.5
EuropeEurocupRound 12
European cup2022
Meetings · Brescia v Ulm
25 Jan 2023
BRE72
ULM85
07 Oct 2020
BRE87
ULM84
19 Dec 2018
BRE80
ULM97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
77-89
77
89
-12
72avg 77
H18/12
Lega A
Bursaspor
#15
W
110-74
110
74
+36
113avg 77
H20/12
Eurocup
Tennessee State
#151
L
83-98
83
98
-15
no box
A20/12
NCAA
Reggiana
#14
W
84-77
84
77
+7
73avg 77
H26/12
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
94-92 OT
94
92
+2
no box
A02/01
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
73-78
73
78
-5
67avg 77
H07/01
Lega A
Joventut Badalona
#4
W
85-75
85
75
+10
82avg 77
H10/01
Eurocup
Verona
#16
L
77-81
77
81
-4
71avg 77
A15/01
Lega A
Prometey
#2
L
72-79
72
79
-7
62avg 77
A18/01
Eurocup
Treviso
#13
L
80-81
80
81
-1
76avg 77
H22/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
13-24
26-18
19-22
25-22
26-21
31-16
28-15
0-0
50-55
0-0
33-43
21-18
24-15
20-19
19-25
21-17
23-23
13-29
27-15
20-25
12-25
17-13
24-15
25-17
19-20
16-18
25-20
20-14
18-22
17-20
22-25
19-15
16-16
18-23
19-25
23-18
16-18
23-24
18-21
165.9Avg total
83.5Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)81.879.0160.8+2.845%
Season at home (5)85.674.0159.6+11.660%
Season away (6)78.783.2161.8-4.533%
Last 10 (10)83.582.4165.9+1.140%
Last 5 (5)77.478.8156.2-1.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)73.989.3163.2-15.422%
vs Similar ◀ (13)82.479.8162.2+2.654%
vs Weaker (8)87.686.5174.1+1.138%
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#2
L
83-110
83
110
-27
73avg 76
H18/12
BBL
Cluj-Napoca
#17
W
84-81
84
81
+3
76avg 76
A21/12
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
84-87
84
87
-3
82avg 76
A27/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
95-87
95
87
+8
88avg 76
H30/12
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
92-101
92
101
-9
85avg 76
H03/01
BBL
Hamburg
#15
W
80-65
80
65
+15
65avg 76
A07/01
BBL
Venezia
#10
L
69-89
69
89
-20
58avg 76
A11/01
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#11
L
84-91
84
91
-7
83avg 76
H14/01
BBL
Lietkabelis
#9
W
78-69
78
69
+9
77avg 76
H18/01
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
91-87
91
87
+4
84avg 76
A22/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-32
20-30
24-29
23-19
12-24
22-20
21-21
29-16
25-22
17-21
21-20
21-24
22-27
24-14
20-17
29-29
18-25
25-27
25-30
24-19
18-22
22-20
19-9
21-14
17-23
15-28
18-20
19-18
13-29
23-20
23-19
25-23
27-13
16-25
22-11
13-20
26-31
22-25
16-16
27-15
170.7Avg total
84.0Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)83.387.5170.7-4.255%
Season at home (5)82.682.6165.2+0.060%
Season away (6)83.891.5175.3-7.750%
Last 10 (10)84.086.7170.7-2.750%
Last 5 (5)80.480.2160.6+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)83.896.0179.8-12.225%
vs Similar ◀ (12)82.286.1168.3-3.833%
vs Weaker (13)88.586.7175.2+1.862%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -5.4-5.4Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +3.4+3.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -5.4-5.4Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +3.4+3.4
BresciaUlm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
32-49
32
49
-17
H18/12
Lega A
Bursaspor
#15
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H20/12
Eurocup
Tennessee State
#151
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A20/12
NCAA
Reggiana
#14
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H26/12
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A02/01
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
32-50
32
50
-18
H07/01
Lega A
Joventut Badalona
#4
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H10/01
Eurocup
Verona
#16
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A15/01
Lega A
Prometey
#2
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A18/01
Eurocup
Treviso
#13
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H22/01
Lega A
82.0Avg total
41.0Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.342.681.9-3.347%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.141.281.4-1.157%-
Last 30 away (16)38.543.882.3-5.338%-
Last 10 (10)41.041.082.0+0.070%-
Last 5 (5)37.638.075.6-0.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.144.079.1-8.933%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.841.581.3-1.854%-
vs Weaker (8)43.142.885.9+0.450%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#2
L
36-62
36
62
-26
H18/12
BBL
Cluj-Napoca
#17
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A21/12
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A27/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H30/12
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H03/01
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A07/01
BBL
Venezia
#10
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A11/01
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#11
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H14/01
BBL
Lietkabelis
#9
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H18/01
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A22/01
BBL
87.8Avg total
40.0Scored
47.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.944.486.3-2.443%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.546.289.7-2.750%-
Last 30 away (16)40.642.883.3-2.238%-
Last 10 (10)40.047.887.8-7.820%-
Last 5 (5)39.847.287.0-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.846.888.5-5.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.343.885.2-2.542%-
vs Weaker (13)42.544.887.3-2.238%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.017.8
52.4%
53.9%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.89.5
38.3%
35.1%28.5
🏀 Free throws21.617.4
80.6%
74.2%17.4
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.819.5
61.3%
53.9%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.610.0
31.6%
35.1%30.0
🏀 Free throws18.714.2
75.9%
74.2%14.2
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
LLLWLWWLWL
Ulm
WWLLWLWLWL
#13
League position
#6
+4.2
Net rating
-3.3
113.1
Offensive rating
109.8
108.9
Defensive rating
113.1
54.5%
Effective FG%
54.4%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
57.7%
17.2%
Turnover %
20.9%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
33.9%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.29
38.3%
3-point %
31.6%
61.5%
Assist %
59.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence113.1 · 109.8Defence108.9 · 113.1Shooting54.5% · 54.4%3-point %38.3% · 31.6%Ball care17.2% · 20.9%Off. rebounds28.4% · 33.9%Free throws0.37 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Brescia   ■ Ulm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Brescia wins
3
Ulm wins
DateGameScore
26/10/22Ulm v Brescia90-98 OT
10/11/20Ulm v Brescia88-76
07/10/20Brescia v Ulm87-84 OT
19/12/18Brescia v Ulm80-97
30/10/18Ulm v Brescia83-82
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/23HTreviso80-81
18/01/23APrometey72-79
15/01/23AVerona77-81
10/01/23HJoventut Badalona85-75
07/01/23HTrento73-78
02/01/23ASassari94-92 OT
26/12/22HReggiana84-77
20/12/22ATennessee State83-98
20/12/22HBursaspor110-74
18/12/22HVirtus Bologna77-89
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/23ASyntainics MBC91-87
18/01/23HLietkabelis78-69
14/01/23HWurzburg84-91
11/01/23AVenezia69-89
07/01/23AHamburg80-65
03/01/23HBonn92-101
30/12/22HBasketball Braunschweig95-87
27/12/22ALudwigsburg84-87
21/12/22ACluj-Napoca84-81
18/12/22HAlba Berlin83-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Eurocup 2022
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL45%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayWLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%60%33%
Points / game81.885.678.7
Allowed / game79.074.083.2
Point differential+2.8+11.6-4.5
Avg total160.8159.6161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %9%0%17%
Ulm
Eurocup 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW55%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayWWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %55%60%50%
Points / game83.382.683.8
Allowed / game87.582.691.5
Point differential-4.2+0.0-7.7
Avg total170.7165.2175.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %9%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gran Canaria1210283%83.276.5+6.8
2 Hapoel Tel-Aviv128467%88.480.0+8.4
3 Turk Telekom128467%85.879.8+6.1
4 Joventut Badalona128467%83.279.8+3.4
5 Paris128467%84.581.5+3.0
6 JL Bourg128467%85.983.8+2.2
7 Prometey128467%86.384.8+1.6
8 Buducnost127558%78.872.6+6.2
9 Venezia127558%80.676.2+4.4
10 Promitheas127558%81.282.2-1.0
11 Ulm116555%83.387.5-4.2
12 Bursaspor126650%84.684.3+0.2
13 Brescia115645%81.879.0+2.8
14 London Lions125742%79.280.6-1.3
15 Lietkabelis125742%78.881.8-3.0
16 Cluj-Napoca124833%86.087.8-1.8
17 Hamburg124833%80.584.7-4.2
18 Cedevita Olimpija1221017%85.491.2-5.8
19 Trento1221017%71.482.8-11.3
20 Slask Wroclaw121118%73.886.4-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia1821161772
Ulm1521222785
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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