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Brindisi vs Trieste Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 11 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 19:15
Postponed
Position#5
Record13-8
FormWWWLW
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game80.8
vs
Position#14
Record7-15
FormLLWLW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game80.5
ItalyLega ARound 25
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Brindisi v Trieste
07 May 2023
BRI92
TRI70
24 Apr 2022
BRI96
TRI87
14 May 2021
BRI86
TRI54
13 May 2021
BRI85
TRI64
27 Feb 2021
BRI81
TRI74
12 Feb 2021
BRI93
TRI81
11 Mar 2020
BRI v TRI
upcoming
28 Apr 2019
BRI85
TRI77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brindisi win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Trieste win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrindisiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
87-99
87
99
-12
A14/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
72-78
72
78
-6
A22/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
87-72
87
72
+15
H26/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
81-74
81
74
+7
H29/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
89-93
89
93
-4
A05/01
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
93-92 OT
93
92
+1
A12/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
88-81 OT
88
81
+7
H19/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
86-82
86
82
+4
A26/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
74-77
74
77
-3
H01/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
103-77
103
77
+26
A09/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
23-32
22-23
22-22
14-20
18-20
22-21
18-17
24-13
22-25
20-18
21-16
17-20
21-17
26-16
17-21
21-27
19-25
21-18
28-23
24-21
23-22
20-29
17-12
20-15
12-20
23-23
21-18
22-15
18-26
22-25
24-16
16-14
18-18
15-24
25-21
16-18
29-17
33-28
25-14
168.5Avg total
86.0Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)84.680.8165.3+3.862%
Season at home (10)84.277.1161.3+7.170%
Season away (11)84.984.1169.0+0.855%
Last 10 (10)86.082.5168.5+3.560%
Last 5 (5)88.881.8170.6+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)78.382.3160.7-4.033%
vs Similar (14)83.184.4167.5-1.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)85.177.2162.3+7.869%
This opponent (Trieste) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#11
L
86-96
86
96
-10
H22/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
53-80
53
80
-27
A26/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
89-69
89
69
+20
H29/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
82-76
82
76
+6
A05/01
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
72-81
72
81
-9
H12/01
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
85-91
85
91
-6
A19/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
67-85
67
85
-18
H26/01
Lega A
Sassari
#2
W
83-82
83
82
+1
H02/02
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
74-76
74
76
-2
A09/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
97-80
97
80
+17
H07/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
23-33
17-20
19-23
3-19
22-21
11-18
17-22
16-16
19-23
32-18
22-12
25-27
23-20
16-17
18-12
23-17
8-23
17-21
24-20
20-20
18-22
21-33
26-16
15-23
19-18
12-25
21-19
20-24
14-20
19-20
30-18
17-16
20-18
25-14
12-28
25-20
25-19
22-22
25-19
160.4Avg total
78.8Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)76.080.5156.4-4.532%
Season at home (11)78.080.8158.8-2.845%
Season away (11)73.980.1154.0-6.218%
Last 10 (10)78.881.6160.4-2.840%
Last 5 (5)81.282.8164.0-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)74.281.8156.0-7.523%
vs Similar (13)81.483.2164.6-1.838%
vs Weaker (4)88.880.0168.8+8.875%
This opponent (Brindisi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +2.5+2.5
BrindisiTrieste
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrindisiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A14/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A22/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H26/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H29/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A05/01
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A12/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H19/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A26/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H01/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A09/02
Lega A
80.4Avg total
39.7Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.239.180.4+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.236.777.8+4.562%-
Last 30 away (17)41.341.082.3+0.347%-
Last 10 (10)39.740.780.4-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)39.637.276.8+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.343.382.7-4.00%-
vs Similar (14)41.740.081.7+1.757%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)41.237.278.4+3.962%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#11
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H22/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A26/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H29/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A05/01
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H12/01
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A19/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H26/01
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H02/02
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A09/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H07/03
Lega A
80.1Avg total
38.2Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.641.481.0-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.042.485.4+0.640%-
Last 30 away (15)36.240.376.5-4.133%-
Last 10 (10)38.241.980.1-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)38.640.078.6-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)35.139.574.5-4.431%-
vs Similar (13)41.444.285.5-2.823%-
vs Weaker (4)48.538.587.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (Brindisi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brindisitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brindisi: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.020.9
51.0%
52.0%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.4
33.9%
35.1%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.714.3
76.5%
73.6%14.3
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.021.5
51.2%
52.0%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.9
31.9%
35.1%23.7
🏀 Free throws15.511.3
72.9%
73.6%11.3
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brindisi
WLWWWLWWLL
Trieste
WLWLLLWWLL
#5
League position
#14
+0.9
Net rating
-3.3
116.6
Offensive rating
108.8
115.8
Defensive rating
112.2
50.9%
Effective FG%
49.9%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
13.8%
Turnover %
16.5%
36.4%
Off. rebound %
33.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.23
33.9%
3-point %
31.9%
48.5%
Assist %
50.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence116.6 · 108.8Defence115.8 · 112.2Shooting50.9% · 49.9%3-point %33.9% · 31.9%Ball care13.8% · 16.5%Off. rebounds36.4% · 33.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Brindisi   ■ Trieste
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Brindisi wins
0
Trieste wins
DateGameScore
10/11/19Trieste v Brindisi72-80
28/04/19Brindisi v Trieste85-77
30/12/18Trieste v Brindisi71-92
Brindisilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/20APesaro103-77
01/02/20HOlimpia Milano74-77
26/01/20ABrescia86-82
19/01/20HVirtus Roma88-81 OT
12/01/20ACantu93-92 OT
05/01/20ACremona89-93
29/12/19HTreviso81-74
26/12/19HReggiana87-72
22/12/19AFortitudo Bologna72-78
14/12/19AVirtus Bologna87-99
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/20HPistoia97-80
09/02/20ABrescia74-76
02/02/20HSassari83-82
26/01/20HOlimpia Milano67-85
19/01/20AVarese85-91
12/01/20HVenezia72-81
05/01/20APesaro82-76
29/12/19HFortitudo Bologna89-69
26/12/19ATrento53-80
22/12/19HCantu86-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brindisi
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW62%
HomeLWWWL70%
AwayLLWWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %62%70%55%
Points / game84.684.284.9
Allowed / game80.877.184.1
Point differential+3.8+7.1+0.8
Avg total165.3161.3169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%30%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)33% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %10%10%9%
Trieste
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW32%
HomeWLLWW45%
AwayLLWLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %32%45%18%
Points / game76.078.073.9
Allowed / game80.580.880.1
Point differential-4.5-2.8-6.2
Avg total156.4158.8154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)67% (3)0% (4)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2018290%86.075.0+10.9
2 Sassari2116576%85.575.9+9.6
3 Brescia2114767%81.374.0+7.3
4 Olimpia Milano2114767%80.374.0+6.3
5 Brindisi2113862%84.680.8+3.8
6 Cremona2012860%81.380.8+0.5
7 Venezia21111052%78.075.3+2.7
8 Trento21111052%77.979.3-1.4
9 Fortitudo Bologna21111052%77.379.5-2.2
10 Varese1991047%82.680.1+2.5
11 Cantu2091145%76.779.0-2.4
12 Reggiana2191243%82.984.0-1.0
13 Treviso2181338%77.179.2-2.1
14 Trieste2271532%76.080.5-4.5
15 Virtus Roma2271532%78.585.5-7.0
16 Pistoia2271532%74.583.3-8.8
17 Pesaro201195%79.292.5-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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