PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Varese vs Trieste Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Jan 2020
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 91-85
20-20 22-18 33-21 16-26
Position#10
Record8-9
FormLWLWL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game79.9
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Trieste
Italy
Position#14
Record5-12
FormLLWWL
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game79.8
ItalyLega ARound 19
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Varese v Trieste
10 Oct 2026
VAR85
TRI84
21 Dec 2025
VAR84
TRI69
04 May 2025
VAR85
TRI80
18 Dec 2022
VAR104
TRI99
13 Apr 2022
VAR76
TRI92
25 Apr 2021
VAR73
TRI79
19 Jan 2020
VAR91
TRI85
28 Oct 2018
VAR78
TRI66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trieste winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Venezia
#7
W
93-91 OT
93
91
+2
no box
H17/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
74-81
74
81
-7
66avg 93
A23/11
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
99-69
99
69
+30
96avg 93
H01/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
67-74
67
74
-7
58avg 93
A08/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
103-87
103
87
+16
99avg 93
H15/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
72-93
72
93
-21
no box
A21/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
91-60
91
60
+31
94avg 93
H26/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
81-86
81
86
-5
69avg 93
H29/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
84-79
84
79
+5
84avg 93
A05/01
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
87-93
87
93
-6
81avg 93
A12/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-14
17-14
12-20
22-27
20-23
28-20
13-18
13-20
34-19
24-20
21-15
20-15
14-14
21-23
12-17
20-20
25-24
31-30
26-20
21-13
24-18
17-29
16-24
15-22
26-14
18-19
24-15
23-12
16-20
20-26
17-19
28-21
23-17
14-27
22-11
25-24
25-28
18-22
27-25
17-18
166.4Avg total
85.1Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)82.579.9162.4+2.647%
Season at home (8)88.075.6163.6+12.475%
Season away (9)77.783.7161.3-6.022%
Last 10 (10)85.181.3166.4+3.850%
Last 5 (5)83.082.2165.2+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.286.2159.5-13.00%
vs Similar (12)81.284.8166.0-3.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)82.671.6154.2+10.971%
This opponent (Trieste) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
85-89 OT
85
89
-4
no box
H17/11
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
78-88
78
88
-10
64avg 89
A24/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
69-61
69
61
+8
58avg 89
H01/12
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
72-82
72
82
-10
59avg 89
A08/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
86-87
86
87
-1
86avg 89
A15/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
86-96
86
96
-10
79avg 89
H22/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
53-80
53
80
-27
39avg 89
A26/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
89-69
89
69
+20
83avg 89
H29/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
82-76
82
76
+6
no box
A05/01
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
72-81
72
81
-9
63avg 89
H12/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
28-19
12-20
12-17
21-22
17-16
17-28
23-22
10-27
23-11
7-15
29-8
22-27
13-18
19-20
18-17
16-24
19-10
32-24
19-29
27-20
23-33
17-20
19-23
3-19
22-21
11-18
17-22
16-16
19-23
32-18
22-12
25-27
23-20
16-17
18-12
23-17
8-23
17-21
24-20
158.1Avg total
77.2Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)74.479.8154.2-5.429%
Season at home (8)76.480.2156.6-3.938%
Season away (9)72.779.3152.0-6.722%
Last 10 (10)77.280.9158.1-3.730%
Last 5 (5)76.480.4156.8-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)72.981.0153.9-8.122%
vs Similar (14)82.484.7167.1-2.336%
vs Weaker (7)88.076.1164.1+11.971%
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +1.9+1.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +1.9+1.9
VareseTrieste
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#7
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H17/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A23/11
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
58-39
58
39
+19
H01/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A08/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H15/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A21/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H26/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H29/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A05/01
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A12/01
Lega A
86.0Avg total
43.9Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.438.879.2+1.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.936.478.3+5.580%-
Last 30 away (15)39.041.280.2-2.233%-
Last 10 (10)43.942.186.0+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)40.244.084.2-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.043.277.2-9.20%-
vs Similar (12)40.240.880.9-0.658%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)42.535.978.4+6.671%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H17/11
Lega A
Cremona
#6
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A24/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H01/12
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A08/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A15/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H22/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A26/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H29/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A05/01
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H12/01
Lega A
78.7Avg total
37.8Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.641.582.1-0.940%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.543.087.5+1.543%-
Last 30 away (16)37.240.277.4-3.038%-
Last 10 (10)37.840.978.7-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)37.843.881.6-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)34.839.173.9-4.333%-
vs Similar (14)42.045.487.4-3.421%-
vs Weaker (7)45.336.982.1+8.486%-
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.815.7
54.5%
52.0%31.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.511.8
37.5%
35.1%35.4
🏀 Free throws19.115.2
79.6%
73.6%15.2
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.521.4
51.6%
52.0%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.2
30.3%
35.1%21.6
🏀 Free throws15.810.5
66.5%
73.6%10.5
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Jan 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LWLWLWLWLW
Trieste
LWWLLLLWLL
#10
League position
#14
+1.9
Net rating
-5.8
118.9
Offensive rating
105.1
117.1
Defensive rating
110.9
55.4%
Effective FG%
49.3%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
16.5%
Turnover %
17.4%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.24
37.5%
3-point %
30.3%
56.0%
Assist %
50.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence118.9 · 105.1Defence117.1 · 110.9Shooting55.4% · 49.3%3-point %37.5% · 30.3%Ball care16.5% · 17.4%Off. rebounds28.6% · 31.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Varese   ■ Trieste
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Varese wins
0
Trieste wins
DateGameScore
29/09/19Trieste v Varese62-92
10/02/19Trieste v Varese96-104
28/10/18Varese v Trieste78-66
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/20ASassari87-93
05/01/20ATreviso84-79
29/12/19HTrento81-86
26/12/19HPistoia91-60
21/12/19ACremona72-93
15/12/19HPesaro103-87
08/12/19ACantu67-74
01/12/19HVirtus Roma99-69
23/11/19AReggiana74-81
17/11/19HVenezia93-91 OT
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/20HVenezia72-81
05/01/20APesaro82-76
29/12/19HFortitudo Bologna89-69
26/12/19ATrento53-80
22/12/19HCantu86-96
15/12/19AReggiana86-87
08/12/19AVirtus Roma72-82
01/12/19HTreviso69-61
24/11/19ACremona78-88
17/11/19HVirtus Bologna85-89 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL47%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayLLLWL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %47%75%22%
Points / game82.588.077.7
Allowed / game79.975.683.7
Point differential+2.6+12.4-6.0
Avg total162.4163.6161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%62%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Trieste
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL29%
HomeLWLWL38%
AwayLLLLW22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %29%38%22%
Points / game74.476.472.7
Allowed / game79.880.279.3
Point differential-5.4-3.9-6.7
Avg total154.2156.6152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna1816289%85.074.4+10.6
2 Sassari1714382%83.973.6+10.4
3 Brescia1712571%83.274.1+9.2
4 Olimpia Milano1711665%80.974.2+6.7
5 Brindisi1710759%83.881.1+2.7
6 Cremona1710759%79.779.7+0.0
7 Venezia1810856%78.474.7+3.7
8 Fortitudo Bologna189950%76.979.1-2.2
9 Varese178947%82.579.9+2.6
10 Cantu178947%76.978.8-1.8
11 Reggiana1881044%82.483.8-1.4
12 Trento1881044%77.980.6-2.7
13 Virtus Roma1771041%76.183.5-7.4
14 Treviso1861233%76.880.2-3.4
15 Trieste1751229%74.479.8-5.4
16 Pistoia1851328%73.282.8-9.6
17 Pesaro171166%78.590.2-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2022331691
Trieste2018212685
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.