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Trieste vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Jan 2020
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 67-85
15-23 19-18 12-25 21-19
Position#14
Record5-13
FormLWWLL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game80.4
vs
Position#4
Record11-7
FormWLLWL
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game74.4
ItalyLega ARound 20
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Trieste v Olimpia Milano
14 Mar 2027
TRI v MIL
upcoming
23 Nov 2025
TRI86
MIL82
29 Sep 2024
TRI84
MIL78
05 Feb 2023
TRI59
MIL65
19 Dec 2021
TRI71
MIL68
11 Oct 2020
TRI65
MIL87
26 Jan 2020
TRI67
MIL85
13 Jan 2019
TRI73
MIL77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trieste winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#6
L
78-88
78
88
-10
A24/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
69-61
69
61
+8
H01/12
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
72-82
72
82
-10
A08/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
86-87
86
87
-1
A15/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
86-96
86
96
-10
H22/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
53-80
53
80
-27
A26/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
89-69
89
69
+20
H29/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
82-76
82
76
+6
A05/01
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
72-81
72
81
-9
H12/01
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
85-91
85
91
-6
A19/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
17-16
17-28
23-22
10-27
23-11
7-15
29-8
22-27
13-18
19-20
18-17
16-24
19-10
32-24
19-29
27-20
23-33
17-20
19-23
3-19
22-21
11-18
17-22
16-16
19-23
32-18
22-12
25-27
23-20
16-17
18-12
23-17
8-23
17-21
24-20
20-20
18-22
21-33
26-16
158.3Avg total
77.2Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)75.080.4155.4-5.428%
Season at home (8)76.480.2156.6-3.938%
Season away (10)73.980.5154.4-6.620%
Last 10 (10)77.281.1158.3-3.930%
Last 5 (5)76.279.4155.6-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)74.182.0156.1-7.920%
vs Similar (13)81.483.2164.6-1.838%
vs Weaker (7)88.076.1164.1+11.971%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
80-85
80
85
-5
A17/11
Lega A
Sassari
#2
W
90-78
90
78
+12
H24/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
89-78
89
78
+11
H01/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
71-65
71
65
+6
A08/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
71-70
71
70
+1
A15/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
81-69
81
69
+12
H22/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
70-83
70
83
-13
A29/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
83-89
83
89
-6
H05/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
91-67
91
67
+24
H12/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
72-78
72
78
-6
A19/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
15-23
20-16
29-24
23-21
19-14
17-27
31-16
24-23
20-15
31-24
14-16
17-16
14-14
21-16
19-19
20-19
21-22
18-13
12-16
28-21
15-17
19-9
19-22
20-24
20-22
16-17
14-20
19-22
17-26
26-13
21-28
19-22
22-19
20-15
30-11
15-9
19-20
17-27
21-22
156.0Avg total
79.8Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)80.474.4154.9+6.061%
Season at home (10)85.275.1160.3+10.170%
Season away (8)74.573.6148.1+0.950%
Last 10 (10)79.876.2156.0+3.660%
Last 5 (5)79.477.2156.6+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)85.096.0181.0-11.00%
vs Similar (10)81.880.1161.9+1.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)82.175.2157.4+6.971%
This opponent (Trieste) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +1.6+1.6
TriesteOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#6
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A24/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H01/12
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A08/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A15/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H22/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A26/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H29/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A05/01
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H12/01
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A19/01
Lega A
78.4Avg total
36.8Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.240.981.1-0.740%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.141.685.7+2.546%-
Last 30 away (17)37.240.377.5-3.135%-
Last 10 (10)36.841.678.4-4.820%-
Last 5 (5)35.441.677.0-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)35.139.474.5-4.330%-
vs Similar (13)41.444.285.5-2.823%-
vs Weaker (7)45.336.982.1+8.486%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A17/11
Lega A
Sassari
#2
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H24/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H01/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A08/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A15/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H22/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A29/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H05/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H12/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A19/01
Lega A
77.4Avg total
38.3Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.639.178.7+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.640.081.6+1.647%-
Last 30 away (13)37.038.075.0-1.046%-
Last 10 (10)38.339.177.4-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)38.840.479.2-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)45.046.791.7-1.733%-
vs Similar (10)40.538.679.1+1.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)38.138.176.2+0.047%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.920.9
51.1%
52.0%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.7
32.1%
35.1%23.1
🏀 Free throws16.211.1
68.5%
73.6%11.1
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.217.4
46.8%
52.0%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.9
35.6%
35.1%26.7
🏀 Free throws23.717.3
73.0%
73.6%17.3
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Jan 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trieste
LLWWLLLLWL
Olimpia Milano
LWLLWWWWWL
#14
League position
#4
-6.1
Net rating
+4.8
107.3
Offensive rating
112.1
113.4
Defensive rating
107.3
50.0%
Effective FG%
49.4%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
16.6%
Turnover %
17.6%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
37.2%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.38
32.1%
3-point %
35.6%
52.4%
Assist %
58.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.3 · 112.1Defence113.4 · 107.3Shooting50.0% · 49.4%3-point %32.1% · 35.6%Ball care16.6% · 17.6%Off. rebounds31.4% · 37.2%Free throws0.25 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Trieste   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Trieste wins
3
Olimpia Milano wins
DateGameScore
06/10/19Olimpia Milano v Trieste88-73
12/05/19Olimpia Milano v Trieste93-88
13/01/19Trieste v Olimpia Milano73-77
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/20AVarese85-91
12/01/20HVenezia72-81
05/01/20APesaro82-76
29/12/19HFortitudo Bologna89-69
26/12/19ATrento53-80
22/12/19HCantu86-96
15/12/19AReggiana86-87
08/12/19AVirtus Roma72-82
01/12/19HTreviso69-61
24/11/19ACremona78-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/20ABrescia72-78
12/01/20HTreviso91-67
05/01/20HCantu83-89
29/12/19AVirtus Bologna70-83
22/12/19HTrento81-69
15/12/19AVenezia71-70
08/12/19APesaro71-65
01/12/19HReggiana89-78
24/11/19HSassari90-78
17/11/19AFortitudo Bologna80-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trieste
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL28%
HomeLWLWL38%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %28%38%20%
Points / game75.076.473.9
Allowed / game80.480.280.5
Point differential-5.4-3.9-6.6
Avg total155.4156.6154.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL61%
HomeWWWLW70%
AwayLWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %61%70%50%
Points / game80.485.274.5
Allowed / game74.475.173.6
Point differential+6.0+10.1+0.9
Avg total154.9160.3148.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%70%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna1917289%84.974.3+10.6
2 Sassari1915479%85.374.9+10.4
3 Brescia1913668%82.974.6+8.3
4 Brindisi1912763%84.281.2+3.0
5 Olimpia Milano1811761%80.474.4+6.0
6 Cremona1811761%81.080.4+0.6
7 Venezia1910953%78.075.2+2.8
8 Varese189950%83.080.2+2.8
9 Fortitudo Bologna189950%76.979.1-2.2
10 Reggiana1991047%82.683.3-0.7
11 Trento1991047%78.680.9-2.4
12 Cantu1881044%76.779.1-2.4
13 Virtus Roma1971237%77.284.8-7.6
14 Treviso1861233%76.880.2-3.4
15 Trieste1851328%75.080.4-5.4
16 Pistoia1851328%73.282.8-9.6
17 Pesaro181176%78.791.1-12.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trieste1519122167
Olimpia Milano2318251985
← all games of the day
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