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Pesaro vs Trieste Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Jan 2020
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 76-82
27-25 20-23 17-16 12-18
Position#17
Record0-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game91.6
vs
Trieste 🏆
Italy
Position#14
Record4-11
FormLLLLW
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game79.9
ItalyLega ARound 17
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Pesaro v Trieste
23 Apr 2023
PES94
TRI83
06 Oct 2021
PES74
TRI61
27 Dec 2020
PES84
TRI74
05 Jan 2020
PES76
TRI82
12 Nov 2018
PES103
TRI77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trieste winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#13
L
75-85
75
85
-10
A03/11
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
95-101 OT
95
101
-6
H09/11
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
83-92
83
92
-9
A17/11
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
74-101
74
101
-27
A24/11
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
63-74
63
74
-11
H01/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
65-71
65
71
-6
H08/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
87-103
87
103
-16
A15/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
79-91
79
91
-12
A22/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
72-87
72
87
-15
H26/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
92-98
92
98
-6
A29/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-16
12-24
18-24
18-21
8-18
23-24
30-15
21-25
20-24
20-20
22-23
21-25
12-23
26-29
16-31
20-18
13-18
14-22
18-19
18-15
16-17
14-14
16-21
19-19
24-25
30-31
20-26
13-21
26-27
20-14
20-27
13-23
17-21
18-27
13-17
24-22
28-28
21-26
18-20
25-24
168.8Avg total
78.5Scored
90.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)78.691.6170.2-13.00%
Season at home (7)73.085.3158.3-12.30%
Season away (8)83.597.1180.6-13.60%
Last 10 (10)78.590.3168.8-11.80%
Last 5 (5)79.090.0169.0-11.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)77.491.7169.1-14.23%
vs Similar (1)81.077.0158.0+4.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trieste) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#16
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A03/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H10/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
85-89 OT
85
89
-4
H17/11
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
78-88
78
88
-10
A24/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
69-61
69
61
+8
H01/12
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
72-82
72
82
-10
A08/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
86-87
86
87
-1
A15/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
86-96
86
96
-10
H22/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
53-80
53
80
-27
A26/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
89-69
89
69
+20
H29/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
17-16
17-19
19-27
22-21
14-16
20-23
16-20
20-16
28-19
12-20
12-17
21-22
17-16
17-28
23-22
10-27
23-11
7-15
29-8
22-27
13-18
19-20
18-17
16-24
19-10
32-24
19-29
27-20
23-33
17-20
19-23
3-19
22-21
11-18
17-22
16-16
19-23
32-18
22-12
157.0Avg total
76.2Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)74.179.9154.0-5.927%
Season at home (7)77.080.1157.1-3.143%
Season away (8)71.579.8151.2-8.212%
Last 10 (10)76.280.8157.0-4.620%
Last 5 (5)77.282.8160.0-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)73.081.0154.0-8.025%
vs Similar (14)82.484.7167.1-2.336%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)91.880.5172.2+11.275%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -0.3-0.3
PesaroTrieste
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#13
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A03/11
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H09/11
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A17/11
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A24/11
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H01/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H08/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A15/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A22/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H26/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A29/12
Lega A
83.7Avg total
38.9Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.246.384.5-8.117%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.144.381.4-7.221%-
Last 30 away (16)39.248.187.3-8.912%-
Last 10 (10)38.944.883.7-5.910%-
Last 5 (5)42.846.088.8-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)37.946.384.3-8.417%-
vs Similar (1)46.046.092.0+0.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trieste) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#16
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A03/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H10/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H17/11
Lega A
Cremona
#6
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A24/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H01/12
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A08/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A15/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H22/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A26/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H29/12
Lega A
76.0Avg total
37.1Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.541.583.0+0.043%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.243.789.9+2.550%-
Last 30 away (16)37.439.677.0-2.138%-
Last 10 (10)37.138.976.0-1.830%-
Last 5 (5)36.042.278.2-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)35.239.074.2-3.838%-
vs Similar (14)42.045.487.4-3.421%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)47.037.284.2+9.888%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.617.3
47.3%
52.0%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.28.3
28.4%
35.1%24.9
🏀 Free throws20.714.8
71.5%
73.6%14.8
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 69.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.3
52.7%
52.0%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.66.7
31.0%
35.1%20.1
🏀 Free throws13.38.9
66.9%
73.6%8.9
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LLLLLLLLLL
Trieste
WLLLLWLLLL
#17
League position
#14
-19.4
Net rating
-6.5
102.1
Offensive rating
107.1
121.4
Defensive rating
113.6
45.2%
Effective FG%
50.5%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
14.7%
Turnover %
16.6%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.22
28.4%
3-point %
31.0%
49.2%
Assist %
50.0%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence102.1 · 107.1Defence121.4 · 113.6Shooting45.2% · 50.5%3-point %28.4% · 31.0%Ball care14.7% · 16.6%Off. rebounds29.6% · 31.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)0% · 20%
■ Pesaro   ■ Trieste
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Pesaro wins
1
Trieste wins
DateGameScore
09/03/19Trieste v Pesaro105-68
12/11/18Pesaro v Trieste103-77
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/19AVenezia92-98
26/12/19HCantu72-87
22/12/19APistoia79-91
15/12/19AVarese87-103
08/12/19HOlimpia Milano65-71
01/12/19HCremona63-74
24/11/19ABrescia74-101
17/11/19AVirtus Roma83-92
09/11/19HTrento95-101 OT
03/11/19ATreviso75-85
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/19HFortitudo Bologna89-69
26/12/19ATrento53-80
22/12/19HCantu86-96
15/12/19AReggiana86-87
08/12/19AVirtus Roma72-82
01/12/19HTreviso69-61
24/11/19ACremona78-88
17/11/19HVirtus Bologna85-89 OT
10/11/19HBrindisi72-80
03/11/19APistoia72-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game78.673.083.5
Allowed / game91.685.397.1
Point differential-13.0-12.3-13.6
Avg total170.2158.3180.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %7%14%0%
Trieste
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW27%
HomeLLWLW43%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %27%43%12%
Points / game74.177.071.5
Allowed / game79.980.179.8
Point differential-5.9-3.1-8.2
Avg total154.0157.1151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna1614288%83.975.8+8.2
2 Sassari1613381%83.472.8+10.6
3 Brescia1611569%83.073.6+9.4
4 Olimpia Milano1610662%80.374.7+5.6
5 Brindisi169756%83.280.4+2.8
6 Cremona169756%78.879.4-0.6
7 Fortitudo Bologna158753%76.779.7-2.9
8 Venezia168850%78.175.2+2.9
9 Cantu168850%76.077.9-1.9
10 Varese157847%82.179.1+3.1
11 Reggiana157847%82.183.7-1.6
12 Trento167944%78.079.8-1.8
13 Virtus Roma167944%76.682.7-6.1
14 Treviso156940%76.978.3-1.5
15 Pistoia1651131%74.182.9-8.8
16 Trieste1541127%74.179.9-5.9
17 Pesaro150150%78.691.6-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro2720171276
Trieste2523161882
← all games of the day
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