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Brindisi vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Feb 2017
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 80-58
17-18 21-16 21-9 21-15
Position#9
Record8-10
FormLLLWL
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game83.8
vs
Position#10
Record5-13
FormWLLWL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game81.8
ItalyLega ARound 19
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Brindisi v Varese
10 Dec 2023
BRI86
VAR81
08 Jan 2023
BRI90
VAR104
03 Apr 2022
BRI72
VAR75
10 May 2021
BRI108
VAR84
01 Mar 2020
BRI v VAR
upcoming
24 Mar 2019
BRI81
VAR77
02 Jan 2018
BRI95
VAR90
12 Feb 2017
BRI80
VAR58
29 Nov 2015
BRI80
VAR74
06 Dec 2014
BRI69
VAR71
02 Mar 2014
BRI96
VAR70
30 Sep 2012
BRI110
VAR118
27 Feb 2011
BRI96
VAR79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brindisi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrindisiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrindisi
Date
Competition
Avellino
#3
L
73-76
73
76
-3
96avg 105
A27/11
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
76-61
76
61
+15
106avg 105
H04/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
102-96 OT
102
96
+6
no box
A11/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
86-99
86
99
-13
105avg 105
A18/12
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
100-72
100
72
+28
no box
H27/12
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
82-86
82
86
-4
111avg 105
A02/01
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
106-108 OT
106
108
-2
no box
H07/01
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
48-84
48
84
-36
65avg 105
A22/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
86-85
86
85
+1
110avg 105
H29/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
84-98
84
98
-14
108avg 105
A06/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
15-20
19-16
24-20
27-13
14-15
23-14
12-19
19-21
14-20
26-22
28-24
21-22
27-29
22-20
16-28
29-16
27-26
15-14
29-16
11-19
26-18
12-26
33-23
19-15
28-30
24-18
19-27
12-25
13-15
9-24
14-20
23-20
14-25
26-19
23-21
19-23
20-25
19-20
26-30
170.8Avg total
84.3Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)83.183.8166.9-0.744%
Season at home (9)86.180.1166.2+6.067%
Season away (9)80.187.6167.7-7.422%
Last 10 (10)84.386.5170.8-2.240%
Last 5 (5)81.292.2173.4-11.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)73.069.5142.5+3.550%
vs Similar ◀ (23)77.180.8158.0-3.735%
vs Weaker (5)92.484.0176.4+8.480%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Venezia
#1
L
60-73
60
73
-13
85avg 103
H27/12
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
71-85
71
85
-14
no box
A02/01
Lega A
Ventspils
#23
L
82-88
82
88
-6
no box
H04/01
Champions League
Torino
#12
L
79-86
79
86
-7
111avg 103
H07/01
Lega A
HydroTruck Radom
#44
W
74-61
74
61
+13
no box
A10/01
Champions League
Usak Sportif
#33
W
85-77
85
77
+8
no box
H18/01
Champions League
Sassari
#5
L
76-83
76
83
-7
95avg 103
H22/01
Lega A
Oldenburg
#12
L
53-78
53
78
-25
no box
A24/01
Champions League
Caserta
#13
W
86-80
86
80
+6
110avg 103
A29/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
82-98
82
98
-16
109avg 103
H05/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-24
11-14
14-19
23-16
20-23
20-17
20-26
11-19
19-18
18-28
22-26
23-16
29-21
20-21
14-15
16-29
24-27
17-17
22-10
11-7
24-17
21-20
24-19
16-21
24-25
18-17
19-20
15-21
12-21
10-18
25-25
6-14
28-21
19-22
19-19
20-18
21-25
19-29
24-19
18-25
155.7Avg total
74.8Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)76.681.8158.4-5.228%
Season at home (10)78.981.1160.0-2.230%
Season away (8)73.882.8156.5-9.025%
Last 10 (10)74.880.9155.7-6.130%
Last 5 (5)76.483.2159.6-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)71.182.7153.8-11.717%
vs Similar ◀ (12)76.379.6155.9-3.242%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brindisi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -2.7-2.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -2.7-2.7
BrindisiVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrindisiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino
#3
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A27/11
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H04/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A11/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A18/12
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
56-42
56
42
+14
H27/12
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A02/01
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H07/01
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A22/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H29/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A06/02
Lega A
81.0Avg total
39.3Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.639.278.8+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.338.379.5+3.067%-
Last 30 away (15)37.940.178.0-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)39.341.781.0-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)37.043.080.0-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.035.575.5+4.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (23)38.339.077.3-0.648%-
vs Weaker (5)45.041.886.8+3.260%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#1
L
23-38
23
38
-15
H27/12
Lega A
Cremona
#16
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A02/01
Lega A
Ventspils
#23
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H04/01
Champions League
Torino
#12
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H07/01
Lega A
HydroTruck Radom
#44
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A10/01
Champions League
Usak Sportif
#33
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H18/01
Champions League
Sassari
#5
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H22/01
Lega A
Oldenburg
#12
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A24/01
Champions League
Caserta
#13
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A29/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
40-54
40
54
-14
H05/02
Lega A
81.1Avg total
38.6Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.342.378.6-6.120%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.841.779.5-3.925%-
Last 30 away (14)34.543.177.6-8.614%-
Last 10 (10)38.642.581.1-3.930%-
Last 5 (5)39.243.082.2-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)34.643.678.2-9.06%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.840.479.2-1.742%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brindisi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brindisitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brindisi: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.018.1
48.9%
51.1%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.59.5
38.8%
35.7%28.5
🏀 Free throws19.715.1
76.6%
74.0%15.1
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 74.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.219.2
46.6%
51.1%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.87.5
32.9%
35.7%22.5
🏀 Free throws17.913.9
77.7%
74.0%13.9
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Feb 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brindisi
LWLLLWLWWL
Varese
LWLLWWLLLL
#9
League position
#10
-3.3
Net rating
-9.6
102.3
Offensive rating
100.0
105.6
Defensive rating
109.6
52.6%
Effective FG%
47.6%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
20.7%
Turnover %
19.9%
23.4%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.28
38.8%
3-point %
32.9%
57.2%
Assist %
43.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence102.3 · 100.0Defence105.6 · 109.6Shooting52.6% · 47.6%3-point %38.8% · 32.9%Ball care20.7% · 19.9%Off. rebounds23.4% · 31.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Brindisi   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Brindisi wins
5
Varese wins
DateGameScore
23/10/16Varese v Brindisi91-81 OT
20/03/16Varese v Brindisi80-69
29/11/15Brindisi v Varese80-74
28/03/15Varese v Brindisi82-93
06/12/14Brindisi v Varese69-71
02/03/14Brindisi v Varese96-70
17/11/13Varese v Brindisi71-85
20/01/13Varese v Brindisi83-71
30/09/12Brindisi v Varese110-118 OT
27/02/11Brindisi v Varese96-79
Brindisilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/17AReggiana84-98
29/01/17HPistoia86-85
22/01/17ATrento48-84
07/01/17HVenezia106-108 OT
02/01/17ACapo d'Orlando82-86
27/12/16HCaserta100-72
18/12/16AOlimpia Milano86-99
11/12/16APesaro102-96 OT
04/12/16HSassari76-61
27/11/16AAvellino73-76
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/17HOlimpia Milano82-98
29/01/17ACaserta86-80
24/01/17AOldenburg53-78
22/01/17HSassari76-83
18/01/17HUsak Sportif85-77
10/01/17AHydroTruck Radom74-61
07/01/17HTorino79-86
04/01/17HVentspils82-88
02/01/17ACremona71-85
27/12/16HVenezia60-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brindisi
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL44%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayWLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %44%67%22%
Points / game83.186.180.1
Allowed / game83.880.187.6
Point differential-0.7+6.0-7.4
Avg total166.9166.2167.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%22%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %17%11%22%
Varese
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL28%
HomeWLLLL30%
AwayWLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %28%30%25%
Points / game76.678.973.8
Allowed / game81.881.182.8
Point differential-5.2-2.2-9.0
Avg total158.4160.0156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%30%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %11%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1815383%88.479.5+8.9
2 Avellino1812667%79.374.4+4.9
3 Venezia1812667%81.979.6+2.4
4 Sassari1911858%77.473.0+4.4
5 Capo d'Orlando1810856%79.178.6+0.4
6 Reggiana1810856%81.781.6+0.1
7 Trento189950%75.272.4+2.8
8 Brescia189950%80.478.9+1.5
9 Pistoia189950%75.376.8-1.5
10 Torino189950%81.883.6-1.8
11 Caserta189950%81.984.7-2.8
12 Brindisi1881044%83.183.8-0.7
13 Cantu1971237%76.881.6-4.8
14 Pesaro1861233%74.278.2-4.0
15 Varese1851328%76.681.8-5.2
16 Cremona1841422%74.679.1-4.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brindisi1721212180
Varese181691558
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