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Brindisi vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 10 May 2021
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 108-84
30-16 31-29 20-23 27-16
Position#3
Record20-8
FormWWLLL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game78.4
vs
Position#12
Record11-17
FormWLLWL
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game86.2
ItalyLega ARound 30
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Brindisi v Varese
10 Dec 2023
BRI86
VAR81
08 Jan 2023
BRI90
VAR104
03 Apr 2022
BRI72
VAR75
10 May 2021
BRI108
VAR84
01 Mar 2020
BRI v VAR
upcoming
24 Mar 2019
BRI81
VAR77
02 Jan 2018
BRI95
VAR90
12 Feb 2017
BRI80
VAR58
29 Nov 2015
BRI80
VAR74
06 Dec 2014
BRI69
VAR71
02 Mar 2014
BRI96
VAR70
30 Sep 2012
BRI110
VAR118
27 Feb 2011
BRI96
VAR79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brindisi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrindisiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrindisi
Date
Competition
Tofas
#18
W
91-72
91
72
+19
no box
A24/03
Champions League
Brescia
#11
W
74-68
74
68
+6
63avg 79
A28/03
Lega A
Hapoel Holon
#9
L
79-81 OT
79
81
-2
no box
A31/03
Champions League
Cantu
#15
W
93-71
93
71
+22
96avg 79
A03/04
Lega A
Karsiyaka
#10
L
88-107
88
107
-19
80avg 79
A06/04
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
80-71
80
71
+9
79avg 79
H11/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
86-62
86
62
+24
83avg 79
A14/04
Lega A
Cremona
#9
L
67-78
67
78
-11
57avg 79
H18/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
90-97
90
97
-7
76avg 79
H05/05
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
73-83
73
83
-10
no box
A07/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-21
24-15
21-17
19-19
17-17
25-14
18-21
14-16
16-13
14-12
19-27
23-20
21-22
27-15
28-19
17-15
24-28
19-25
28-30
17-24
22-17
19-18
18-15
21-21
25-13
18-19
21-13
22-17
17-19
10-28
15-13
25-18
28-22
16-22
23-21
23-32
18-15
14-20
24-25
17-23
161.1Avg total
82.1Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)85.078.4163.4+6.671%
Season at home (14)83.678.2161.8+5.471%
Season away (14)86.478.6164.9+7.871%
Last 10 (10)82.179.0161.1+3.150%
Last 5 (5)79.278.2157.4+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)86.090.0176.0-4.00%
vs Similar (10)85.283.6168.8+1.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)83.278.3161.5+4.861%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
L
67-79
67
79
-12
58avg 72
H14/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
76-85
76
85
-9
70avg 72
A27/02
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
89-74
89
74
+15
84avg 72
H06/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
81-68
81
68
+13
80avg 72
H14/03
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
88-70
88
70
+18
no box
H28/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
83-81
83
81
+2
81avg 72
A05/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
L
77-95
77
95
-18
70avg 72
A11/04
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
75-77
75
77
-2
68avg 72
H14/04
Lega A
Treviso
#7
W
103-94
103
94
+9
101avg 72
A18/04
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
73-79
73
79
-6
60avg 72
H25/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
12-20
8-22
21-18
21-19
8-20
19-29
28-17
18-22
23-17
21-17
27-18
26-18
14-10
21-21
20-19
21-13
20-23
21-14
26-20
24-18
21-23
24-22
14-18
19-23
19-23
17-21
22-28
18-16
21-19
17-27
19-15
25-28
21-24
33-25
24-17
20-15
17-25
16-13
20-26
161.4Avg total
81.2Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)81.686.2167.8-4.639%
Season at home (15)81.982.9164.8-0.947%
Season away (13)81.290.0171.2-8.831%
Last 10 (10)81.280.2161.4+1.050%
Last 5 (5)82.285.2167.4-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)81.387.5168.8-6.238%
vs Similar (16)81.886.1167.9-4.338%
vs Weaker (1)98.088.0186.0+10.0100%
This opponent (Brindisi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +2.5+2.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +2.5+2.5
BrindisiVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrindisiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tofas
#18
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A24/03
Champions League
Brescia
#11
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A28/03
Lega A
Hapoel Holon
#9
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A31/03
Champions League
Cantu
#15
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A03/04
Lega A
Karsiyaka
#10
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A06/04
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H11/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A14/04
Lega A
Cremona
#9
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H18/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H05/05
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A07/05
Lega A
77.6Avg total
40.1Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.839.079.8+1.857%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.640.378.9-1.750%-
Last 30 away (14)43.337.680.9+5.764%-
Last 10 (10)40.137.577.6+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)37.438.676.0-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)35.041.076.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (10)41.139.780.8+1.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)40.838.679.4+2.261%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H14/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A27/02
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H06/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H14/03
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H28/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A05/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A11/04
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H14/04
Lega A
Treviso
#7
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A18/04
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H25/04
Lega A
78.9Avg total
39.4Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.943.383.2-3.333%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.340.881.1-0.544%-
Last 30 away (14)39.546.185.6-6.621%-
Last 10 (10)39.439.578.9-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)41.042.883.8-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)39.446.886.2-7.531%-
vs Similar (16)39.941.080.9-1.131%-
vs Weaker (1)48.033.081.0+15.0100%-
This opponent (Brindisi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brindisitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brindisi: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.519.3
55.9%
51.2%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.78.5
30.7%
35.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws22.016.6
75.5%
75.8%16.6
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.417.3
55.1%
51.2%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.611.0
37.2%
35.9%33.0
🏀 Free throws18.013.0
72.2%
75.8%13.0
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 May 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brindisi
LLLWWLWLWW
Varese
LWLLWWWWLL
#3
League position
#12
+4.2
Net rating
+1.7
108.2
Offensive rating
111.4
104.0
Defensive rating
109.7
51.5%
Effective FG%
55.4%
47.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
16.6%
Turnover %
18.1%
26.8%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.30
30.7%
3-point %
37.2%
59.7%
Assist %
55.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.2 · 111.4Defence104.0 · 109.7Shooting51.5% · 55.4%3-point %30.7% · 37.2%Ball care16.6% · 18.1%Off. rebounds26.8% · 27.3%Free throws0.35 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Brindisi   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Brindisi wins
6
Varese wins
DateGameScore
04/02/21Varese v Brindisi76-74
27/10/19Varese v Brindisi102-78
24/03/19Brindisi v Varese81-77
25/11/18Varese v Brindisi85-67
29/04/18Varese v Brindisi69-65
02/01/18Brindisi v Varese95-90 OT
12/02/17Brindisi v Varese80-58
23/10/16Varese v Brindisi91-81 OT
20/03/16Varese v Brindisi80-69
29/11/15Brindisi v Varese80-74
Brindisilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/05/21ATrento73-83
05/05/21HSassari90-97
18/04/21HCremona67-78
14/04/21APesaro86-62
11/04/21HOlimpia Milano80-71
06/04/21AKarsiyaka88-107
03/04/21ACantu93-71
31/03/21AHapoel Holon79-81 OT
28/03/21ABrescia74-68
24/03/21ATofas91-72
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/21HTrieste73-79
18/04/21ATreviso103-94
14/04/21HVenezia75-77
11/04/21AReggiana77-95
05/04/21AOlimpia Milano83-81
28/03/21HTrento88-70
14/03/21HPesaro81-68
06/03/21HSassari89-74
27/02/21AVirtus Bologna76-85
14/02/21HFortitudo Bologna67-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brindisi
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL71%
HomeWWWLL71%
AwayWWWWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %71%71%71%
Points / game85.083.686.4
Allowed / game78.478.278.6
Point differential+6.6+5.4+7.8
Avg total163.4161.8164.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%29%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Varese
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL39%
HomeWWWLL47%
AwayLLWLW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %39%47%31%
Points / game81.681.981.2
Allowed / game86.282.990.0
Point differential-4.6-0.9-8.8
Avg total167.8164.8171.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)60% (5)100% (3)
Overtime %7%13%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2822679%85.975.1+10.7
2 Brindisi2820871%85.078.4+6.6
3 Virtus Bologna2719870%85.776.9+8.8
4 Venezia2819968%81.276.7+4.5
5 Sassari2819968%89.985.8+4.1
6 Treviso28141450%84.088.1-4.1
7 Trieste27131448%80.280.3-0.1
8 Trento27121544%77.879.4-1.7
9 Cremona27111641%85.386.0-0.6
10 Pesaro28111739%81.183.8-2.7
11 Varese28111739%81.686.2-4.6
12 Reggiana27101737%76.281.1-4.9
13 Brescia28101836%81.384.8-3.5
14 Fortitudo Bologna28101836%77.681.6-4.0
15 Cantu2891932%77.682.0-4.4
16 Virtus Roma92722%74.987.7-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brindisi30312027108
Varese1629231684
← all games of the day
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