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Varese vs Sassari Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Jan 2017
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 76-83
24-25 18-17 19-20 15-21
Position#10
Record4-11
FormLLLWW
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game80.8
vs
Sassari 🏆
Italy
Position#5
Record8-7
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game74.5
ItalyLega ARound 16
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Varese v Sassari
12 Apr 2026
VAR91
SAS90
19 Apr 2025
VAR89
SAS84
05 Nov 2023
VAR90
SAS79
02 Oct 2022
VAR87
SAS81
08 May 2022
VAR96
SAS110
08 Sep 2021
VAR82
SAS92
06 Mar 2021
VAR89
SAS74
26 Sep 2019
VAR52
SAS74
30 Jan 2019
VAR69
SAS79
27 Jan 2019
VAR84
SAS73
19 Nov 2017
VAR61
SAS82
22 Jan 2017
VAR76
SAS83
26 Oct 2015
VAR70
SAS86
26 Dec 2014
VAR113
SAS117
23 Feb 2014
VAR91
SAS112
18 Nov 2012
VAR85
SAS84
01 Apr 2012
VAR85
SAS79
06 Jan 2011
VAR84
SAS91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sassari winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#6
W
81-71
81
71
+10
H11/12
Lega A
Neptunas
#6
L
67-86
67
86
-19
H14/12
Champions League
Trento
#4
L
68-84
68
84
-16
A18/12
Lega A
PAOK
#22
L
69-78
69
78
-9
A21/12
Champions League
Venezia
#1
L
60-73
60
73
-13
H27/12
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
71-85
71
85
-14
A02/01
Lega A
Ventspils
#23
L
82-88
82
88
-6
H04/01
Champions League
Torino
#12
L
79-86
79
86
-7
H07/01
Lega A
HydroTruck Radom
#44
W
74-61
74
61
+13
A10/01
Champions League
Usak Sportif
#33
W
85-77
85
77
+8
H18/01
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
17-12
16-16
27-22
18-17
18-28
9-18
22-23
13-24
21-22
21-17
13-21
20-20
14-20
17-13
18-25
12-24
11-14
14-19
23-16
20-23
20-17
20-26
11-19
19-18
18-28
22-26
23-16
29-21
20-21
14-15
16-29
24-27
17-17
22-10
11-7
24-17
21-20
24-19
16-21
152.5Avg total
73.6Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)75.780.8156.5-5.127%
Season at home (8)78.978.8157.6+0.138%
Season away (7)72.083.1155.1-11.114%
Last 10 (10)73.678.9152.5-5.330%
Last 5 (5)78.279.4157.6-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)71.480.7152.1-9.322%
vs Similar (12)76.979.1156.0-2.242%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#4
W
69-66
69
66
+3
H10/12
Lega A
Szolnoki Olaj
#47
W
97-88
97
88
+9
H13/12
Champions League
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
65-72
65
72
-7
A17/12
Lega A
Spirou Charleroi
#36
L
57-63
57
63
-6
A20/12
Champions League
Torino
#12
W
96-64
96
64
+32
H27/12
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
84-71
84
71
+13
A01/01
Lega A
AEK Athens
#7
W
80-78
80
78
+2
H04/01
Champions League
Caserta
#13
W
95-77
95
77
+18
H08/01
Lega A
Besiktas
#3
L
70-100
70
100
-30
A11/01
Champions League
Ludwigsburg
#13
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A17/01
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-27
15-14
22-10
18-15
27-27
24-22
25-15
21-24
17-13
24-16
13-19
11-24
18-15
10-15
10-21
19-12
29-18
13-13
21-14
33-19
21-17
20-17
24-16
19-21
26-24
25-18
13-18
16-18
20-17
23-17
31-26
21-17
17-16
13-28
17-29
23-27
19-16
13-17
25-9
21-33
154.5Avg total
79.1Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)78.574.5153.0+3.953%
Season at home (8)84.071.1155.1+12.975%
Season away (7)72.178.4150.6-6.329%
Last 10 (10)79.175.4154.5+3.770%
Last 5 (5)81.480.2161.6+1.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.281.0154.2-7.833%
vs Similar (12)75.479.2154.7-3.833%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)82.873.8156.5+9.067%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -0.8-0.8
VareseSassari
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#6
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H11/12
Lega A
Neptunas
#6
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H14/12
Champions League
Trento
#4
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A18/12
Lega A
PAOK
#22
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A21/12
Champions League
Venezia
#1
L
23-38
23
38
-15
H27/12
Lega A
Cremona
#16
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A02/01
Lega A
Ventspils
#23
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H04/01
Champions League
Torino
#12
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H07/01
Lega A
HydroTruck Radom
#44
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A10/01
Champions League
Usak Sportif
#33
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H18/01
Champions League
78.8Avg total
37.7Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.341.577.8-5.220%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.840.378.1-2.531%-
Last 30 away (14)34.542.977.4-8.47%-
Last 10 (10)37.741.178.8-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)42.441.884.2+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)34.842.777.5-7.86%-
vs Similar (12)38.439.878.2-1.342%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#4
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H10/12
Lega A
Szolnoki Olaj
#47
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H13/12
Champions League
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A17/12
Lega A
Spirou Charleroi
#36
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A20/12
Champions League
Torino
#12
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H27/12
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A01/01
Lega A
AEK Athens
#7
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H04/01
Champions League
Caserta
#13
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H08/01
Lega A
Besiktas
#3
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A11/01
Champions League
Ludwigsburg
#13
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A17/01
Champions League
75.5Avg total
38.8Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.537.876.3+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.137.477.5+2.767%-
Last 30 away (15)36.838.275.0-1.433%-
Last 10 (10)38.836.775.5+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)39.437.476.8+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.339.574.8-4.233%-
vs Similar (12)37.238.876.1-1.642%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.235.977.2+5.367%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 72.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.018.1
46.4%
51.1%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.4
31.8%
35.7%22.2
🏀 Free throws17.913.7
76.5%
74.0%13.7
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.115.0
48.2%
51.1%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.711.5
40.1%
35.7%34.5
🏀 Free throws14.511.3
77.9%
74.0%11.3
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Jan 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
WWLLLLLLLW
Sassari
WLWWWWLLWW
#10
League position
#5
-12.5
Net rating
+4.2
95.9
Offensive rating
106.6
108.4
Defensive rating
102.4
46.9%
Effective FG%
53.9%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
21.3%
Turnover %
21.1%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.24
31.8%
3-point %
40.1%
48.6%
Assist %
62.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence95.9 · 106.6Defence108.4 · 102.4Shooting46.9% · 53.9%3-point %31.8% · 40.1%Ball care21.3% · 21.1%Off. rebounds29.8% · 30.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Varese   ■ Sassari
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Varese wins
7
Sassari wins
DateGameScore
03/10/16Sassari v Varese78-72
07/02/16Sassari v Varese91-69
26/10/15Varese v Sassari70-86
19/04/15Sassari v Varese71-79
26/12/14Varese v Sassari113-117 OT
23/02/14Varese v Sassari91-112
10/11/13Sassari v Varese105-74
17/03/13Sassari v Varese76-75
18/11/12Varese v Sassari85-84
01/04/12Varese v Sassari85-79
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/17HUsak Sportif85-77
10/01/17AHydroTruck Radom74-61
07/01/17HTorino79-86
04/01/17HVentspils82-88
02/01/17ACremona71-85
27/12/16HVenezia60-73
21/12/16APAOK69-78
18/12/16ATrento68-84
14/12/16HNeptunas67-86
11/12/16HReggiana81-71
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/17ALudwigsburg78-75
11/01/17ABesiktas70-100
08/01/17HCaserta95-77
04/01/17HAEK Athens80-78
01/01/17AVenezia84-71
27/12/16HTorino96-64
20/12/16ASpirou Charleroi57-63
17/12/16ACapo d'Orlando65-72
13/12/16HSzolnoki Olaj97-88
10/12/16HTrento69-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL27%
HomeLLWLL38%
AwayLWLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %27%38%14%
Points / game75.778.972.0
Allowed / game80.878.883.1
Point differential-5.1+0.1-11.1
Avg total156.5157.6155.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %13%25%0%
Sassari
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW53%
HomeLLWWW75%
AwayWLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %53%75%29%
Points / game78.584.072.1
Allowed / game74.571.178.4
Point differential+3.9+12.9-6.3
Avg total153.0155.1150.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1513287%89.079.7+9.3
2 Avellino1511473%80.774.7+5.9
3 Venezia1511473%82.980.3+2.5
4 Reggiana159660%81.081.1-0.1
5 Sassari158753%78.574.5+3.9
6 Capo d'Orlando158753%77.876.8+1.0
7 Brescia157847%81.981.6+0.3
8 Torino157847%82.184.6-2.5
9 Pistoia157847%75.978.5-2.6
10 Caserta157847%82.085.3-3.3
11 Trento167944%75.674.2+1.4
12 Brindisi167944%82.982.9+0.0
13 Cantu156940%77.982.3-4.4
14 Pesaro1551033%74.977.9-3.0
15 Cremona1541127%76.780.1-3.5
16 Varese1541127%75.780.8-5.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2418191576
Sassari2517202183
← all games of the day
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