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Varese vs Usak Sportif Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Jan 2017
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 85-77
24-17 21-20 24-19 16-21
Position#38
Record4-10
FormLLLLW
Points / game70.6
Allowed / game79.4
Varese 🏆
vs
Position#33
Record6-8
FormLLWLL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game78.9
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 13
European cup2016
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Usak Sportif winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#11
L
70-86
70
86
-16
A06/12
Champions League
Reggiana
#6
W
81-71
81
71
+10
H11/12
Lega A
Neptunas
#6
L
67-86
67
86
-19
H14/12
Champions League
Trento
#4
L
68-84
68
84
-16
A18/12
Lega A
PAOK
#22
L
69-78
69
78
-9
A21/12
Champions League
Venezia
#1
L
60-73
60
73
-13
H27/12
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
71-85
71
85
-14
A02/01
Lega A
Ventspils
#23
L
82-88
82
88
-6
H04/01
Champions League
Torino
#12
L
79-86
79
86
-7
H07/01
Lega A
HydroTruck Radom
#44
W
74-61
74
61
+13
A10/01
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
18-23
13-20
20-18
21-21
17-12
16-16
27-22
18-17
18-28
9-18
22-23
13-24
21-22
21-17
13-21
20-20
14-20
17-13
18-25
12-24
11-14
14-19
23-16
20-23
20-17
20-26
11-19
19-18
18-28
22-26
23-16
29-21
20-21
14-15
16-29
24-27
17-17
22-10
11-7
151.9Avg total
72.1Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)70.679.4150.0-8.929%
Season at home (7)72.977.6150.4-4.729%
Season away (7)68.381.3149.6-13.029%
Last 10 (10)72.179.8151.9-7.720%
Last 5 (5)73.278.6151.8-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)70.680.9151.5-10.318%
vs Similar (13)77.179.8156.9-2.838%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Usak Sportif) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Usak SportifLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#6
L
88-103
88
103
-15
A06/12
Champions League
Buyukcekmece
#13
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H11/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
PAOK
#22
W
78-77
78
77
+1
H14/12
Champions League
Best Balikesir
#15
W
78-75 OT
78
75
+3
A18/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Ventspils
#23
L
86-97
86
97
-11
A21/12
Champions League
Tofas
#9
L
74-98
74
98
-24
H25/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Banvit
#5
L
72-82
72
82
-10
A31/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
HydroTruck Radom
#44
W
96-76
96
76
+20
H04/01
Champions League
Gaziantep
#7
L
82-87
82
87
-5
H08/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Oldenburg
#12
L
77-106
77
106
-29
A10/01
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
18-38
19-18
25-25
19-15
20-22
16-23
21-11
21-18
18-18
23-21
16-20
16-16
16-21
13-11
19-16
21-21
24-27
21-31
20-18
24-20
17-24
20-31
13-23
14-17
17-20
18-26
23-19
16-22
27-22
26-14
27-18
24-33
17-18
20-16
21-20
20-31
22-22
19-24
16-29
167.9Avg total
80.7Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)77.678.9156.6-1.343%
Season at home (7)79.072.6151.6+6.471%
Season away (7)76.385.3161.6-9.014%
Last 10 (10)80.787.2167.9-6.540%
Last 5 (5)80.289.8170.0-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)74.284.2158.4-10.119%
vs Similar (8)76.077.6153.6-1.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)91.376.0167.3+15.367%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.2+0.2
VareseUsak Sportif
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#11
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A06/12
Champions League
Reggiana
#6
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H11/12
Lega A
Neptunas
#6
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H14/12
Champions League
Trento
#4
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A18/12
Lega A
PAOK
#22
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A21/12
Champions League
Venezia
#1
L
23-38
23
38
-15
H27/12
Lega A
Cremona
#16
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A02/01
Lega A
Ventspils
#23
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H04/01
Champions League
Torino
#12
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H07/01
Lega A
HydroTruck Radom
#44
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A10/01
Champions League
79.1Avg total
36.9Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.141.677.6-5.517%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.340.577.9-3.227%-
Last 30 away (15)34.842.677.4-7.87%-
Last 10 (10)36.942.279.1-5.320%-
Last 5 (5)38.042.080.0-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)34.243.077.2-8.80%-
vs Similar (13)38.539.778.2-1.238%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Usak Sportif) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Usak SportifLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#6
L
44-60
44
60
-16
A06/12
Champions League
Buyukcekmece
#13
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H11/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
PAOK
#22
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H14/12
Champions League
Best Balikesir
#15
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A18/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Ventspils
#23
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A21/12
Champions League
Tofas
#9
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H25/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Banvit
#5
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A31/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
HydroTruck Radom
#44
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H04/01
Champions League
Gaziantep
#7
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H08/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Oldenburg
#12
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A10/01
Champions League
84.4Avg total
39.7Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.340.978.2-3.630%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.139.278.3-0.250%-
Last 30 away (14)35.342.978.1-7.67%-
Last 10 (10)39.744.784.4-5.020%-
Last 5 (5)39.645.885.4-6.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)36.243.079.2-6.812%-
vs Similar (8)37.140.177.2-3.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)40.336.576.8+3.850%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 72.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.018.1
46.4%
52.6%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.4
31.8%
34.3%22.2
🏀 Free throws17.913.7
76.5%
73.8%13.7
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Usak Sportiftheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Varese wins
1
Usak Sportif wins
DateGameScore
22/11/16Usak Sportif v Varese87-64
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/17AHydroTruck Radom74-61
07/01/17HTorino79-86
04/01/17HVentspils82-88
02/01/17ACremona71-85
27/12/16HVenezia60-73
21/12/16APAOK69-78
18/12/16ATrento68-84
14/12/16HNeptunas67-86
11/12/16HReggiana81-71
06/12/16ALyon-Villeurbanne70-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/17AOldenburg77-106
08/01/17HGaziantep82-87
04/01/17HHydroTruck Radom96-76
31/12/16ABanvit72-82
25/12/16HTofas74-98
21/12/16AVentspils86-97
18/12/16ABest Balikesir78-75 OT
14/12/16HPAOK78-77
11/12/16HBuyukcekmece76-71
06/12/16ANeptunas88-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Champions League 2016
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW29%
HomeLLWLL29%
AwayLLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %29%29%29%
Points / game70.672.968.3
Allowed / game79.477.681.3
Point differential-8.9-4.7-13.0
Avg total150.0150.4149.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Usak Sportif
Champions League 2016
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL43%
HomeWLWWW71%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %43%71%14%
Points / game77.679.076.3
Allowed / game78.972.685.3
Point differential-1.3+6.4-9.0
Avg total156.6151.6161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%29%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)60% (5)-
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Besiktas1311285%83.874.2+9.6
2 Monaco1311285%73.465.6+7.8
3 Tenerife1310377%79.867.3+12.5
4 Lyon-Villeurbanne1310377%77.369.8+7.5
5 Banvit1310377%79.872.5+7.4
6 Nymburk139469%81.372.9+8.4
7 Le Mans139469%72.965.6+7.3
8 Neptunas139469%75.468.7+6.7
9 Avellino139469%74.969.0+5.9
10 Oldenburg139469%76.371.5+4.8
11 Juventus1510567%77.577.5+0.0
12 AEK Athens138562%79.771.4+8.3
13 Aris138562%77.870.2+7.7
14 Ludwigsburg138562%81.974.6+7.3
15 Karsiyaka138562%74.168.5+5.6
16 Partizan138562%73.372.8+0.5
17 Venezia138562%72.673.2-0.6
18 Strasbourg127558%76.270.9+5.3
19 Ventspils137654%77.574.8+2.6
20 CSM Oradea179853%68.671.9-3.2
21 Cluj Napoca42250%75.271.0+4.2
22 Minsk42250%69.865.8+4.0
23 Benfica21150%72.072.5-0.5
24 Academic21150%66.571.0-4.5
25 Igokea21150%65.576.0-10.5
26 Sodertalje21150%62.078.0-16.0
27 Ironi Nahariya157847%72.772.5+0.2
28 Kataja157847%78.378.1+0.1
29 Saratov136746%85.082.0+3.0
30 PAOK136746%72.872.0+0.8
31 Maccabi Rishon136746%71.672.0-0.4
32 Frankfurt136746%69.070.7-1.7
33 Sassari136746%76.978.7-1.8
34 Usak Sportif146843%77.678.9-1.3
35 Cibona125742%79.683.9-4.3
36 Oostende135838%70.670.8-0.2
37 Spirou Charleroi135838%72.978.9-6.0
38 Zielona Gora134931%73.577.9-4.4
39 Mega Bemax134931%72.578.0-5.5
40 Varese1441029%70.679.4-8.9
41 Mornar Bar1541127%69.678.7-9.1
42 Tartu Ulikool41325%69.572.8-3.2
43 Khimik1331023%66.873.5-6.7
44 HydroTruck Radom1331023%68.878.5-9.8
45 Bakken Bears1531220%70.287.2-17.0
46 Helios Domzale1321115%59.867.7-7.9
47 Szolnoki Olaj1321115%71.885.3-13.5
48 Donar Groningen2020%66.570.5-4.0
49 BC Prievidza2020%65.572.0-6.5
50 FC Porto2020%70.080.0-10.0
51 Rilski Sportist2020%61.073.0-12.0
52 AEK Larnaca2020%53.072.5-19.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2421241685
Usak Sportif1720192177
← all games of the day
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