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Varese vs Torino Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Jan 2017
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 79-86
29-21 20-21 14-15 16-29
Position#10
Record4-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game80.4
Varese
Italy
vs
Torino 🏆
Italy
Position#12
Record6-8
FormLWWLL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game85.0
ItalyLega ARound 15
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Varese v Torino
16 Dec 2018
VAR77
TOR60
14 Jan 2018
VAR89
TOR92
07 Jan 2017
VAR79
TOR86
08 Nov 2015
VAR92
TOR78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Torino winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#12
W
76-71
76
71
+5
no box
H30/11
Champions League
Cantu
#14
L
82-92
82
92
-10
104avg 102
H03/12
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#11
L
70-86
70
86
-16
no box
A06/12
Champions League
Reggiana
#6
W
81-71
81
71
+10
109avg 102
H11/12
Lega A
Neptunas
#6
L
67-86
67
86
-19
no box
H14/12
Champions League
Trento
#4
L
68-84
68
84
-16
94avg 102
A18/12
Lega A
PAOK
#22
L
69-78
69
78
-9
no box
A21/12
Champions League
Venezia
#1
L
60-73
60
73
-13
85avg 102
H27/12
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
71-85
71
85
-14
no box
A02/01
Lega A
Ventspils
#23
L
82-88
82
88
-6
no box
H04/01
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
16-21
23-17
17-14
20-28
18-30
31-13
13-21
19-25
18-23
13-20
20-18
21-21
17-12
16-16
27-22
18-17
18-28
9-18
22-23
13-24
21-22
21-17
13-21
20-20
14-20
17-13
18-25
12-24
11-14
14-19
23-16
20-23
20-17
20-26
11-19
19-18
18-28
22-26
23-16
154.0Avg total
72.6Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)75.480.4155.9-5.029%
Season at home (7)78.977.7156.6+1.143%
Season away (7)72.083.1155.1-11.114%
Last 10 (10)72.681.4154.0-8.820%
Last 5 (5)70.081.6151.6-11.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)71.280.2151.4-8.921%
vs Similar ◀ (11)77.281.0158.2-3.836%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Torino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TorinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTorino
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#9
L
79-87
79
87
-8
111avg 107
A30/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
97-100
97
100
-3
125avg 107
H06/11
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
74-70
74
70
+4
104avg 107
A14/11
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
90-93 OT
90
93
-3
no box
H20/11
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
89-77
89
77
+12
108avg 107
A27/11
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
73-89
73
89
-16
96avg 107
A04/12
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
80-77
80
77
+3
108avg 107
H11/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
85-73
85
73
+12
no box
H19/12
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
64-96
64
96
-32
86avg 107
A27/12
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
86-91
86
91
-5
118avg 107
H02/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-19
18-27
13-21
13-20
26-30
25-27
20-16
26-27
15-17
19-12
17-23
23-18
24-15
20-29
23-21
17-19
25-24
22-7
21-20
21-26
22-20
16-25
22-19
13-25
19-24
27-16
21-23
13-14
24-18
25-19
19-19
17-17
18-29
13-13
14-21
19-33
20-20
20-20
20-21
26-30
167.0Avg total
81.7Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)81.885.0166.8-3.243%
Season at home (7)86.685.0171.6+1.657%
Season away (7)77.085.0162.0-8.029%
Last 10 (10)81.785.3167.0-3.640%
Last 5 (5)77.685.2162.8-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)77.383.5160.8-6.229%
vs Similar ◀ (16)78.979.2158.1-0.456%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -4.1-4.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -4.1-4.1
VareseTorino
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#12
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H30/11
Champions League
Cantu
#14
L
38-58
38
58
-20
H03/12
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#11
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A06/12
Champions League
Reggiana
#6
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H11/12
Lega A
Neptunas
#6
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H14/12
Champions League
Trento
#4
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A18/12
Lega A
PAOK
#22
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A21/12
Champions League
Venezia
#1
L
23-38
23
38
-15
H27/12
Lega A
Cremona
#16
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A02/01
Lega A
Ventspils
#23
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H04/01
Champions League
78.7Avg total
35.3Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.741.377.0-5.617%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.940.277.1-3.425%-
Last 30 away (14)34.442.576.9-8.17%-
Last 10 (10)35.343.478.7-8.110%-
Last 5 (5)33.642.075.6-8.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)34.842.677.4-7.85%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)37.339.176.4-1.836%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Torino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TorinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#9
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A30/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H06/11
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A14/11
Lega A
Venezia
#1
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H20/11
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A27/11
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A04/12
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H11/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H19/12
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A27/12
Lega A
Brescia
#11
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H02/01
Lega A
84.4Avg total
43.3Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.340.179.4-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.439.382.6+4.164%-
Last 30 away (16)35.840.976.6-5.131%-
Last 10 (10)43.341.184.4+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.840.881.6+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)37.941.078.9-3.143%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)40.639.479.9+1.250%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 71.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.617.7
47.1%
51.1%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.27.3
32.9%
35.7%21.9
🏀 Free throws17.913.8
77.1%
74.0%13.8
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Torinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Torino: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.620.0
49.3%
51.1%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.7
36.7%
35.7%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.613.5
72.6%
74.0%13.5
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Jan 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LLLLLLWLLW
Torino
LLWWLWLWLL
#10
League position
#12
-13.3
Net rating
-6.1
95.3
Offensive rating
101.9
108.6
Defensive rating
108.1
47.9%
Effective FG%
51.4%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
22.2%
Turnover %
18.5%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
24.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.9%
3-point %
36.7%
50.4%
Assist %
55.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence95.3 · 101.9Defence108.6 · 108.1Shooting47.9% · 51.4%3-point %32.9% · 36.7%Ball care22.2% · 18.5%Off. rebounds27.6% · 24.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Varese   ■ Torino
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Varese wins
0
Torino wins
DateGameScore
28/02/16Torino v Varese72-84
08/11/15Varese v Torino92-78
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/17HVentspils82-88
02/01/17ACremona71-85
27/12/16HVenezia60-73
21/12/16APAOK69-78
18/12/16ATrento68-84
14/12/16HNeptunas67-86
11/12/16HReggiana81-71
06/12/16ALyon-Villeurbanne70-86
03/12/16HCantu82-92
30/11/16HOldenburg76-71
Torinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/17HBrescia86-91
27/12/16ASassari64-96
19/12/16HReggiana85-73
11/12/16HCaserta80-77
04/12/16APistoia73-89
27/11/16ACantu89-77
20/11/16HVenezia90-93 OT
14/11/16ATrento74-70
06/11/16HOlimpia Milano97-100
30/10/16ABrindisi79-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL29%
HomeLLLWL43%
AwayLWLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %29%43%14%
Points / game75.478.972.0
Allowed / game80.477.783.1
Point differential-5.0+1.1-11.1
Avg total155.9156.6155.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %14%29%0%
Torino
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL43%
HomeLLWWL57%
AwayLWWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %43%57%29%
Points / game81.886.677.0
Allowed / game85.085.085.0
Point differential-3.2+1.6-8.0
Avg total166.8171.6162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%14%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %14%29%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1412286%89.379.7+9.6
2 Avellino1410471%80.875.1+5.6
3 Venezia1410471%81.178.5+2.6
4 Reggiana149564%82.181.0+1.1
5 Capo d'Orlando148657%78.577.3+1.2
6 Sassari147750%77.374.4+2.9
7 Brindisi147750%83.781.0+2.7
8 Pistoia147750%75.777.2-1.5
9 Caserta147750%82.484.6-2.2
10 Trento146843%75.575.7-0.2
11 Brescia146843%80.881.8-1.0
12 Torino146843%81.885.0-3.2
13 Cantu146843%77.882.1-4.3
14 Pesaro1441029%75.378.6-3.4
15 Varese1441029%75.480.4-5.0
16 Cremona1431121%76.281.1-4.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2920141679
Torino2121152986
← all games of the day
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