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Varese vs Venezia Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 27 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 17:45
Final 60-73
12-24 11-14 14-19 23-16
Position#10
Record4-8
FormLWLLL
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game80.7
vs
Venezia 🏆
Italy
Position#1
Record9-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game79.6
ItalyLega ARound 13
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Varese v Venezia
22 Nov 2026
VAR v VEN
upcoming
18 Jan 2026
VAR94
VEN106
01 Dec 2024
VAR77
VEN86
14 Jan 2024
VAR92
VEN103
19 Nov 2022
VAR93
VEN90
15 Jan 2022
VAR76
VEN68
14 Apr 2021
VAR75
VEN77
17 Nov 2019
VAR93
VEN91
31 Mar 2019
VAR87
VEN79
01 Oct 2017
VAR62
VEN80
27 Dec 2016
VAR60
VEN73
10 Apr 2016
VAR79
VEN68
15 Feb 2015
VAR53
VEN67
27 Oct 2013
VAR84
VEN72
18 May 2013
VAR84
VEN75
12 May 2013
VAR81
VEN72
10 May 2013
VAR92
VEN74
13 Jan 2013
VAR85
VEN87
26 Nov 2011
VAR73
VEN67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Venezia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Brescia
#11
L
68-74
68
74
-6
92avg 104
H19/11
Lega A
Usak Sportif
#33
L
64-87
64
87
-23
no box
A22/11
Champions League
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
71-76
71
76
-5
94avg 104
A27/11
Lega A
Oldenburg
#12
W
76-71
76
71
+5
no box
H30/11
Champions League
Cantu
#14
L
82-92
82
92
-10
104avg 104
H03/12
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#11
L
70-86
70
86
-16
no box
A06/12
Champions League
Reggiana
#6
W
81-71
81
71
+10
109avg 104
H11/12
Lega A
Neptunas
#6
L
67-86
67
86
-19
no box
H14/12
Champions League
Trento
#4
L
68-84
68
84
-16
94avg 104
A18/12
Lega A
PAOK
#22
L
69-78
69
78
-9
no box
A21/12
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-12
18-30
15-17
11-15
17-14
9-26
18-22
20-25
19-21
15-18
13-18
24-19
20-19
16-21
23-17
17-14
20-28
18-30
31-13
13-21
19-25
18-23
13-20
20-18
21-21
17-12
16-16
27-22
18-17
18-28
9-18
22-23
13-24
21-22
21-17
13-21
20-20
14-20
17-13
18-25
152.1Avg total
71.6Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)77.180.7157.8-3.633%
Season at home (6)82.078.5160.5+3.550%
Season away (6)72.282.8155.0-10.717%
Last 10 (10)71.680.5152.1-8.920%
Last 5 (5)71.081.0152.0-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)71.978.9150.8-6.932%
vs Similar (11)77.979.6157.5-1.745%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVenezia
Date
Competition
Torino
#12
W
93-90 OT
93
90
+3
no box
A20/11
Lega A
Saratov
#21
W
106-91
106
91
+15
no box
H23/11
Champions League
Caserta
#13
W
98-92 OT
98
92
+6
no box
H27/11
Lega A
CSM Oradea
#27
W
73-69
73
69
+4
no box
A30/11
Champions League
Avellino
#3
W
80-78
80
78
+2
108avg 107
A04/12
Lega A
Le Mans
#15
W
74-62
74
62
+12
no box
H06/12
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
88-84
88
84
+4
111avg 107
H11/12
Lega A
Karsiyaka
#8
L
59-99
59
99
-40
no box
A13/12
Champions League
Brescia
#11
W
78-70
78
70
+8
107avg 107
H18/12
Lega A
Khimik
#43
W
73-59
73
59
+14
no box
H20/12
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-24
29-20
21-23
19-17
20-23
22-23
28-24
36-21
14-22
19-12
21-16
16-20
19-19
15-14
16-17
23-19
21-14
13-21
23-14
23-29
17-21
12-15
28-11
17-15
34-22
15-19
23-20
16-23
17-23
17-26
11-27
14-23
21-24
18-15
23-14
16-17
19-18
19-17
13-16
22-8
161.6Avg total
82.2Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)82.679.6162.2+3.075%
Season at home (7)80.375.1155.4+5.186%
Season away (5)85.885.8171.6+0.060%
Last 10 (10)82.279.4161.6+2.890%
Last 5 (5)74.474.8149.2-0.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)68.674.1142.7-5.540%
vs Similar (11)80.773.7154.5+7.082%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)83.177.1160.2+6.078%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -6.6-6.6Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +1.0+1.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -6.6-6.6Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +1.0+1.0
VareseVenezia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#11
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H19/11
Lega A
Usak Sportif
#33
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A22/11
Champions League
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A27/11
Lega A
Oldenburg
#12
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H30/11
Champions League
Cantu
#14
L
38-58
38
58
-20
H03/12
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#11
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A06/12
Champions League
Reggiana
#6
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H11/12
Lega A
Neptunas
#6
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H14/12
Champions League
Trento
#4
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A18/12
Lega A
PAOK
#22
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A21/12
Champions League
78.6Avg total
35.5Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.441.077.4-4.623%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.139.677.8-1.538%-
Last 30 away (14)34.442.677.0-8.17%-
Last 10 (10)35.543.178.6-7.610%-
Last 5 (5)35.842.478.2-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)35.842.177.9-6.216%-
vs Similar (11)37.439.276.5-1.836%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torino
#12
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A20/11
Lega A
Saratov
#21
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H23/11
Champions League
Caserta
#13
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H27/11
Lega A
CSM Oradea
#27
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A30/11
Champions League
Avellino
#3
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A04/12
Lega A
Le Mans
#15
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H06/12
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H11/12
Lega A
Karsiyaka
#8
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A13/12
Champions League
Brescia
#11
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H18/12
Lega A
Khimik
#43
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H20/12
Champions League
76.8Avg total
37.6Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.937.374.2-0.337%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.535.472.8+2.153%-
Last 30 away (13)36.239.876.0-3.515%-
Last 10 (10)37.639.276.8-1.630%-
Last 5 (5)37.840.077.8-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.538.272.7-3.720%-
vs Similar (11)38.035.573.5+2.555%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)38.338.476.8-0.133%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.018.8
48.2%
51.1%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.17.7
34.8%
35.7%23.1
🏀 Free throws18.113.8
76.2%
74.0%13.8
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Veneziatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venezia: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.717.1
46.6%
51.1%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.510.7
40.4%
35.7%32.1
🏀 Free throws16.812.9
76.8%
74.0%12.9
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LLLWLLWLLL
Venezia
WWLWWWWWWW
#10
League position
#1
-7.8
Net rating
+4.2
98.5
Offensive rating
107.1
106.3
Defensive rating
102.9
49.7%
Effective FG%
52.5%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
21.8%
Turnover %
19.4%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.8%
3-point %
40.4%
52.8%
Assist %
59.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence98.5 · 107.1Defence106.3 · 102.9Shooting49.7% · 52.5%3-point %34.8% · 40.4%Ball care21.8% · 19.4%Off. rebounds28.7% · 30.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)20% · 90%
■ Varese   ■ Venezia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Varese wins
4
Venezia wins
DateGameScore
10/04/16Varese v Venezia79-68
20/12/15Venezia v Varese84-58
15/02/15Varese v Venezia53-67
02/11/14Venezia v Varese98-95
02/02/14Venezia v Varese77-93
27/10/13Varese v Venezia84-72
18/05/13Varese v Venezia84-75
16/05/13Venezia v Varese84-72
14/05/13Venezia v Varese79-93
12/05/13Varese v Venezia81-72
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/16APAOK69-78
18/12/16ATrento68-84
14/12/16HNeptunas67-86
11/12/16HReggiana81-71
06/12/16ALyon-Villeurbanne70-86
03/12/16HCantu82-92
30/11/16HOldenburg76-71
27/11/16ACapo d'Orlando71-76
22/11/16AUsak Sportif64-87
19/11/16HBrescia68-74
Venezialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/16HKhimik73-59
18/12/16HBrescia78-70
13/12/16AKarsiyaka59-99
11/12/16HOlimpia Milano88-84
06/12/16HLe Mans74-62
04/12/16AAvellino80-78
30/11/16ACSM Oradea73-69
27/11/16HCaserta98-92 OT
23/11/16HSaratov106-91
20/11/16ATorino93-90 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL33%
HomeWLLLW50%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %33%50%17%
Points / game77.182.072.2
Allowed / game80.778.582.8
Point differential-3.6+3.5-10.7
Avg total157.8160.5155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %17%33%0%
Venezia
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWLLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %75%86%60%
Points / game82.680.385.8
Allowed / game79.675.185.8
Point differential+3.0+5.1+0.0
Avg total162.2155.4171.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %17%14%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1211192%89.678.4+11.2
2 Venezia129375%82.679.6+3.0
3 Avellino128467%79.275.4+3.8
4 Reggiana128467%82.280.2+2.1
5 Capo d'Orlando127558%79.075.5+3.5
6 Caserta127558%83.283.2+0.1
7 Brindisi126650%82.581.3+1.2
8 Torino126650%82.983.6-0.7
9 Trento125742%75.875.8+0.0
10 Sassari125742%75.275.5-0.3
11 Brescia125742%80.581.6-1.1
12 Pistoia125742%76.379.4-3.1
13 Pesaro124833%76.179.5-3.4
14 Varese124833%77.180.7-3.6
15 Cantu124833%78.384.2-5.8
16 Cremona1221017%75.982.8-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese1211142360
Venezia2414191673
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