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Brooklyn Nets vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 06 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 80-109
18-25 25-36 14-22 23-26
Position#13
Record-
FormWLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#10
Record-
FormWLLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANBA· Barclays Center
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Brooklyn Nets v Miami Heat
25 Jan 2027
BKN v MIA
upcoming
07 Jan 2027
BKN v MIA
upcoming
18 Dec 2025
BKN95
MIA106
07 Feb 2025
BKN102
MIA86
25 Jan 2025
BKN97
MIA106
15 Jan 2024
BKN95
MIA96
25 Nov 2023
BKN112
MIA97
15 Feb 2023
BKN116
MIA105
06 Oct 2022
BKN80
MIA109
03 Mar 2022
BKN107
MIA113
27 Oct 2021
BKN93
MIA106
25 Jan 2021
BKN98
MIA85
23 Jan 2021
BKN128
MIA124
10 Jan 2020
BKN117
MIA113
01 Dec 2019
BKN106
MIA109
10 Apr 2019
BKN113
MIA94
14 Nov 2018
BKN107
MIA120
19 Jan 2018
BKN101
MIA95
09 Dec 2017
BKN89
MIA101
10 Feb 2017
BKN99
MIA108
25 Jan 2017
BKN106
MIA109
26 Jan 2016
BKN98
MIA102
16 Dec 2015
BKN98
MIA104
16 Dec 2014
BKN91
MIA95
17 Nov 2014
BKN83
MIA95
12 May 2014
BKN96
MIA102
10 May 2014
BKN104
MIA90
10 Jan 2014
BKN104
MIA95
01 Nov 2013
BKN101
MIA100
30 Jan 2013
BKN85
MIA105
16 Apr 2012
BKN98
MIA101
07 Jan 2012
BKN90
MIA101
03 Apr 2011
BKN94
MIA108
31 Oct 2010
BKN78
MIA101
22 Mar 2010
BKN89
MIA99
17 Feb 2010
BKN84
MIA87
20 Mar 2009
BKN96
MIA88
20 Dec 2008
BKN103
MIA106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brooklyn Nets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brooklyn NetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNets
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#17
L
115-122
115
122
-7
98avg 106
A02/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
118-105
118
105
+13
114avg 106
H05/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
W
110-98
110
98
+12
104avg 106
A06/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
W
118-107
118
107
+11
114avg 106
H08/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
134-126
134
126
+8
143avg 106
H10/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
W
115-108
115
108
+7
116avg 106
H12/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
114-115
114
115
-1
103avg 106
A17/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
107-114
107
114
-7
94avg 106
A20/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
103-109
103
109
-6
98avg 106
H23/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
112-116
112
116
-4
106avg 106
H25/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-28
20-37
37-29
28-28
30-25
34-22
26-27
28-31
25-29
25-38
22-15
38-16
34-19
28-35
21-34
35-19
41-29
35-31
27-34
31-32
40-20
17-23
28-30
30-35
28-29
33-32
24-35
29-19
33-24
32-31
25-30
17-29
25-30
25-23
22-28
31-28
26-30
24-28
28-32
34-26
226.6Avg total
114.6Scored
112.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)114.6112.0226.6+2.650%
Last 5 (5)110.2112.4222.6-2.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)112.0118.4230.4-6.412%
vs Similar ◀ (17)113.6112.4226.0+1.253%
vs Weaker (5)132.0117.0249.0+15.0100%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#6
W
118-107
118
107
+11
108avg 102
H18/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
102-127
102
127
-25
90avg 102
H20/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
W
109-103
109
103
+6
93avg 102
A22/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
82-102
82
102
-20
64avg 102
A24/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
80-93
80
93
-13
60avg 102
H26/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
W
111-103
111
103
+8
106avg 102
A28/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
96-100
96
100
-4
79avg 102
H30/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
66-100
66
100
-34
no box
H02/07
California Classic
Sacramento Kings
#1
L
64-81
64
81
-17
no box
A03/07
California Classic
Golden State Warriors
#4
W
94-70
94
70
+24
no box
H05/07
California Classic
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-28
29-34
39-14
25-31
24-35
21-35
26-26
31-31
39-18
23-29
25-25
22-31
11-29
22-28
19-19
30-26
19-17
23-20
16-32
22-24
29-22
19-24
34-29
29-28
17-32
32-23
26-27
21-18
17-29
10-22
14-19
25-30
14-17
21-16
21-20
8-28
27-22
24-16
17-21
26-11
190.8Avg total
92.2Scored
98.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)92.298.6190.8-6.440%
Last 5 (5)86.290.8177.0-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)65.090.5155.5-25.50%
vs Similar ◀ (22)104.7101.5206.2+3.264%
vs Weaker (6)117.0105.0222.0+12.067%
This opponent (Brooklyn Nets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: -1.9-1.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: -1.9-1.9
Brooklyn NetsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Brooklyn NetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#17
L
50-65
50
65
-15
A02/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
64-47
64
47
+17
H05/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
L
50-67
50
67
-17
A06/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H08/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
76-60
76
60
+16
H10/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H12/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
D
61-61
61
61
+0
A17/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
W
65-55
65
55
+10
A20/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H23/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
50-58
50
58
-8
H25/04
NBA
114.8Avg total
58.5Scored
56.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.758.2117.9+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (17)58.458.1116.5+0.359%-
Last 30 away (13)61.458.2119.6+3.254%-
Last 10 (10)58.556.3114.8+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)56.654.0110.6+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)56.659.9116.5-3.238%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)58.456.7115.1+1.665%-
vs Weaker (5)69.260.4129.6+8.860%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#6
L
54-62
54
62
-8
H18/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
45-70
45
70
-25
H20/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
W
62-47
62
47
+15
A22/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
33-57
33
57
-24
A24/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H26/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A28/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
49-55
49
55
-6
H30/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
27-51
27
51
-24
H02/07
California Classic
Sacramento Kings
#1
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A03/07
California Classic
Golden State Warriors
#4
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H05/07
California Classic
94.2Avg total
44.6Scored
49.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.351.5102.8-0.257%-
Last 30 at home (17)52.451.4103.8+0.959%-
Last 30 away (13)49.951.5101.5-1.654%-
Last 10 (10)44.649.694.2-5.050%-
Last 5 (5)42.044.686.6-2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.042.073.0-11.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)50.752.1102.9-1.450%-
vs Weaker (6)60.252.2112.3+8.083%-
This opponent (Brooklyn Nets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brooklyn Netstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brooklyn Nets: 114.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.129.8
55.1%
54.5%59.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.612.1
39.5%
35.8%36.3
🏀 Free throws23.718.7
78.9%
78.1%18.7
They take 84.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 102.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.227.8
53.3%
54.5%55.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.910.0
29.5%
35.8%30.0
🏀 Free throws20.916.9
80.9%
78.1%16.9
They take 86.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Oct 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brooklyn Nets
LLLLWWWWWL
Miami Heat
WLLLWLLWLW
#13
League position
#10
+2.6
Net rating
-0.1
114.9
Offensive rating
106.5
112.3
Defensive rating
106.7
56.6%
Effective FG%
49.7%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
14.5%
Turnover %
12.0%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
23.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.24
39.5%
3-point %
29.5%
59.4%
Assist %
54.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence114.9 · 106.5Defence112.3 · 106.7Shooting56.6% · 49.7%3-point %39.5% · 29.5%Ball care14.5% · 12.0%Off. rebounds25.6% · 23.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Brooklyn Nets   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Brooklyn Nets wins
6
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/22HBoston Celtics112-116
23/04/22HBoston Celtics103-109
20/04/22ABoston Celtics107-114
17/04/22ABoston Celtics114-115
12/04/22HCleveland Cavaliers115-108
10/04/22HIndiana Pacers134-126
08/04/22HCleveland Cavaliers118-107
06/04/22ANew York Knicks110-98
05/04/22HHouston Rockets118-105
02/04/22AAtlanta Hawks115-122
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/07/22HGolden State Warriors94-70
03/07/22ASacramento Kings64-81
02/07/22HLos Angeles Lakers66-100
30/05/22HBoston Celtics96-100
28/05/22ABoston Celtics111-103
26/05/22HBoston Celtics80-93
24/05/22ABoston Celtics82-102
22/05/22ABoston Celtics109-103
20/05/22HBoston Celtics102-127
18/05/22HBoston Celtics118-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Miami Heat
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brooklyn Nets1825142380
Miami Heat25362226109
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