PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Brooklyn Nets vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Apr 2019
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 113-94
32-23 31-24 29-24 21-23
Position#14
Record43-42
FormWLLWW
Points / game111.8
Allowed / game112.4
vs
Position#17
Record42-45
FormLLLLW
Points / game106.3
Allowed / game106.3
USANBA· Barclays Center
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Brooklyn Nets v Miami Heat
25 Jan 2027
BKN v MIA
upcoming
07 Jan 2027
BKN v MIA
upcoming
18 Dec 2025
BKN95
MIA106
07 Feb 2025
BKN102
MIA86
25 Jan 2025
BKN97
MIA106
15 Jan 2024
BKN95
MIA96
25 Nov 2023
BKN112
MIA97
15 Feb 2023
BKN116
MIA105
06 Oct 2022
BKN80
MIA109
03 Mar 2022
BKN107
MIA113
27 Oct 2021
BKN93
MIA106
25 Jan 2021
BKN98
MIA85
23 Jan 2021
BKN128
MIA124
10 Jan 2020
BKN117
MIA113
01 Dec 2019
BKN106
MIA109
10 Apr 2019
BKN113
MIA94
14 Nov 2018
BKN107
MIA120
19 Jan 2018
BKN101
MIA95
09 Dec 2017
BKN89
MIA101
05 Oct 2017
BKN107
MIA88
10 Feb 2017
BKN99
MIA108
25 Jan 2017
BKN106
MIA109
26 Jan 2016
BKN98
MIA102
16 Dec 2015
BKN98
MIA104
16 Dec 2014
BKN91
MIA95
17 Nov 2014
BKN83
MIA95
06 Jul 2014
BKN91
MIA110
12 May 2014
BKN96
MIA102
10 May 2014
BKN104
MIA90
10 Jan 2014
BKN104
MIA95
01 Nov 2013
BKN101
MIA100
17 Oct 2013
BKN86
MIA62
30 Jan 2013
BKN85
MIA105
16 Apr 2012
BKN98
MIA101
07 Jan 2012
BKN90
MIA101
03 Apr 2011
BKN94
MIA108
31 Oct 2010
BKN78
MIA101
22 Mar 2010
BKN89
MIA99
17 Feb 2010
BKN84
MIA87
20 Mar 2009
BKN96
MIA88
20 Dec 2008
BKN103
MIA106
12 Oct 2008
BKN94
MIA92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brooklyn Nets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brooklyn NetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#10
L
116-119
116
119
-3
A18/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
W
123-121
123
121
+2
A20/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
111-106
111
106
+5
A23/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
144-148 OT
144
148
-4
A26/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
110-123
110
123
-13
A28/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#11
W
110-96
110
96
+14
H30/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
121-131
121
131
-10
H01/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#2
L
105-115
105
115
-10
H03/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
133-128
133
128
+5
A06/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
W
108-96
108
96
+12
A07/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-23
25-37
32-27
29-32
25-38
33-28
20-37
45-18
20-23
24-20
34-30
33-33
27-31
35-31
28-33
30-25
23-38
35-30
24-30
28-25
17-21
32-27
33-22
28-26
20-35
34-24
35-32
32-40
22-34
28-23
28-33
27-25
34-26
32-39
42-31
25-32
31-25
21-19
30-25
26-27
236.4Avg total
118.1Scored
118.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (85)111.8112.4224.3-0.651%
Season at home (41)113.6111.6225.2+2.054%
Season away (44)110.2113.2223.4-2.948%
Last 10 (10)118.1118.3236.4-0.250%
Last 5 (5)115.4113.2228.6+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)116.4121.5237.9-5.130%
vs Similar ◀ (15)108.7108.0216.7+0.747%
vs Weaker (5)120.6120.0240.6+0.680%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
87-116
87
116
-29
A23/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#22
W
113-108
113
108
+5
A23/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#16
L
99-104
99
104
-5
H26/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
105-99
105
99
+6
H28/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
100-92
100
92
+8
A30/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#11
L
105-110
105
110
-5
A01/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#11
L
102-112
102
112
-10
H03/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
109-111
109
111
-2
A06/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#2
L
109-117 OT
109
117
-8
A07/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
122-99
122
99
+23
H09/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-33
19-30
18-31
18-22
25-27
27-26
26-26
35-29
32-18
19-24
19-34
29-28
26-29
23-30
26-23
30-17
29-33
26-28
24-18
21-13
17-36
30-25
30-27
28-22
31-29
18-24
32-30
21-29
35-36
34-25
22-29
18-21
26-25
31-25
22-28
24-25
34-20
27-22
30-18
31-39
211.9Avg total
105.1Scored
106.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (87)106.3106.3212.7-0.048%
Season at home (44)106.7106.1212.8+0.750%
Season away (43)105.9106.6212.5-0.747%
Last 10 (10)105.1106.8211.9-1.740%
Last 5 (5)109.4109.8219.2-0.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)108.6119.6228.1-11.014%
vs Similar ◀ (19)105.3100.8206.1+4.558%
vs Weaker (4)115.2109.8225.0+5.575%
This opponent (Brooklyn Nets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +1.0+1.0
Brooklyn NetsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Brooklyn NetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#10
L
55-60
55
60
-5
A18/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
L
58-66
58
66
-8
A20/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A23/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
D
62-62
62
62
+0
A26/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
58-68
58
68
-10
A28/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#11
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H30/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
54-59
54
59
-5
H01/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#2
L
50-57
50
57
-7
H03/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
66-65
66
65
+1
A06/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A07/04
NBA
112.0Avg total
54.8Scored
57.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.153.7107.8+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.152.9107.0+1.343%-
Last 30 away (16)54.154.4108.5-0.250%-
Last 10 (10)54.857.2112.0-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)54.254.6108.8-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)54.756.7111.4-2.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)54.251.9106.1+2.353%-
vs Weaker (5)52.852.8105.6+0.040%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
51-63
51
63
-12
A23/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#22
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A23/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#16
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H26/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
49-59
49
59
-10
H28/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
L
55-61
55
61
-6
A30/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#11
L
47-61
47
61
-14
A01/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#11
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H03/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
69-61
69
61
+8
A06/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#2
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A07/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
61-42
61
42
+19
H09/04
NBA
108.6Avg total
54.1Scored
54.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.853.3109.0+2.550%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.351.5106.8+3.850%-
Last 30 away (16)56.254.8111.0+1.450%-
Last 10 (10)54.154.5108.6-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)56.653.4110.0+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)60.955.9116.7+5.071%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)53.251.4104.6+1.847%-
vs Weaker (4)59.057.8116.8+1.225%-
This opponent (Brooklyn Nets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brooklyn Netstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brooklyn Nets: 118.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.328.5
52.5%
51.7%57.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.413.6
35.4%
35.4%40.8
🏀 Free throws27.720.3
73.3%
76.6%20.3
They take 92.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 104.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.629.2
52.5%
51.7%58.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.910.7
31.6%
35.4%32.1
🏀 Free throws19.914.2
71.4%
76.6%14.2
They take 89.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brooklyn Nets
WWLLWLLWWL
Miami Heat
WLLLLWWLWL
#14
League position
#17
+0.0
Net rating
-1.9
110.0
Offensive rating
103.5
110.0
Defensive rating
105.4
52.8%
Effective FG%
50.6%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
14.1%
Turnover %
13.1%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
22.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.22
35.4%
3-point %
31.6%
56.3%
Assist %
64.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence110.0 · 103.5Defence110.0 · 105.4Shooting52.8% · 50.6%3-point %35.4% · 31.6%Ball care14.1% · 13.1%Off. rebounds25.8% · 22.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Brooklyn Nets   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Brooklyn Nets wins
5
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/19AIndiana Pacers108-96
06/04/19AMilwaukee Bucks133-128
03/04/19HToronto Raptors105-115
01/04/19HMilwaukee Bucks121-131
30/03/19HBoston Celtics110-96
28/03/19APhiladelphia 76ers110-123
26/03/19APortland Trail Blazers144-148 OT
23/03/19ALos Angeles Lakers111-106
20/03/19ASacramento Kings123-121
18/03/19ALos Angeles Clippers116-119
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/19HPhiladelphia 76ers122-99
07/04/19AToronto Raptors109-117 OT
06/04/19AMinnesota Timberwolves109-111
03/04/19HBoston Celtics102-112
01/04/19ABoston Celtics105-110
30/03/19ANew York Knicks100-92
28/03/19HDallas Mavericks105-99
26/03/19HOrlando Magic99-104
23/03/19AWashington Wizards113-108
23/03/19AMilwaukee Bucks87-116

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW51%
HomeWWWLL54%
AwayWLLWW48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games854144
Win %51%54%48%
Points / game111.8113.6110.2
Allowed / game112.4111.6113.2
Point differential-0.6+2.0-2.9
Avg total224.3225.2223.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%22%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (30)69% (13)65% (17)
Overtime %9%10%9%
Miami Heat
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW48%
HomeWLWLW50%
AwayWWLLL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games874443
Win %48%50%47%
Points / game106.3106.7105.9
Allowed / game106.3106.1106.6
Point differential-0.0+0.7-0.7
Avg total212.7212.8212.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (28)54% (13)33% (15)
Overtime %2%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks85632274%118.5109.0+9.5
2 Toronto Raptors86612571%114.5108.2+6.3
3 Golden State Warriors86582867%117.3111.1+6.2
4 Denver Nuggets85562966%110.8106.8+4.0
5 Houston Rockets86563065%114.0109.0+5.0
6 Portland Trail Blazers86553164%114.3110.0+4.3
7 Utah Jazz84533163%111.7105.7+6.0
8 Philadelphia 76ers84523262%115.1112.6+2.5
9 Oklahoma City Thunder85513460%114.1110.6+3.5
10 Los Angeles Clippers84503460%114.8113.4+1.3
11 Boston Celtics86503658%111.9107.9+4.0
12 San Antonio Spurs86503658%111.5109.7+1.8
13 Indiana Pacers85493658%107.5104.3+3.2
14 Brooklyn Nets85434251%111.8112.4-0.6
15 Charlotte Hornets86434350%110.9111.6-0.7
16 Orlando Magic85424349%106.6106.2+0.5
17 Detroit Pistons86424449%106.8107.4-0.6
18 Miami Heat87424548%106.3106.3-0.0
19 Sacramento Kings86404647%113.5115.4-1.8
20 Los Angeles Lakers88404845%111.8113.5-1.7
21 Minnesota Timberwolves86374943%112.5114.7-2.3
22 Washington Wizards86355141%114.0116.5-2.5
23 Dallas Mavericks84345040%109.3110.5-1.2
24 Memphis Grizzlies86345240%103.4106.4-3.1
25 New Orleans Pelicans87335438%115.3117.2-1.9
26 Atlanta Hawks86315536%113.1119.0-5.9
27 Chicago Bulls86246228%104.7112.8-8.0
28 Cleveland Cavaliers86216524%104.6113.9-9.3
29 New York Knicks86206623%105.0113.5-8.5
30 Phoenix Suns86206623%107.1116.6-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brooklyn Nets32312921113
Miami Heat2324242394
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.