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Brooklyn Nets vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 16 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 95-96 (OT)
22-16 23-15 24-37 19-20 7-8
Position#22
Record16-22
FormLLWLL
Points / game114.6
Allowed / game116.4
vs
Position#18
Record23-16
FormLWLWW
Points / game112.3
Allowed / game111.0
USANBA· Barclays Center (New York)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Brooklyn Nets v Miami Heat
25 Jan 2027
BKN v MIA
upcoming
07 Jan 2027
BKN v MIA
upcoming
18 Dec 2025
BKN95
MIA106
07 Feb 2025
BKN102
MIA86
25 Jan 2025
BKN97
MIA106
15 Jan 2024
BKN95
MIA96
25 Nov 2023
BKN112
MIA97
15 Feb 2023
BKN116
MIA105
03 Mar 2022
BKN107
MIA113
27 Oct 2021
BKN93
MIA106
25 Jan 2021
BKN98
MIA85
23 Jan 2021
BKN128
MIA124
10 Jan 2020
BKN117
MIA113
01 Dec 2019
BKN106
MIA109
10 Apr 2019
BKN113
MIA94
14 Nov 2018
BKN107
MIA120
19 Jan 2018
BKN101
MIA95
09 Dec 2017
BKN89
MIA101
10 Feb 2017
BKN99
MIA108
25 Jan 2017
BKN106
MIA109
26 Jan 2016
BKN98
MIA102
16 Dec 2015
BKN98
MIA104
16 Dec 2014
BKN91
MIA95
17 Nov 2014
BKN83
MIA95
12 May 2014
BKN96
MIA102
10 May 2014
BKN104
MIA90
10 Jan 2014
BKN104
MIA95
01 Nov 2013
BKN101
MIA100
30 Jan 2013
BKN85
MIA105
16 Apr 2012
BKN98
MIA101
07 Jan 2012
BKN90
MIA101
03 Apr 2011
BKN94
MIA108
31 Oct 2010
BKN78
MIA101
22 Mar 2010
BKN89
MIA99
17 Feb 2010
BKN84
MIA87
20 Mar 2009
BKN96
MIA88
20 Dec 2008
BKN103
MIA106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brooklyn Nets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brooklyn NetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNets
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
126-115
126
115
+11
123avg 105
H24/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
118-112
118
112
+6
107avg 105
A27/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
122-144
122
144
-22
112avg 105
H28/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
104-110
104
110
-6
96avg 105
A30/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
108-124
108
124
-16
90avg 105
A01/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
85-112
85
112
-27
68avg 105
A03/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
101-112
101
112
-11
89avg 105
A04/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
124-115
124
115
+9
118avg 105
H06/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
L
127-134 OT
127
134
-7
122avg 105
H07/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
102-111
102
111
-9
89avg 105
A11/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-21
33-35
33-26
28-33
25-31
36-23
27-31
30-27
31-32
28-34
33-34
30-44
25-25
28-29
33-30
18-26
36-33
20-26
23-30
29-35
18-32
16-27
24-26
27-27
22-26
28-23
25-38
26-25
39-21
36-26
26-32
23-36
30-26
22-24
41-35
22-30
16-26
18-28
26-24
42-33
230.6Avg total
111.7Scored
118.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)114.6116.4231.0-1.842%
Season at home (19)116.9114.0230.9+2.953%
Season away (19)112.3118.8231.1-6.632%
Last 10 (10)111.7118.9230.6-7.230%
Last 5 (5)107.8116.8224.6-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)110.9118.7229.6-7.825%
vs Similar ◀ (7)118.1116.6234.7+1.657%
vs Weaker (7)118.4113.0231.4+5.457%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
119-113
119
113
+6
120avg 103
H26/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
114-102
114
102
+12
106avg 103
A29/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
L
109-117
109
117
-8
102avg 103
A30/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
104-121
104
121
-17
92avg 103
A02/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
110-96
110
96
+14
100avg 103
A04/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
97-113
97
113
-16
92avg 103
A06/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
120-113
120
113
+7
118avg 103
H09/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
120-128
120
128
-8
109avg 103
H11/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
99-96
99
96
+3
91avg 103
H13/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
104-87
104
87
+17
103avg 103
H14/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
37-27
23-37
33-27
22-25
36-26
33-25
23-26
28-27
25-27
35-34
21-29
35-23
23-36
27-36
19-26
25-18
28-27
19-22
38-29
29-33
26-29
20-32
22-19
34-27
25-32
32-23
29-31
35-29
34-36
27-34
24-29
30-22
26-33
19-18
24-23
26-16
26-15
25-30
27-26
218.2Avg total
109.6Scored
108.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)112.3111.0223.3+1.359%
Season at home (19)115.5114.3229.7+1.263%
Season away (20)109.2107.9217.2+1.355%
Last 10 (10)109.6108.6218.2+1.060%
Last 5 (5)108.0107.4215.4+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)114.0120.0234.0-6.00%
vs Similar ◀ (21)113.8112.2226.0+1.657%
vs Weaker (7)112.1106.1218.3+6.086%
This opponent (Brooklyn Nets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: -0.5-0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: -0.5-0.5
Brooklyn NetsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Brooklyn NetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
65-56
65
56
+9
H24/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
61-54
61
54
+7
A27/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
59-66
59
66
-7
H28/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
53-54
53
54
-1
A30/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A01/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
34-59
34
59
-25
A03/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A04/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
75-47
75
47
+28
H06/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H07/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
34-54
34
54
-20
A11/01
NBA
108.7Avg total
53.9Scored
54.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.656.5112.1-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)59.354.8114.1+4.567%-
Last 30 away (15)51.958.3110.1-6.427%-
Last 10 (10)53.954.8108.7-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)49.051.8100.8-2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)53.657.6111.2-4.131%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)58.457.0115.4+1.457%-
vs Weaker (7)57.353.6110.9+3.771%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
63-49
63
49
+14
H26/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A29/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
L
53-54
53
54
-1
A30/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
58-59
58
59
-1
A02/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A04/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
55-62
55
62
-7
A06/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
D
59-59
59
59
+0
H09/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
69-65
69
65
+4
H11/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
56-55
56
55
+1
H13/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H14/01
NBA
110.6Avg total
57.6Scored
53.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.754.6113.3+4.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)60.055.8115.8+4.267%-
Last 30 away (15)57.553.3110.8+4.153%-
Last 10 (10)57.653.0110.6+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)58.254.4112.6+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)67.559.5127.0+8.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)58.955.8114.6+3.157%-
vs Weaker (7)55.949.6105.4+6.357%-
This opponent (Brooklyn Nets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brooklyn Netstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brooklyn Nets: 111.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.329.6
51.7%
54.4%59.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.210.7
31.3%
36.3%32.1
🏀 Free throws28.220.4
72.3%
78.2%20.4
They take 91.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 109.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.727.0
52.2%
54.4%54.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.011.7
35.5%
36.3%35.1
🏀 Free throws26.120.5
78.5%
78.2%20.5
They take 84.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brooklyn Nets
LLWLLLLLWW
Miami Heat
WWLWLWLLWW
#22
League position
#18
-7.2
Net rating
+1.0
111.3
Offensive rating
110.3
118.5
Defensive rating
109.2
49.9%
Effective FG%
52.6%
58.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
10.8%
Turnover %
12.4%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
22.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.3%
3-point %
35.5%
63.5%
Assist %
66.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.3 · 110.3Defence118.5 · 109.2Shooting49.9% · 52.6%3-point %31.3% · 35.5%Ball care10.8% · 12.4%Off. rebounds28.3% · 22.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Brooklyn Nets   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Brooklyn Nets wins
4
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/24ACleveland Cavaliers102-111
07/01/24HPortland Trail Blazers127-134 OT
06/01/24HOklahoma City Thunder124-115
04/01/24AHouston Rockets101-112
03/01/24ANew Orleans Pelicans85-112
01/01/24AOklahoma City Thunder108-124
30/12/23AWashington Wizards104-110
28/12/23HMilwaukee Bucks122-144
27/12/23ADetroit Pistons118-112
24/12/23HDetroit Pistons126-115
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/24HCharlotte Hornets104-87
13/01/24HOrlando Magic99-96
11/01/24HOklahoma City Thunder120-128
09/01/24HHouston Rockets120-113
06/01/24APhoenix Suns97-113
04/01/24ALos Angeles Lakers110-96
02/01/24ALos Angeles Clippers104-121
30/12/23AUtah Jazz109-117
29/12/23AGolden State Warriors114-102
26/12/23HPhiladelphia 76ers119-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL42%
HomeLWLWL53%
AwayLLLLL32%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381919
Win %42%53%32%
Points / game114.6116.9112.3
Allowed / game116.4114.0118.8
Point differential-1.8+2.9-6.6
Avg total231.0230.9231.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%32%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)0% (4)57% (7)
Overtime %5%5%5%
Miami Heat
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW59%
HomeWWLWW63%
AwayWLLWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games391920
Win %59%63%55%
Points / game112.3115.5109.2
Allowed / game111.0114.3107.9
Point differential+1.3+1.2+1.4
Avg total223.3229.7217.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%16%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)67% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics3830879%121.7111.4+10.3
2 Minnesota Timberwolves39281172%113.1107.3+5.8
3 Oklahoma City Thunder38271171%122.5113.4+9.1
4 Milwaukee Bucks38271171%124.6119.7+4.9
5 Denver Nuggets41281368%116.2111.0+5.2
6 Philadelphia 76ers38251366%119.8111.6+8.1
7 Los Angeles Clippers39251464%117.4111.9+5.5
8 Cleveland Cavaliers38231561%113.1110.7+2.3
9 Sacramento Kings38231561%118.2117.5+0.7
10 New Orleans Pelicans39231659%116.9111.4+5.6
11 New York Knicks39231659%114.9110.4+4.5
12 Miami Heat39231659%112.3111.0+1.3
13 Dallas Mavericks41241759%118.7117.1+1.5
14 Indiana Pacers37211657%126.2123.6+2.5
15 Phoenix Suns38211755%116.2114.6+1.6
16 Orlando Magic40221855%112.2111.2+0.9
17 Utah Jazz41212051%116.4118.5-2.1
18 Houston Rockets39192049%112.7111.8+0.9
19 Chicago Bulls42192345%110.1112.4-2.3
20 Golden State Warriors40182245%117.2118.2-1.0
21 Los Angeles Lakers38172145%113.8116.8-3.0
22 Brooklyn Nets38162242%114.6116.4-1.8
23 Atlanta Hawks39162341%121.3123.5-2.1
24 Toronto Raptors39152438%115.5117.1-1.6
25 Memphis Grizzlies40152538%108.2113.2-5.0
26 Portland Trail Blazers39102926%107.3117.1-9.8
27 Charlotte Hornets3782922%108.3120.1-11.8
28 San Antonio Spurs3973218%112.2121.4-9.1
29 Washington Wizards3973218%115.5125.3-9.8
30 Detroit Pistons4043610%111.8122.6-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Brooklyn Nets22232419795
Miami Heat16153720896
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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