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Miami Heat vs Brooklyn Nets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 109-107
32-31 32-29 22-24 23-23
Position#15
Record29-29
FormWWLLL
Points / game106.2
Allowed / game107.7
vs
Position#4
Record40-18
FormWLWLW
Points / game118.9
Allowed / game113.8
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Miami Heat v Brooklyn Nets
14 Feb 2027
MIA v BKN
upcoming
12 Jan 2027
MIA v BKN
upcoming
14 Oct 2026
MIA144
BKN128
05 Mar 2026
MIA126
BKN110
03 Mar 2026
MIA124
BKN98
23 Dec 2024
MIA110
BKN95
16 Nov 2023
MIA122
BKN115
01 Nov 2023
MIA105
BKN109
18 Oct 2023
MIA104
BKN107
25 Mar 2023
MIA100
BKN129
08 Jan 2023
MIA101
BKN102
26 Mar 2022
MIA95
BKN110
12 Feb 2022
MIA115
BKN111
18 Apr 2021
MIA109
BKN107
29 Feb 2020
MIA116
BKN113
02 Mar 2019
MIA117
BKN88
20 Nov 2018
MIA92
BKN104
31 Mar 2018
MIA109
BKN110
29 Dec 2017
MIA87
BKN111
30 Jan 2017
MIA104
BKN96
11 Oct 2016
MIA121
BKN100
28 Mar 2016
MIA110
BKN99
28 Dec 2015
MIA105
BKN111
05 Jul 2015
MIA71
BKN70
11 Mar 2015
MIA104
BKN98
04 Jan 2015
MIA88
BKN84
14 May 2014
MIA96
BKN94
08 May 2014
MIA94
BKN82
06 May 2014
MIA107
BKN86
08 Apr 2014
MIA87
BKN88
12 Mar 2014
MIA95
BKN96
25 Oct 2013
MIA87
BKN108
08 Jul 2013
MIA93
BKN86
01 Dec 2012
MIA102
BKN89
07 Nov 2012
MIA103
BKN73
06 Mar 2012
MIA108
BKN78
06 Nov 2010
MIA101
BKN89
14 Apr 2010
MIA94
BKN86
14 Nov 2009
MIA81
BKN80
03 Jan 2009
MIA101
BKN96
10 Nov 2008
MIA99
BKN94
09 Oct 2008
MIA98
BKN100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brooklyn Nets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#11
W
98-88
98
88
+10
A29/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
92-87
92
87
+5
A31/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
W
116-109
116
109
+7
H02/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
115-101
115
101
+14
H04/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
112-124
112
124
-12
H07/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
110-104
110
104
+6
H08/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
107-98
107
98
+9
A12/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
86-106
86
106
-20
A14/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
106-123
106
123
-17
A15/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
L
111-119
111
119
-8
A17/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
15-27
39-21
23-24
23-28
20-17
22-22
27-20
23-24
36-30
27-27
30-28
36-27
31-27
17-19
31-28
34-37
23-26
32-33
23-28
32-27
22-29
29-24
27-24
25-31
31-17
33-23
18-27
34-26
16-30
22-27
14-23
31-26
18-34
30-36
27-27
37-26
24-35
32-27
18-31
211.2Avg total
105.3Scored
105.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (58)106.2107.7214.0-1.550%
Season at home (29)108.0109.3217.3-1.352%
Season away (29)104.5106.1210.6-1.748%
Last 10 (10)105.3105.9211.2-0.660%
Last 5 (5)104.0110.0214.0-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)106.8116.0222.8-9.220%
vs Similar (19)105.2104.6209.8+0.558%
vs Weaker (6)110.0102.0212.0+8.083%
This opponent (Brooklyn Nets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brooklyn NetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
112-107
112
107
+5
H29/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
120-108
120
108
+12
H31/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
W
111-89
111
89
+22
H01/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
107-115
107
115
-8
A04/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
W
114-112
114
112
+2
H05/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
139-111
139
111
+28
H07/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
101-126
101
126
-25
H11/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
127-97
127
97
+30
A13/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
L
117-123
117
123
-6
A14/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
W
130-115
130
115
+15
H16/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-25
24-27
26-25
25-30
29-42
28-26
29-19
34-21
32-11
36-37
24-17
19-24
28-25
18-32
26-32
35-26
31-34
26-33
32-21
25-24
36-33
43-26
36-23
24-29
25-33
33-28
19-31
24-34
33-25
40-27
31-22
23-23
28-32
30-33
26-29
33-29
29-35
32-26
33-28
36-26
228.1Avg total
117.8Scored
110.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (58)118.9113.8232.7+5.169%
Season at home (31)118.0111.5229.5+6.577%
Season away (27)119.9116.5236.4+3.459%
Last 10 (10)117.8110.3228.1+7.570%
Last 5 (5)122.8114.4237.2+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)111.8115.3227.1-3.560%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)119.9108.3228.2+11.690%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +1.2+1.2
Miami HeatBrooklyn Nets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#11
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A29/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A31/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
W
59-54
59
54
+5
H02/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
67-54
67
54
+13
H04/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
57-63
57
63
-6
H07/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
54-56
54
56
-2
H08/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A12/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A14/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
49-60
49
60
-11
A15/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
D
61-61
61
61
+0
A17/04
NBA
107.2Avg total
53.2Scored
54.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.553.2106.7+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)56.055.1111.1+0.950%-
Last 30 away (16)51.251.6102.8-0.344%-
Last 10 (10)53.254.0107.2-0.830%-
Last 5 (5)54.056.2110.2-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)52.258.8111.0-6.620%-
vs Similar (19)52.551.7104.2+0.747%-
vs Weaker (6)57.753.3111.0+4.367%-
This opponent (Brooklyn Nets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brooklyn NetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
61-52
61
52
+9
H29/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
L
57-68
57
68
-11
H31/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
W
68-48
68
48
+20
H01/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
46-57
46
57
-11
A04/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
L
57-67
57
67
-10
H05/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
79-59
79
59
+20
H07/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H11/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
73-52
73
52
+21
A13/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
L
58-65
58
65
-7
A14/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
D
61-61
61
61
+0
H16/04
NBA
120.8Avg total
61.8Scored
59.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.457.4118.8+4.060%-
Last 30 at home (15)62.955.9118.8+6.967%-
Last 30 away (15)59.958.9118.9+1.053%-
Last 10 (10)61.859.0120.8+2.840%-
Last 5 (5)65.859.6125.4+6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)58.460.9119.3-2.540%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)62.955.7118.6+7.270%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 105.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.526.1
56.1%
52.8%52.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.011.9
35.0%
36.6%35.7
🏀 Free throws23.217.4
75.0%
77.7%17.4
They take 80.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brooklyn Netstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brooklyn Nets: 117.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.530.9
56.7%
52.8%61.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.712.8
38.0%
36.6%38.4
🏀 Free throws20.317.6
86.7%
77.7%17.6
They take 88.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LLLWWLWWWW
Brooklyn Nets
WLWLWWLWWW
#15
League position
#4
-0.4
Net rating
+7.4
109.0
Offensive rating
116.0
109.4
Defensive rating
108.6
54.6%
Effective FG%
56.8%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
12.7%
Turnover %
13.9%
17.2%
Off. rebound %
23.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.23
35.0%
3-point %
38.0%
71.6%
Assist %
66.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence109.0 · 116.0Defence109.4 · 108.6Shooting54.6% · 56.8%3-point %35.0% · 38.0%Ball care12.7% · 13.9%Off. rebounds17.2% · 23.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Brooklyn Nets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Miami Heat wins
6
Brooklyn Nets wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/04/21AMinnesota Timberwolves111-119
15/04/21ADenver Nuggets106-123
14/04/21APhoenix Suns86-106
12/04/21APortland Trail Blazers107-98
08/04/21HLos Angeles Lakers110-104
07/04/21HMemphis Grizzlies112-124
04/04/21HCleveland Cavaliers115-101
02/04/21HGolden State Warriors116-109
31/03/21AIndiana Pacers92-87
29/03/21ANew York Knicks98-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/04/21HCharlotte Hornets130-115
14/04/21APhiladelphia 76ers117-123
13/04/21AMinnesota Timberwolves127-97
11/04/21HLos Angeles Lakers101-126
07/04/21HNew Orleans Pelicans139-111
05/04/21HNew York Knicks114-112
04/04/21AChicago Bulls107-115
01/04/21HCharlotte Hornets111-89
31/03/21HHouston Rockets120-108
29/03/21HMinnesota Timberwolves112-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL50%
HomeLWWLW52%
AwayWWLLL48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games582929
Win %50%52%48%
Points / game106.2108.0104.5
Allowed / game107.7109.3106.1
Point differential-1.5-1.3-1.7
Avg total214.0217.3210.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%24%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (15)29% (7)50% (8)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Brooklyn Nets
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW69%
HomeWWWLW77%
AwayLWLWL59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games583127
Win %69%77%59%
Points / game118.9118.0119.9
Allowed / game113.8111.5116.5
Point differential+5.1+6.5+3.4
Avg total232.7229.5236.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%35%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won74% (19)82% (11)62% (8)
Overtime %7%3%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz60451575%117.0107.5+9.5
2 Philadelphia 76ers58411771%113.6108.2+5.4
3 Brooklyn Nets58401869%118.9113.8+5.1
4 Phoenix Suns60402067%113.8108.2+5.5
5 Denver Nuggets59382164%115.5109.3+6.2
6 Los Angeles Clippers61392264%114.0108.5+5.5
7 Los Angeles Lakers61392264%110.2105.8+4.4
8 Milwaukee Bucks59352459%118.6113.4+5.2
9 Portland Trail Blazers59332656%114.0115.1-1.1
10 Dallas Mavericks58322655%111.9110.1+1.8
11 New York Knicks62342855%105.7103.5+2.2
12 Memphis Grizzlies59322754%113.7111.4+2.3
13 Atlanta Hawks61332854%113.4111.8+1.7
14 Boston Celtics59312853%112.1110.5+1.5
15 Golden State Warriors60303050%112.9113.3-0.4
16 Miami Heat58292950%106.2107.7-1.5
17 Charlotte Hornets59283147%110.4111.8-1.5
18 San Antonio Spurs58273147%110.3111.8-1.5
19 New Orleans Pelicans59273246%114.7114.7+0.0
20 Indiana Pacers59263344%113.5114.4-0.9
21 Chicago Bulls60263443%112.0112.9-1.0
22 Toronto Raptors60253542%111.9111.3+0.6
23 Washington Wizards59243541%113.2117.5-4.3
24 Sacramento Kings60243640%113.9118.5-4.6
25 Cleveland Cavaliers60223837%103.5110.8-7.3
26 Oklahoma City Thunder59213836%105.5114.2-8.7
27 Orlando Magic60204033%105.0112.3-7.4
28 Detroit Pistons61194231%106.7110.1-3.4
29 Houston Rockets60174328%108.5114.2-5.7
30 Minnesota Timberwolves60164427%110.4118.0-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat32322223109
Brooklyn Nets31292423107
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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