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Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 May 2022
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 103-111
22-29 24-19 29-34 28-29
Position#6
Record62-36
FormLWLWW
Points / game111.1
Allowed / game103.9
vs
Position#4
Record63-35
FormWLWLL
Points / game109.1
Allowed / game104.7
USANBANBA - Semi-finals· TD Garden
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Miami Heat
02 Apr 2027
BOS v MIA
upcoming
25 Dec 2026
BOS v MIA
upcoming
06 Feb 2026
BOS98
MIA96
19 Dec 2025
BOS129
MIA116
02 Apr 2025
BOS103
MIA124
02 Dec 2024
BOS108
MIA89
01 May 2024
BOS118
MIA84
24 Apr 2024
BOS101
MIA111
21 Apr 2024
BOS114
MIA94
27 Oct 2023
BOS119
MIA111
29 May 2023
BOS84
MIA103
25 May 2023
BOS110
MIA97
19 May 2023
BOS105
MIA111
17 May 2023
BOS116
MIA123
02 Dec 2022
BOS116
MIA120
30 Nov 2022
BOS134
MIA121
27 May 2022
BOS103
MIA111
23 May 2022
BOS102
MIA82
21 May 2022
BOS103
MIA109
30 Mar 2022
BOS98
MIA106
31 Jan 2022
BOS122
MIA92
11 May 2021
BOS121
MIA129
09 May 2021
BOS124
MIA130
25 Sep 2020
BOS121
MIA108
17 Sep 2020
BOS101
MIA106
15 Sep 2020
BOS114
MIA117
04 Dec 2019
BOS112
MIA93
01 Apr 2019
BOS110
MIA105
21 Jan 2019
BOS107
MIA99
20 Dec 2017
BOS89
MIA90
26 Mar 2017
BOS112
MIA108
30 Dec 2016
BOS117
MIA114
13 Apr 2016
BOS98
MIA88
27 Feb 2016
BOS101
MIA89
25 Mar 2015
BOS86
MIA93
01 Feb 2015
BOS75
MIA83
19 Mar 2014
BOS101
MIA96
18 Mar 2013
BOS103
MIA105
27 Jan 2013
BOS100
MIA98
07 Jun 2012
BOS79
MIA98
03 Jun 2012
BOS93
MIA91
01 Jun 2012
BOS101
MIA91
24 Apr 2012
BOS78
MIA66
01 Apr 2012
BOS91
MIA72
09 May 2011
BOS90
MIA98
07 May 2011
BOS97
MIA81
13 Feb 2011
BOS85
MIA82
26 Oct 2010
BOS88
MIA80
27 Apr 2010
BOS96
MIA86
20 Apr 2010
BOS106
MIA77
17 Apr 2010
BOS85
MIA76
03 Feb 2010
BOS107
MIA102
10 Apr 2009
BOS105
MIA98
18 Mar 2009
BOS112
MIA108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
101-103
101
103
-2
90avg 105
A07/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
116-108
116
108
+8
110avg 105
A09/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
107-110
107
110
-3
101avg 105
H11/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
108-95
108
95
+13
96avg 105
A13/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
109-81
109
81
+28
104avg 105
H15/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
L
107-118
107
118
-11
97avg 105
A18/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
127-102
127
102
+25
125avg 105
A20/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
L
103-109
103
109
-6
102avg 105
H22/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
102-82
102
82
+20
102avg 105
H24/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
93-80
93
80
+13
94avg 105
A26/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
31-24
17-34
34-23
18-25
29-23
26-32
43-28
26-28
28-19
32-30
21-33
28-26
25-17
29-27
26-25
20-26
28-17
31-21
30-17
28-25
34-29
14-39
31-25
35-24
35-21
26-26
31-31
18-39
29-23
25-25
31-22
29-11
28-22
19-19
26-30
17-19
20-23
32-16
24-22
206.1Avg total
107.3Scored
98.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (98)111.1103.9215.0+7.363%
Season at home (49)110.0103.0212.9+7.067%
Season away (49)112.2104.8217.0+7.559%
Last 10 (10)107.398.8206.1+8.560%
Last 5 (5)106.498.2204.6+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)108.799.9208.6+8.856%
vs Weaker (12)122.6108.8231.4+13.892%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
W
119-103
119
103
+16
118avg 102
H04/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
79-99
79
99
-20
61avg 102
A06/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
108-116
108
116
-8
98avg 102
A09/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
W
120-85
120
85
+35
118avg 102
H10/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
W
99-90
99
90
+9
92avg 102
A12/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
W
118-107
118
107
+11
108avg 102
H18/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
102-127
102
127
-25
90avg 102
H20/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
W
109-103
109
103
+6
93avg 102
A22/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
82-102
82
102
-20
64avg 102
A24/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
80-93
80
93
-13
60avg 102
H26/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-24
29-28
31-28
28-23
17-21
17-20
31-27
14-31
28-30
28-34
29-25
23-27
31-19
25-25
25-22
39-19
28-25
21-23
25-15
25-27
25-28
29-34
39-14
25-31
24-35
21-35
26-26
31-31
39-18
23-29
25-25
22-31
11-29
22-28
19-19
30-26
19-17
23-20
16-32
22-24
204.1Avg total
101.6Scored
102.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (98)109.1104.7213.8+4.464%
Season at home (50)110.3104.2214.5+6.072%
Season away (48)107.9105.2213.1+2.756%
Last 10 (10)101.6102.5204.1-0.950%
Last 5 (5)98.2106.4204.6-8.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (23)104.8103.2208.0+1.657%
vs Weaker (7)119.0109.4228.4+9.671%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +6.9+6.9Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -1.1-1.1
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +6.9+6.9Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -1.1-1.1
Boston CelticsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A07/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A09/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H11/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A13/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H15/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
62-54
62
54
+8
A18/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
70-45
70
45
+25
A20/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
L
47-62
47
62
-15
H22/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
57-33
57
33
+24
H24/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A26/05
NBA
98.8Avg total
52.5Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.149.7107.9+8.470%-
Last 30 at home (14)57.950.9108.7+7.064%-
Last 30 away (16)58.448.8107.1+9.675%-
Last 10 (10)52.546.398.8+6.270%-
Last 5 (5)54.647.2101.8+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)54.646.9101.5+7.667%-
vs Weaker (12)63.553.9117.4+9.675%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
W
60-52
60
52
+8
H04/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A06/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
56-64
56
64
-8
A09/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H10/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A12/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
54-62
54
62
-8
H18/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
45-70
45
70
-25
H20/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
W
62-47
62
47
+15
A22/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
33-57
33
57
-24
A24/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H26/05
NBA
101.3Avg total
49.1Scored
52.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.352.9107.2+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (18)55.952.2108.1+3.767%-
Last 30 away (12)51.854.0105.8-2.242%-
Last 10 (10)49.152.2101.3-3.150%-
Last 5 (5)47.254.6101.8-7.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (23)51.852.5104.3-0.748%-
vs Weaker (7)62.354.3116.6+8.086%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 107.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.823.5
53.7%
53.1%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.213.3
35.8%
35.3%39.9
🏀 Free throws25.620.4
79.7%
77.4%20.4
They take 81.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 101.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.727.2
52.6%
53.1%54.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.310.0
30.0%
35.3%30.0
🏀 Free throws21.517.2
80.0%
77.4%17.2
They take 85.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 May 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
WWLWLWWLWL
Miami Heat
LLWLWWWLLW
#6
League position
#4
+8.7
Net rating
-0.9
110.2
Offensive rating
106.7
101.5
Defensive rating
107.7
53.6%
Effective FG%
49.6%
45.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
12.9%
Turnover %
12.1%
19.3%
Off. rebound %
23.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.25
35.8%
3-point %
30.0%
65.2%
Assist %
55.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.2 · 106.7Defence101.5 · 107.7Shooting53.6% · 49.6%3-point %35.8% · 30.0%Ball care12.9% · 12.1%Off. rebounds19.3% · 23.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Boston Celtics wins
5
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/05/22AMiami Heat93-80
24/05/22HMiami Heat102-82
22/05/22HMiami Heat103-109
20/05/22AMiami Heat127-102
18/05/22AMiami Heat107-118
15/05/22HMilwaukee Bucks109-81
13/05/22AMilwaukee Bucks108-95
11/05/22HMilwaukee Bucks107-110
09/05/22AMilwaukee Bucks116-108
07/05/22AMilwaukee Bucks101-103
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/05/22HBoston Celtics80-93
24/05/22ABoston Celtics82-102
22/05/22ABoston Celtics109-103
20/05/22HBoston Celtics102-127
18/05/22HBoston Celtics118-107
12/05/22APhiladelphia 76ers99-90
10/05/22HPhiladelphia 76ers120-85
09/05/22APhiladelphia 76ers108-116
06/05/22APhiladelphia 76ers79-99
04/05/22HPhiladelphia 76ers119-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW63%
HomeWLWLW67%
AwayWWLWW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games984949
Win %63%67%59%
Points / game111.1110.0112.2
Allowed / game103.9103.0104.8
Point differential+7.3+7.0+7.5
Avg total215.0212.9217.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%39%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (24)46% (13)9% (11)
Overtime %7%6%8%
Miami Heat
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL64%
HomeWWWLL72%
AwayLLWWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games985048
Win %64%72%56%
Points / game109.1110.3107.9
Allowed / game104.7104.2105.2
Point differential+4.4+6.0+2.7
Avg total213.8214.5213.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%46%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (20)88% (8)33% (12)
Overtime %4%2%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Phoenix Suns95712475%113.8107.5+6.3
2 Golden State Warriors98653366%111.6106.1+5.5
3 Memphis Grizzlies94623266%115.2109.9+5.3
4 Miami Heat98633564%109.1104.7+4.4
5 Boston Celtics98623663%111.1103.9+7.3
6 Milwaukee Bucks94583662%113.9110.7+3.1
7 Dallas Mavericks100613961%107.7104.9+2.8
8 Philadelphia 76ers94573761%109.2106.9+2.3
9 Utah Jazz88513758%112.6107.4+5.2
10 Toronto Raptors88503857%109.0107.4+1.6
11 Denver Nuggets87493856%112.6110.9+1.7
12 Minnesota Timberwolves89494055%115.4113.3+2.1
13 Chicago Bulls87474054%110.7111.9-1.2
14 Cleveland Cavaliers84444052%107.7105.8+1.9
15 Charlotte Hornets83434052%115.2115.1+0.1
16 Brooklyn Nets87454252%112.7112.1+0.6
17 Atlanta Hawks89464352%113.1112.0+1.2
18 Los Angeles Clippers84424250%108.3108.4-0.1
19 New York Knicks82374545%106.5106.6-0.1
20 New Orleans Pelicans90405044%109.3110.2-0.8
21 Washington Wizards82354743%108.6112.0-3.4
22 San Antonio Spurs83344941%113.0113.0+0.0
23 Los Angeles Lakers82334940%112.1115.1-3.0
24 Sacramento Kings82305237%110.3115.8-5.5
25 Portland Trail Blazers82275533%106.2115.1-8.9
26 Indiana Pacers82255730%111.5114.9-3.5
27 Oklahoma City Thunder82245829%103.7111.8-8.1
28 Detroit Pistons82235928%104.8112.5-7.7
29 Orlando Magic82226027%104.2112.2-8.0
30 Houston Rockets82206224%109.7118.2-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boston Celtics22242928103
Miami Heat29193429111
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