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Brooklyn Nets vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 116-105
26-25 26-31 31-24 33-25
Position#13
Record33-24
FormLLWLL
Points / game114.0
Allowed / game112.4
vs
Position#10
Record32-26
FormLWWWL
Points / game108.4
Allowed / game108.2
USANBA· Barclays Center
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Brooklyn Nets v Miami Heat
25 Jan 2027
BKN v MIA
upcoming
07 Jan 2027
BKN v MIA
upcoming
18 Dec 2025
BKN95
MIA106
07 Feb 2025
BKN102
MIA86
25 Jan 2025
BKN97
MIA106
15 Jan 2024
BKN95
MIA96
25 Nov 2023
BKN112
MIA97
15 Feb 2023
BKN116
MIA105
03 Mar 2022
BKN107
MIA113
27 Oct 2021
BKN93
MIA106
25 Jan 2021
BKN98
MIA85
23 Jan 2021
BKN128
MIA124
10 Jan 2020
BKN117
MIA113
01 Dec 2019
BKN106
MIA109
10 Apr 2019
BKN113
MIA94
14 Nov 2018
BKN107
MIA120
19 Jan 2018
BKN101
MIA95
09 Dec 2017
BKN89
MIA101
10 Feb 2017
BKN99
MIA108
25 Jan 2017
BKN106
MIA109
26 Jan 2016
BKN98
MIA102
16 Dec 2015
BKN98
MIA104
16 Dec 2014
BKN91
MIA95
17 Nov 2014
BKN83
MIA95
12 May 2014
BKN96
MIA102
10 May 2014
BKN104
MIA90
10 Jan 2014
BKN104
MIA95
01 Nov 2013
BKN101
MIA100
30 Jan 2013
BKN85
MIA105
16 Apr 2012
BKN98
MIA101
07 Jan 2012
BKN90
MIA101
03 Apr 2011
BKN94
MIA108
31 Oct 2010
BKN78
MIA101
22 Mar 2010
BKN89
MIA99
17 Feb 2010
BKN84
MIA87
20 Mar 2009
BKN96
MIA88
20 Dec 2008
BKN103
MIA106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brooklyn Nets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brooklyn NetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNets
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
122-130
122
130
-8
109avg 108
H27/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
W
122-115
122
115
+7
116avg 108
H28/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
121-104
121
104
+17
113avg 108
H31/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
96-139
96
139
-43
77avg 108
A02/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
125-123
125
123
+2
115avg 108
H04/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
116-124
116
124
-8
108avg 108
H07/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
112-116
112
116
-4
106avg 108
H08/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
116-105
116
105
+11
109avg 108
H10/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
98-101
98
101
-3
85avg 108
H11/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
106-124
106
124
-18
94avg 108
A14/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-30
32-28
31-43
32-29
28-22
34-27
26-32
34-34
29-16
29-30
27-36
36-22
16-46
29-33
27-31
24-29
25-44
30-29
37-26
33-24
27-29
26-26
35-36
28-33
25-24
26-33
30-30
31-29
19-26
34-24
26-34
37-21
28-26
32-26
22-24
16-25
26-32
35-26
22-35
23-31
231.5Avg total
113.4Scored
118.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (57)114.0112.4226.4+1.658%
Season at home (28)115.2111.0226.1+4.261%
Season away (29)112.8113.8226.7-1.055%
Last 10 (10)113.4118.1231.5-4.740%
Last 5 (5)109.6114.0223.6-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)106.3121.7228.0-15.333%
vs Similar ◀ (22)116.3113.3229.6+3.064%
vs Weaker (5)121.2113.2234.4+8.060%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#3
W
98-95
98
95
+3
84avg 100
H25/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
110-105
110
105
+5
103avg 100
H28/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
L
117-122
117
122
-5
104avg 100
A29/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
100-97
100
97
+3
93avg 100
A01/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
104-106
104
106
-2
91avg 100
A03/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
115-123
115
123
-8
99avg 100
A05/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
116-111
116
111
+5
113avg 100
H09/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
97-95
97
95
+2
90avg 100
H11/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
107-103 OT
107
103
+4
101avg 100
A12/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
108-112
108
112
-4
95avg 100
H14/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-30
18-28
25-24
23-13
26-31
24-28
23-20
37-26
28-26
34-32
24-33
31-31
24-26
31-26
24-27
21-18
22-28
26-23
24-26
32-29
26-34
36-28
30-32
23-29
39-30
21-33
29-20
27-28
28-29
30-27
17-17
22-22
19-29
27-25
26-25
25-18
36-27
26-38
21-24
25-23
214.1Avg total
107.2Scored
106.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (58)108.4108.2216.6+0.255%
Season at home (29)108.7107.2215.8+1.566%
Season away (29)108.1109.2217.3-1.045%
Last 10 (10)107.2106.9214.1+0.360%
Last 5 (5)108.6108.8217.4-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)106.2107.0213.2-0.850%
vs Similar ◀ (22)109.4107.2216.6+2.164%
vs Weaker (4)109.0106.5215.5+2.575%
This opponent (Brooklyn Nets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +2.9+2.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +2.9+2.9
Brooklyn NetsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Brooklyn NetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
59-58
59
58
+1
H27/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
W
62-49
62
49
+13
H28/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
58-46
58
46
+12
H31/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
45-79
45
79
-34
A02/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
55-73
55
73
-18
H04/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
53-55
53
55
-2
H07/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H08/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H10/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
60-52
60
52
+8
H11/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A14/02
NBA
113.4Avg total
55.7Scored
57.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.859.0117.8-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (13)60.253.3113.5+6.969%-
Last 30 away (17)57.763.4121.1-5.629%-
Last 10 (10)55.757.7113.4-2.060%-
Last 5 (5)55.654.4110.0+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)55.762.7118.3-7.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)59.059.4118.4-0.445%-
vs Weaker (5)59.855.2115.0+4.660%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#3
L
50-58
50
58
-8
H25/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
L
50-59
50
59
-9
H28/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
62-58
62
58
+4
A29/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A01/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A03/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
D
62-62
62
62
+0
A05/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
60-63
60
63
-3
H09/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H11/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A12/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H14/02
NBA
113.1Avg total
55.3Scored
57.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.655.4112.1+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.855.4111.2+0.450%-
Last 30 away (16)57.455.4112.8+1.950%-
Last 10 (10)55.357.8113.1-2.530%-
Last 5 (5)57.660.0117.6-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)56.058.8114.8-2.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)56.254.9111.1+1.450%-
vs Weaker (4)59.555.2114.8+4.275%-
This opponent (Brooklyn Nets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brooklyn Netstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brooklyn Nets: 113.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.126.2
51.3%
54.5%52.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.314.1
38.8%
35.8%42.3
🏀 Free throws23.018.7
81.3%
78.1%18.7
They take 87.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 107.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.227.2
50.2%
54.5%54.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.610.9
33.4%
35.8%32.7
🏀 Free throws23.820.1
84.5%
78.1%20.1
They take 86.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Feb 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brooklyn Nets
LLWLLWLWWL
Miami Heat
LWWWLLWLWW
#13
League position
#10
-4.7
Net rating
+0.3
114.1
Offensive rating
108.9
118.9
Defensive rating
108.6
54.2%
Effective FG%
50.2%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
11.5%
Turnover %
11.4%
21.7%
Off. rebound %
22.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.27
38.8%
3-point %
33.4%
57.6%
Assist %
61.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.1 · 108.9Defence118.9 · 108.6Shooting54.2% · 50.2%3-point %38.8% · 33.4%Ball care11.5% · 11.4%Off. rebounds21.7% · 22.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Brooklyn Nets   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Brooklyn Nets wins
5
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/23ANew York Knicks106-124
11/02/23HPhiladelphia 76ers98-101
10/02/23HChicago Bulls116-105
08/02/23HPhoenix Suns112-116
07/02/23HLos Angeles Clippers116-124
04/02/23HWashington Wizards125-123
02/02/23ABoston Celtics96-139
31/01/23HLos Angeles Lakers121-104
28/01/23HNew York Knicks122-115
27/01/23HDetroit Pistons122-130
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/23HDenver Nuggets108-112
12/02/23AOrlando Magic107-103 OT
11/02/23HHouston Rockets97-95
09/02/23HIndiana Pacers116-111
05/02/23AMilwaukee Bucks115-123
03/02/23ANew York Knicks104-106
01/02/23ACleveland Cavaliers100-97
29/01/23ACharlotte Hornets117-122
28/01/23HOrlando Magic110-105
25/01/23HBoston Celtics98-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL58%
HomeWLLWL61%
AwayWWLLL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games572829
Win %58%61%55%
Points / game114.0115.2112.8
Allowed / game112.4111.0113.8
Point differential+1.6+4.2-1.0
Avg total226.4226.1226.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%29%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won65% (17)50% (6)73% (11)
Overtime %2%4%0%
Miami Heat
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL55%
HomeWWWWL66%
AwayLWLLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games582929
Win %55%66%45%
Points / game108.4108.7108.1
Allowed / game108.2107.2109.2
Point differential+0.2+1.5-1.0
Avg total216.6215.8217.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%10%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (32)72% (18)50% (14)
Overtime %7%3%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics58411771%117.7111.8+5.9
2 Milwaukee Bucks57401770%114.9111.8+3.1
3 Denver Nuggets58401869%117.1112.8+4.3
4 Philadelphia 76ers56371966%114.3110.4+3.9
5 Cleveland Cavaliers60382263%111.8105.9+5.8
6 Memphis Grizzlies56342261%116.1112.2+3.9
7 Brooklyn Nets57332458%114.0112.4+1.6
8 Sacramento Kings57322556%119.5117.2+2.3
9 Miami Heat58322655%108.4108.2+0.2
10 New York Knicks59322754%114.4112.5+1.9
11 Phoenix Suns59322754%112.8111.2+1.5
12 Los Angeles Clippers60322853%111.4111.2+0.2
13 Dallas Mavericks59312853%113.1112.4+0.6
14 New Orleans Pelicans58302852%115.1113.4+1.7
15 Minnesota Timberwolves60312952%115.9115.8+0.1
16 Golden State Warriors58292950%118.6118.5+0.1
17 Atlanta Hawks58292950%116.7116.7+0.0
18 Utah Jazz59293049%117.7117.2+0.4
19 Portland Trail Blazers58283048%114.9115.0-0.2
20 Oklahoma City Thunder56272948%117.6116.6+1.0
21 Toronto Raptors59283147%113.3112.5+0.9
22 Washington Wizards57273047%113.6113.5+0.2
23 Chicago Bulls58263245%113.3113.4-0.1
24 Los Angeles Lakers58263245%117.0118.4-1.5
25 Indiana Pacers60263443%114.5117.1-2.6
26 Orlando Magic59243541%110.9113.7-2.8
27 Charlotte Hornets60174328%112.5118.9-6.4
28 Detroit Pistons58154326%112.3119.7-7.4
29 San Antonio Spurs59144524%112.4122.6-10.2
30 Houston Rockets57134423%110.0117.9-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brooklyn Nets26263133116
Miami Heat25312425105
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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