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Brooklyn Nets vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 97-106
17-24 32-29 19-29 29-24
Position#25
Record14-31
FormLLLLL
Points / game105.9
Allowed / game113.6
vs
Position#20
Record21-22
FormLLWLL
Points / game110.8
Allowed / game110.5
USANBA· Barclays Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Brooklyn Nets v Miami Heat
25 Jan 2027
BKN v MIA
upcoming
07 Jan 2027
BKN v MIA
upcoming
18 Dec 2025
BKN95
MIA106
07 Feb 2025
BKN102
MIA86
25 Jan 2025
BKN97
MIA106
15 Jan 2024
BKN95
MIA96
25 Nov 2023
BKN112
MIA97
15 Feb 2023
BKN116
MIA105
03 Mar 2022
BKN107
MIA113
27 Oct 2021
BKN93
MIA106
25 Jan 2021
BKN98
MIA85
23 Jan 2021
BKN128
MIA124
10 Jan 2020
BKN117
MIA113
01 Dec 2019
BKN106
MIA109
10 Apr 2019
BKN113
MIA94
14 Nov 2018
BKN107
MIA120
19 Jan 2018
BKN101
MIA95
09 Dec 2017
BKN89
MIA101
10 Feb 2017
BKN99
MIA108
25 Jan 2017
BKN106
MIA109
26 Jan 2016
BKN98
MIA102
16 Dec 2015
BKN98
MIA104
16 Dec 2014
BKN91
MIA95
17 Nov 2014
BKN83
MIA95
12 May 2014
BKN96
MIA102
10 May 2014
BKN104
MIA90
10 Jan 2014
BKN104
MIA95
01 Nov 2013
BKN101
MIA100
30 Jan 2013
BKN85
MIA105
16 Apr 2012
BKN98
MIA101
07 Jan 2012
BKN90
MIA101
03 Apr 2011
BKN94
MIA108
31 Oct 2010
BKN78
MIA101
22 Mar 2010
BKN89
MIA99
17 Feb 2010
BKN84
MIA87
20 Mar 2009
BKN96
MIA88
20 Dec 2008
BKN103
MIA106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brooklyn Nets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brooklyn NetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNets
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
99-113
99
113
-14
87avg 98
H07/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
98-113
98
113
-15
86avg 98
H09/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
105-124
105
124
-19
93avg 98
A11/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
L
111-112 OT
111
112
-1
103avg 98
A13/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
132-114
132
114
+18
135avg 98
A15/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
67-126
67
126
-59
45avg 98
A16/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
101-102
101
102
-1
99avg 98
A18/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
101-127
101
127
-26
91avg 98
A20/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
95-99
95
99
-4
83avg 98
H22/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
L
84-108
84
108
-24
69avg 98
H23/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
17-31
31-23
29-35
25-27
24-32
21-32
28-22
36-32
23-33
20-29
26-30
27-26
21-23
30-36
24-17
40-30
26-31
32-27
34-26
21-21
14-37
16-44
16-24
23-24
22-27
23-21
33-30
19-39
30-30
28-29
24-29
26-24
25-35
24-25
20-15
16-28
26-26
26-28
16-26
213.1Avg total
99.3Scored
113.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)105.9113.6219.4-7.731%
Season at home (19)103.1112.6215.7-9.626%
Season away (26)107.9114.2222.2-6.335%
Last 10 (10)99.3113.8213.1-14.510%
Last 5 (5)89.6112.4202.0-22.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)103.2113.0216.3-9.829%
vs Similar (6)101.8112.8214.7-11.017%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
118-123 OT
118
123
-5
105avg 104
A07/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
114-98
114
98
+16
112avg 104
A08/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
97-92
97
92
+5
89avg 104
A10/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
119-98
119
98
+21
114avg 104
A12/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
98-109
98
109
-11
90avg 104
A14/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
108-117
108
117
-9
108avg 104
A16/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
113-133
113
133
-20
109avg 104
H18/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
128-107
128
107
+21
130avg 104
H19/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
107-116
107
116
-9
99avg 104
H22/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
96-125
96
125
-29
86avg 104
A24/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-23
19-27
31-18
24-34
29-23
32-25
23-30
30-20
20-27
26-14
22-29
29-22
29-23
37-25
28-35
25-15
35-28
13-15
20-36
30-30
38-34
28-20
19-29
23-34
24-30
31-37
31-31
27-35
20-30
26-11
46-27
36-39
38-34
17-27
22-36
30-19
30-27
25-44
19-23
22-31
221.6Avg total
109.8Scored
111.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)110.8110.5221.3+0.349%
Season at home (20)112.7110.7223.3+2.055%
Season away (23)109.1110.3219.5-1.243%
Last 10 (10)109.8111.8221.6-2.040%
Last 5 (5)110.4119.6230.0-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)102.0106.8208.8-4.840%
vs Similar (20)114.3113.0227.4+1.345%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)104.8105.0209.8-0.280%
This opponent (Brooklyn Nets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -7.7-7.7Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -0.3-0.3
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -7.7-7.7Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -0.3-0.3
Brooklyn NetsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Brooklyn NetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
39-55
39
55
-16
H07/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
49-59
49
59
-10
H09/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
59-65
59
65
-6
A11/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A13/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
66-61
66
61
+5
A15/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
35-58
35
58
-23
A16/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A18/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
49-69
49
69
-20
A20/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
51-59
51
59
-8
H22/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H23/01
NBA
106.3Avg total
48.3Scored
58.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.756.5108.2-4.823%-
Last 30 at home (12)46.354.2100.6-7.917%-
Last 30 away (18)55.357.9113.2-2.728%-
Last 10 (10)48.358.0106.3-9.710%-
Last 5 (5)44.458.2102.6-13.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)51.957.0108.8-5.125%-
vs Similar (6)51.054.5105.5-3.517%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A07/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
61-48
61
48
+13
A08/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A10/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
66-48
66
48
+18
A12/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A14/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
66-54
66
54
+12
A16/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
55-67
55
67
-12
H18/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H19/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
55-61
55
61
-6
H22/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
55-71
55
71
-16
A24/01
NBA
106.9Avg total
54.5Scored
52.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.854.8109.6-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)54.156.3110.4-2.147%-
Last 30 away (15)55.453.4108.8+2.053%-
Last 10 (10)54.552.4106.9+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)55.458.8114.2-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)50.450.8101.2-0.460%-
vs Similar (20)57.057.0114.0-0.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)50.250.0100.2+0.280%-
This opponent (Brooklyn Nets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brooklyn Netstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brooklyn Nets: 99.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.224.6
49.0%
54.3%49.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.311.9
31.1%
35.9%35.7
🏀 Free throws19.714.4
73.1%
77.8%14.4
They take 88.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 109.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.226.2
54.4%
54.3%52.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.314.6
34.5%
35.9%43.8
🏀 Free throws16.513.6
82.4%
77.8%13.6
They take 90.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brooklyn Nets
LLLLLWLLLL
Miami Heat
LLWLLLWWWL
#25
League position
#20
-14.8
Net rating
-2.0
101.5
Offensive rating
109.7
116.3
Defensive rating
111.7
48.0%
Effective FG%
53.1%
57.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
15.0%
Turnover %
11.7%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
20.8%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.18
31.1%
3-point %
34.5%
65.8%
Assist %
68.1%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence101.5 · 109.7Defence116.3 · 111.7Shooting48.0% · 53.1%3-point %31.1% · 34.5%Ball care15.0% · 11.7%Off. rebounds29.0% · 20.8%Free throws0.22 · 0.18Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ Brooklyn Nets   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Brooklyn Nets wins
4
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/25HPhoenix Suns84-108
22/01/25HNew York Knicks95-99
20/01/25AOklahoma City Thunder101-127
18/01/25ALos Angeles Lakers101-102
16/01/25ALos Angeles Clippers67-126
15/01/25APortland Trail Blazers132-114
13/01/25AUtah Jazz111-112 OT
11/01/25ADenver Nuggets105-124
09/01/25HDetroit Pistons98-113
07/01/25HIndiana Pacers99-113
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/25AMilwaukee Bucks96-125
22/01/25HPortland Trail Blazers107-116
19/01/25HSan Antonio Spurs128-107
18/01/25HDenver Nuggets113-133
16/01/25ALos Angeles Lakers108-117
14/01/25ALos Angeles Clippers98-109
12/01/25APortland Trail Blazers119-98
10/01/25AUtah Jazz97-92
08/01/25AGolden State Warriors114-98
07/01/25ASacramento Kings118-123 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL31%
HomeLLLLL26%
AwayLWLLL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games451926
Win %31%26%35%
Points / game105.9103.1107.9
Allowed / game113.6112.6114.2
Point differential-7.7-9.6-6.3
Avg total219.4215.7222.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%5%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (15)40% (5)30% (10)
Overtime %7%5%8%
Miami Heat
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL49%
HomeLLLWL55%
AwayWWLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games432023
Win %49%55%43%
Points / game110.8112.7109.1
Allowed / game110.5110.7110.3
Point differential+0.3+2.0-1.2
Avg total221.3223.3219.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%40%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (13)33% (3)50% (10)
Overtime %9%5%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers4436882%121.8112.0+9.8
2 Oklahoma City Thunder4234881%116.6104.5+12.2
3 Boston Celtics46321470%117.3108.3+8.9
4 Houston Rockets41281368%114.7108.2+6.5
5 Memphis Grizzlies45301567%123.6115.3+8.4
6 New York Knicks44291566%117.0110.8+6.3
7 Denver Nuggets45281762%120.6116.0+4.6
8 Milwaukee Bucks40231757%114.4111.0+3.4
9 Los Angeles Lakers42241857%111.4112.8-1.5
10 Los Angeles Clippers44251957%109.6106.6+3.0
11 Indiana Pacers45252056%115.5114.8+0.8
12 Dallas Mavericks45242153%115.3112.0+3.3
13 Minnesota Timberwolves45242153%110.6108.1+2.5
14 Sacramento Kings44232152%117.0114.4+2.6
15 Detroit Pistons44232152%112.2112.9-0.7
16 Golden State Warriors43222151%111.9111.8+0.1
17 Phoenix Suns43222151%112.6113.7-1.1
18 Orlando Magic45232251%103.3104.1-0.8
19 Atlanta Hawks42212150%117.4119.6-2.3
20 Miami Heat43212249%110.8110.5+0.3
21 San Antonio Spurs43202347%112.0113.5-1.5
22 Chicago Bulls45192642%116.9120.2-3.4
23 Portland Trail Blazers45172838%107.8115.2-7.4
24 Philadelphia 76ers43162737%108.1112.7-4.7
25 Brooklyn Nets45143131%105.9113.6-7.7
26 Toronto Raptors44123227%111.2118.0-6.8
27 Charlotte Hornets41113027%107.2112.7-5.6
28 New Orleans Pelicans45123327%109.6117.7-8.1
29 Utah Jazz42103224%111.5118.3-6.8
30 Washington Wizards4363714%107.7122.2-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brooklyn Nets1732192997
Miami Heat24292924106
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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