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Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 May 2022
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 118-107
25-28 29-34 39-14 25-31
Position#4
Record61-32
FormWLLWW
Points / game109.7
Allowed / game104.6
vs
Position#6
Record59-34
FormLWLWW
Points / game111.4
Allowed / game104.2
USANBANBA - Semi-finals· FTX Arena
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Miami Heat v Boston Celtics
27 Mar 2027
MIA v BOS
upcoming
01 Apr 2026
MIA129
BOS147
15 Jan 2026
MIA114
BOS119
14 Mar 2025
MIA91
BOS103
10 Feb 2025
MIA85
BOS103
29 Apr 2024
MIA88
BOS102
27 Apr 2024
MIA84
BOS104
11 Feb 2024
MIA106
BOS110
25 Jan 2024
MIA110
BOS143
27 May 2023
MIA103
BOS104
23 May 2023
MIA99
BOS116
21 May 2023
MIA128
BOS102
24 Jan 2023
MIA98
BOS95
21 Oct 2022
MIA104
BOS111
29 May 2022
MIA96
BOS100
25 May 2022
MIA80
BOS93
19 May 2022
MIA102
BOS127
17 May 2022
MIA118
BOS107
04 Nov 2021
MIA78
BOS95
06 Jan 2021
MIA105
BOS107
27 Sep 2020
MIA125
BOS113
23 Sep 2020
MIA112
BOS109
19 Sep 2020
MIA106
BOS117
04 Aug 2020
MIA112
BOS106
11 Apr 2020
MIA v BOS
upcoming
28 Jan 2020
MIA101
BOS109
03 Apr 2019
MIA102
BOS112
10 Jan 2019
MIA115
BOS99
22 Nov 2017
MIA104
BOS98
28 Oct 2017
MIA90
BOS96
18 Dec 2016
MIA95
BOS105
28 Nov 2016
MIA104
BOS112
30 Nov 2015
MIA95
BOS105
09 Mar 2015
MIA90
BOS100
21 Dec 2014
MIA100
BOS84
21 Jan 2014
MIA93
BOS86
09 Nov 2013
MIA110
BOS111
12 Apr 2013
MIA109
BOS101
30 Oct 2012
MIA120
BOS107
09 Jun 2012
MIA101
BOS88
05 Jun 2012
MIA90
BOS94
30 May 2012
MIA115
BOS111
28 May 2012
MIA93
BOS79
10 Apr 2012
MIA107
BOS115
27 Dec 2011
MIA115
BOS107
11 May 2011
MIA97
BOS87
03 May 2011
MIA102
BOS91
01 May 2011
MIA99
BOS90
10 Apr 2011
MIA100
BOS77
11 Nov 2010
MIA107
BOS112
25 Apr 2010
MIA101
BOS92
23 Apr 2010
MIA98
BOS100
06 Jan 2010
MIA106
BOS112
29 Nov 2009
MIA85
BOS92
11 Mar 2009
MIA107
BOS99
21 Jan 2009
MIA83
BOS98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#17
W
115-105
115
105
+10
71avg 102
H19/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
L
110-111
110
111
-1
104avg 102
A22/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
W
110-86
110
86
+24
99avg 102
A24/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
W
97-94
97
94
+3
73avg 102
H26/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
W
106-92
106
92
+14
95avg 102
H02/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
W
119-103
119
103
+16
118avg 102
H04/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
79-99
79
99
-20
61avg 102
A06/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
108-116
108
116
-8
98avg 102
A09/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
W
120-85
120
85
+35
118avg 102
H10/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
W
99-90
99
90
+9
92avg 102
A12/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-25
30-29
31-22
28-29
24-22
30-39
31-16
25-34
25-26
30-15
25-20
30-25
21-22
33-20
21-22
22-30
30-22
20-29
30-21
26-20
31-24
29-28
31-28
28-23
17-21
17-20
31-27
14-31
28-30
28-34
29-25
23-27
31-19
25-25
25-22
39-19
28-25
21-23
25-15
25-27
204.4Avg total
106.3Scored
98.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (93)109.7104.6214.3+5.166%
Season at home (47)110.9103.9214.9+7.074%
Season away (46)108.4105.3213.7+3.157%
Last 10 (10)106.398.1204.4+8.270%
Last 5 (5)105.098.6203.6+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (22)106.3102.1208.5+4.264%
vs Weaker (8)119.5109.0228.5+10.575%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
114-107
114
107
+7
112avg 105
H20/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
109-103
109
103
+6
102avg 105
A23/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
116-112
116
112
+4
110avg 105
A25/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
89-101
89
101
-12
78avg 105
H01/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
109-86
109
86
+23
107avg 105
H03/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
101-103
101
103
-2
90avg 105
A07/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
116-108
116
108
+8
110avg 105
A09/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
107-110
107
110
-3
101avg 105
H11/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
108-95
108
95
+13
96avg 105
A13/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
109-81
109
81
+28
104avg 105
H15/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-33
31-32
30-25
29-17
30-25
23-25
28-22
28-31
30-26
28-24
32-28
26-34
24-27
22-29
24-22
19-23
32-21
33-19
18-26
26-20
19-22
31-24
17-34
34-23
18-25
29-23
26-32
43-28
26-28
28-19
32-30
21-33
28-26
25-17
29-27
26-25
20-26
28-17
31-21
30-17
208.4Avg total
107.8Scored
100.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (93)111.4104.2215.5+7.263%
Season at home (47)110.3103.3213.6+7.068%
Season away (46)112.5105.1217.5+7.459%
Last 10 (10)107.8100.6208.4+7.270%
Last 5 (5)108.299.4207.6+8.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)110.3101.0211.3+9.357%
vs Weaker (16)120.8108.0228.8+12.894%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: +6.1+6.1Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +3.1+3.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: +6.1+6.1Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +3.1+3.1
Miami HeatBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#17
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H19/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
L
54-61
54
61
-7
A22/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
W
55-41
55
41
+14
A24/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H26/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H02/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
W
60-52
60
52
+8
H04/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A06/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
56-64
56
64
-8
A09/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H10/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A12/05
NBA
102.2Avg total
52.4Scored
49.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.053.1109.2+2.960%-
Last 30 at home (19)57.651.7109.3+5.874%-
Last 30 away (11)53.455.5108.9-2.236%-
Last 10 (10)52.449.8102.2+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)51.049.8100.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (22)53.852.5106.3+1.250%-
vs Weaker (8)62.254.8117.0+7.588%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#16
L
55-65
55
65
-10
H20/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A23/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
58-50
58
50
+8
A25/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
46-56
46
56
-10
H01/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
65-40
65
40
+25
H03/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A07/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A09/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H11/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A13/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H15/05
NBA
101.7Avg total
52.9Scored
48.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.051.2109.2+6.867%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.753.1110.8+4.656%-
Last 30 away (14)58.449.1107.4+9.379%-
Last 10 (10)52.948.8101.7+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)50.445.495.8+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)54.046.7100.7+7.371%-
vs Weaker (16)61.555.1116.6+6.462%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 106.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.128.3
56.5%
53.1%56.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.510.5
30.4%
35.3%31.5
🏀 Free throws22.318.2
81.6%
77.4%18.2
They take 84.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 107.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.1 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.323.3
52.6%
53.1%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.714.7
37.0%
35.3%44.1
🏀 Free throws21.217.1
80.7%
77.4%17.1
They take 84.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 May 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WWLLWWWWLW
Boston Celtics
WWLWLWLWWW
#4
League position
#6
+9.0
Net rating
+7.4
111.0
Offensive rating
110.6
102.0
Defensive rating
103.2
52.1%
Effective FG%
54.0%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
12.5%
Turnover %
12.6%
24.2%
Off. rebound %
19.3%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.25
30.4%
3-point %
37.0%
57.0%
Assist %
66.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.0 · 110.6Defence102.0 · 103.2Shooting52.1% · 54.0%3-point %30.4% · 37.0%Ball care12.5% · 12.6%Off. rebounds24.2% · 19.3%Free throws0.26 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Miami Heat wins
5
Boston Celtics wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/05/22APhiladelphia 76ers99-90
10/05/22HPhiladelphia 76ers120-85
09/05/22APhiladelphia 76ers108-116
06/05/22APhiladelphia 76ers79-99
04/05/22HPhiladelphia 76ers119-103
02/05/22HPhiladelphia 76ers106-92
26/04/22HAtlanta Hawks97-94
24/04/22AAtlanta Hawks110-86
22/04/22AAtlanta Hawks110-111
19/04/22HAtlanta Hawks115-105
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/05/22HMilwaukee Bucks109-81
13/05/22AMilwaukee Bucks108-95
11/05/22HMilwaukee Bucks107-110
09/05/22AMilwaukee Bucks116-108
07/05/22AMilwaukee Bucks101-103
03/05/22HMilwaukee Bucks109-86
01/05/22HMilwaukee Bucks89-101
25/04/22ABrooklyn Nets116-112
23/04/22ABrooklyn Nets109-103
20/04/22HBrooklyn Nets114-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW66%
HomeWWWWW74%
AwayLWLLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games934746
Win %66%74%57%
Points / game109.7110.9108.4
Allowed / game104.6103.9105.3
Point differential+5.1+7.0+3.1
Avg total214.3214.9213.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%47%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (20)88% (8)33% (12)
Overtime %4%2%7%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW63%
HomeWLWLW68%
AwayWWLWW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games934746
Win %63%68%59%
Points / game111.4110.3112.5
Allowed / game104.2103.3105.1
Point differential+7.2+7.0+7.4
Avg total215.5213.6217.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%38%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (24)46% (13)9% (11)
Overtime %8%6%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Phoenix Suns95712475%113.8107.5+6.3
2 Memphis Grizzlies94623266%115.2109.9+5.3
3 Golden State Warriors93613266%111.4106.0+5.4
4 Miami Heat93613266%109.7104.6+5.1
5 Boston Celtics93593463%111.4104.2+7.2
6 Dallas Mavericks95603563%107.8104.3+3.4
7 Milwaukee Bucks94583662%113.9110.7+3.1
8 Philadelphia 76ers94573761%109.2106.9+2.3
9 Utah Jazz88513758%112.6107.4+5.2
10 Toronto Raptors88503857%109.0107.4+1.6
11 Denver Nuggets87493856%112.6110.9+1.7
12 Minnesota Timberwolves89494055%115.4113.3+2.1
13 Chicago Bulls87474054%110.7111.9-1.2
14 Cleveland Cavaliers84444052%107.7105.8+1.9
15 Charlotte Hornets83434052%115.2115.1+0.1
16 Brooklyn Nets87454252%112.7112.1+0.6
17 Atlanta Hawks89464352%113.1112.0+1.2
18 Los Angeles Clippers84424250%108.3108.4-0.1
19 New York Knicks82374545%106.5106.6-0.1
20 New Orleans Pelicans90405044%109.3110.2-0.8
21 Washington Wizards82354743%108.6112.0-3.4
22 San Antonio Spurs83344941%113.0113.0+0.0
23 Los Angeles Lakers82334940%112.1115.1-3.0
24 Sacramento Kings82305237%110.3115.8-5.5
25 Portland Trail Blazers82275533%106.2115.1-8.9
26 Indiana Pacers82255730%111.5114.9-3.5
27 Oklahoma City Thunder82245829%103.7111.8-8.1
28 Detroit Pistons82235928%104.8112.5-7.7
29 Orlando Magic82226027%104.2112.2-8.0
30 Houston Rockets82206224%109.7118.2-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat25293925118
Boston Celtics28341431107
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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