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Miami Heat vs Brooklyn Nets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 116-113
24-27 33-22 34-31 25-33
Position#6
Record41-23
FormLWLLW
Points / game112.9
Allowed / game108.9
vs
Position#16
Record28-33
FormLWLLL
Points / game110.3
Allowed / game110.8
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Miami Heat v Brooklyn Nets
14 Feb 2027
MIA v BKN
upcoming
12 Jan 2027
MIA v BKN
upcoming
14 Oct 2026
MIA144
BKN128
05 Mar 2026
MIA126
BKN110
03 Mar 2026
MIA124
BKN98
23 Dec 2024
MIA110
BKN95
16 Nov 2023
MIA122
BKN115
01 Nov 2023
MIA105
BKN109
18 Oct 2023
MIA104
BKN107
25 Mar 2023
MIA100
BKN129
08 Jan 2023
MIA101
BKN102
26 Mar 2022
MIA95
BKN110
12 Feb 2022
MIA115
BKN111
18 Apr 2021
MIA109
BKN107
29 Feb 2020
MIA116
BKN113
02 Mar 2019
MIA117
BKN88
20 Nov 2018
MIA92
BKN104
31 Mar 2018
MIA109
BKN110
29 Dec 2017
MIA87
BKN111
30 Jan 2017
MIA104
BKN96
11 Oct 2016
MIA121
BKN100
28 Mar 2016
MIA110
BKN99
28 Dec 2015
MIA105
BKN111
05 Jul 2015
MIA71
BKN70
11 Mar 2015
MIA104
BKN98
04 Jan 2015
MIA88
BKN84
14 May 2014
MIA96
BKN94
08 May 2014
MIA94
BKN82
06 May 2014
MIA107
BKN86
08 Apr 2014
MIA87
BKN88
12 Mar 2014
MIA95
BKN96
25 Oct 2013
MIA87
BKN108
08 Jul 2013
MIA93
BKN86
01 Dec 2012
MIA102
BKN89
07 Nov 2012
MIA103
BKN73
06 Mar 2012
MIA108
BKN78
06 Nov 2010
MIA101
BKN89
14 Apr 2010
MIA94
BKN86
14 Nov 2009
MIA81
BKN80
03 Jan 2009
MIA101
BKN96
10 Nov 2008
MIA99
BKN94
09 Oct 2008
MIA98
BKN100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brooklyn Nets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
L
111-128
111
128
-17
A06/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
97-105
97
105
-8
A08/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#20
L
109-115
109
115
-6
A10/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
113-101
113
101
+12
A11/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#11
L
101-116
101
116
-15
A13/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
L
124-129
124
129
-5
A21/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
124-105
124
105
+19
H23/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
L
119-125 OT
119
125
-6
A25/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#27
L
126-129
126
129
-3
H27/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#13
W
126-118
126
118
+8
H29/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
35-30
22-37
31-36
28-30
22-22
26-31
21-22
36-38
24-25
23-30
26-22
24-20
38-23
21-32
30-26
28-25
24-22
22-32
27-37
36-32
28-31
33-27
27-39
38-32
44-20
24-26
18-27
29-21
39-35
31-24
12-31
28-29
32-28
34-38
32-34
31-31
32-24
25-38
38-25
232.1Avg total
115.0Scored
117.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (64)112.9108.9221.8+4.064%
Season at home (31)117.8107.2225.0+10.684%
Season away (33)108.3110.5218.8-2.245%
Last 10 (10)115.0117.1232.1-2.130%
Last 5 (5)123.8121.2245.0+2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)112.6110.2222.8+2.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)112.9112.2225.1+0.844%
This opponent (Brooklyn Nets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brooklyn NetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
119-97
119
97
+22
H04/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
129-88
129
88
+41
H06/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
118-119
118
119
-1
A09/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
W
106-105
106
105
+1
A11/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
101-91
101
91
+10
H13/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#12
L
104-112 OT
104
112
-8
A21/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#23
W
115-86
115
86
+29
A23/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#19
L
113-115
113
115
-2
H25/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
L
106-110
106
110
-4
A27/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
L
118-141
118
141
-23
A29/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-31
20-21
35-21
29-24
40-25
28-22
27-17
34-24
36-33
18-33
34-34
30-19
30-28
21-20
26-32
29-25
23-19
29-21
23-25
26-26
20-26
32-16
26-35
25-26
30-25
25-20
33-18
27-23
27-22
27-19
33-40
26-34
17-31
30-29
37-21
22-29
36-29
26-39
36-40
20-33
219.3Avg total
112.9Scored
106.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (61)110.3110.8221.1-0.546%
Season at home (31)110.6108.4218.9+2.255%
Season away (30)110.0113.3223.3-3.337%
Last 10 (10)112.9106.4219.3+6.550%
Last 5 (5)111.2112.8224.0-1.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)107.1115.0222.1-7.925%
vs Similar (15)111.0112.1223.1-1.133%
vs Weaker (7)110.1102.4212.6+7.757%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +5.8+5.8Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: +0.5+0.5
Miami HeatBrooklyn Nets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
W
58-55
58
55
+3
A06/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A08/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#20
L
60-63
60
63
-3
A10/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
62-43
62
43
+19
A11/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#11
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A13/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
64-63
64
63
+1
A21/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
82-52
82
52
+30
H23/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
68-56
68
56
+12
A25/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#27
W
60-57
60
57
+3
H27/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#13
W
63-55
63
55
+8
H29/02
NBA
116.2Avg total
61.9Scored
54.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.753.8112.4+4.970%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.452.7111.1+5.773%-
Last 30 away (15)58.954.9113.8+4.167%-
Last 10 (10)61.954.3116.2+7.680%-
Last 5 (5)67.456.6124.0+10.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)56.052.2108.2+3.883%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)60.454.8115.3+5.661%-
This opponent (Brooklyn Nets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brooklyn NetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H04/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
68-47
68
47
+21
H06/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
54-66
54
66
-12
A09/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A11/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H13/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#12
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A21/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#23
W
55-45
55
45
+10
A23/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#19
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H25/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
L
47-60
47
60
-13
A27/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
L
62-68
62
68
-6
A29/02
NBA
105.9Avg total
55.0Scored
50.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.855.7111.5+0.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.855.7113.5+2.156%-
Last 30 away (14)53.555.8109.3-2.350%-
Last 10 (10)55.050.9105.9+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)54.051.2105.2+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)55.859.8115.5-4.038%-
vs Similar (15)54.754.3108.9+0.467%-
vs Weaker (7)58.354.3112.6+4.043%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 115.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.025.8
52.7%
52.3%51.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.314.7
38.4%
35.7%44.1
🏀 Free throws25.419.3
76.0%
77.2%19.3
They take 87.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brooklyn Netstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brooklyn Nets: 112.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.627.1
50.6%
52.3%54.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.413.7
35.7%
35.7%41.1
🏀 Free throws22.817.6
77.2%
77.2%17.6
They take 92.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Mar 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WLLWLLWLLL
Brooklyn Nets
LLLWLWWLWW
#6
League position
#16
-2.0
Net rating
+6.4
111.1
Offensive rating
110.7
113.2
Defensive rating
104.3
54.8%
Effective FG%
51.8%
57.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
13.0%
Turnover %
12.5%
19.5%
Off. rebound %
26.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.25
38.4%
3-point %
35.7%
71.9%
Assist %
62.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.1 · 110.7Defence113.2 · 104.3Shooting54.8% · 51.8%3-point %38.4% · 35.7%Ball care13.0% · 12.5%Off. rebounds19.5% · 26.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Brooklyn Nets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Miami Heat wins
6
Brooklyn Nets wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/02/20HDallas Mavericks126-118
27/02/20HMinnesota Timberwolves126-129
25/02/20ACleveland Cavaliers119-125 OT
23/02/20HCleveland Cavaliers124-105
21/02/20AAtlanta Hawks124-129
13/02/20AUtah Jazz101-116
11/02/20AGolden State Warriors113-101
10/02/20APortland Trail Blazers109-115
08/02/20ASacramento Kings97-105
06/02/20ALos Angeles Clippers111-128
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/02/20AAtlanta Hawks118-141
27/02/20AWashington Wizards106-110
25/02/20HOrlando Magic113-115
23/02/20ACharlotte Hornets115-86
21/02/20APhiladelphia 76ers104-112 OT
13/02/20HToronto Raptors101-91
11/02/20AIndiana Pacers106-105
09/02/20AToronto Raptors118-119
06/02/20HGolden State Warriors129-88
04/02/20HPhoenix Suns119-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW64%
HomeLWWLW84%
AwayLWLLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games643133
Win %64%84%45%
Points / game112.9117.8108.3
Allowed / game108.9107.2110.5
Point differential+4.0+10.6-2.2
Avg total221.8225.0218.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%48%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won59% (17)67% (9)50% (8)
Overtime %14%16%12%
Brooklyn Nets
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL46%
HomeWWWWL55%
AwayWLWLL37%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games613130
Win %46%55%37%
Points / game110.3110.6110.0
Allowed / game110.8108.4113.3
Point differential-0.5+2.2-3.3
Avg total221.1218.9223.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%39%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (18)50% (8)50% (10)
Overtime %11%6%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks6456888%120.1107.1+13.1
2 Los Angeles Lakers63481576%114.1106.7+7.4
3 Boston Celtics62451773%113.2105.2+8.0
4 Toronto Raptors63441970%112.8106.5+6.3
5 Denver Nuggets63441970%110.4106.6+3.8
6 Houston Rockets63412265%119.3114.6+4.6
7 Los Angeles Clippers62402265%114.7109.6+5.1
8 Miami Heat64412364%112.9108.9+4.0
9 Philadelphia 76ers64402462%108.6105.8+2.8
10 Indiana Pacers63382560%109.9107.4+2.5
11 Oklahoma City Thunder63382560%110.4108.6+1.8
12 Utah Jazz63372659%111.5109.5+2.0
13 Dallas Mavericks65382758%116.0110.2+5.8
14 New Orleans Pelicans64313348%116.6116.9-0.3
15 Memphis Grizzlies62293347%112.2115.1-2.9
16 Orlando Magic65303546%104.7105.8-1.1
17 Brooklyn Nets61283346%110.3110.8-0.5
18 Sacramento Kings63273643%108.9110.8-1.9
19 Portland Trail Blazers64273742%112.8115.3-2.5
20 San Antonio Spurs62263642%112.2114.3-2.1
21 Phoenix Suns64263841%112.0113.0-1.1
22 Washington Wizards62233937%115.3118.9-3.6
23 Detroit Pistons66234335%107.6110.8-3.2
24 Charlotte Hornets64224234%102.3109.5-7.1
25 Chicago Bulls65224334%106.9109.8-2.9
26 New York Knicks64194530%105.0111.6-6.6
27 Minnesota Timberwolves62184429%113.1117.5-4.4
28 Atlanta Hawks66194729%110.0118.6-8.5
29 Cleveland Cavaliers62174527%105.8114.8-9.0
30 Golden State Warriors64145022%106.1115.1-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat24333425116
Brooklyn Nets27223133113
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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