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Buducnost vs Split Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Sep 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 97-75
33-13 26-27 19-14 19-21
Position#3
Record1-0
FormWLWWL
Points / game98.0
Allowed / game51.0
vs
Position#14
Record0-1
FormWLLLW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game79.0
EuropeABA LeagueRound 2· Moraca Sports Center
Domestic2024
Meetings · Buducnost v Split
28 Sep 2024
BUD97
SPL75
11 Nov 2023
BUD72
SPL58
02 Oct 2022
BUD94
SPL59
10 Oct 2021
BUD75
SPL66
03 Oct 2020
BUD84
SPL59
09 Mar 2013
BUD66
SPL47
11 Oct 2008
BUD85
SPL68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Buducnost winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Split winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BuducnostLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBuducnost
Date
Competition
Partizan
#3
L
67-78
67
78
-11
61avg 76
A30/04
ABA League
Partizan
#3
W
74-73
74
73
+1
61avg 76
H07/05
ABA League
Partizan
#3
L
86-100
86
100
-14
78avg 76
A10/05
ABA League
Sutjeska
#1
W
84-77
84
77
+7
no box
H14/05
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#6
W
91-75
91
75
+16
no box
H20/05
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#6
W
90-82
90
82
+8
no box
A23/05
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#6
L
89-91
89
91
-2
no box
H26/05
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#6
W
90-83
90
83
+7
no box
A28/05
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#17
W
98-51
98
51
+47
110avg 76
A21/09
ABA League
Besiktas
#9
L
76-94
76
94
-18
70avg 76
A25/09
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-27
13-14
18-18
20-19
20-23
16-17
26-17
12-16
21-23
33-25
17-25
15-27
26-18
17-23
23-20
18-16
26-20
20-17
25-18
20-20
30-35
20-22
24-17
16-8
20-29
20-19
26-27
23-16
18-19
24-14
23-21
25-29
24-20
26-8
25-10
23-13
19-25
20-24
12-18
25-27
164.9Avg total
84.5Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)98.051.0149.0+47.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)98.051.0149.0+47.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.580.4164.9+4.160%
Last 5 (5)88.680.2168.8+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.079.6160.6+1.450%
vs Similar (8)86.082.9168.9+3.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)89.072.8161.8+16.292%
This opponent (Split) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SplitLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSplit
Date
Competition
Dubrovnik
#8
W
82-74
82
74
+8
80avg 78
A05/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
89-74
89
74
+15
84avg 78
H12/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
96-67
96
67
+29
93avg 78
A15/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
W
85-78
85
78
+7
75avg 78
A24/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
71-92
71
92
-21
61avg 78
A26/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
W
87-77
87
77
+10
83avg 78
H29/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
55-84
55
84
-29
40avg 78
H31/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
66-93
66
93
-27
54avg 78
A02/06
Premijer liga
Igokea
#7
L
74-79
74
79
-5
69avg 78
H21/09
ABA League
Kvarner
#4
W
98-90
98
90
+8
95avg 78
H26/09
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-12
28-15
17-23
22-24
25-21
27-14
21-16
16-23
26-18
24-15
27-16
19-18
26-20
20-20
18-22
21-16
15-25
19-26
23-18
14-23
21-22
27-20
13-23
26-12
16-23
18-24
16-16
5-21
18-26
13-23
16-26
19-18
14-14
18-21
31-24
11-20
14-24
35-16
21-25
28-25
161.1Avg total
80.3Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)74.079.0153.0-5.00%
Season at home (1)74.079.0153.0-5.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.380.8161.1-0.560%
Last 5 (5)76.084.6160.6-8.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)72.585.2157.6-12.718%
vs Similar (1)76.083.0159.0-7.00%
vs Weaker (18)88.974.3163.2+14.794%
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.9-1.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.9-1.9
BuducnostSplit
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BuducnostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#3
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A30/04
ABA League
Partizan
#3
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H07/05
ABA League
Partizan
#3
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A10/05
ABA League
Sutjeska
#1
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H14/05
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#6
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H20/05
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#6
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A23/05
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#6
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H26/05
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#6
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A28/05
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#17
W
50-28
50
28
+22
A21/09
ABA League
Besiktas
#9
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A25/09
Eurocup
85.1Avg total
42.9Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.738.180.8+4.667%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.738.880.5+2.862%-
Last 30 away (17)43.537.581.0+5.971%-
Last 10 (10)42.942.285.1+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)44.243.087.2+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.640.582.1+1.150%-
vs Similar (8)41.441.983.2-0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.735.580.2+9.285%-
This opponent (Split) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SplitLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubrovnik
#8
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A05/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H12/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A15/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A24/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A26/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H29/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H31/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A02/06
Premijer liga
Igokea
#7
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H21/09
ABA League
Kvarner
#4
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H26/09
Premijer liga
81.8Avg total
41.9Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.939.981.9+2.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.838.681.4+4.267%-
Last 30 away (15)41.141.382.3-0.260%-
Last 10 (10)41.939.981.8+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)38.842.681.4-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)37.843.981.7-6.127%-
vs Similar (1)41.043.084.0-2.00%-
vs Weaker (18)44.537.381.8+7.289%-
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Buducnosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Buducnost: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.221.4
54.6%
54.0%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.2
33.9%
35.7%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.914.7
73.9%
75.6%14.7
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Splittheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Split: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.019.8
55.0%
54.0%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.3
32.0%
35.7%24.9
🏀 Free throws19.915.0
75.4%
75.6%15.0
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Sep 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Buducnost
LWWLWWWLWL
Split
WLLLWLWWWW
#3
League position
#14
+4.9
Net rating
-1.0
110.6
Offensive rating
108.3
105.8
Defensive rating
109.2
53.2%
Effective FG%
52.1%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
15.4%
Turnover %
16.8%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.9%
3-point %
32.0%
63.9%
Assist %
57.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.6 · 108.3Defence105.8 · 109.2Shooting53.2% · 52.1%3-point %33.9% · 32.0%Ball care15.4% · 16.8%Off. rebounds29.4% · 26.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Buducnost   ■ Split
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Buducnost wins
3
Split wins
DateGameScore
10/02/24Split v Buducnost75-81
11/11/23Buducnost v Split72-58
05/01/23Split v Buducnost87-85
02/10/22Buducnost v Split94-59
23/04/22Split v Buducnost61-72
10/10/21Buducnost v Split75-66
09/01/21Split v Buducnost78-77
03/10/20Buducnost v Split84-59
09/03/13Buducnost v Split66-47
01/12/12Split v Buducnost71-69
Buducnostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/09/24ABesiktas76-94
21/09/24AMornar Bar98-51
28/05/24AStudentski Centar90-83
26/05/24HStudentski Centar89-91
23/05/24AStudentski Centar90-82
20/05/24HStudentski Centar91-75
14/05/24HSutjeska84-77
10/05/24APartizan86-100
07/05/24HPartizan74-73
30/04/24APartizan67-78
Splitlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/24HKvarner98-90
21/09/24HIgokea74-79
02/06/24AZadar66-93
31/05/24HZadar55-84
29/05/24HZadar87-77
26/05/24AZadar71-92
24/05/24AZadar85-78
15/05/24ACibona96-67
12/05/24HCibona89-74
05/05/24ADubrovnik82-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Buducnost
ABA League 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game98.0-98.0
Allowed / game51.0-51.0
Point differential+47.0-+47.0
Avg total149.0-149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Split
ABA League 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game74.074.0-
Allowed / game79.079.0-
Point differential-5.0-5.0-
Avg total153.0153.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Buducnost110100%98.051.0+47.0
2 Partizan110100%96.066.0+30.0
3 FMP Beograd110100%75.062.0+13.0
4 Mega Basket110100%80.070.0+10.0
5 Studentski Centar110100%84.076.0+8.0
6 Igokea220100%79.075.0+4.0
7 Dubai110100%86.084.0+2.0
8 Crvena zvezda21150%87.579.0+8.5
9 Zadar21150%81.574.0+7.5
10 Split1010%74.079.0-5.0
11 Spartak Subotica1010%76.084.0-8.0
12 KK Krka Novo mesto1010%70.080.0-10.0
13 Cedevita Olimpija1010%62.075.0-13.0
14 Cibona1010%69.087.0-18.0
15 Borac Mozzart1010%66.096.0-30.0
16 Mornar Bar2020%61.594.5-33.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Buducnost3326191997
Split1327142175
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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