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Bulgaria vs Romania Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 25 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#5
Record4-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game77.4
vs
Position#9
Record1-1
FormWWLWL
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game90.5
EuropeEuroBasketRound 5
Other2029
Meetings · Bulgaria v Romania
25 Feb 2027
BULG v ROMA
upcoming
28 Aug 2022
BULG84
ROMA72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bulgaria win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Romania win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Germany
#8
L
85-94
85
94
-9
A23/02
EuroBasket
Austria
#54
L
76-88
76
88
-12
A06/08
World Cup
Netherlands
#56
L
70-81
70
81
-11
H09/08
World Cup
Austria
#54
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H16/08
World Cup
Netherlands
#56
L
70-97
70
97
-27
A20/08
World Cup
Armenia
#16
W
98-88
98
88
+10
H27/11
EuroBasket
Norway
#7
L
67-76
67
76
-9
A27/02
EuroBasket
Armenia
#16
W
100-80
100
80
+20
A02/03
EuroBasket
Norway
#7
W
88-57
88
57
+31
H05/07
EuroBasket
Romania
#9
W
103-86
103
86
+17
A30/08
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-28
14-34
22-13
28-19
14-24
14-24
25-28
23-12
15-22
17-22
21-18
17-19
23-17
15-20
24-22
25-19
29-25
12-26
14-16
15-30
25-21
26-20
27-26
20-21
16-29
17-17
14-16
20-14
22-17
17-18
21-21
40-24
27-10
25-17
22-12
14-18
34-32
23-16
20-18
26-20
166.9Avg total
84.4Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)91.277.4168.6+13.880%
Season at home (2)93.072.5165.5+20.5100%
Season away (3)90.080.7170.7+9.367%
Last 10 (10)84.482.5166.9+1.950%
Last 5 (5)91.277.4168.6+13.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)80.288.6168.8-8.527%
vs Similar (6)77.079.7156.7-2.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)85.374.3159.6+11.077%
This opponent (Romania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Macedonia
#73
W
79-66
79
66
+13
H13/08
World Cup
Hungary
#38
L
66-86
66
86
-20
A16/08
World Cup
Greece
#39
L
64-91
64
91
-27
A27/11
World Cup
Montenegro
#51
L
75-80
75
80
-5
H30/11
World Cup
Portugal
#37
L
82-99
82
99
-17
A27/02
World Cup
Portugal
#37
W
101-96
101
96
+5
H02/03
World Cup
Greece
#39
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H02/07
World Cup
Montenegro
#51
L
64-65
64
65
-1
A05/07
World Cup
Denmark
#15
W
89-78
89
78
+11
A27/08
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#5
L
86-103
86
103
-17
H30/08
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
19-15
14-15
20-17
18-19
20-21
5-26
23-20
12-26
17-19
15-23
20-23
17-26
17-23
22-16
19-15
12-25
34-29
15-21
21-24
27-22
23-31
26-20
25-23
16-18
19-20
16-20
22-8
14-17
15-11
21-27
14-10
22-10
16-23
27-20
24-25
32-34
16-23
18-20
20-26
160.9Avg total
77.9Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)87.590.5178.0-3.050%
Season at home (1)86.0103.0189.0-17.00%
Season away (1)89.078.0167.0+11.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.983.0160.9-5.140%
Last 5 (5)82.681.6164.2+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)69.090.0159.0-21.00%
vs Similar (10)71.880.0151.8-8.230%
vs Weaker (16)77.869.6147.4+8.281%
This opponent (Bulgaria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +1.7+1.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +1.7+1.7
BulgariaRomania
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BulgariaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Germany
#8
L
35-62
35
62
-27
A23/02
EuroBasket
Austria
#54
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A06/08
World Cup
Netherlands
#56
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H09/08
World Cup
Austria
#54
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H16/08
World Cup
Netherlands
#56
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A20/08
World Cup
Armenia
#16
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H27/11
EuroBasket
Norway
#7
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A27/02
EuroBasket
Armenia
#16
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A02/03
EuroBasket
Norway
#7
W
52-27
52
27
+25
H05/07
EuroBasket
Romania
#9
W
57-48
57
48
+9
A30/08
EuroBasket
84.5Avg total
40.6Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.440.480.8-0.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.837.178.9+4.780%-
Last 30 away (15)39.043.782.7-4.747%-
Last 10 (10)40.643.984.5-3.350%-
Last 5 (5)46.439.485.8+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.745.582.2-8.745%-
vs Similar (6)40.338.078.3+2.383%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)43.537.380.8+6.269%-
This opponent (Romania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RomaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Macedonia
#73
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H13/08
World Cup
Hungary
#38
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A16/08
World Cup
Greece
#39
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A27/11
World Cup
Montenegro
#51
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H30/11
World Cup
Portugal
#37
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A27/02
World Cup
Portugal
#37
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H02/03
World Cup
Greece
#39
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H02/07
World Cup
Montenegro
#51
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A05/07
World Cup
Denmark
#15
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A27/08
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#5
L
48-57
48
57
-9
H30/08
EuroBasket
82.3Avg total
39.2Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.139.477.5-1.337%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.839.577.3-1.720%-
Last 30 away (15)38.339.377.6-0.953%-
Last 10 (10)39.243.182.3-3.930%-
Last 5 (5)40.041.881.8-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)39.751.090.7-11.30%-
vs Similar (10)34.940.375.2-5.40%-
vs Weaker (16)39.837.176.8+2.762%-
This opponent (Bulgaria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bulgariatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bulgaria: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.917.8
52.5%
-35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.710.1
34.0%
-30.3
🏀 Free throws17.412.1
69.5%
-12.1
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Romaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Romania: 67.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.815.2
49.4%
-30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.58.2
28.8%
-24.6
🏀 Free throws15.512.0
77.4%
-12.0
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bulgaria
WWWLWLWLLL
Romania
LWLWWLLLLW
#5
League position
#9
-0.1
Net rating
-6.7
107.9
Offensive rating
94.2
108.0
Defensive rating
100.9
51.8%
Effective FG%
46.4%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
17.4%
Turnover %
21.2%
31.7%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.0%
3-point %
28.8%
62.4%
Assist %
76.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Bulgaria   ■ Romania
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Bulgaria wins
0
Romania wins
DateGameScore
30/08/26Romania v Bulgaria86-103
23/02/23Romania v Bulgaria61-62
28/08/22Bulgaria v Romania84-72
Bulgarialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/08/26ARomania103-86
05/07/26HNorway88-57
02/03/26AArmenia100-80
27/02/26ANorway67-76
27/11/25HArmenia98-88
20/08/25ANetherlands70-97
16/08/25HAustria87-78
09/08/25HNetherlands70-81
06/08/25AAustria76-88
23/02/25AGermany85-94
Romanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/08/26HBulgaria86-103
27/08/26ADenmark89-78
05/07/26AMontenegro64-65
02/07/26HGreece73-66
02/03/26HPortugal101-96
27/02/26APortugal82-99
30/11/25HMontenegro75-80
27/11/25AGreece64-91
16/08/25AHungary66-86
13/08/25HNorth Macedonia79-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bulgaria
EuroBasket 2029
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game91.293.090.0
Allowed / game77.472.580.7
Point differential+13.8+20.5+9.3
Avg total168.6165.5170.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Romania
EuroBasket 2029
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game87.586.089.0
Allowed / game90.5103.078.0
Point differential-3.0-17.0+11.0
Avg total178.0189.0167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Great Britain220100%103.573.5+30.0
2 North Macedonia770100%82.963.7+19.1
3 Belgium110100%92.081.0+11.0
4 Cyprus110100%77.072.0+5.0
5 Bulgaria54180%91.277.4+13.8
6 Slovakia54180%82.877.8+5.0
7 Norway53260%84.085.6-1.6
8 Czech Republic21150%94.594.5+0.0
9 Romania21150%87.590.5-3.0
10 Luxembourg62433%79.882.2-2.3
11 Ireland62433%75.280.8-5.7
12 Azerbaijan62433%71.880.8-9.0
13 Kosovo41325%85.587.0-1.5
14 Albania41325%76.087.0-11.0
15 Denmark1010%78.089.0-11.0
16 Armenia4040%83.297.0-13.8
17 Austria2020%65.584.0-18.5
18 Switzerland1010%75.0110.0-35.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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