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California Baptist vs Tarleton Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 82-67
40-29 42-38
Position#41
Record20-8
FormWWLLW
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game68.1
California Baptist 🏆
USA
vs
Tarleton
USA
Position#255
Record14-15
FormLWWLL
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game73.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · California Baptist v Tarleton
28 Feb 2026
CALI82
TARL67
05 Feb 2026
CALI56
TARL55
13 Mar 2025
CALI55
TARL51
06 Mar 2025
CALI68
TARL48
11 Jan 2024
CALI77
TARL63
21 Jan 2023
CALI77
TARL48
16 Jan 2021
CALI73
TARL67
15 Jan 2021
CALI83
TARL74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

California Baptist winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tarleton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

California BaptistUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Abilene Christian
#264
W
74-58
74
58
+16
A16/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
W
73-64
73
64
+9
H22/01
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
W
78-71 OT
78
71
+7
H25/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
87-77 OT
87
77
+10
A31/01
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
W
56-55
56
55
+1
H06/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
W
65-63
65
63
+2
H08/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
W
83-66
83
66
+17
A13/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
L
65-70
65
70
-5
A15/02
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
46-65
46
65
-19
A20/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
68-56
68
56
+12
H27/02
NCAA
1H
2H
46-29
28-29
29-26
44-38
24-28
41-37
35-31
33-37
28-30
28-25
32-26
33-37
43-36
40-30
28-27
37-43
22-29
24-36
40-27
28-29
134.0Avg total
69.5Scored
64.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)71.868.1139.9+3.771%
Season at home (14)72.562.9135.4+9.6100%
Season away (14)71.173.3144.4-2.243%
Last 10 (10)69.564.5134.0+5.080%
Last 5 (5)65.464.0129.4+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)64.071.0135.0-7.025%
vs Similar ◀ (11)69.568.8138.3+0.664%
vs Weaker (15)74.166.1140.2+7.987%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Arlington
#150
L
64-71
64
71
-7
A22/01
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
55-83
55
83
-28
H30/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
L
59-65
59
65
-6
H31/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
L
55-56
55
56
-1
A06/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
W
62-59
62
59
+3
A08/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
L
59-73
59
73
-14
A14/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
W
65-62 OT
65
62
+3
H17/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
W
78-74
78
74
+4
H20/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H21/02
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
72-79
72
79
-7
A27/02
NCAA
1H
2H
24-20
40-51
32-35
23-48
30-29
29-36
30-28
25-28
33-34
29-25
32-26
27-47
22-26
36-32
44-36
34-38
32-32
40-48
28-35
44-44
134.3Avg total
64.1Scored
70.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)75.273.0148.2+2.148%
Season at home (15)78.069.1147.1+8.967%
Season away (14)72.177.3149.4-5.129%
Last 10 (10)64.170.2134.3-6.130%
Last 5 (5)69.273.6142.8-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)68.382.0150.3-13.70%
vs Similar ◀ (14)70.472.4142.9-2.043%
vs Weaker (6)88.368.5156.8+19.883%
This opponent (California Baptist) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +3.8+3.81st half: +0.6+0.62nd half2nd half: -0.5-0.52nd half: -7.0-7.0
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +3.8+3.81st half: +0.6+0.62nd half2nd half: -0.5-0.52nd half: -7.0-7.0
California BaptistTarleton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
California BaptistLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Abilene Christian
#264
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A16/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H22/01
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
24-28
24
28
-4
H25/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A31/01
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H06/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H08/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A13/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A15/02
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
22-29
22
29
-7
A20/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H27/02
NCAA
61.6Avg total
32.7Scored
28.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.630.163.7+3.570%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.728.363.1+6.487%-
Last 30 away (15)32.531.964.4+0.553%-
Last 10 (10)32.728.961.6+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)33.029.062.0+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)25.228.854.0-3.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)31.229.961.1+1.364%-
vs Weaker (15)37.630.768.3+6.987%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Arlington
#150
W
24-20
24
20
+4
A22/01
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H30/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H31/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A06/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A08/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A14/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
L
22-26
22
26
-4
H17/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H20/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H21/02
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A27/02
NCAA
60.8Avg total
30.7Scored
30.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.934.370.2+1.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.532.170.7+6.460%-
Last 30 away (15)33.236.569.7-3.333%-
Last 10 (10)30.730.160.8+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)31.631.062.6+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.939.672.4-6.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)32.331.663.9+0.657%-
vs Weaker (6)45.337.783.0+7.767%-
This opponent (California Baptist) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
California Baptist wins
3
Tarleton wins
DateGameScore
06/02/26California Baptist v Tarleton56-55
03/01/26Tarleton v California Baptist81-76 OT
14/03/25California Baptist v Tarleton55-51
07/03/25California Baptist v Tarleton68-48
17/01/25Tarleton v California Baptist67-57
24/02/24Tarleton v California Baptist82-65
12/01/24California Baptist v Tarleton77-63
22/01/23California Baptist v Tarleton77-48
21/01/22Tarleton v California Baptist84-88
17/01/21California Baptist v Tarleton73-67
California Baptistlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/26HUT Arlington68-56
20/02/26AUtah Valley State46-65
15/02/26AUtah Tech65-70
13/02/26ASouthern Utah83-66
08/02/26HAbilene Christian65-63
06/02/26HTarleton56-55
31/01/26AUT Arlington87-77 OT
25/01/26HUtah Valley State78-71 OT
22/01/26HUtah Tech73-64
16/01/26AAbilene Christian74-58
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/26AUtah Valley State72-79
21/02/26HUtah Tech72-80
20/02/26HSouthern Utah78-74
17/02/26HAbilene Christian65-62 OT
14/02/26AAbilene Christian59-73
08/02/26ASouthern Utah62-59
06/02/26ACalifornia Baptist55-56
31/01/26HUtah Tech59-65
30/01/26HUtah Valley State55-83
22/01/26AUT Arlington64-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

California Baptist
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW71%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %71%100%43%
Points / game71.872.571.1
Allowed / game68.162.973.3
Point differential+3.7+9.6-2.2
Avg total139.9135.4144.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %11%7%14%
Tarleton
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL48%
HomeLLWWL67%
AwayLLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %48%67%29%
Points / game75.278.072.1
Allowed / game73.069.177.3
Point differential+2.1+8.9-5.1
Avg total148.2147.1149.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%40%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)75% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %10%13%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Valley State2922776%80.167.0+13.1
2 California Baptist2820871%71.868.1+3.7
3 Utah Tech31181358%76.173.7+2.4
4 UT Arlington28151354%70.667.4+3.2
5 Tarleton29141548%75.273.0+2.1
6 Abilene Christian29131645%71.071.7-0.8
7 Southern Utah29101934%76.479.3-2.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
California Baptist404282
Tarleton293867
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