PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Cantu vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Apr 2019
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 82-76
16-20 26-17 21-20 19-19
Position#8
Record12-12
FormWWWLL
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game87.0
Cantu 🏆
Italy
vs
Brescia
Italy
Position#12
Record12-12
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game80.4
ItalyLega ARound 25
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Cantu v Brescia
18 Jan 2026
KAN71
BRE76
20 Dec 2020
KAN89
BRE92
29 Aug 2020
KAN75
BRE76
29 Dec 2019
KAN82
BRE93
07 Apr 2019
KAN82
BRE76
17 Feb 2018
KAN82
BRE87
04 Dec 2017
KAN84
BRE88
29 Jan 2017
KAN81
BRE65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cantu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#4
L
88-97
88
97
-9
H12/01
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
83-73
83
73
+10
H19/01
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
97-92
97
92
+5
A27/01
Lega A
Cremona
#3
W
82-66
82
66
+16
H03/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
99-89
99
89
+10
A09/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
81-79
81
79
+2
H04/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
96-94
96
94
+2
H10/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
80-72
80
72
+8
A17/03
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
66-88
66
88
-22
H24/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
91-98
91
98
-7
A31/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-31
22-15
20-23
23-28
19-13
18-16
24-22
22-22
21-25
25-16
29-23
22-28
29-18
19-10
14-20
20-18
21-19
24-17
31-24
23-29
22-21
22-23
22-17
15-18
20-22
22-20
26-20
28-32
20-22
20-14
15-23
25-13
22-24
16-24
13-23
15-17
26-22
30-21
17-26
18-29
171.1Avg total
86.3Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)84.187.0171.2-2.950%
Season at home (12)84.485.6170.0-1.258%
Season away (12)83.888.5172.3-4.742%
Last 10 (10)86.384.8171.1+1.570%
Last 5 (5)82.886.2169.0-3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)78.388.5166.8-10.318%
vs Similar ◀ (14)85.887.1172.9-1.357%
vs Weaker (5)85.276.0161.2+9.280%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#2
W
72-70
72
70
+2
H12/01
Lega A
Varese
#7
W
78-73
78
73
+5
H20/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
82-79
82
79
+3
A27/01
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
77-85
77
85
-8
H03/02
Lega A
Avellino
#9
L
67-79
67
79
-12
A10/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
92-86
92
86
+6
A03/03
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
79-84
79
84
-5
H10/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
97-80 OT
97
80
+17
H17/03
Lega A
Torino
#13
W
91-89
91
89
+2
A24/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
87-79
87
79
+8
H31/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
12-25
22-13
16-15
16-17
25-11
22-25
15-20
24-29
22-15
20-14
16-21
15-32
22-20
16-19
24-14
26-18
15-22
8-21
18-18
17-26
26-25
26-17
23-18
22-16
20-21
10-24
27-23
22-29
24-10
19-27
12-11
20-28
21-17
30-20
20-24
16-27
22-13
24-21
25-18
162.6Avg total
82.2Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)80.080.4160.4-0.450%
Season at home (12)80.578.5159.0+2.067%
Season away (12)79.582.3161.8-2.833%
Last 10 (10)82.280.4162.6+1.870%
Last 5 (5)89.283.6172.8+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)77.583.9161.4-6.538%
vs Similar ◀ (13)79.877.8157.7+2.046%
vs Weaker (4)83.279.8163.0+3.575%
This opponent (Cantu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +1.4+1.4
CantuBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#4
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H12/01
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H19/01
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A27/01
Lega A
Cremona
#3
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H03/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A09/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H04/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H10/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A17/03
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H24/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
56-43
56
43
+13
A31/03
Lega A
83.4Avg total
44.1Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.442.885.2-0.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.241.382.5-0.133%-
Last 30 away (15)43.644.488.0-0.847%-
Last 10 (10)44.139.383.4+4.860%-
Last 5 (5)44.042.686.6+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)41.644.285.8-2.527%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)42.443.686.0-1.136%-
vs Weaker (5)44.037.881.8+6.280%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H12/01
Lega A
Varese
#7
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H20/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A27/01
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H03/02
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A10/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A03/03
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H10/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H17/03
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A24/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H31/03
Lega A
82.7Avg total
40.9Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.142.182.2-2.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.940.381.2+0.560%-
Last 30 away (15)39.443.983.3-4.547%-
Last 10 (10)40.941.882.7-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)42.042.484.4-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)37.945.883.7-7.838%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)41.938.380.2+3.677%-
vs Weaker (4)41.542.584.0-1.025%-
This opponent (Cantu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.124.8
56.2%
51.0%49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.46.9
35.6%
35.1%20.7
🏀 Free throws20.215.4
76.2%
72.3%15.4
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.520.3
51.4%
51.0%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.57.3
32.4%
35.1%21.9
🏀 Free throws23.717.2
72.6%
72.3%17.2
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Apr 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cantu
LLWWWWWWWL
Brescia
WWWLWLLWWW
#8
League position
#12
+2.2
Net rating
-1.2
112.2
Offensive rating
107.2
109.9
Defensive rating
108.4
55.4%
Effective FG%
50.4%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
19.4%
Turnover %
19.6%
32.5%
Off. rebound %
33.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.38
35.6%
3-point %
32.4%
52.4%
Assist %
58.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence112.2 · 107.2Defence109.9 · 108.4Shooting55.4% · 50.4%3-point %35.6% · 32.4%Ball care19.4% · 19.6%Off. rebounds32.5% · 33.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Cantu   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Cantu wins
5
Brescia wins
DateGameScore
16/12/18Brescia v Cantu81-63
31/03/18Brescia v Cantu86-71
17/02/18Cantu v Brescia82-87 OT
04/12/17Cantu v Brescia84-88
29/01/17Cantu v Brescia81-65
09/10/16Brescia v Cantu76-56
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/19AOlimpia Milano91-98
24/03/19HTrieste66-88
17/03/19APesaro80-72
10/03/19HVirtus Bologna96-94
04/03/19HBrindisi81-79
09/02/19AReggiana99-89
03/02/19HCremona82-66
27/01/19ATrento97-92
19/01/19HAvellino83-73
12/01/19HSassari88-97
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/19HPistoia87-79
24/03/19ATorino91-89
17/03/19HBrindisi97-80 OT
10/03/19HTrento79-84
03/03/19APesaro92-86
10/02/19AAvellino67-79
03/02/19HTrieste77-85
27/01/19AReggiana82-79
20/01/19HVarese78-73
12/01/19HVenezia72-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cantu
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL50%
HomeWWWWL58%
AwayWWWWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %50%58%42%
Points / game84.184.483.8
Allowed / game87.085.688.5
Point differential-2.9-1.2-4.7
Avg total171.2170.0172.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Brescia
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW50%
HomeWLLWW67%
AwayLWLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game80.080.579.5
Allowed / game80.478.582.3
Point differential-0.4+2.0-2.8
Avg total160.4159.0161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)67% (6)43% (7)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2519676%86.978.8+8.0
2 Venezia2517868%81.473.6+7.7
3 Cremona2516964%82.778.1+4.6
4 Brindisi25151060%81.779.0+2.7
5 Avellino24141058%80.580.3+0.2
6 Varese25141156%79.075.1+3.9
7 Trento25141156%79.781.3-1.6
8 Trieste24131154%87.583.1+4.4
9 Sassari25131252%85.381.5+3.8
10 Brescia24121250%80.080.4-0.4
11 Cantu24121250%84.187.0-2.9
12 Virtus Bologna25121348%80.281.4-1.2
13 Torino2571828%82.986.9-4.0
14 Reggiana2571828%77.682.8-5.2
15 Pesaro2571828%80.292.4-12.2
16 Pistoia2561924%75.483.1-7.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cantu1626211982
Brescia2017201976
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.