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Cantu vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Dec 2020
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 89-92 (OT)
32-22 17-27 18-19 13-12 9-12
Position#15
Record4-7
FormWLLLW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game81.9
Cantu
Italy
vs
Brescia 🏆
Italy
Position#11
Record4-7
FormLWLWL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game79.4
ItalyLega ARound 12
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Cantu v Brescia
18 Jan 2026
KAN71
BRE76
20 Dec 2020
KAN89
BRE92
29 Aug 2020
KAN75
BRE76
29 Dec 2019
KAN82
BRE93
07 Apr 2019
KAN82
BRE76
17 Feb 2018
KAN82
BRE87
04 Dec 2017
KAN84
BRE88
29 Jan 2017
KAN81
BRE65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cantu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCantu
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#10
W
81-72
81
72
+9
no box
H04/10
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
90-80
90
80
+10
87avg 70
A11/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
67-75
67
75
-8
58avg 70
H18/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
71-89
71
89
-18
65avg 70
H15/11
Lega A
Treviso
#7
L
82-89
82
89
-7
77avg 70
A18/11
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#16
W
101-85
101
85
+16
no box
H22/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
71-85
71
85
-14
58avg 70
A06/12
Lega A
Cremona
#9
L
67-101
67
101
-34
52avg 70
A09/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
73-74
73
74
-1
66avg 70
A13/12
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
73-67
73
67
+6
69avg 70
H16/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-13
15-19
19-27
26-13
23-29
21-15
14-20
32-16
16-25
11-18
20-12
20-20
24-20
20-23
14-30
13-16
25-24
19-20
12-22
26-23
23-21
23-15
28-27
27-22
21-27
16-15
13-18
21-25
14-27
22-24
18-21
13-29
18-23
22-19
17-16
16-16
20-17
14-14
13-10
26-26
159.3Avg total
77.6Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)76.581.9158.4-5.536%
Season at home (5)78.677.6156.2+1.060%
Season away (6)74.785.5160.2-10.817%
Last 10 (10)77.681.7159.3-4.140%
Last 5 (5)77.082.4159.4-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)75.484.9160.2-9.525%
vs Similar ◀ (11)78.681.0159.6-2.445%
vs Weaker (3)85.778.0163.7+7.767%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
56-87
56
87
-31
35avg 69
A08/11
Lega A
Ulm
#13
L
76-88
76
88
-12
66avg 69
A10/11
Eurocup
Trento
#8
L
73-80
73
80
-7
59avg 69
H15/11
Lega A
Mornar Bar
#17
W
77-75
77
75
+2
no box
H18/11
Eurocup
Buducnost
#12
L
66-75
66
75
-9
61avg 69
H20/11
Eurocup
Brindisi
#3
L
71-74
71
74
-3
58avg 69
A22/11
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
99-85
99
85
+14
100avg 69
H05/12
Lega A
Unicaja
#10
L
79-83
79
83
-4
76avg 69
H09/12
Eurocup
Venezia
#4
W
71-69
71
69
+2
60avg 69
H13/12
Lega A
Levallois
#8
L
81-86
81
86
-5
82avg 69
A15/12
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-23
15-21
13-28
19-15
18-19
12-24
27-22
19-23
25-13
12-22
22-24
14-21
20-14
21-24
16-18
20-19
21-17
19-14
7-22
19-22
18-23
18-15
20-18
15-18
22-19
24-16
25-22
28-28
24-26
22-22
8-11
25-24
23-12
15-23
21-12
12-22
21-22
20-22
17-17
23-25
155.1Avg total
74.9Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)76.379.4155.6-3.136%
Season at home (6)77.074.7151.7+2.350%
Season away (5)75.485.0160.4-9.620%
Last 10 (10)74.980.2155.1-5.330%
Last 5 (5)80.279.4159.6+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)73.882.4156.1-8.614%
vs Similar ◀ (9)81.383.1164.4-1.844%
vs Weaker (7)78.478.6157.0-0.157%
This opponent (Cantu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -2.3-2.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -2.3-2.3
CantuBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#10
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H04/10
Lega A
Varese
#12
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A11/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H18/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H15/11
Lega A
Treviso
#7
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A18/11
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#16
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H22/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A06/12
Lega A
Cremona
#9
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A09/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A13/12
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H16/12
Lega A
79.6Avg total
38.8Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.841.180.9-1.343%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.439.478.8-0.157%-
Last 30 away (16)40.242.682.8-2.431%-
Last 10 (10)38.840.879.6-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)38.640.479.0-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)38.942.281.2-3.338%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.941.080.9-1.136%-
vs Weaker (3)44.035.379.3+8.7100%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
24-44
24
44
-20
A08/11
Lega A
Ulm
#13
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A10/11
Eurocup
Trento
#8
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H15/11
Lega A
Mornar Bar
#17
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H18/11
Eurocup
Buducnost
#12
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H20/11
Eurocup
Brindisi
#3
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A22/11
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H05/12
Lega A
Unicaja
#10
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H09/12
Eurocup
Venezia
#4
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H13/12
Lega A
Levallois
#8
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A15/12
Eurocup
77.0Avg total
37.9Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.040.880.8-0.747%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.439.280.7+2.262%-
Last 30 away (14)38.442.580.9-4.129%-
Last 10 (10)37.939.177.0-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)41.440.081.4+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.041.879.8-3.836%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)43.238.381.6+4.978%-
vs Weaker (7)40.041.981.9-1.929%-
This opponent (Cantu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.319.1
49.9%
51.2%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.98.6
37.6%
35.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws18.012.8
71.1%
75.8%12.8
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.321.2
50.1%
51.2%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.47.4
33.0%
35.9%22.2
🏀 Free throws12.29.7
79.5%
75.8%9.7
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cantu
WLLLWLLLWW
Brescia
LWLWLLWLLL
#15
League position
#11
-5.2
Net rating
-7.0
103.1
Offensive rating
100.7
108.3
Defensive rating
107.8
52.3%
Effective FG%
49.9%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
17.5%
Turnover %
17.6%
22.2%
Off. rebound %
25.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.19
37.6%
3-point %
33.0%
61.0%
Assist %
60.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence103.1 · 100.7Defence108.3 · 107.8Shooting52.3% · 49.9%3-point %37.6% · 33.0%Ball care17.5% · 17.6%Off. rebounds22.2% · 25.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Cantu   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Cantu wins
8
Brescia wins
DateGameScore
10/09/20Brescia v Cantu88-78
29/08/20Cantu v Brescia75-76
29/12/19Cantu v Brescia82-93
07/04/19Cantu v Brescia82-76
16/12/18Brescia v Cantu81-63
31/03/18Brescia v Cantu86-71
17/02/18Cantu v Brescia82-87 OT
04/12/17Cantu v Brescia84-88
29/01/17Cantu v Brescia81-65
09/10/16Brescia v Cantu76-56
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/20HTrieste73-67
13/12/20ATrento73-74
09/12/20ACremona67-101
06/12/20ABrindisi71-85
22/11/20HVirtus Roma101-85
18/11/20ATreviso82-89
15/11/20HOlimpia Milano71-89
18/10/20HVenezia67-75
11/10/20AVarese90-80
04/10/20HPesaro81-72
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/20ALevallois81-86
13/12/20HVenezia71-69
09/12/20HUnicaja79-83
05/12/20HFortitudo Bologna99-85
22/11/20ABrindisi71-74
20/11/20HBuducnost66-75
18/11/20HMornar Bar77-75
15/11/20HTrento73-80
10/11/20AUlm76-88
08/11/20AOlimpia Milano56-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cantu
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW36%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayWLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %36%60%17%
Points / game76.578.674.7
Allowed / game81.977.685.5
Point differential-5.5+1.0-10.8
Avg total158.4156.2160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%20%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brescia
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW36%
HomeWLLWW50%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %36%50%20%
Points / game76.377.075.4
Allowed / game79.474.785.0
Point differential-3.1+2.3-9.6
Avg total155.6151.7160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %9%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1211192%89.871.7+18.1
2 Brindisi1210283%86.978.5+8.4
3 Virtus Bologna117464%84.076.5+7.5
4 Reggiana106460%77.977.0+0.9
5 Pesaro116555%81.478.4+3.0
6 Sassari116555%88.687.5+1.1
7 Venezia116555%78.177.2+0.9
8 Trento116555%78.378.0+0.3
9 Treviso115645%85.191.8-6.7
10 Cremona104640%83.183.3-0.2
11 Brescia114736%76.379.4-3.1
12 Cantu114736%76.581.9-5.5
13 Varese124833%80.087.4-7.4
14 Trieste72529%72.477.1-4.7
15 Fortitudo Bologna123925%79.884.8-5.0
16 Virtus Roma92722%74.987.7-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Cantu32171813989
Brescia222719121292
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