PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Cantu vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Dec 2019
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 82-93
28-23 18-27 19-31 17-12
Position#11
Record7-7
FormLWWWW
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game76.4
vs
Brescia 🏆
Italy
Position#3
Record9-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game73.7
ItalyLega ARound 16
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Cantu v Brescia
18 Jan 2026
KAN71
BRE76
20 Dec 2020
KAN89
BRE92
29 Aug 2020
KAN75
BRE76
29 Dec 2019
KAN82
BRE93
07 Apr 2019
KAN82
BRE76
17 Feb 2018
KAN82
BRE87
04 Dec 2017
KAN84
BRE88
29 Jan 2017
KAN81
BRE65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cantu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#2
L
70-87
70
87
-17
H27/10
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
78-54
78
54
+24
A03/11
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
74-76
74
76
-2
H10/11
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
69-77
69
77
-8
A17/11
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
82-84 OT
82
84
-2
H24/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
70-89
70
89
-19
A01/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H08/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H15/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
96-86
96
86
+10
A22/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
87-72
87
72
+15
A26/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-24
19-21
13-23
23-19
29-14
20-19
9-14
20-7
19-23
28-17
13-24
14-12
14-17
24-18
13-26
18-16
21-16
25-16
10-20
18-22
21-21
15-20
13-28
21-20
14-14
23-21
17-12
20-20
20-17
15-24
21-17
21-16
20-27
33-23
20-17
23-19
21-17
27-18
17-13
22-24
154.3Avg total
77.7Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)74.676.4151.1-1.850%
Season at home (7)75.778.9154.6-3.143%
Season away (7)73.674.0147.6-0.457%
Last 10 (10)77.776.6154.3+1.150%
Last 5 (5)80.877.6158.4+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)75.982.3158.2-6.433%
vs Similar (13)85.480.1165.5+5.385%
vs Weaker (5)78.874.2153.0+4.660%
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#14
L
74-76
74
76
-2
A19/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
80-82
80
82
-2
H26/10
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
88-74
88
74
+14
A03/11
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
91-74
91
74
+17
H10/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A17/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
101-74
101
74
+27
H24/11
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
70-76
70
76
-6
A01/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
86-74
86
74
+12
H08/12
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
83-53
83
53
+30
A22/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
91-76
91
76
+15
H26/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
19-20
22-18
13-12
19-20
22-20
21-19
18-23
20-20
20-16
24-20
24-18
18-21
25-14
23-19
25-20
14-20
15-18
18-16
21-18
23-12
29-26
31-16
18-20
15-15
27-24
12-22
16-15
28-19
20-20
14-14
24-21
25-15
22-13
16-12
20-13
20-29
19-22
28-15
24-10
156.3Avg total
83.2Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)83.273.7156.9+9.564%
Season at home (7)90.175.4165.6+14.786%
Season away (7)76.372.0148.3+4.343%
Last 10 (10)83.273.1156.3+10.160%
Last 5 (5)86.270.6156.8+15.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)80.383.4163.7-3.143%
vs Similar (11)79.179.9159.0-0.845%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)86.973.8160.8+13.183%
This opponent (Cantu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +3.3+3.3
CantuBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#2
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H27/10
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A03/11
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H10/11
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A17/11
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H24/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A01/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H08/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H15/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A22/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A26/12
Lega A
81.0Avg total
42.3Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.538.980.4+2.553%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.438.578.9+1.944%-
Last 30 away (14)42.639.482.1+3.264%-
Last 10 (10)42.338.781.0+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)41.840.482.2+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)39.840.680.4-0.833%-
vs Similar (13)42.538.080.5+4.562%-
vs Weaker (5)42.837.480.2+5.480%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#14
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A19/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H26/10
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A03/11
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H10/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A17/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H24/11
Lega A
Sassari
#2
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A01/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H08/12
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A22/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H26/12
Lega A
81.0Avg total
42.0Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.740.381.0+0.557%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.839.981.8+1.969%-
Last 30 away (14)39.540.680.1-1.143%-
Last 10 (10)42.039.081.0+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)45.639.084.6+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.141.679.7-3.443%-
vs Similar (11)40.739.480.1+1.464%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)42.240.382.6+1.958%-
This opponent (Cantu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.020.5
53.9%
52.0%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.0
29.9%
35.1%24.0
🏀 Free throws15.311.3
73.9%
73.6%11.3
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.320.9
59.2%
52.0%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.18.0
37.9%
35.1%24.0
🏀 Free throws14.612.1
82.9%
73.6%12.1
They take 56.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cantu
WWWWLLLLWL
Brescia
WWWLWLWWLL
#11
League position
#3
+2.8
Net rating
+16.5
111.3
Offensive rating
124.8
108.5
Defensive rating
108.3
50.2%
Effective FG%
58.3%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
15.0%
Turnover %
15.3%
33.3%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.26
29.9%
3-point %
37.9%
45.6%
Assist %
57.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.3 · 124.8Defence108.5 · 108.3Shooting50.2% · 58.3%3-point %29.9% · 37.9%Ball care15.0% · 15.3%Off. rebounds33.3% · 32.5%Free throws0.24 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Cantu   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Cantu wins
5
Brescia wins
DateGameScore
07/04/19Cantu v Brescia82-76
16/12/18Brescia v Cantu81-63
31/03/18Brescia v Cantu86-71
17/02/18Cantu v Brescia82-87 OT
04/12/17Cantu v Brescia84-88
29/01/17Cantu v Brescia81-65
09/10/16Brescia v Cantu76-56
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/19APesaro87-72
22/12/19ATrieste96-86
15/12/19HTreviso77-74
08/12/19HVarese74-67
01/12/19AVirtus Bologna70-89
24/11/19HFortitudo Bologna82-84 OT
17/11/19APistoia69-77
10/11/19HVirtus Roma74-76
03/11/19ACremona78-54
27/10/19HSassari70-87
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/19HCremona91-76
22/12/19AVirtus Roma83-53
08/12/19HPistoia86-74
01/12/19ASassari70-76
24/11/19HPesaro101-74
17/11/19ATreviso68-72
10/11/19HVarese91-74
03/11/19AFortitudo Bologna88-74
26/10/19HVirtus Bologna80-82
19/10/19ATrieste74-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cantu
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW50%
HomeLLLWW43%
AwayWLLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %50%43%57%
Points / game74.675.773.6
Allowed / game76.478.974.0
Point differential-1.8-3.1-0.4
Avg total151.1154.6147.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%0%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Brescia
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW64%
HomeLWWWW86%
AwayLWLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %64%86%43%
Points / game83.290.176.3
Allowed / game73.775.472.0
Point differential+9.5+14.7+4.3
Avg total156.9165.6148.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%71%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna1412286%84.176.1+8.0
2 Sassari1411379%83.772.9+10.9
3 Olimpia Milano1410471%80.973.1+7.8
4 Brescia149564%83.273.7+9.5
5 Brindisi148657%83.080.0+3.0
6 Cremona148657%78.178.4-0.3
7 Fortitudo Bologna148657%77.379.0-1.7
8 Varese147750%82.278.6+3.6
9 Venezia147750%77.774.4+3.4
10 Cantu147750%74.676.4-1.8
11 Virtus Roma157847%75.981.8-5.9
12 Treviso146843%77.178.1-1.1
13 Trento146843%77.579.5-2.0
14 Reggiana146843%81.183.4-2.3
15 Pistoia1551033%74.483.2-8.8
16 Trieste1431121%73.080.7-7.7
17 Pesaro140140%77.691.1-13.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cantu2818191782
Brescia2327311293
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.