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Brescia vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 31 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 87-79
16-27 22-13 24-21 25-18
Position#12
Record11-12
FormLWLWW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game80.5
Brescia 🏆
Italy
vs
Pistoia
Italy
Position#16
Record5-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game83.7
ItalyLega ARound 24
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Brescia v Pistoia
29 Dec 2024
BRE90
PIS83
14 May 2024
BRE97
PIS75
12 May 2024
BRE79
PIS70
28 Jan 2024
BRE109
PIS90
08 Dec 2019
BRE86
PIS74
31 Mar 2019
BRE87
PIS79
14 Jan 2018
BRE76
PIS72
08 Jan 2017
BRE97
PIS79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
80-88
80
88
-8
107avg 108
A06/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
72-70
72
70
+2
100avg 108
H12/01
Lega A
Varese
#7
W
78-73
78
73
+5
105avg 108
H20/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
82-79
82
79
+3
94avg 108
A27/01
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
77-85
77
85
-8
120avg 108
H03/02
Lega A
Avellino
#9
L
67-79
67
79
-12
93avg 108
A10/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
92-86
92
86
+6
124avg 108
A03/03
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
79-84
79
84
-5
98avg 108
H10/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
97-80 OT
97
80
+17
no box
H17/03
Lega A
Torino
#13
W
91-89
91
89
+2
86avg 108
A24/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
18-18
29-21
17-25
22-17
12-25
22-13
16-15
16-17
25-11
22-25
15-20
24-29
22-15
20-14
16-21
15-32
22-20
16-19
24-14
26-18
15-22
8-21
18-18
17-26
26-25
26-17
23-18
22-16
20-21
10-24
27-23
22-29
24-10
19-27
12-11
20-28
21-17
30-20
20-24
162.8Avg total
81.5Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)79.780.5160.2-0.848%
Season at home (11)79.978.5158.4+1.564%
Season away (12)79.582.3161.8-2.833%
Last 10 (10)81.581.3162.8+0.260%
Last 5 (5)85.283.6168.8+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)77.583.9161.4-6.538%
vs Similar (14)80.177.9158.0+2.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)82.080.0162.0+2.067%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Varese
#7
W
71-65
71
65
+6
101avg 104
H06/01
Lega A
Avellino
#9
L
78-82
78
82
-4
79avg 104
A13/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
77-81
77
81
-4
104avg 104
H20/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
72-95
72
95
-23
95avg 104
A27/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
H04/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
70-80
70
80
-10
93avg 104
A10/02
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
77-90
77
90
-13
no box
H03/03
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
80-90
80
90
-10
81avg 104
A10/03
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
82-90 OT
82
90
-8
no box
H17/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
76-80
76
80
-4
70avg 104
H24/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
13-18
16-16
19-14
19-20
25-17
18-26
16-19
17-30
29-16
16-14
15-21
21-20
23-24
10-23
18-28
–
–
–
–
12-18
19-28
20-22
19-12
22-24
14-16
25-25
16-25
26-23
19-29
21-17
14-21
23-21
23-18
13-17
19-22
17-22
22-18
24-23
13-17
145.6Avg total
70.3Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)75.183.7158.8-8.522%
Season at home (12)69.476.0145.4-6.625%
Season away (11)81.492.0173.4-10.618%
Last 10 (10)70.375.3145.6-5.020%
Last 5 (5)77.086.0163.0-9.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)74.584.0158.6-9.523%
vs Similar (4)77.580.2157.8-2.825%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -3.3-3.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -3.3-3.3
BresciaPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A06/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H12/01
Lega A
Varese
#7
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H20/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A27/01
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H03/02
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A10/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A03/03
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H10/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H17/03
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A24/03
Lega A
82.5Avg total
40.5Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.342.182.3-1.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.140.381.4+0.967%-
Last 30 away (15)39.443.983.3-4.547%-
Last 10 (10)40.542.082.5-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)42.642.485.0+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)37.945.883.7-7.838%-
vs Similar (14)41.938.480.3+3.679%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)42.743.386.0-0.733%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#7
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H06/01
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A13/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H20/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A27/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A10/02
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H03/03
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A10/03
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H17/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H24/03
Lega A
82.9Avg total
40.8Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.442.582.0-3.134%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.841.178.9-3.336%-
Last 30 away (15)41.043.984.9-2.933%-
Last 10 (9)40.842.182.9-1.333%-
Last 5 (5)39.443.482.8-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)39.243.182.3-4.032%-
vs Similar (4)41.238.880.0+2.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.419.3
50.3%
51.0%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.2
32.3%
35.1%21.6
🏀 Free throws24.717.9
72.5%
72.3%17.9
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.320.0
48.4%
51.0%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.26.6
32.7%
35.1%19.8
🏀 Free throws20.014.4
72.0%
72.3%14.4
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
WWLWLLWWWL
Pistoia
LLLLLWLLLW
#12
League position
#16
-5.6
Net rating
-12.2
105.9
Offensive rating
97.0
111.5
Defensive rating
109.2
49.6%
Effective FG%
48.6%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
19.7%
Turnover %
20.3%
33.3%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.33
32.3%
3-point %
32.7%
59.2%
Assist %
56.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 97.0Defence111.5 · 109.2Shooting49.6% · 48.6%3-point %32.3% · 32.7%Ball care19.7% · 20.3%Off. rebounds33.3% · 26.5%Free throws0.41 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Brescia   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Brescia wins
3
Pistoia wins
DateGameScore
09/12/18Pistoia v Brescia73-70
09/05/18Pistoia v Brescia90-85
14/01/18Brescia v Pistoia76-72
07/05/17Pistoia v Brescia86-62
08/01/17Brescia v Pistoia97-79
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/19ATorino91-89
17/03/19HBrindisi97-80 OT
10/03/19HTrento79-84
03/03/19APesaro92-86
10/02/19AAvellino67-79
03/02/19HTrieste77-85
27/01/19AReggiana82-79
20/01/19HVarese78-73
12/01/19HVenezia72-70
06/01/19AVirtus Bologna80-88
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/19HReggiana76-80
17/03/19HSassari82-90 OT
10/03/19ACremona80-90
03/03/19HTrieste77-90
10/02/19ABrindisi70-80
04/02/19HOlimpia Milano20-0
27/01/19AVenezia72-95
20/01/19HPesaro77-81
13/01/19AAvellino78-82
06/01/19HVarese71-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW48%
HomeWWLLW64%
AwayLWLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %48%64%33%
Points / game79.779.979.5
Allowed / game80.578.582.3
Point differential-0.8+1.5-2.8
Avg total160.2158.4161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)67% (6)43% (7)
Overtime %4%9%0%
Pistoia
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL22%
HomeLWLLL25%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %22%25%18%
Points / game75.169.481.4
Allowed / game83.776.092.0
Point differential-8.5-6.6-10.6
Avg total158.8145.4173.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2419579%87.278.2+9.0
2 Venezia2317674%82.273.2+9.0
3 Cremona2415962%82.178.7+3.4
4 Brindisi2314961%82.479.5+3.0
5 Avellino24141058%80.580.3+0.2
6 Varese23131057%79.275.0+4.2
7 Trieste24131154%87.583.1+4.4
8 Trento24131154%79.581.3-1.8
9 Sassari24121250%85.081.6+3.3
10 Virtus Bologna24121250%80.781.5-0.8
11 Cantu24121250%84.187.0-2.9
12 Brescia23111248%79.780.5-0.8
13 Pesaro2471729%80.992.2-11.3
14 Reggiana2361726%77.383.0-5.7
15 Torino2461825%83.387.8-4.5
16 Pistoia2351822%75.183.7-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia1622242587
Pistoia2713211879
← all games of the day
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