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Varese vs Cantu Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Oct 2020
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 80-90
29-23 15-21 20-14 16-32
Position#12
Record2-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game86.0
vs
Cantu 🏆
Italy
Position#15
Record1-1
FormLWLLW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game78.0
ItalyLega ARound 3
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Varese v Cantu
07 Feb 2027
VAR v KAN
upcoming
16 Nov 2025
VAR91
KAN82
11 Oct 2020
VAR80
KAN90
04 Sep 2020
VAR84
KAN77
05 Apr 2020
VAR v KAN
upcoming
25 Dec 2018
VAR89
KAN71
16 Oct 2017
VAR95
KAN64
03 Dec 2016
VAR82
KAN92
03 Jan 2016
VAR79
KAN66
12 Oct 2014
VAR93
KAN84
15 Dec 2013
VAR77
KAN82
29 Oct 2012
VAR77
KAN73
30 Dec 2011
VAR67
KAN83
22 May 2011
VAR69
KAN75
16 Jan 2011
VAR82
KAN65
09 Jan 2010
VAR81
KAN66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cantu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Trieste
#14
W
91-85
91
85
+6
85avg 78
H19/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
76-79
76
79
-3
66avg 78
A26/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
77-110
77
110
-33
no box
H29/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#10
L
88-89
88
89
-1
no box
A01/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cantu
#15
W
84-77
84
77
+7
no box
H04/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cantu
#15
L
72-81
72
81
-9
no box
A07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
77-91
77
91
-14
no box
A10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#10
W
102-100
102
100
+2
no box
H13/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#11
W
94-89 OT
94
89
+5
no box
H27/09
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
88-83
88
83
+5
89avg 78
A04/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
22-18
33-21
16-26
20-24
28-20
13-20
15-15
16-32
25-27
19-33
17-18
31-22
20-25
22-19
15-23
24-22
14-16
24-20
22-19
18-22
17-19
19-21
18-19
20-19
21-23
18-25
18-24
33-29
17-24
32-30
20-17
17-23
16-20
26-16
22-22
29-22
14-23
19-22
26-16
173.3Avg total
84.9Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)91.086.0177.0+5.0100%
Season at home (1)94.089.0183.0+5.0100%
Season away (1)88.083.0171.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.988.4173.3-3.550%
Last 5 (5)86.688.8175.4-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)79.691.9171.5-12.212%
vs Similar ◀ (8)84.186.8170.9-2.650%
vs Weaker (14)85.274.4159.6+10.871%
This opponent (Cantu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCantu
Date
Competition
Venezia
#7
W
81-77
81
77
+4
76avg 65
H02/02
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
71-79
71
79
-8
no box
A09/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
71-101
71
101
-30
no box
A27/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#10
L
75-76
75
76
-1
no box
H29/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
62-102
62
102
-40
no box
H01/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Varese
#13
L
77-84
77
84
-7
no box
A04/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Varese
#13
W
81-72
81
72
+9
no box
H07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#10
L
78-88
78
88
-10
no box
A10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
65-84
65
84
-19
53avg 65
A27/09
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
81-72
81
72
+9
no box
H04/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
17-20
21-16
21-20
16-17
20-21
19-15
16-26
18-26
20-28
16-24
17-23
14-15
32-17
11-20
18-24
18-24
13-30
15-27
16-21
22-24
16-14
20-24
19-22
22-18
19-17
21-19
19-18
17-19
25-21
22-26
14-22
15-25
15-20
14-20
21-19
21-13
15-19
19-27
26-13
157.7Avg total
74.2Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)73.078.0151.0-5.050%
Season at home (1)81.072.0153.0+9.0100%
Season away (1)65.084.0149.0-19.00%
Last 10 (10)74.283.5157.7-9.330%
Last 5 (5)76.480.0156.4-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)74.383.7158.0-9.429%
vs Similar ◀ (10)79.777.4157.1+2.360%
vs Weaker (3)76.775.0151.7+1.733%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -2.1-2.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -2.1-2.1
VareseCantu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#14
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H19/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A26/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
41-59
41
59
-18
H29/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#10
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A01/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cantu
#15
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H04/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cantu
#15
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#10
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H13/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#11
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H27/09
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A04/10
Lega A
87.2Avg total
42.2Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.741.182.9+0.643%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.739.782.3+3.060%-
Last 30 away (15)40.842.683.4-1.827%-
Last 10 (10)42.245.087.2-2.830%-
Last 5 (5)40.444.885.2-4.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.946.886.6-6.912%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.241.882.0-1.538%-
vs Weaker (14)43.637.681.2+6.164%-
This opponent (Cantu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#7
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H02/02
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A09/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
38-54
38
54
-16
A27/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#10
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H29/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
31-54
31
54
-23
H01/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Varese
#13
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A04/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Varese
#13
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#10
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A27/09
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H04/10
Lega A
78.6Avg total
37.7Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.840.179.9-0.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.639.579.1+0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)39.940.780.7-0.847%-
Last 10 (10)37.740.978.6-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)37.438.075.4-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)38.641.980.6-3.335%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.338.178.4+2.250%-
vs Weaker (3)44.336.781.0+7.7100%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.115.2
54.1%
51.2%30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.712.7
38.8%
35.9%38.1
🏀 Free throws17.714.3
80.8%
75.8%14.3
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.922.3
62.1%
51.2%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.7
36.9%
35.9%29.1
🏀 Free throws18.713.5
72.2%
75.8%13.5
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
WWWLLWLLLW
Cantu
WLLWLLLLLW
#12
League position
#15
+2.4
Net rating
+10.6
119.2
Offensive rating
126.1
116.7
Defensive rating
115.6
56.3%
Effective FG%
59.2%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
16.2%
Turnover %
16.7%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
36.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
38.8%
3-point %
36.9%
61.3%
Assist %
48.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence119.2 · 126.1Defence116.7 · 115.6Shooting56.3% · 59.2%3-point %38.8% · 36.9%Ball care16.2% · 16.7%Off. rebounds27.7% · 36.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Varese   ■ Cantu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Varese wins
5
Cantu wins
DateGameScore
07/09/20Cantu v Varese81-72
04/09/20Varese v Cantu84-77
08/12/19Cantu v Varese74-67
20/04/19Cantu v Varese84-75
25/12/18Varese v Cantu89-71
05/02/18Cantu v Varese85-89
16/10/17Varese v Cantu95-64
02/04/17Cantu v Varese72-85
03/12/16Varese v Cantu82-92
04/05/16Cantu v Varese89-79
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/20AFortitudo Bologna88-83
27/09/20HBrescia94-89 OT
13/09/20HBrescia102-100
10/09/20AOlimpia Milano77-91
07/09/20ACantu72-81
04/09/20HCantu84-77
01/09/20ABrescia88-89
29/08/20HOlimpia Milano77-110
26/01/20AFortitudo Bologna76-79
19/01/20HTrieste91-85
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/20HPesaro81-72
27/09/20AVirtus Bologna65-84
10/09/20ABrescia78-88
07/09/20HVarese81-72
04/09/20AVarese77-84
01/09/20HOlimpia Milano62-102
29/08/20HBrescia75-76
27/08/20AOlimpia Milano71-101
09/02/20ATrento71-79
02/02/20HVenezia81-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.094.088.0
Allowed / game86.089.083.0
Point differential+5.0+5.0+5.0
Avg total177.0183.0171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %50%100%0%
Cantu
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game73.081.065.0
Allowed / game78.072.084.0
Point differential-5.0+9.0-19.0
Avg total151.0153.0149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano330100%92.766.7+26.0
2 Varese220100%91.086.0+5.0
3 Sassari32167%86.377.0+9.3
4 Brindisi32167%79.772.7+7.0
5 Virtus Bologna32167%85.780.0+5.7
6 Venezia32167%76.774.3+2.3
7 Trieste32167%80.378.7+1.7
8 Cantu21150%73.078.0-5.0
9 Fortitudo Bologna31233%84.079.7+4.3
10 Brescia31233%87.787.3+0.3
11 Pesaro31233%82.382.7-0.3
12 Reggiana31233%78.082.7-4.7
13 Cremona31233%79.392.3-13.0
14 Virtus Roma31233%73.386.7-13.3
15 Treviso31233%78.392.7-14.3
16 Trento3030%77.088.0-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2915201680
Cantu2321143290
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