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Cantu vs Virtus Bologna Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 29 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 16:15
Postponed
Position#11
Record9-11
FormWLLWL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game79.0
Cantu
Italy
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.8/10
Below normal
4.7/10
Around normal
Virtus Bologna
Italy
Position#1
Record18-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game75.0
ItalyLega ARound 28
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Cantu v Virtus Bologna
18 Apr 2027
KAN v VIR
upcoming
23 Nov 2025
KAN77
VIR89
17 Jan 2021
KAN82
VIR91
29 Mar 2020
KAN v VIR
upcoming
10 Mar 2019
KAN96
VIR94
10 Dec 2017
KAN94
VIR87
17 Apr 2016
KAN89
VIR73
02 Nov 2014
KAN89
VIR67
11 May 2014
KAN85
VIR74
13 Jan 2013
KAN79
VIR64
14 Jan 2012
KAN78
VIR72
23 Jan 2011
KAN83
VIR67
28 May 2010
KAN72
VIR65
22 May 2010
KAN74
VIR68
20 May 2010
KAN75
VIR64
12 Dec 2009
KAN72
VIR63
23 Nov 2008
KAN69
VIR87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cantu win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCantu
Date
Competition
Varese
#10
W
74-67
74
67
+7
67avg 84
H08/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
77-74
77
74
+3
67avg 84
H15/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
96-86
96
86
+10
84avg 84
A22/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
87-72
87
72
+15
no box
A26/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
82-93
82
93
-11
74avg 84
H29/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
89-83
89
83
+6
85avg 84
A05/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
92-93 OT
92
93
-1
no box
H12/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
73-85
73
85
-12
no box
A25/01
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
81-77
81
77
+4
76avg 84
H02/02
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
71-79
71
79
-8
no box
A09/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-14
23-21
17-12
20-20
20-17
15-24
21-17
21-16
20-27
33-23
20-17
23-19
21-17
27-18
17-13
22-24
28-23
18-27
19-31
17-12
22-19
26-17
13-26
28-21
21-24
22-23
29-20
12-17
18-18
17-28
12-19
26-20
22-21
17-20
21-16
21-20
16-17
20-21
19-15
16-26
163.1Avg total
82.2Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)76.779.0155.7-2.345%
Season at home (10)78.581.5160.0-3.040%
Season away (10)74.876.5151.3-1.750%
Last 10 (10)82.280.9163.1+1.360%
Last 5 (5)81.283.4164.6-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)77.583.6161.1-6.136%
vs Similar (11)81.379.3160.5+2.064%
vs Weaker (5)78.874.2153.0+4.660%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Cremona
#6
L
66-78
66
78
-12
50avg 101
A08/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
99-87
99
87
+12
103avg 101
H14/12
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
77-91
77
91
-14
69avg 101
A22/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
94-62
94
62
+32
87avg 101
H25/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
83-70
83
70
+13
no box
H29/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
83-77
83
77
+6
82avg 101
A05/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
97-68
97
68
+29
103avg 101
A12/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
90-60
90
60
+30
90avg 101
H18/01
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
83-71
83
71
+12
81avg 101
A25/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
106-89
106
89
+17
112avg 101
H01/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-26
20-20
18-14
14-18
22-20
32-23
23-22
22-22
17-22
21-21
19-27
20-21
22-11
23-14
20-21
29-16
24-20
22-20
17-16
20-14
21-17
21-8
13-25
28-27
22-14
28-15
21-21
26-18
19-8
27-20
16-20
28-12
21-21
23-18
19-16
20-16
25-25
27-22
29-11
25-31
163.1Avg total
87.8Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)86.075.0160.9+11.090%
Season at home (10)88.173.4161.5+14.7100%
Season away (10)83.876.6160.4+7.280%
Last 10 (10)87.875.3163.1+12.580%
Last 5 (5)91.873.0164.8+18.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.374.3150.7+2.067%
vs Similar (7)75.976.1152.0-0.357%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)84.772.8157.6+11.990%
This opponent (Cantu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +6.3+6.3Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +3.7+3.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +6.3+6.3Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +3.7+3.7
CantuVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#10
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H08/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H15/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A22/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A26/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H29/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A05/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H12/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A25/01
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H02/02
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A09/02
Lega A
83.9Avg total
42.0Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.940.180.9+0.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.140.580.5-0.433%-
Last 30 away (15)41.739.781.3+2.053%-
Last 10 (10)42.041.983.9+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)40.241.681.8-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)40.141.982.0-1.929%-
vs Similar (11)41.038.979.9+2.145%-
vs Weaker (5)42.837.480.2+5.480%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#6
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A08/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H14/12
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A22/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H25/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H29/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
42-25
42
25
+17
A05/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
50-29
50
29
+21
A12/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H18/01
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A25/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H01/02
Lega A
81.6Avg total
45.1Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.136.077.1+5.063%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.335.476.7+5.971%-
Last 30 away (13)40.836.877.6+3.954%-
Last 10 (10)45.136.581.6+8.680%-
Last 5 (5)46.833.680.4+13.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.333.073.3+7.367%-
vs Similar (7)36.637.073.6-0.429%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)42.836.178.9+6.675%-
This opponent (Cantu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.024.3
63.9%
52.0%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.8
34.6%
35.1%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.112.0
70.2%
73.6%12.0
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.622.3
59.3%
52.0%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.7
37.0%
35.1%29.1
🏀 Free throws19.413.3
68.6%
73.6%13.3
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cantu
LWLLWLWWWW
Virtus Bologna
WWWWWWWLWL
#11
League position
#1
+10.5
Net rating
+17.2
128.2
Offensive rating
117.8
117.8
Defensive rating
100.6
59.1%
Effective FG%
57.8%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
45.6%
15.9%
Turnover %
18.2%
38.4%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.6%
3-point %
37.0%
43.2%
Assist %
67.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence128.2 · 117.8Defence117.8 · 100.6Shooting59.1% · 57.8%3-point %34.6% · 37.0%Ball care15.9% · 18.2%Off. rebounds38.4% · 32.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Cantu   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Cantu wins
4
Virtus Bologna wins
DateGameScore
01/12/19Virtus Bologna v Cantu89-70
10/03/19Cantu v Virtus Bologna96-94
11/11/18Virtus Bologna v Cantu90-81
07/04/18Virtus Bologna v Cantu83-88
10/12/17Cantu v Virtus Bologna94-87
17/04/16Cantu v Virtus Bologna89-73
23/12/15Virtus Bologna v Cantu85-77
15/02/15Virtus Bologna v Cantu108-96
02/11/14Cantu v Virtus Bologna89-67
11/05/14Cantu v Virtus Bologna85-74
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/20ATrento71-79
02/02/20HVenezia81-77
25/01/20AReggiana73-85
12/01/20HBrindisi92-93 OT
05/01/20AOlimpia Milano89-83
29/12/19HBrescia82-93
26/12/19APesaro87-72
22/12/19ATrieste96-86
15/12/19HTreviso77-74
08/12/19HVarese74-67
Virtus Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/20HPesaro106-89
25/01/20AVenezia83-71
18/01/20HPistoia90-60
12/01/20AVirtus Roma97-68
05/01/20ATrento83-77
29/12/19HOlimpia Milano83-70
25/12/19HFortitudo Bologna94-62
22/12/19ASassari77-91
14/12/19HBrindisi99-87
08/12/19ACremona66-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cantu
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL45%
HomeWWLLW40%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %45%40%50%
Points / game76.778.574.8
Allowed / game79.081.576.5
Point differential-2.4-3.0-1.7
Avg total155.7160.0151.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%0%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)40% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %10%20%0%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %90%100%80%
Points / game86.088.183.8
Allowed / game75.073.476.6
Point differential+10.9+14.7+7.2
Avg total160.9161.5160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2018290%86.075.0+10.9
2 Sassari2116576%85.575.9+9.6
3 Brescia2114767%81.374.0+7.3
4 Olimpia Milano2114767%80.374.0+6.3
5 Brindisi2113862%84.680.8+3.8
6 Cremona2012860%81.380.8+0.5
7 Venezia21111052%78.075.3+2.7
8 Trento21111052%77.979.3-1.4
9 Fortitudo Bologna21111052%77.379.5-2.2
10 Varese1991047%82.680.1+2.5
11 Cantu2091145%76.779.0-2.4
12 Reggiana2191243%82.984.0-1.0
13 Treviso2181338%77.179.2-2.1
14 Trieste2271532%76.080.5-4.5
15 Virtus Roma2271532%78.585.5-7.0
16 Pistoia2271532%74.583.3-8.8
17 Pesaro201195%79.292.5-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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