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Pesaro vs Cantu Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 26 Dec 2019
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 72-87
17-21 18-27 13-17 24-22
Position#17
Record0-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game91.5
vs
Cantu 🏆
Italy
Position#11
Record6-7
FormLLWWW
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game76.8
ItalyLega ARound 15
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Pesaro v Cantu
01 Dec 2024
PES90
KAN67
24 Jan 2021
PES107
KAN83
26 Dec 2019
PES72
KAN87
17 Mar 2019
PES72
KAN80
22 Apr 2018
PES82
KAN91
05 Feb 2017
PES78
KAN73
24 Apr 2016
PES96
KAN90
04 Jan 2015
PES83
KAN103
02 Feb 2014
PES82
KAN79
18 Nov 2012
PES66
KAN76
24 May 2012
PES80
KAN68
22 May 2012
PES91
KAN78
21 Mar 2012
PES72
KAN69
18 Feb 2012
PES64
KAN71
06 Jan 2011
PES76
KAN75
01 Nov 2009
PES60
KAN75
11 Jan 2009
PES84
KAN86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cantu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#5
L
99-108
99
108
-9
82avg 88
A20/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
65-90
65
90
-25
49avg 88
H27/10
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
75-85
75
85
-10
64avg 88
A03/11
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
95-101 OT
95
101
-6
no box
H09/11
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
83-92
83
92
-9
68avg 88
A17/11
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
74-101
74
101
-27
58avg 88
A24/11
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
63-74
63
74
-11
50avg 88
H01/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
65-71
65
71
-6
56avg 88
H08/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
87-103
87
103
-16
76avg 88
A15/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
79-91
79
91
-12
72avg 88
A22/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-32
24-27
20-19
28-30
20-24
15-19
19-20
11-27
27-16
12-24
18-24
18-21
8-18
23-24
30-15
21-25
20-24
20-20
22-23
21-25
12-23
26-29
16-31
20-18
13-18
14-22
18-19
18-15
16-17
14-14
16-21
19-19
24-25
30-31
20-26
13-21
26-27
20-14
20-27
13-23
170.1Avg total
78.5Scored
91.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)78.191.5169.5-13.40%
Season at home (6)73.285.0158.2-11.80%
Season away (7)82.397.0179.3-14.70%
Last 10 (10)78.591.6170.1-13.10%
Last 5 (5)73.688.0161.6-14.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)77.692.4170.0-14.87%
vs Similar (1)81.077.0158.0+4.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cantu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCantu
Date
Competition
Trento
#8
W
78-72
78
72
+6
68avg 96
H20/10
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
70-87
70
87
-17
59avg 96
H27/10
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
78-54
78
54
+24
74avg 96
A03/11
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
74-76
74
76
-2
60avg 96
H10/11
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
69-77
69
77
-8
52avg 96
A17/11
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
82-84 OT
82
84
-2
no box
H24/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
70-89
70
89
-19
59avg 96
A01/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
74-67
74
67
+7
67avg 96
H08/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
77-74
77
74
+3
67avg 96
H15/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
96-86
96
86
+10
84avg 96
A22/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
19-11
16-15
17-23
15-24
19-21
13-23
23-19
29-14
20-19
9-14
20-7
19-23
28-17
13-24
14-12
14-17
24-18
13-26
18-16
21-16
25-16
10-20
18-22
21-21
15-20
13-28
21-20
14-14
23-21
17-12
20-20
20-17
15-24
21-17
21-16
20-27
33-23
20-17
23-19
153.4Avg total
76.8Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)73.776.8150.5-3.146%
Season at home (7)75.778.9154.6-3.143%
Season away (6)71.374.3145.7-3.050%
Last 10 (10)76.876.6153.4+0.250%
Last 5 (5)79.880.0159.8-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)75.982.3158.2-6.433%
vs Similar (14)86.981.2168.1+5.686%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)76.874.8151.5+2.050%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: +2.1+2.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: +2.1+2.1
PesaroCantu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#5
L
51-59
51
59
-8
A20/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H27/10
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A03/11
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H09/11
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A17/11
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A24/11
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H01/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H08/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A15/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A22/12
Lega A
83.9Avg total
39.1Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.746.584.2-8.717%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.544.481.9-6.921%-
Last 30 away (16)37.948.386.2-10.412%-
Last 10 (10)39.144.883.9-5.710%-
Last 5 (5)39.044.083.0-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)37.446.583.9-9.017%-
vs Similar (1)46.046.092.0+0.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cantu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#8
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H20/10
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H27/10
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A03/11
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H10/11
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A17/11
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H24/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A01/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H08/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H15/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A22/12
Lega A
80.6Avg total
42.0Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.539.380.8+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.438.578.9+1.944%-
Last 30 away (14)42.740.383.0+2.464%-
Last 10 (10)42.038.680.6+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)41.439.881.2+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)39.840.680.4-0.833%-
vs Similar (14)42.938.681.6+4.364%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)41.538.079.5+3.575%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.217.8
52.0%
52.0%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.98.5
28.4%
35.1%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.114.7
73.1%
73.6%14.7
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 72.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.219.5
52.4%
52.0%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.87.5
28.0%
35.1%22.5
🏀 Free throws15.010.7
71.3%
73.6%10.7
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Dec 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LLLLLLLLLL
Cantu
WWWLLLLWLW
#17
League position
#11
-20.4
Net rating
-3.8
106.5
Offensive rating
106.5
126.9
Defensive rating
110.3
47.7%
Effective FG%
48.0%
58.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
14.2%
Turnover %
15.2%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.23
28.4%
3-point %
28.0%
43.0%
Assist %
45.2%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.5 · 106.5Defence126.9 · 110.3Shooting47.7% · 48.0%3-point %28.4% · 28.0%Ball care14.2% · 15.2%Off. rebounds29.3% · 32.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)0% · 50%
■ Pesaro   ■ Cantu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Pesaro wins
7
Cantu wins
DateGameScore
17/03/19Pesaro v Cantu72-80
19/11/18Cantu v Pesaro87-90
22/04/18Pesaro v Cantu82-91
26/12/17Cantu v Pesaro92-73
05/02/17Pesaro v Cantu78-73
16/10/16Cantu v Pesaro77-68
24/04/16Pesaro v Cantu96-90
27/12/15Cantu v Pesaro90-65
03/05/15Cantu v Pesaro83-67
04/01/15Pesaro v Cantu83-103
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/19APistoia79-91
15/12/19AVarese87-103
08/12/19HOlimpia Milano65-71
01/12/19HCremona63-74
24/11/19ABrescia74-101
17/11/19AVirtus Roma83-92
09/11/19HTrento95-101 OT
03/11/19ATreviso75-85
27/10/19HReggiana65-90
20/10/19ABrindisi99-108
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/19ATrieste96-86
15/12/19HTreviso77-74
08/12/19HVarese74-67
01/12/19AVirtus Bologna70-89
24/11/19HFortitudo Bologna82-84 OT
17/11/19APistoia69-77
10/11/19HVirtus Roma74-76
03/11/19ACremona78-54
27/10/19HSassari70-87
20/10/19HTrento78-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game78.173.282.3
Allowed / game91.585.097.0
Point differential-13.4-11.8-14.7
Avg total169.5158.2179.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %8%17%0%
Cantu
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW46%
HomeLLLWW43%
AwayLWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %46%43%50%
Points / game73.775.771.3
Allowed / game76.878.974.3
Point differential-3.1-3.1-3.0
Avg total150.5154.6145.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna1412286%84.176.1+8.0
2 Sassari1310377%82.472.4+10.0
3 Olimpia Milano1410471%80.973.1+7.8
4 Brescia138562%82.673.5+9.1
5 Cremona138562%78.377.5+0.8
6 Fortitudo Bologna148657%77.379.0-1.7
7 Brindisi137654%82.780.6+2.1
8 Virtus Roma147750%75.882.0-6.2
9 Venezia136746%77.674.2+3.5
10 Varese136746%81.580.0+1.5
11 Treviso136746%76.976.4+0.5
12 Reggiana136746%81.883.1-1.3
13 Cantu136746%73.776.8-3.1
14 Trento135838%77.381.5-4.2
15 Pistoia145936%75.482.6-7.2
16 Trieste1331023%74.580.8-6.2
17 Pesaro130130%78.191.5-13.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro1718132472
Cantu2127172287
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