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Cantu vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Dec 2019
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 74-67
14-14 23-21 17-12 20-20
Position#11
Record3-7
FormWLLLL
Points / game71.1
Allowed / game77.1
Cantu 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#10
Record5-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game78.6
ItalyLega ARound 12
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Cantu v Varese
06 Dec 2026
KAN v VAR
upcoming
19 Apr 2026
KAN100
VAR96
31 Jan 2021
KAN97
VAR82
07 Sep 2020
KAN81
VAR72
08 Dec 2019
KAN74
VAR67
20 Apr 2019
KAN84
VAR75
05 Feb 2018
KAN85
VAR89
02 Apr 2017
KAN72
VAR85
04 May 2016
KAN89
VAR79
26 Jan 2015
KAN91
VAR83
29 Mar 2014
KAN84
VAR68
24 Feb 2013
KAN67
VAR60
22 Apr 2012
KAN76
VAR66
20 May 2011
KAN67
VAR64
18 May 2011
KAN78
VAR53
15 May 2011
KAN75
VAR66
01 May 2010
KAN83
VAR70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cantu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCantu
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#5
W
69-64
69
64
+5
58avg 104
A26/09
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
75-92
75
92
-17
61avg 104
H06/10
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
46-76
46
76
-30
31avg 104
A13/10
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
78-72
78
72
+6
68avg 104
H20/10
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
70-87
70
87
-17
59avg 104
H27/10
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
78-54
78
54
+24
74avg 104
A03/11
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
74-76
74
76
-2
60avg 104
H10/11
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
69-77
69
77
-8
52avg 104
A17/11
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
82-84 OT
82
84
-2
no box
H24/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
70-89
70
89
-19
59avg 104
A01/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
17-11
23-20
10-13
15-19
17-20
21-29
22-24
9-23
19-16
7-20
11-17
26-23
19-11
16-15
17-23
15-24
19-21
13-23
23-19
29-14
20-19
9-14
20-7
19-23
28-17
13-24
14-12
14-17
24-18
13-26
18-16
21-16
25-16
10-20
18-22
21-21
15-20
13-28
21-20
148.2Avg total
71.1Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)71.177.1148.2-6.030%
Season at home (5)75.882.2158.0-6.420%
Season away (5)66.472.0138.4-5.640%
Last 10 (10)71.177.1148.2-6.030%
Last 5 (5)74.676.0150.6-1.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)75.384.8160.2-9.523%
vs Similar (12)86.981.4168.3+5.583%
vs Weaker (5)81.475.6157.0+5.860%
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Sassari
#2
L
52-74
52
74
-22
35avg 106
H26/09
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
92-62
92
62
+30
88avg 106
A29/09
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
83-60
83
60
+23
75avg 106
H06/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
80-87
80
87
-7
66avg 106
A19/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
102-78
102
78
+24
no box
H27/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
69-93
69
93
-24
no box
A03/11
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
74-91
74
91
-17
58avg 106
A10/11
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
93-91 OT
93
91
+2
no box
H17/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
74-81
74
81
-7
66avg 106
A23/11
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
99-69
99
69
+30
96avg 106
H01/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-15
9-25
17-17
11-17
29-13
25-12
12-20
26-17
17-15
32-16
21-15
13-14
22-21
12-19
21-17
25-30
26-19
24-17
27-23
25-19
14-26
16-20
15-28
24-19
21-18
14-25
19-23
20-25
24-14
17-14
12-20
22-27
20-23
28-20
13-18
13-20
34-19
24-20
21-15
20-15
160.4Avg total
81.8Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)81.878.6160.4+3.250%
Season at home (5)85.874.4160.2+11.480%
Season away (5)77.882.8160.6-5.020%
Last 10 (10)81.878.6160.4+3.250%
Last 5 (5)81.885.0166.8-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)68.784.0152.7-15.30%
vs Similar (12)83.084.2167.2-1.242%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)82.973.1156.0+9.771%
This opponent (Cantu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -8.1-8.1Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -0.4-0.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -8.1-8.1Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -0.4-0.4
CantuVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#5
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A26/09
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H06/10
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A13/10
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H20/10
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H27/10
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A03/11
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H10/11
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A17/11
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H24/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A01/12
Lega A
76.0Avg total
39.1Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.439.781.1+1.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.338.980.2+2.444%-
Last 30 away (14)41.640.682.1+1.057%-
Last 10 (10)39.136.976.0+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)43.236.279.4+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)39.542.582.1-3.023%-
vs Similar (12)42.837.580.2+5.267%-
vs Weaker (5)43.237.480.6+5.880%-
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#2
L
24-40
24
40
-16
H26/09
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
54-25
54
25
+29
A29/09
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H06/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A19/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H27/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A03/11
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A10/11
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H17/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A23/11
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
58-39
58
39
+19
H01/12
Lega A
79.4Avg total
42.3Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.537.478.9+4.167%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.735.176.7+6.680%-
Last 30 away (15)41.339.781.1+1.653%-
Last 10 (10)42.337.179.4+5.260%-
Last 5 (5)42.439.882.2+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.041.072.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (12)43.239.782.9+3.675%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)42.434.276.6+8.179%-
This opponent (Cantu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 69.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.918.3
49.6%
52.0%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.37.7
28.2%
35.1%23.1
🏀 Free throws14.410.1
70.1%
73.6%10.1
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.016.2
52.3%
52.0%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.011.1
34.7%
35.1%33.3
🏀 Free throws17.512.9
73.7%
73.6%12.9
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Dec 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cantu
LLLLWLWLLW
Varese
WLWLLWLWWL
#11
League position
#10
-9.9
Net rating
+3.3
101.9
Offensive rating
116.6
111.8
Defensive rating
113.3
46.5%
Effective FG%
52.1%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
14.8%
Turnover %
14.5%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.28
28.2%
3-point %
34.7%
50.8%
Assist %
46.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.9 · 116.6Defence111.8 · 113.3Shooting46.5% · 52.1%3-point %28.2% · 34.7%Ball care14.8% · 14.5%Off. rebounds30.3% · 32.4%Free throws0.22 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Cantu   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Cantu wins
6
Varese wins
DateGameScore
20/04/19Cantu v Varese84-75
25/12/18Varese v Cantu89-71
05/02/18Cantu v Varese85-89
16/10/17Varese v Cantu95-64
02/04/17Cantu v Varese72-85
03/12/16Varese v Cantu82-92
04/05/16Cantu v Varese89-79
03/01/16Varese v Cantu79-66
26/01/15Cantu v Varese91-83
12/10/14Varese v Cantu93-84
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/19AVirtus Bologna70-89
24/11/19HFortitudo Bologna82-84 OT
17/11/19APistoia69-77
10/11/19HVirtus Roma74-76
03/11/19ACremona78-54
27/10/19HSassari70-87
20/10/19HTrento78-72
13/10/19AVenezia46-76
06/10/19HReggiana75-92
26/09/19ABrindisi69-64
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/19HVirtus Roma99-69
23/11/19AReggiana74-81
17/11/19HVenezia93-91 OT
10/11/19ABrescia74-91
03/11/19AOlimpia Milano69-93
27/10/19HBrindisi102-78
19/10/19AVirtus Bologna80-87
06/10/19HFortitudo Bologna83-60
29/09/19ATrieste92-62
26/09/19HSassari52-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cantu
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL30%
HomeLWLLL20%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%20%40%
Points / game71.175.866.4
Allowed / game77.182.272.0
Point differential-6.0-6.4-5.6
Avg total148.2158.0138.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %10%20%0%
Varese
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW50%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%80%20%
Points / game81.885.877.8
Allowed / game78.674.482.8
Point differential+3.2+11.4-5.0
Avg total160.4160.2160.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%60%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %10%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna10100100%84.174.7+9.4
2 Sassari107370%81.170.7+10.4
3 Brindisi107370%83.978.8+5.1
4 Olimpia Milano128467%81.773.7+8.0
5 Fortitudo Bologna117464%78.477.6+0.7
6 Cremona106460%77.678.5-0.9
7 Brescia127558%82.675.2+7.3
8 Varese105550%81.878.6+3.2
9 Reggiana105550%80.879.9+0.9
10 Venezia115645%75.973.5+2.5
11 Treviso115645%75.975.7+0.2
12 Trento115645%77.681.0-3.4
13 Virtus Roma115645%76.282.8-6.6
14 Cantu103730%71.177.1-6.0
15 Trieste103730%72.578.5-6.0
16 Pistoia123925%73.483.9-10.5
17 Pesaro110110%77.290.5-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cantu1423172074
Varese1421122067
← all games of the day
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