Caserta vs Avellino Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Apr 2012

Tip-off: 16:15

Final 76-67

Position#15

Record10-16

FormLLLLL

Points / game77.5

Allowed / game79.5

Caserta 🏆

Avellino

Position#10

Record13-13

FormLLLWL

Points / game78.0

Allowed / game80.0

Lega ARound 29

Domestic2011-12

Meetings · Caserta v Avellino

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caserta winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Avellino winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Caserta

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Treviso

#14

73-71

A21/01

Lega A

Siena

78-80

-2

H05/02

Lega A

Casale Monferrato

#18

77-76

A12/02

Lega A

Varese

87-91

-4

H26/02

Lega A

Pesaro

81-75

A04/03

Lega A

Cantu

58-75

-17

H07/03

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

89-95

-6

A18/03

Lega A

Virtus Roma

#13

80-90

-10

H25/03

Lega A

Cremona

#11

74-77

-3

H01/04

Lega A

Teramo

#17

78-86

-8

A07/04

Lega A

18-15

18-19

20-23

17-14

16-17

27-24

10-13

25-26

21-20

17-15

19-22

20-19

23-16

24-23

16-21

24-31

17-11

22-14

24-27

18-23

18-15

6-17

15-20

19-23

16-17

12-25

32-30

29-23

15-18

20-23

27-15

18-34

19-22

20-20

19-18

16-17

20-22

17-24

24-20

17-20

159.1Avg total

77.5Scored

81.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	77.5	79.5	157.0	-1.9	38%
Season at home (13)	79.2	79.3	158.5	-0.2	38%
Season away (13)	75.9	79.6	155.5	-3.7	38%
Last 10 (10)	77.5	81.6	159.1	-4.1	30%
Last 5 (5)	75.8	84.6	160.4	-8.8	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	76.3	80.9	157.1	-4.6	29%
vs Similar ◀ (22)	77.3	79.4	156.7	-2.1	36%
vs Weaker (1)	77.0	88.0	165.0	-11.0	0%

This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Avellino

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Bologna

56-76

-20

A29/01

Lega A

Treviso

#14

72-71

A04/02

Lega A

Cantu

70-99

-29

A17/02

Italian Cup

Sassari

73-87

-14

A25/02

Lega A

Teramo

#17

75-63

+12

H29/02

Lega A

Cantu

63-72

-9

H04/03

Lega A

Casale Monferrato

#18

65-96

-31

A07/03

Lega A

Pesaro

81-89

-8

H17/03

Lega A

Biella

#12

71-70

H25/03

Lega A

Virtus Roma

#13

82-88

-6

H07/04

Lega A

7-21

14-16

11-22

24-17

21-8

15-13

15-18

21-32

24-19

12-24

20-31

14-25

17-19

22-22

19-31

15-15

15-14

18-12

27-10

15-27

16-12

17-22

16-17

14-21

21-21

10-23

19-24

15-28

19-31

27-23

18-15

17-20

25-21

12-12

16-16

18-21

18-16

15-23

34-23

15-26

151.9Avg total

70.8Scored

81.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	78.0	80.0	158.1	-2.0	50%
Season at home (14)	80.8	77.4	158.1	+3.4	64%
Season away (12)	74.8	83.2	158.0	-8.3	33%
Last 10 (10)	70.8	81.1	151.9	-10.3	30%
Last 5 (5)	72.4	83.0	155.4	-10.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	75.6	83.4	159.0	-7.8	25%
vs Similar ◀ (21)	77.8	77.4	155.2	+0.4	57%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CasertaAvellino

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	19.5	38.5	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	19.1	38.6	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.4	19.9	38.3	-1.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	17.3	35.6	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	18.8	36.4	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.7	19.1	36.9	-1.4	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	19.6	19.5	39.1	+0.1	59%	-
vs Weaker (1)	14.0	22.0	36.0	-8.0	0%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	19.0	39.8	+1.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	18.6	40.9	+3.7	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	19.4	38.7	-0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	18.2	36.5	+0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	20.2	40.0	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.2	18.6	38.9	+1.6	62%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	20.9	19.1	40.0	+1.8	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.2	20.1	37.3	-2.8	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	20.4	39.5	-1.3	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.3	19.7	35.1	-4.4	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	20.4	38.7	-2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	21.8	36.8	-6.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.3	20.0	37.3	-2.7	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	17.3	20.0	37.3	-2.7	18%	-
vs Weaker (1)	16.0	22.0	38.0	-6.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	18.5	36.3	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.5	17.9	36.3	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.1	19.2	36.3	-2.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.2	19.0	35.2	-2.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	20.6	36.8	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.8	19.8	38.5	-1.0	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	17.7	17.8	35.5	-0.1	57%	-
vs Weaker	no games

CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Treviso

#14

36-34

A21/01

Lega A

Siena

43-41

H05/02

Lega A

Casale Monferrato

#18

38-35

A12/02

Lega A

Varese

47-39

H26/02

Lega A

Pesaro

39-25

+14

A04/03

Lega A

Cantu

24-32

-8

H07/03

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

28-42

-14

A18/03

Lega A

Virtus Roma

#13

35-41

-6

H25/03

Lega A

Cremona

#11

39-42

-3

H01/04

Lega A

Teramo

#17

37-46

-9

A07/04

Lega A

74.3Avg total

36.6Scored

37.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.2	39.6	75.8	-3.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.7	39.5	78.1	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	33.7	39.7	73.4	-5.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.6	37.7	74.3	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.6	40.6	73.2	-8.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	35.0	39.1	74.1	-4.1	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	36.9	39.5	76.4	-2.6	36%	-
vs Weaker (1)	30.0	44.0	74.0	-14.0	0%	-

This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Bologna

21-37

-16

A29/01

Lega A

Treviso

#14

36-21

+15

A04/02

Lega A

Cantu

36-43

-7

A17/02

Italian Cup

Sassari

39-41

-2

A25/02

Lega A

Teramo

#17

33-26

H29/02

Lega A

Cantu

33-34

-1

H04/03

Lega A

Casale Monferrato

#18

31-44

-13

A07/03

Lega A

Pesaro

46-54

-8

H17/03

Lega A

Biella

#12

37-33

H25/03

Lega A

Virtus Roma

#13

33-39

-6

H07/04

Lega A

71.7Avg total

34.5Scored

37.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	37.5	76.2	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.8	36.5	77.3	+4.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.5	38.6	75.1	-2.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.5	37.2	71.7	-2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	40.8	76.8	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	39.0	38.4	77.4	+0.6	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	38.6	37.0	75.6	+1.7	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	18.6	38.1	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.3	18.2	36.5	+0.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	19.1	39.8	+1.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	20.9	41.5	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	20.6	44.0	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.6	18.7	37.3	-0.1	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	19.9	18.4	38.3	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	17.0	23.0	40.0	-6.0	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	19.8	38.7	-0.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	19.3	40.2	+1.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.0	20.2	37.2	-3.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	20.7	40.2	-1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	19.0	39.6	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	15.6	22.1	37.8	-6.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	20.1	18.3	38.5	+1.8	52%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	21.5	42.1	-1.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	22.0	42.1	-1.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.0	21.1	42.1	-0.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	23.0	43.3	-2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	23.4	43.2	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	22.7	23.0	45.7	-0.3	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	19.4	21.1	40.5	-1.7	36%	-
vs Weaker (1)	30.0	21.0	51.0	+9.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	21.2	39.6	-2.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.2	20.2	39.4	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.6	22.3	39.9	-4.7	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	23.2	40.0	-6.4	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	23.2	39.0	-7.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.4	21.5	41.9	-1.1	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	17.9	21.0	38.8	-3.1	29%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	40.2	80.2	-0.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.3	40.2	78.5	-1.9	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.7	40.1	81.9	+1.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	43.9	84.8	-3.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	44.0	87.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	41.3	41.7	83.0	-0.4	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	39.3	39.5	78.8	-0.2	32%	-
vs Weaker (1)	47.0	44.0	91.0	+3.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.3	41.0	78.3	-3.7	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.1	39.5	79.6	+0.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.6	42.5	77.1	-7.9	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.3	43.9	80.2	-7.6	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	42.2	78.6	-5.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	36.0	43.6	79.6	-7.6	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	38.0	39.3	77.3	-1.3	29%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Caserta wins

Avellino wins

Date	Game	Score
27/12/11	Avellino v Caserta	84-74
17/04/11	Caserta v Avellino	75-83
28/12/10	Avellino v Caserta	79-68
18/04/10	Caserta v Avellino	81-79
19/12/09	Avellino v Caserta	73-66
10/05/09	Caserta v Avellino	65-74
18/01/09	Avellino v Caserta	85-58

Casertalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/04/12	A	Teramo	78-86
01/04/12	H	Cremona	74-77
25/03/12	H	Virtus Roma	80-90
18/03/12	A	Olimpia Milano	89-95
07/03/12	H	Cantu	58-75
04/03/12	A	Pesaro	81-75
26/02/12	H	Varese	87-91
12/02/12	A	Casale Monferrato	77-76
05/02/12	H	Siena	78-80
21/01/12	A	Treviso	73-71

Avellinolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/04/12	H	Virtus Roma	82-88
25/03/12	H	Biella	71-70
17/03/12	H	Pesaro	81-89
07/03/12	A	Casale Monferrato	65-96
04/03/12	H	Cantu	63-72
29/02/12	H	Teramo	75-63
25/02/12	A	Sassari	73-87
17/02/12	A	Cantu	70-99
04/02/12	A	Treviso	72-71
29/01/12	A	Virtus Bologna	56-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caserta

Lega A 2011-12

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	38%
Home	LLLLL	38%
Away	WWWLL	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	13	13
Win %	38%	38%	38%
Points / game	77.5	79.2	75.9
Allowed / game	79.5	79.3	79.6
Point differential	-1.9	-0.2	-3.7
Avg total	157.0	158.5	155.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	15%	31%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	44% (9)	25% (4)	60% (5)
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

Avellino

Lega A 2011-12

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	50%
Home	WLLWL	64%
Away	LLWLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	14	12
Win %	50%	64%	33%
Points / game	78.0	80.8	74.8
Allowed / game	80.0	77.4	83.2
Point differential	-2.0	+3.4	-8.3
Avg total	158.1	158.1	158.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	23%	29%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	100% (2)	50% (4)
Overtime %	12%	7%	17%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Nazionale Italiana	1	1	0	100%	91.0	85.0	+6.0
2	Siena	25	18	7	72%	80.0	71.4	+8.6
3	Cantu	27	18	9	67%	74.8	70.1	+4.7
4	Pesaro	27	17	10	63%	75.0	74.3	+0.7
5	Olimpia Milano	26	16	10	62%	77.5	74.0	+3.5
6	Sassari	26	16	10	62%	79.1	76.8	+2.3
7	Venezia	26	16	10	62%	77.2	74.9	+2.3
8	Virtus Bologna	26	15	11	58%	75.9	75.9	+0.0
9	Varese	27	14	13	52%	76.1	75.3	+0.8
10	Avellino	26	13	13	50%	78.0	80.0	-2.0
11	Virtus Roma	27	13	14	48%	79.3	80.6	-1.3
12	Sutor Montegranaro	26	11	15	42%	78.1	79.2	-1.1
13	Treviso	26	11	15	42%	76.5	78.6	-2.2
14	Biella	27	11	16	41%	75.1	76.4	-1.3
15	Caserta	26	10	16	38%	77.5	79.5	-1.9
16	Cremona	27	10	17	37%	72.4	77.8	-5.4
17	Teramo	27	9	18	33%	72.4	76.6	-4.1
18	Casale Monferrato	26	6	20	23%	72.6	75.7	-3.1
19	International All Stars	1	0	1	0%	85.0	91.0	-6.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

No quarter scores for this game.

← all games of the day

Caserta vs Avellino Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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