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Pesaro vs Torino Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Jan 2017
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 65-66
12-18 16-18 23-13 14-17
Position#15
Record5-11
FormWLLWL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game79.2
Pesaro
Italy
vs
Torino 🏆
Italy
Position#12
Record8-8
FormWLLWW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game84.2
ItalyLega ARound 17
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Pesaro v Torino
13 Jan 2019
PES102
TOR98
11 Feb 2018
PES90
TOR95
29 Jan 2017
PES65
TOR66
04 Jan 2016
PES69
TOR76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Torino winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#10
L
83-87
83
87
-4
H13/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
80-87
80
87
-7
A20/11
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
73-78
73
78
-5
H27/11
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A04/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
96-102 OT
96
102
-6
H11/12
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
87-82
87
82
+5
A18/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
57-59
57
59
-2
H27/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
84-88
84
88
-4
A02/01
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
70-68
70
68
+2
H08/01
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
68-99
68
99
-31
A22/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-17
17-21
24-20
29-29
26-23
13-25
21-8
20-31
22-23
15-19
19-14
17-22
29-22
12-23
15-13
17-13
21-19
20-14
22-26
24-28
10-15
26-21
20-26
31-20
7-13
16-13
19-16
15-17
23-16
24-34
18-25
19-13
16-17
14-19
17-15
23-17
17-31
16-22
13-21
22-25
159.2Avg total
77.1Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)74.579.2153.8-4.831%
Season at home (8)74.274.4148.6-0.138%
Season away (8)74.884.1158.9-9.425%
Last 10 (10)77.182.1159.2-5.030%
Last 5 (5)73.279.2152.4-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)77.881.5159.3-3.627%
vs Similar ◀ (19)76.176.9153.1-0.847%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Torino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TorinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#4
W
74-70
74
70
+4
A14/11
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
90-93 OT
90
93
-3
H20/11
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
89-77
89
77
+12
A27/11
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
73-89
73
89
-16
A04/12
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
80-77
80
77
+3
H11/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
85-73
85
73
+12
H19/12
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
64-96
64
96
-32
A27/12
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
86-91
86
91
-5
H02/01
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
86-79
86
79
+7
A07/01
Lega A
Avellino
#3
W
84-79
84
79
+5
H22/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
19-12
17-23
23-18
24-15
20-29
23-21
17-19
25-24
22-7
21-20
21-26
22-20
16-25
22-19
13-25
19-24
27-16
21-23
13-14
24-18
25-19
19-19
17-17
18-29
13-13
14-21
19-33
20-20
20-20
20-21
26-30
21-29
21-20
15-14
29-16
21-20
17-17
22-21
24-21
163.5Avg total
81.1Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)82.284.2166.4-2.150%
Season at home (8)86.284.2170.5+2.062%
Season away (8)78.184.2162.4-6.138%
Last 10 (10)81.182.4163.5-1.360%
Last 5 (5)81.083.6164.6-2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)78.183.6161.8-5.536%
vs Similar ◀ (16)79.579.9159.4-0.456%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -1.7-1.7
PesaroTorino
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#10
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H13/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A20/11
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H27/11
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A04/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H11/12
Lega A
Caserta
#13
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A18/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
23-26
23
26
-3
H27/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A02/01
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H08/01
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A22/01
Lega A
76.4Avg total
35.7Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.338.777.0-0.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.336.073.3+1.347%-
Last 30 away (15)39.341.580.7-2.227%-
Last 10 (10)35.740.776.4-5.010%-
Last 5 (5)33.840.274.0-6.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.839.577.3-1.645%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)38.638.376.9+0.332%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Torino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TorinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#4
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A14/11
Lega A
Venezia
#1
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H20/11
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A27/11
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A04/12
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H11/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H19/12
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A27/12
Lega A
Brescia
#11
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H02/01
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A07/01
Lega A
Avellino
#3
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H22/01
Lega A
80.3Avg total
40.9Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.740.480.1-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.039.182.1+3.967%-
Last 30 away (15)36.541.678.1-5.133%-
Last 10 (10)40.939.480.3+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)40.041.081.0-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.341.079.3-2.750%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)41.039.880.8+1.250%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.519.9
50.4%
51.1%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.9
34.8%
35.7%23.7
🏀 Free throws15.711.5
73.2%
74.0%11.5
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Torinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Torino: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.820.2
48.3%
51.1%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.08.4
36.5%
35.7%25.2
🏀 Free throws19.415.2
78.4%
74.0%15.2
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Jan 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LWLLWLWLLL
Torino
WWLLWWLWLW
#15
League position
#12
-5.0
Net rating
-1.7
100.7
Offensive rating
103.2
105.6
Defensive rating
104.9
51.0%
Effective FG%
50.6%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
17.7%
Turnover %
17.8%
24.0%
Off. rebound %
25.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.8%
3-point %
36.5%
41.4%
Assist %
53.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence100.7 · 103.2Defence105.6 · 104.9Shooting51.0% · 50.6%3-point %34.8% · 36.5%Ball care17.7% · 17.8%Off. rebounds24.0% · 25.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Pesaro   ■ Torino
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pesaro wins
3
Torino wins
DateGameScore
09/10/16Torino v Pesaro83-79
04/05/16Torino v Pesaro83-66
04/01/16Pesaro v Torino69-76
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/17ABrescia68-99
08/01/17HCapo d'Orlando70-68
02/01/17AOlimpia Milano84-88
27/12/16HPistoia57-59
18/12/16ACaserta87-82
11/12/16HBrindisi96-102 OT
04/12/16ACremona73-71
27/11/16HTrento73-78
20/11/16AReggiana80-87
13/11/16HVarese83-87
Torinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/17HAvellino84-79
07/01/17AVarese86-79
02/01/17HBrescia86-91
27/12/16ASassari64-96
19/12/16HReggiana85-73
11/12/16HCaserta80-77
04/12/16APistoia73-89
27/11/16ACantu89-77
20/11/16HVenezia90-93 OT
14/11/16ATrento74-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL31%
HomeLLLLW38%
AwayLWWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %31%38%25%
Points / game74.574.274.8
Allowed / game79.274.484.1
Point differential-4.8-0.1-9.4
Avg total153.8148.6158.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)20% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Torino
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeLWWLW62%
AwayWWLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %50%62%38%
Points / game82.286.278.1
Allowed / game84.284.284.2
Point differential-2.1+2.0-6.1
Avg total166.4170.5162.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)57% (7)50% (2)
Overtime %12%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1614288%89.179.3+9.8
2 Venezia1712571%83.480.4+3.0
3 Avellino1611569%80.675.3+5.2
4 Sassari169756%78.874.6+4.1
5 Reggiana169756%81.281.4-0.2
6 Capo d'Orlando179853%78.377.9+0.4
7 Brescia168850%82.980.8+2.2
8 Torino168850%82.284.2-2.1
9 Pistoia168850%75.277.3-2.1
10 Caserta168850%82.285.2-3.0
11 Trento167944%75.674.2+1.4
12 Brindisi167944%82.982.9+0.0
13 Cantu1661038%77.582.9-5.4
14 Pesaro1651131%74.579.2-4.8
15 Cremona1641225%75.679.1-3.6
16 Varese1641225%75.780.9-5.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro1216231465
Torino1818131766
← all games of the day
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