Caserta vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Dec 2014

Tip-off: 17:15

Final 78-82

13-25 21-19 25-11 19-27

Position#16

Record0-10

FormLLLLL

Points / game72.3

Allowed / game80.7

Caserta

Varese 🏆

Position#12

Record4-6

FormLLLWW

Points / game84.8

Allowed / game85.9

Lega ARound 11

Domestic2014-15

Meetings · Caserta v Varese

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caserta winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Varese winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Caserta

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Roma

#14

62-75

-13

A12/10

Lega A

Brindisi

69-78

-9

H19/10

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

73-79

-6

A26/10

Lega A

Pistoia

#10

59-63

-4

H02/11

Lega A

Cremona

#11

66-81

-15

H09/11

Lega A

Capo d'Orlando

#15

64-68

-4

A16/11

Lega A

Cantu

95-107 OT

107

-12

H22/11

Lega A

Venezia

76-88

-12

A30/11

Lega A

Trento

88-90

-2

H08/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

71-78

-7

A14/12

Lega A

16-14

14-24

11-17

21-20

25-26

17-16

14-23

13-13

14-23

15-19

16-14

28-23

18-13

11-20

17-15

13-15

12-25

12-20

28-21

14-15

13-12

15-18

18-15

18-23

25-13

18-22

17-25

24-24

16-24

22-18

27-17

11-29

20-19

21-23

22-25

25-23

22-17

14-17

16-26

19-18

153.0Avg total

72.3Scored

80.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	72.3	80.7	153.0	-8.4	0%
Season at home (5)	75.4	83.8	159.2	-8.4	0%
Season away (5)	69.2	77.6	146.8	-8.4	0%
Last 10 (10)	72.3	80.7	153.0	-8.4	0%
Last 5 (5)	78.8	86.2	165.0	-7.4	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	75.3	81.2	156.5	-5.9	30%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	68.1	72.4	140.5	-4.3	27%
vs Weaker (5)	77.2	69.4	146.6	+7.8	80%

This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Varese

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cantu

93-84

H12/10

Lega A

Pesaro

#17

96-85

+11

A19/10

Lega A

Reggiana

112-118 OT

112

118

-6

H25/10

Lega A

Venezia

95-98

-3

A02/11

Lega A

Trento

70-76

-6

H09/11

Lega A

Virtus Roma

#14

78-87

-9

A16/11

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

97-105

105

-8

H23/11

Lega A

Cremona

#11

53-64

-11

A30/11

Lega A

Brindisi

71-69

A06/12

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

83-73

+10

H14/12

Lega A

21-15

21-23

24-17

27-29

22-22

23-25

26-21

25-17

22-25

17-24

21-14

20-17

20-24

21-17

29-22

25-35

18-17

22-10

16-28

14-21

26-20

11-24

15-23

17-23

23-20

31-30

26-32

17-15

16-20

15-14

5-15

19-14

15-20

14-22

23-13

23-15

23-23

19-17

18-18

170.7Avg total

84.8Scored

85.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	84.8	85.9	170.7	-1.1	40%
Season at home (5)	91.0	91.2	182.2	-0.2	40%
Season away (5)	78.6	80.6	159.2	-2.0	40%
Last 10 (10)	84.8	85.9	170.7	-1.1	40%
Last 5 (5)	76.4	79.6	156.0	-3.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	84.9	92.6	177.4	-7.7	11%
vs Similar ◀ (18)	79.2	79.5	158.7	-0.3	56%
vs Weaker (3)	83.7	79.7	163.3	+4.0	67%

This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CasertaVarese

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	17.8	35.1	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	17.9	37.1	+1.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.3	17.7	33.1	-2.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	18.6	36.7	-0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	17.0	36.2	+2.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.8	18.9	38.7	+0.9	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	14.9	17.2	32.1	-2.3	40%	-
vs Weaker (5)	19.6	17.4	37.0	+2.2	40%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.5	40.1	+1.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.5	18.4	38.9	+2.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.7	20.4	41.1	+0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	19.0	39.5	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	17.4	37.8	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.0	21.1	40.1	-2.1	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	21.7	19.2	40.8	+2.5	78%	-
vs Weaker (3)	19.0	16.7	35.7	+2.3	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.0	17.5	34.5	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.3	17.9	34.2	-1.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.6	17.2	34.8	+0.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.9	19.7	35.6	-3.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	19.6	37.6	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.1	18.1	37.2	+1.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	15.1	17.4	32.5	-2.3	27%	-
vs Weaker (5)	18.2	16.8	35.0	+1.4	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	20.8	39.8	-1.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.2	21.0	40.2	-1.8	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	20.6	39.4	-1.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	20.2	40.9	+0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.6	41.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.1	21.7	39.8	-3.6	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	19.0	20.1	39.1	-1.1	28%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.3	22.3	43.7	-1.0	33%	-

CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Roma

#14

30-38

-8

A12/10

Lega A

Brindisi

42-42

H19/10

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

29-42

-13

A26/10

Lega A

Pistoia

#10

29-33

-4

H02/11

Lega A

Cremona

#11

24-45

-21

H09/11

Lega A

Capo d'Orlando

#15

28-30

-2

A16/11

Lega A

Cantu

43-35

H22/11

Lega A

Venezia

38-42

-4

A30/11

Lega A

Trento

41-42

-1

H08/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

36-34

A14/12

Lega A

72.3Avg total

34.0Scored

38.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.3	35.3	69.6	-1.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.6	35.7	71.3	-0.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	32.9	34.9	67.9	-2.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.0	38.3	72.3	-4.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	36.6	73.8	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	38.9	37.0	75.9	+1.9	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	30.0	34.6	64.6	-4.6	27%	-
vs Weaker (5)	37.8	34.2	72.0	+3.6	40%	-

This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cantu

42-38

H12/10

Lega A

Pesaro

#17

45-47

-2

A19/10

Lega A

Reggiana

39-49

-10

H25/10

Lega A

Venezia

41-41

A02/11

Lega A

Trento

40-27

+13

H09/11

Lega A

Virtus Roma

#14

52-40

+12

A16/11

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

40-43

-3

H23/11

Lega A

Cremona

#11

33-35

-2

A30/11

Lega A

Brindisi

34-34

A06/12

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

46-38

H14/12

Lega A

80.4Avg total

41.2Scored

39.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	40.3	79.9	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.7	39.4	79.1	+0.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.4	41.1	80.5	-1.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	39.2	80.4	+2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	38.0	79.0	+3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	37.1	42.8	79.9	-5.7	11%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	40.7	39.3	79.9	+1.4	61%	-
vs Weaker (3)	40.3	39.0	79.3	+1.3	33%	-

This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	18.9	36.9	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.2	19.9	39.1	-0.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.8	17.8	34.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	19.8	38.4	-1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	21.6	41.6	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.5	21.0	38.5	-3.5	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	18.3	18.1	36.4	+0.1	53%	-
vs Weaker (5)	18.2	16.8	35.0	+1.4	60%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.9	41.1	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	19.6	39.6	+0.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.4	21.9	42.4	-1.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	20.9	41.5	-0.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	21.4	39.4	-3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	21.8	22.3	44.1	-0.6	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	19.2	20.3	39.4	-1.1	44%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.7	20.0	41.7	+1.7	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.9	39.2	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	18.6	38.9	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.4	21.1	39.5	-2.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	20.3	38.9	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	23.4	42.8	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.8	20.9	38.7	-3.1	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	19.8	19.7	39.5	+0.1	53%	-
vs Weaker (5)	21.2	18.4	39.6	+2.8	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.5	40.8	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	21.6	42.6	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.8	19.4	39.2	+0.3	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	22.0	41.8	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	20.2	37.6	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	21.7	21.4	43.1	+0.2	56%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	19.4	19.9	39.3	-0.6	44%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.7	20.7	42.3	+1.0	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	38.7	76.1	-1.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.5	38.5	78.1	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.2	38.9	74.1	-3.7	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.2	40.1	77.3	-2.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	45.0	84.4	-5.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	35.3	41.9	77.2	-6.6	10%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	38.1	37.8	75.9	+0.3	47%	-
vs Weaker (5)	39.4	35.2	74.6	+4.2	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.5	41.3	81.8	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.9	41.3	82.1	-0.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.2	41.4	81.6	-1.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	42.9	83.3	-2.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.4	41.6	77.0	-6.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	43.4	43.8	87.2	-0.3	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	38.6	40.2	78.8	-1.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	43.3	40.7	84.0	+2.7	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Caserta wins

Varese wins

Date	Game	Score
06/04/14	Varese v Caserta	72-67
22/12/13	Caserta v Varese	86-80
03/03/13	Varese v Caserta	74-62
04/11/12	Caserta v Varese	56-73
26/02/12	Caserta v Varese	87-91
06/11/11	Varese v Caserta	85-82
03/04/11	Varese v Caserta	92-77
12/12/10	Caserta v Varese	92-80
25/04/10	Varese v Caserta	85-88 OT
03/01/10	Caserta v Varese	76-53

Casertalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/12/14	A	Olimpia Milano	71-78
08/12/14	H	Trento	88-90
30/11/14	A	Venezia	76-88
22/11/14	H	Cantu	95-107 OT
16/11/14	A	Capo d'Orlando	64-68
09/11/14	H	Cremona	66-81
02/11/14	H	Pistoia	59-63
26/10/14	A	Virtus Bologna	73-79
19/10/14	H	Brindisi	69-78
12/10/14	A	Virtus Roma	62-75

Vareselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/12/14	H	Virtus Bologna	83-73
06/12/14	A	Brindisi	71-69
30/11/14	A	Cremona	53-64
23/11/14	H	Olimpia Milano	97-105
16/11/14	A	Virtus Roma	78-87
09/11/14	H	Trento	70-76
02/11/14	A	Venezia	95-98
25/10/14	H	Reggiana	112-118 OT
19/10/14	A	Pesaro	96-85
12/10/14	H	Cantu	93-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caserta

Lega A 2014-15

Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	0%
Home	LLLLL	0%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	5	5
Win %	0%	0%	0%
Points / game	72.3	75.4	69.2
Allowed / game	80.7	83.8	77.6
Point differential	-8.4	-8.4	-8.4
Avg total	153.0	159.2	146.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	10%	20%	0%

Varese

Lega A 2014-15

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	40%
Home	WLLLW	40%
Away	WLLLW	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	5	5
Win %	40%	40%	40%
Points / game	84.8	91.0	78.6
Allowed / game	85.9	91.2	80.6
Point differential	-1.1	-0.2	-2.0
Avg total	170.7	182.2	159.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	20%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	-	50% (2)
Overtime %	10%	20%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Venezia	11	9	2	82%	78.5	75.0	+3.5
2	Olimpia Milano	10	8	2	80%	85.7	76.1	+9.6
3	Reggiana	10	8	2	80%	82.5	77.3	+5.2
4	Brindisi	10	6	4	60%	77.6	72.2	+5.4
5	Sassari	10	6	4	60%	85.6	81.6	+4.0
6	Trento	10	6	4	60%	84.5	83.1	+1.4
7	Cremona	11	6	5	55%	76.5	73.7	+2.8
8	Avellino	10	5	5	50%	75.6	74.0	+1.6
9	Virtus Bologna	11	5	6	45%	73.6	78.0	-4.4
10	Virtus Roma	10	4	6	40%	75.4	76.2	-0.8
11	Varese	10	4	6	40%	84.8	85.9	-1.1
12	Pistoia	10	4	6	40%	74.5	76.5	-2.0
13	Capo d'Orlando	10	4	6	40%	69.9	72.3	-2.4
14	Cantu	11	4	7	36%	77.4	79.1	-1.7
15	Pesaro	10	3	7	30%	71.9	84.6	-12.7
16	Caserta	10	0	10	0%	72.3	80.7	-8.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Caserta	13	21	25	19	78
Varese	25	19	11	27	82

← all games of the day

Caserta vs Varese Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature