Caserta vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Feb 2012

Tip-off: 17:15

Final 87-91

23-16 24-23 16-21 24-31

Position#15

Record9-10

FormWLWLW

Points / game77.3

Allowed / game77.7

Caserta

Varese 🏆

Position#8

Record10-10

FormLWLWL

Points / game75.6

Allowed / game75.3

Lega ARound 22

Domestic2011-12

Meetings · Caserta v Varese

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caserta winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Varese winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Caserta

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Teramo

#17

97-82 OT

+15

H18/12

Lega A

Avellino

#10

74-84

-10

A27/12

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

80-87

-7

H30/12

Lega A

Venezia

74-79

-5

A03/01

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

66-75

-9

H08/01

Lega A

Biella

#12

90-76

+14

H11/01

Lega A

Sassari

56-74

-18

A15/01

Lega A

Treviso

#14

73-71

A21/01

Lega A

Siena

78-80

-2

H05/02

Lega A

Casale Monferrato

#18

77-76

A12/02

Lega A

15-20

18-18

17-22

23-13

16-25

21-22

16-11

21-26

21-22

17-22

20-21

22-22

20-17

19-22

12-16

23-24

15-12

13-26

19-13

19-24

30-22

16-22

26-18

18-14

13-26

4-15

21-18

18-15

18-19

20-23

17-14

16-17

27-24

10-13

25-26

21-20

17-15

19-22

20-19

154.9Avg total

76.5Scored

78.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	77.3	77.7	155.1	-0.4	47%
Season at home (9)	81.1	77.6	158.7	+3.6	56%
Season away (10)	73.9	77.9	151.8	-4.0	40%
Last 10 (10)	76.5	78.4	154.9	-1.9	40%
Last 5 (5)	74.8	75.4	150.2	-0.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	78.0	81.5	159.5	-3.5	25%
vs Similar ◀ (21)	77.3	78.7	156.0	-1.3	43%
vs Weaker (1)	77.0	88.0	165.0	-11.0	0%

This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Varese

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pesaro

68-72

-4

A27/12

Lega A

Cantu

67-83

-16

H30/12

Lega A

Treviso

#14

96-80

+16

H03/01

Lega A

Cremona

#11

61-69

-8

A08/01

Lega A

Avellino

#10

94-78

+16

H11/01

Lega A

Teramo

#17

75-81

-6

A15/01

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

74-64

+10

H22/01

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

60-63

-3

A29/01

Lega A

Casale Monferrato

#18

64-58 OT

A04/02

Lega A

Virtus Roma

#13

76-78

-2

H12/02

Lega A

18-21

23-15

13-17

14-19

20-17

11-22

21-23

15-21

25-11

21-20

22-24

28-25

8-16

18-20

17-16

18-17

26-13

20-18

26-29

22-18

18-21

10-22

25-20

23-25

20-19

18-4

13-16

16-22

8-10

22-7

14-24

15-19

13-17

9-5

16-12

20-23

24-17

14-18

18-20

146.1Avg total

73.5Scored

72.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	75.6	75.3	150.9	+0.3	50%
Season at home (10)	81.7	75.7	157.4	+6.0	80%
Season away (10)	69.5	74.9	144.4	-5.4	20%
Last 10 (10)	73.5	72.6	146.1	+0.9	40%
Last 5 (5)	69.8	68.8	138.6	+1.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	69.3	75.7	145.0	-6.3	22%
vs Similar ◀ (20)	78.4	75.5	153.9	+2.9	60%
vs Weaker (1)	76.0	81.0	157.0	-5.0	0%

This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CasertaVarese

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.7	40.3	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	20.2	41.1	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	21.1	39.6	-2.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	19.6	38.1	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	20.0	39.6	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.8	21.4	39.1	-3.6	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	20.7	20.3	41.0	+0.3	62%	-
vs Weaker (1)	14.0	22.0	36.0	-8.0	0%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	18.5	36.7	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	17.2	37.3	+2.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.4	19.7	36.1	-3.2	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	18.5	37.8	+0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.4	40.6	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	16.7	18.6	35.2	-1.9	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	18.9	18.1	37.0	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	16.0	28.0	44.0	-12.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	20.3	38.2	-2.3	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	20.4	40.7	-0.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.6	20.1	35.7	-4.5	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	20.5	37.5	-3.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	19.0	35.4	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	21.0	21.0	42.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	16.9	19.9	36.8	-3.0	14%	-
vs Weaker (1)	16.0	22.0	38.0	-6.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	19.0	38.0	-0.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	18.7	38.9	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.9	19.2	37.2	-1.3	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	17.9	35.5	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	16.8	33.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.0	20.9	38.9	-2.9	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	19.4	18.4	37.8	+1.0	40%	-
vs Weaker (1)	19.0	14.0	33.0	+5.0	100%	-

CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Teramo

#17

33-38

-5

H18/12

Lega A

Avellino

#10

37-47

-10

A27/12

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

38-44

-6

H30/12

Lega A

Venezia

39-39

A03/01

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

28-38

-10

H08/01

Lega A

Biella

#12

46-44

H11/01

Lega A

Sassari

17-41

-24

A15/01

Lega A

Treviso

#14

36-34

A21/01

Lega A

Siena

43-41

H05/02

Lega A

Casale Monferrato

#18

38-35

A12/02

Lega A

75.6Avg total

35.5Scored

40.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	40.9	78.6	-3.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.2	40.6	81.8	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.1	41.3	75.3	-7.2	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.5	40.1	75.6	-4.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	39.0	75.0	-3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	38.8	42.4	81.1	-3.6	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	37.6	40.2	77.8	-2.7	38%	-
vs Weaker (1)	30.0	44.0	74.0	-14.0	0%	-

This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pesaro

41-36

A27/12

Lega A

Cantu

31-39

-8

H30/12

Lega A

Treviso

#14

46-31

+15

H03/01

Lega A

Cremona

#11

26-36

-10

A08/01

Lega A

Avellino

#10

46-31

+15

H11/01

Lega A

Teramo

#17

40-39

A15/01

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

43-44

-1

H22/01

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

24-32

-8

A29/01

Lega A

Casale Monferrato

#18

28-36

-8

A04/02

Lega A

Virtus Roma

#13

44-40

H12/02

Lega A

73.3Avg total

36.9Scored

36.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.1	37.5	74.6	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.2	35.9	76.1	+4.3	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.4	38.9	73.3	-4.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.9	36.4	73.3	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	38.2	74.0	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	34.7	39.4	74.1	-4.8	11%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	38.3	36.5	74.8	+1.8	65%	-
vs Weaker (1)	35.0	42.0	77.0	-7.0	0%	-

This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	17.5	35.9	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.1	17.1	34.1	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	17.9	37.6	+1.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	17.7	35.7	+0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	18.8	38.0	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.4	16.4	34.8	+2.0	62%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	18.4	17.7	36.1	+0.8	48%	-
vs Weaker (1)	17.0	23.0	40.0	-6.0	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	17.6	35.4	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	18.6	38.1	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.5	16.6	33.1	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	16.5	33.7	+0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.6	11.2	25.8	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	17.6	17.4	35.0	+0.1	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	18.1	17.6	35.7	+0.6	55%	-
vs Weaker (1)	16.0	19.0	35.0	-3.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	21.0	41.7	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	21.3	42.1	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	20.7	41.3	-0.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	19.7	40.3	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	17.6	37.2	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.9	22.8	43.6	-1.9	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	20.2	20.3	40.5	-0.1	52%	-
vs Weaker (1)	30.0	21.0	51.0	+9.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.6	39.1	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	20.6	42.6	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.4	18.7	36.1	-1.3	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	19.2	37.5	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	18.4	35.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	17.1	18.8	35.9	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	20.3	19.9	40.2	+0.4	55%	-
vs Weaker (1)	25.0	20.0	45.0	+5.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	38.5	77.6	+0.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.9	38.3	76.3	-0.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.2	38.7	78.9	+1.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	37.4	76.0	+1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	36.4	75.2	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	39.2	39.1	78.4	+0.1	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	38.6	38.0	76.6	+0.6	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	47.0	44.0	91.0	+3.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	37.2	74.5	+0.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.4	39.3	80.6	+2.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	33.9	35.3	69.2	-1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.5	35.7	71.2	-0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.8	29.6	61.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	34.7	36.2	70.9	-1.6	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	38.4	37.5	75.9	+0.9	65%	-
vs Weaker (1)	41.0	39.0	80.0	+2.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Caserta wins

Varese wins

Date	Game	Score
06/11/11	Varese v Caserta	85-82
03/04/11	Varese v Caserta	92-77
12/12/10	Caserta v Varese	92-80
25/04/10	Varese v Caserta	85-88 OT
03/01/10	Caserta v Varese	76-53

Casertalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/02/12	A	Casale Monferrato	77-76
05/02/12	H	Siena	78-80
21/01/12	A	Treviso	73-71
15/01/12	A	Sassari	56-74
11/01/12	H	Biella	90-76
08/01/12	H	Sutor Montegranaro	66-75
03/01/12	A	Venezia	74-79
30/12/11	H	Virtus Bologna	80-87
27/12/11	A	Avellino	74-84
18/12/11	H	Teramo	97-82 OT

Vareselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/02/12	H	Virtus Roma	76-78
04/02/12	A	Casale Monferrato	64-58 OT
29/01/12	A	Sutor Montegranaro	60-63
22/01/12	H	Olimpia Milano	74-64
15/01/12	A	Teramo	75-81
11/01/12	H	Avellino	94-78
08/01/12	A	Cremona	61-69
03/01/12	H	Treviso	96-80
30/12/11	H	Cantu	67-83
27/12/11	A	Pesaro	68-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caserta

Lega A 2011-12

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	47%
Home	WLLWL	56%
Away	LLLWW	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	9	10
Win %	47%	56%	40%
Points / game	77.3	81.1	73.9
Allowed / game	77.7	77.6	77.9
Point differential	-0.4	+3.6	-4.0
Avg total	155.1	158.7	151.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	44%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	50% (2)	60% (5)
Overtime %	5%	11%	0%

Varese

Lega A 2011-12

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	50%
Home	LWWWL	80%
Away	LLLLW	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	10	10
Win %	50%	80%	20%
Points / game	75.6	81.7	69.5
Allowed / game	75.3	75.7	74.9
Point differential	+0.3	+6.0	-5.4
Avg total	150.9	157.4	144.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	40%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	50% (2)	25% (4)
Overtime %	10%	0%	20%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	20	15	5	75%	79.8	71.0	+8.8
2	Sassari	21	13	8	62%	78.5	77.5	+1.0
3	Venezia	18	11	7	61%	76.5	74.9	+1.6
4	Pesaro	18	11	7	61%	74.1	74.6	-0.5
5	Olimpia Milano	20	12	8	60%	76.0	72.9	+3.0
6	Virtus Bologna	20	12	8	60%	78.2	76.6	+1.6
7	Cantu	19	11	8	58%	74.4	70.7	+3.6
8	Avellino	20	11	9	55%	79.6	80.2	-0.6
9	Varese	20	10	10	50%	75.6	75.3	+0.3
10	Caserta	19	9	10	47%	77.3	77.7	-0.4
11	Biella	20	9	11	45%	75.5	76.8	-1.2
12	Virtus Roma	20	9	11	45%	78.7	80.4	-1.7
13	Treviso	19	8	11	42%	74.8	76.3	-1.4
14	Sutor Montegranaro	19	7	12	37%	75.6	77.7	-2.2
15	Teramo	19	7	12	37%	71.8	75.1	-3.3
16	Cremona	20	6	14	30%	72.1	78.3	-6.2
17	Casale Monferrato	20	5	15	25%	72.2	75.0	-2.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Caserta	23	24	16	24	87
Varese	16	23	21	31	91

← all games of the day

Caserta vs Varese Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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