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Caxias do Sul vs Botafogo Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 67-68
6-21 18-18 25-15 18-14
Position#13
Record14-18
FormLLWWL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game76.9
vs
Position#16
Record7-24
FormLWLWL
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game83.1
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Sesi
Other2025-26
Meetings · Caxias do Sul v Botafogo
22 Mar 2026
CAXI67
BOTA68
06 Feb 2025
CAXI78
BOTA67
30 Oct 2023
CAXI74
BOTA67
05 Apr 2018
CAXI80
BOTA64
03 Apr 2018
CAXI79
BOTA52
12 Jan 2018
CAXI73
BOTA63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caxias do Sul winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Botafogo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Caxias do Sul
5.2out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 72.5
75.6▲ 3.1
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 79.7
77.6▼ 2.1
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 52%
56%▲ 3%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 16.1
18.2▲ 2.1
🔥 Form · Botafogo
4.2out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 72.7
76.8▲ 4.1
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 83.8
84.0▲ 0.2
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 51%
53%▲ 2%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 15.4
17.2▲ 1.8
Caxias do SulBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
66-93
66
93
-27
H21/01
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
73-79
73
79
-6
A03/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
62-69
62
69
-7
H11/02
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
80-73
80
73
+7
H13/02
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
83-66
83
66
+17
H22/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
80-90
80
90
-10
H05/03
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
67-72
67
72
-5
H09/03
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
71-69
71
69
+2
H11/03
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
85-76
85
76
+9
A17/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
75-81
75
81
-6
A19/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-21
16-29
21-23
19-20
16-18
13-18
19-20
25-23
19-15
14-17
13-21
16-16
20-22
18-13
19-20
23-18
17-20
15-18
26-19
25-9
17-33
23-18
19-16
21-23
20-24
15-10
9-22
23-16
22-15
25-20
12-16
12-18
19-19
14-20
18-21
34-16
29-24
16-18
9-21
21-18
151.0Avg total
74.2Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)73.076.9150.0-3.944%
Season at home (15)74.375.1149.5-0.853%
Season away (17)71.978.5150.4-6.635%
Last 10 (10)74.276.8151.0-2.640%
Last 5 (5)75.677.6153.2-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)66.082.3148.3-16.38%
vs Similar (8)77.274.5151.8+2.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)79.673.3152.9+6.278%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
73-74
73
74
-1
H19/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
89-80
89
80
+9
H21/01
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
70-69
70
69
+1
H05/02
NBB
Pato
#17
L
67-93
67
93
-26
A12/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
66-88
66
88
-22
H17/02
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
81-87
81
87
-6
H19/02
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
83-82
83
82
+1
A04/03
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
73-79
73
79
-6
A06/03
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H12/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
62-93
62
93
-31
H16/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-21
21-15
16-22
22-16
26-18
18-20
23-30
22-12
19-17
28-14
10-24
13-14
19-27
13-22
20-18
15-26
18-21
12-24
21-24
15-19
23-17
13-21
25-23
20-26
17-23
20-14
19-27
27-18
10-16
23-20
18-23
22-20
27-21
17-28
21-19
20-11
25-20
17-19
8-22
12-32
157.3Avg total
74.9Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)72.583.1155.7-10.623%
Season at home (15)75.079.8154.8-4.840%
Season away (16)70.286.2156.5-16.06%
Last 10 (10)74.982.4157.3-7.540%
Last 5 (5)76.884.0160.8-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)70.084.6154.7-14.69%
vs Similar (8)78.578.9157.4-0.462%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: -0.6-0.6
Caxias do SulBotafogo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Caxias do SulLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
26-50
26
50
-24
H21/01
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A03/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H11/02
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H13/02
NBB
Osasco
#18
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H22/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H05/03
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H09/03
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H11/03
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A17/03
NBB
Minas
#3
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A19/03
NBB
75.0Avg total
35.8Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.138.474.5-2.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.939.177.1-1.250%-
Last 30 away (16)34.537.872.2-3.250%-
Last 10 (10)35.839.275.0-3.450%-
Last 5 (5)40.040.280.2-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)31.940.472.3-8.538%-
vs Similar (8)38.837.175.9+1.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)39.836.776.4+3.167%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H19/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H21/01
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H05/02
NBB
Pato
#17
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A12/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H17/02
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H19/02
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A04/03
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A06/03
NBB
Osasco
#18
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H12/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H16/03
NBB
77.8Avg total
38.0Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.842.178.9-5.323%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.038.877.8+0.243%-
Last 30 away (16)34.945.079.9-10.16%-
Last 10 (10)38.039.877.8-1.830%-
Last 5 (5)38.439.878.2-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)36.042.178.1-6.123%-
vs Similar (8)39.042.181.1-3.125%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Caxias do Sultheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caxias do Sul: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.017.1
53.4%
52.2%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.18.8
33.7%
32.5%26.4
🏀 Free throws19.013.6
71.6%
72.8%13.6
They take 58.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.619.8
52.7%
52.2%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.17.1
27.2%
32.5%21.3
🏀 Free throws20.614.0
68.0%
72.8%14.0
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Caxias do Sul
LWWLLWWLLL
Botafogo
LWLWLLLWWL
#13
League position
#16
-3.2
Net rating
-6.4
90.3
Offensive rating
87.2
93.5
Defensive rating
93.6
52.2%
Effective FG%
47.8%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
18.7%
Turnover %
14.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.7%
3-point %
27.2%
71.4%
Assist %
58.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence90.3 · 87.2Defence93.5 · 93.6Shooting52.2% · 47.8%3-point %33.7% · 27.2%Ball care18.7% · 14.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Caxias do Sul   ■ Botafogo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Caxias do Sul wins
1
Botafogo wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/26AMinas75-81
17/03/26ACruzeiro85-76
11/03/26HVasco71-69
09/03/26HMogi67-72
05/03/26HUniao Corinthians80-90
22/02/26HOsasco83-66
13/02/26HPaulistano80-73
11/02/26HPinheiros62-69
03/02/26ARio Claro73-79
21/01/26HFranca66-93
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/26HPinheiros62-93
12/03/26HOsasco85-79
06/03/26ABrasilia73-79
04/03/26ARio Claro83-82
19/02/26HBauru81-87
17/02/26HFranca66-88
12/02/26APato67-93
05/02/26HMogi70-69
21/01/26HSao Jose89-80
19/01/26HCorinthians Paulista73-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caxias do Sul
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL44%
HomeWWLLW53%
AwayWLLWL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321517
Win %44%53%35%
Points / game73.074.371.9
Allowed / game76.975.178.5
Point differential-3.9-0.8-6.6
Avg total150.0149.5150.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%27%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)33% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %9%0%18%
Botafogo
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL23%
HomeWLLWL40%
AwayLLLWL6%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %23%40%6%
Points / game72.575.070.2
Allowed / game83.179.886.2
Point differential-10.6-4.8-16.0
Avg total155.7154.8156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%7%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)25% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pinheiros3327682%85.974.1+11.8
2 Franca3024680%90.076.0+14.0
3 Flamengo3024680%87.277.4+9.8
4 Minas3023777%86.982.0+4.9
5 Brasilia3223972%81.671.7+9.9
6 Corinthians Paulista3122971%84.378.5+5.8
7 Paulistano32201262%83.078.4+4.6
8 Bauru33201361%81.578.7+2.8
9 Sao Jose32191359%82.380.2+2.2
10 Mogi32181456%76.070.3+5.7
11 Uniao Corinthians31171455%79.180.7-1.6
12 Unifacisa32161650%80.981.0-0.1
13 Caxias do Sul32141844%73.076.9-3.9
14 Cruzeiro32112134%79.485.2-5.8
15 Rio Claro33102330%78.386.5-8.2
16 Pato3172423%73.479.8-6.4
17 Botafogo3172423%72.583.1-10.6
18 Cearense3362718%76.287.6-11.4
19 Vasco3352815%70.079.4-9.4
20 Osasco3352815%76.188.1-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Caxias do Sul618251867
Botafogo2118151468
← all games of the day
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