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Caxias do Sul vs Cearense Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 23 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 68-52
18-19 20-7 15-12 15-14
Position#13
Record8-8
FormLWWLW
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game77.2
Caxias do Sul 🏆
Brazil
vs
Cearense
Brazil
Position#19
Record4-12
FormLWLLL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game89.6
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Sesi
Other2025-26
Meetings · Caxias do Sul v Cearense
04 Dec 2026
CAXI v CEAR
upcoming
23 Dec 2025
CAXI68
CEAR52
27 Dec 2024
CAXI73
CEAR70
25 Mar 2024
CAXI69
CEAR91
12 Apr 2023
CAXI66
CEAR77
18 Feb 2022
CAXI74
CEAR66
03 Mar 2021
CAXI81
CEAR82
27 Feb 2018
CAXI67
CEAR60
24 Nov 2016
CAXI65
CEAR74
22 Feb 2016
CAXI62
CEAR71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caxias do Sul winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cearense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Caxias do SulBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSul
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
75-77 OT
75
77
-2
63avg 66
A17/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
79-75
79
75
+4
80avg 66
A21/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
66-77
66
77
-11
53avg 66
A23/11
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
78-63
78
63
+15
78avg 66
H01/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
72-88
72
88
-16
60avg 66
H03/12
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
66-91
66
91
-25
56avg 66
A06/12
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
80-75
80
75
+5
79avg 66
A08/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
74-61
74
61
+13
60avg 66
A16/12
NBB
Vasco
#20
L
79-80 OT
79
80
-1
72avg 66
A18/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
89-80
89
80
+9
82avg 66
H21/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-15
23-17
20-20
8-16
28-26
15-14
19-23
17-12
13-26
16-14
13-20
24-17
22-15
29-15
19-10
8-23
14-22
12-19
23-27
23-20
9-24
18-23
19-20
20-24
20-17
20-20
19-22
21-16
18-18
21-13
16-21
19-9
16-15
23-17
18-16
12-21
27-19
18-23
18-25
26-13
152.5Avg total
75.8Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)73.977.2151.1-3.350%
Season at home (6)77.578.2155.7-0.767%
Season away (10)71.776.6148.3-4.940%
Last 10 (10)75.876.7152.5-0.950%
Last 5 (5)77.677.4155.0+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)71.786.3157.9-14.626%
vs Similar (6)77.071.8148.8+5.267%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)80.074.4154.4+5.680%
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Pato
#17
L
79-82
79
82
-3
70avg 69
A14/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
77-86
77
86
-9
67avg 69
H18/11
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
91-72
91
72
+19
85avg 69
H20/11
NBB
Franca
#1
L
70-82
70
82
-12
58avg 69
H23/11
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
90-105
90
105
-15
76avg 69
A04/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
95-98
95
98
-3
86avg 69
A06/12
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
89-82
89
82
+7
81avg 69
H09/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
77-100
77
100
-23
64avg 69
H15/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
61-108
61
108
-47
74avg 69
H18/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
62-95
62
95
-33
50avg 69
A21/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
18-26
13-12
29-23
23-27
23-19
20-14
11-26
21-22
20-23
26-12
24-15
16-18
20-21
14-17
20-26
18-22
26-28
22-22
24-33
27-26
29-27
19-31
20-14
19-14
23-25
22-22
25-21
12-32
21-14
21-32
23-22
15-29
19-38
14-23
13-18
21-34
12-20
16-24
13-17
170.1Avg total
79.1Scored
91.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)79.189.6168.6-10.525%
Season at home (8)77.988.5166.4-10.625%
Season away (8)80.290.6170.9-10.425%
Last 10 (10)79.191.0170.1-11.920%
Last 5 (5)76.896.6173.4-19.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)76.486.7163.0-10.317%
vs Similar (7)80.778.0158.7+2.771%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -5.4-5.4Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -1.3-1.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -5.4-5.4Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -1.3-1.3
Caxias do SulCearense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Caxias do SulLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A17/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A21/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A23/11
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H01/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
26-41
26
41
-15
H03/12
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
27-47
27
47
-20
A06/12
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A08/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A16/12
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A18/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H21/12
NBB
75.1Avg total
37.9Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.840.676.4-4.833%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.039.477.4-1.438%-
Last 30 away (17)34.241.575.7-7.429%-
Last 10 (10)37.937.275.1+0.770%-
Last 5 (5)38.037.875.8+0.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)33.743.677.4-9.911%-
vs Similar (6)39.033.872.8+5.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)40.037.277.2+2.880%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pato
#17
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A14/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H18/11
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H20/11
NBB
Franca
#1
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H23/11
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A04/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
56-53
56
53
+3
A06/12
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H09/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H15/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
34-67
34
67
-33
H18/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A21/12
NBB
88.8Avg total
40.2Scored
48.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.242.580.7-4.327%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.542.379.9-4.820%-
Last 30 away (15)38.942.681.5-3.733%-
Last 10 (10)40.248.688.8-8.420%-
Last 5 (5)39.651.891.4-12.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)38.843.081.8-4.226%-
vs Similar (7)36.140.776.9-4.629%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Caxias do Sultheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caxias do Sul: 71.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.115.9
44.0%
52.2%31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.4
31.8%
32.5%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.914.7
77.8%
72.8%14.7
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.521.0
50.6%
52.2%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.77.2
28.0%
32.5%21.6
🏀 Free throws21.515.4
71.6%
72.8%15.4
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Caxias do Sul
WLWWLLWLWL
Cearense
LLLWLLLWLL
#13
League position
#19
-10.8
Net rating
-13.7
97.7
Offensive rating
100.1
108.4
Defensive rating
113.8
45.6%
Effective FG%
47.3%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
56.8%
19.7%
Turnover %
19.2%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.32
31.8%
3-point %
28.0%
60.9%
Assist %
57.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence97.7 · 100.1Defence108.4 · 113.8Shooting45.6% · 47.3%3-point %31.8% · 28.0%Ball care19.7% · 19.2%Off. rebounds30.5% · 32.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Caxias do Sul   ■ Cearense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Caxias do Sul wins
7
Cearense wins
DateGameScore
27/12/24Caxias do Sul v Cearense73-70
15/10/24Cearense v Caxias do Sul76-68
25/03/24Caxias do Sul v Cearense69-91
08/12/23Cearense v Caxias do Sul62-63
12/04/23Caxias do Sul v Cearense66-77
21/12/22Cearense v Caxias do Sul84-73
18/02/22Caxias do Sul v Cearense74-66
17/11/21Cearense v Caxias do Sul94-85
03/03/21Caxias do Sul v Cearense81-82
02/12/20Cearense v Caxias do Sul85-78
Caxias do Sullast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25HUnifacisa89-80
18/12/25AVasco79-80 OT
16/12/25ASao Jose74-61
08/12/25ABotafogo80-75
06/12/25AFlamengo66-91
03/12/25HMinas72-88
01/12/25HCruzeiro78-63
23/11/25APaulistano66-77
21/11/25AOsasco79-75
17/11/25AUniao Corinthians75-77 OT
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25AUniao Corinthians62-95
18/12/25HPinheiros61-108
15/12/25HPaulistano77-100
09/12/25HOsasco89-82
06/12/25ARio Claro95-98
04/12/25ABrasilia90-105
23/11/25HFranca70-82
20/11/25HBauru91-72
18/11/25HSao Jose77-86
14/11/25APato79-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caxias do Sul
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW50%
HomeWLWLW67%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16610
Win %50%67%40%
Points / game73.977.571.7
Allowed / game77.278.276.6
Point differential-3.3-0.7-4.9
Avg total151.1155.7148.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%33%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)-60% (5)
Overtime %12%0%20%
Cearense
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL25%
HomeWLWLL25%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game79.177.980.2
Allowed / game89.688.590.6
Point differential-10.5-10.6-10.4
Avg total168.6166.4170.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo1715288%87.574.3+13.2
2 Pinheiros1614288%87.574.4+13.1
3 Minas1714382%85.176.6+8.4
4 Franca1613381%87.273.2+14.0
5 Brasilia1612475%81.972.6+9.3
6 Corinthians Paulista1611569%81.977.0+4.9
7 Sao Jose1610662%79.675.6+3.9
8 Mogi169756%78.068.0+10.0
9 Paulistano179853%79.675.5+4.1
10 Unifacisa168850%80.479.4+1.1
11 Bauru189950%74.175.3-1.2
12 Uniao Corinthians168850%77.880.2-2.5
13 Caxias do Sul168850%73.977.2-3.3
14 Pato1751229%72.680.1-7.5
15 Cruzeiro1641225%77.485.8-8.4
16 Cearense1641225%79.189.6-10.5
17 Osasco1841422%75.385.7-10.4
18 Rio Claro1841422%77.089.0-12.0
19 Botafogo1731418%71.582.9-11.4
20 Vasco1721512%67.579.2-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Caxias do Sul1820151568
Cearense197121452
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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