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Caxias do Sul vs Cearense Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 25 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 69-91
12-25 24-28 18-18 15-20
Position#18
Record8-22
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.9
Allowed / game79.6
Caxias do Sul
Brazil
vs
Cearense 🏆
Brazil
Position#8
Record16-14
FormWWLLW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game77.1
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Sesi
Other2023-24
Meetings · Caxias do Sul v Cearense
04 Dec 2026
CAXI v CEAR
upcoming
23 Dec 2025
CAXI68
CEAR52
27 Dec 2024
CAXI73
CEAR70
25 Mar 2024
CAXI69
CEAR91
12 Apr 2023
CAXI66
CEAR77
18 Feb 2022
CAXI74
CEAR66
03 Mar 2021
CAXI81
CEAR82
27 Feb 2018
CAXI67
CEAR60
24 Nov 2016
CAXI65
CEAR74
22 Feb 2016
CAXI62
CEAR71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caxias do Sul winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cearense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Caxias do SulBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSul
Date
Competition
Vasco
#4
L
73-78
73
78
-5
60avg 57
A20/01
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
62-105
62
105
-43
43avg 57
A23/01
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
72-86
72
86
-14
53avg 57
H07/02
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
79-67
79
67
+12
65avg 57
H09/02
NBB
Mogi
#14
L
74-81
74
81
-7
59avg 57
A14/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
68-82
68
82
-14
57avg 57
A16/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
70-77
70
77
-7
60avg 57
H01/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
63-80
63
80
-17
55avg 57
A05/03
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
75-79
75
79
-4
62avg 57
H09/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
67-74
67
74
-7
61avg 57
A20/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-28
19-12
25-20
18-18
19-30
12-34
11-22
20-19
18-16
16-25
20-15
18-30
23-14
23-19
14-20
19-14
18-16
16-16
19-22
21-27
19-19
10-23
18-19
21-21
13-17
19-16
21-33
17-11
13-14
21-20
11-17
18-29
22-23
21-15
24-15
8-26
20-24
13-20
22-14
12-16
151.2Avg total
70.3Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)71.979.6151.5-7.727%
Season at home (14)74.477.6152.1-3.229%
Season away (16)69.781.4151.1-11.725%
Last 10 (10)70.380.9151.2-10.610%
Last 5 (5)68.678.4147.0-9.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)70.481.4151.8-11.014%
vs Similar (6)75.377.0152.3-1.750%
vs Weaker (2)78.068.0146.0+10.0100%
This opponent (Cearense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#10
W
99-95 OT
99
95
+4
no box
H22/01
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
93-75
93
75
+18
86avg 72
H24/01
NBB
Minas
#4
L
69-73
69
73
-4
57avg 72
A27/01
Super 8
Unifacisa
#6
W
80-73
80
73
+7
78avg 72
A06/02
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
51-64
51
64
-13
46avg 72
H10/02
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
84-75
84
75
+9
83avg 72
H14/02
NBB
Pato
#12
W
90-69
90
69
+21
92avg 72
H02/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
82-102
82
102
-20
83avg 72
A07/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
61-72
61
72
-11
56avg 72
A09/03
NBB
Minas
#3
W
79-69
79
69
+10
73avg 72
H20/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
14-18
25-17
22-22
23-19
24-20
22-19
24-17
20-31
15-15
14-12
20-15
21-19
24-22
15-6
20-26
11-24
17-14
13-8
10-18
16-15
20-16
30-23
18-21
15-18
28-13
20-22
27-16
17-25
17-24
26-29
22-24
13-22
13-18
10-14
25-18
24-21
20-12
16-17
19-19
155.5Avg total
78.8Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)78.777.1155.9+1.653%
Season at home (16)79.474.1153.6+5.369%
Season away (14)77.980.6158.5-2.636%
Last 10 (10)78.876.7155.5+2.160%
Last 5 (5)79.277.4156.6+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.679.4157.0-1.820%
vs Similar (15)79.577.9157.3+1.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)79.776.2155.9+3.456%
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: +1.1+1.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: +1.1+1.1
Caxias do SulCearense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Caxias do SulLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco
#4
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A20/01
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
31-64
31
64
-33
A23/01
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H07/02
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H09/02
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A14/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A16/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H01/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A05/03
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H09/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A20/03
NBB
74.7Avg total
34.6Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.940.573.4-7.617%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.638.873.4-4.221%-
Last 30 away (16)31.542.073.5-10.512%-
Last 10 (10)34.640.174.7-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)34.238.272.4-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)32.341.473.7-9.19%-
vs Similar (6)32.539.572.0-7.017%-
vs Weaker (2)41.533.575.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#10
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H22/01
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H24/01
NBB
Minas
#4
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A27/01
Super 8
Unifacisa
#6
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A06/02
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H10/02
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H14/02
NBB
Pato
#12
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H02/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A07/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A09/03
NBB
Minas
#3
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H20/03
NBB
75.2Avg total
36.7Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.238.877.0-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.436.775.1+1.856%-
Last 30 away (14)37.941.379.2-3.443%-
Last 10 (10)36.738.575.2-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)36.636.873.4-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.840.879.6-2.060%-
vs Similar (15)38.238.676.8-0.447%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)38.237.375.6+0.956%-
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Caxias do Sultheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caxias do Sul: 69.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.2 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.618.6
48.2%
51.8%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.15.4
23.4%
33.9%16.2
🏀 Free throws20.515.7
76.6%
72.6%15.7
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.019.6
56.0%
51.8%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.5
31.0%
33.9%22.5
🏀 Free throws18.013.7
76.1%
72.6%13.7
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Caxias do Sul
LLLLLLWLLL
Cearense
WLLWWLWLWW
#18
League position
#8
-15.8
Net rating
+1.3
95.8
Offensive rating
104.9
111.6
Defensive rating
103.7
43.3%
Effective FG%
52.1%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
17.5%
Turnover %
19.6%
28.5%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.30
23.4%
3-point %
31.0%
66.7%
Assist %
56.5%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence95.8 · 104.9Defence111.6 · 103.7Shooting43.3% · 52.1%3-point %23.4% · 31.0%Ball care17.5% · 19.6%Off. rebounds28.5% · 28.2%Free throws0.33 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Caxias do Sul   ■ Cearense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Caxias do Sul wins
6
Cearense wins
DateGameScore
08/12/23Cearense v Caxias do Sul62-63
12/04/23Caxias do Sul v Cearense66-77
21/12/22Cearense v Caxias do Sul84-73
18/02/22Caxias do Sul v Cearense74-66
17/11/21Cearense v Caxias do Sul94-85
03/03/21Caxias do Sul v Cearense81-82
02/12/20Cearense v Caxias do Sul85-78
27/02/18Caxias do Sul v Cearense67-60
20/12/17Cearense v Caxias do Sul67-76
16/02/17Cearense v Caxias do Sul88-78
Caxias do Sullast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/24ASao Paulo67-74
09/03/24HBauru75-79
05/03/24APinheiros63-80
01/03/24HUnifacisa70-77
16/02/24ASao Jose68-82
14/02/24AMogi74-81
09/02/24HBrasilia79-67
07/02/24HCerrado72-86
23/01/24AFlamengo62-105
20/01/24AVasco73-78
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/24HMinas79-69
09/03/24APinheiros61-72
07/03/24ACorinthians Paulista82-102
02/03/24HPato90-69
14/02/24HBotafogo84-75
10/02/24HPaulistano51-64
06/02/24AUnifacisa80-73
27/01/24AMinas69-73
24/01/24HMogi93-75
22/01/24HSao Jose99-95 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caxias do Sul
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL27%
HomeLLWLL29%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %27%29%25%
Points / game71.974.469.7
Allowed / game79.677.681.4
Point differential-7.7-3.2-11.7
Avg total151.5152.1151.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%7%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (10)17% (6)25% (4)
Overtime %10%7%12%
Cearense
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW53%
HomeWLWWW69%
AwayLLWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %53%69%36%
Points / game78.779.477.9
Allowed / game77.174.180.6
Point differential+1.6+5.3-2.6
Avg total155.9153.6158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%44%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (13)50% (6)43% (7)
Overtime %10%6%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca3025583%87.675.7+11.9
2 Flamengo3025583%84.973.7+11.2
3 Minas3123874%85.974.2+11.7
4 Vasco3022873%76.772.8+3.8
5 Bauru32211166%80.979.0+1.9
6 Unifacisa32201262%84.079.4+4.6
7 Paulistano29181162%75.271.5+3.7
8 Corinthians Paulista30171357%80.778.3+2.5
9 Cearense30161453%78.777.1+1.6
10 Sao Jose32171553%79.377.1+2.3
11 Sao Paulo29151452%78.479.3-1.0
12 Pinheiros30131743%75.478.1-2.7
13 Pato31131842%77.579.7-2.2
14 Uniao Corinthians31102132%74.583.4-8.8
15 Cerrado3082227%75.076.4-1.4
16 Caxias do Sul3082227%71.979.6-7.7
17 Mogi3282425%74.080.1-6.1
18 Botafogo3382524%79.088.2-9.2
19 Brasilia3042613%72.687.8-15.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Caxias do Sul1224181569
Cearense2528182091
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