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Caxias do Sul vs Cearense Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 04 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 22:30
Scheduled
Position#18
Record0-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game64.7
Allowed / game79.6
Caxias do Sul
Brazil
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.2/10
Around normal
6.2/10
Above normal
Cearense
Brazil
Position#17
Record1-6
FormLLWLL
Points / game65.6
Allowed / game83.7
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Sesi
Other2026-27
Meetings · Caxias do Sul v Cearense
04 Dec 2026
CAXI v CEAR
upcoming
23 Dec 2025
CAXI68
CEAR52
27 Dec 2024
CAXI73
CEAR70
25 Mar 2024
CAXI69
CEAR91
12 Apr 2023
CAXI66
CEAR77
18 Feb 2022
CAXI74
CEAR66
03 Mar 2021
CAXI81
CEAR82
27 Feb 2018
CAXI67
CEAR60
24 Nov 2016
CAXI65
CEAR74
22 Feb 2016
CAXI62
CEAR71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caxias do Sul win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Cearense win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Caxias do SulBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSul
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#5
L
70-78
70
78
-8
59avg 66
H25/04
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
66-63
66
63
+3
52avg 66
H27/04
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
70-71
70
71
-1
62avg 66
A30/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#9
L
61-72
61
72
-11
45avg 66
H17/10
NBB
Minas
#1
L
66-78
66
78
-12
52avg 66
H20/10
NBB
Botafogo
#14
L
82-84
82
84
-2
76avg 66
A28/10
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
59-77
59
77
-18
no box
A30/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#3
L
53-91
53
91
-38
no box
A02/11
NBB
Brasilia
#8
L
55-76
55
76
-21
no box
H07/11
NBB
Pato
#15
L
77-79
77
79
-2
no box
H12/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
14-26
20-17
13-15
20-20
8-11
20-17
18-15
24-15
9-22
18-19
19-15
20-21
19-12
9-19
13-20
20-25
13-18
10-18
23-17
24-22
16-14
21-25
21-23
15-17
12-18
9-28
23-14
6-25
15-20
14-23
18-23
12-22
11-26
19-23
13-5
21-15
19-20
22-15
15-29
142.8Avg total
65.9Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)64.779.6144.3-14.90%
Season at home (4)64.876.2141.0-11.50%
Season away (3)64.784.0148.7-19.30%
Last 10 (10)65.976.9142.8-11.010%
Last 5 (5)65.281.4146.6-16.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)68.177.5145.6-9.516%
vs Similar ◀ (5)76.675.6152.2+1.040%
vs Weaker (6)82.075.0157.0+7.067%
This opponent (Cearense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
83-107
83
107
-24
76avg 63
H06/04
NBB
Minas
#3
L
56-87
56
87
-31
45avg 63
A14/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
77-86
77
86
-9
64avg 63
A16/04
NBB
Osasco
#16
L
69-93
69
93
-24
55avg 63
H20/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#3
L
63-98
63
98
-35
40avg 63
H22/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#12
L
53-96
53
96
-43
no box
A02/11
NBB
Mogi
#2
L
78-89
78
89
-11
no box
A04/11
NBB
Paulistano
#13
W
65-58
65
58
+7
no box
H07/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#10
L
68-75
68
75
-7
no box
H09/11
NBB
Minas
#1
L
63-77
63
77
-14
no box
A14/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
18-36
22-25
23-23
9-25
21-24
15-24
11-14
23-20
19-23
23-18
12-25
17-32
23-22
13-18
16-21
15-24
17-22
18-26
13-26
11-27
12-31
15-24
15-14
21-11
21-22
19-26
17-30
18-15
10-14
25-16
12-13
16-19
17-15
17-23
18-18
18-17
11-23
16-14
18-23
154.1Avg total
67.5Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)65.683.7149.3-18.114%
Season at home (4)66.281.0147.2-14.825%
Season away (3)64.787.3152.0-22.70%
Last 10 (10)67.586.6154.1-19.110%
Last 5 (5)65.479.0144.4-13.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)70.789.2159.9-18.48%
vs Similar ◀ (4)78.077.2155.2+0.850%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: -6.3-6.3Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -5.2-5.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: -6.3-6.3Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -5.2-5.2
Caxias do SulCearense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Caxias do SulLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#5
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H25/04
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H27/04
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A30/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#9
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H17/10
NBB
Minas
#1
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H20/10
NBB
Botafogo
#14
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A28/10
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A30/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#3
L
21-45
21
45
-24
A02/11
NBB
Brasilia
#8
L
23-48
23
48
-25
H07/11
NBB
Pato
#15
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H12/11
NBB
71.0Avg total
32.1Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.437.972.4-3.543%-
Last 30 at home (18)33.738.872.5-5.233%-
Last 30 away (12)35.636.672.2-1.058%-
Last 10 (10)32.138.971.0-6.830%-
Last 5 (5)30.239.870.0-9.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)33.137.870.9-4.747%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)34.038.872.8-4.820%-
vs Weaker (6)39.037.576.5+1.550%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
38-59
38
59
-21
H06/04
NBB
Minas
#3
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A14/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A16/04
NBB
Osasco
#16
L
40-54
40
54
-14
H20/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#3
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H22/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#12
L
23-58
23
58
-35
A02/11
NBB
Mogi
#2
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A04/11
NBB
Paulistano
#13
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H07/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#10
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H09/11
NBB
Minas
#1
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A14/11
NBB
78.2Avg total
33.7Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.443.879.2-8.323%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.641.977.5-6.327%-
Last 30 away (15)35.345.780.9-10.420%-
Last 10 (10)33.744.578.2-10.810%-
Last 5 (5)31.038.869.8-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)34.944.679.5-9.719%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)38.838.277.0+0.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Caxias do Sultheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caxias do Sul: 70.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.814.0
47.0%
49.8%28.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.410.4
34.2%
31.6%31.2
🏀 Free throws15.411.1
72.1%
71.3%11.1
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.718.7
44.8%
49.8%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.0
29.2%
31.6%21.0
🏀 Free throws24.316.1
66.3%
71.3%16.1
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Caxias do Sul
LLLLLLLLWL
Cearense
LLWLLLLLLL
#18
League position
#17
-4.0
Net rating
-21.2
88.6
Offensive rating
82.4
92.7
Defensive rating
103.6
49.2%
Effective FG%
44.4%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
58.5%
15.1%
Turnover %
16.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.37
34.2%
3-point %
29.2%
63.9%
Assist %
54.1%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence88.6 · 82.4Defence92.7 · 103.6Shooting49.2% · 44.4%3-point %34.2% · 29.2%Ball care15.1% · 16.2%Free throws0.26 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)10% · 10%
■ Caxias do Sul   ■ Cearense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Caxias do Sul wins
5
Cearense wins
DateGameScore
06/04/26Cearense v Caxias do Sul83-107
23/12/25Caxias do Sul v Cearense68-52
27/12/24Caxias do Sul v Cearense73-70
15/10/24Cearense v Caxias do Sul76-68
25/03/24Caxias do Sul v Cearense69-91
08/12/23Cearense v Caxias do Sul62-63
12/04/23Caxias do Sul v Cearense66-77
21/12/22Cearense v Caxias do Sul84-73
18/02/22Caxias do Sul v Cearense74-66
17/11/21Cearense v Caxias do Sul94-85
Caxias do Sullast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HPato77-79
07/11/26HBrasilia55-76
02/11/26APinheiros53-91
30/10/26AFlamengo59-77
28/10/26ABotafogo82-84
20/10/26HMinas66-78
17/10/26HCruzeiro61-72
30/04/26ABrasilia70-71
27/04/26HBrasilia66-63
25/04/26HBrasilia70-78
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AMinas63-77
09/11/26HCorinthians Paulista68-75
07/11/26HPaulistano65-58
04/11/26AMogi78-89
02/11/26ASao Jose53-96
22/10/26HPinheiros63-98
20/10/26HOsasco69-93
16/04/26ACruzeiro77-86
14/04/26AMinas56-87
06/04/26HCaxias do Sul83-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caxias do Sul
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game64.764.864.7
Allowed / game79.676.284.0
Point differential-14.9-11.5-19.3
Avg total144.3141.0148.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cearense
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL14%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %14%25%0%
Points / game65.666.264.7
Allowed / game83.781.087.3
Point differential-18.1-14.8-22.7
Avg total149.3147.2152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas880100%85.165.4+19.8
2 Mogi76186%83.173.9+9.3
3 Pinheiros86275%85.273.1+12.1
4 Flamengo75271%80.973.4+7.4
5 Unifacisa75271%79.475.1+4.3
6 Franca85362%78.971.6+7.2
7 Uniao Corinthians74357%72.374.7-2.4
8 Brasilia84450%80.679.8+0.9
9 Cruzeiro63350%76.278.8-2.7
10 Corinthians Paulista73443%80.079.0+1.0
11 Bauru73443%76.777.7-1.0
12 Sao Jose73443%80.381.7-1.4
13 Paulistano73443%69.673.9-4.3
14 Botafogo62433%76.783.0-6.3
15 Pato82625%72.681.5-8.9
16 Osasco61517%77.886.8-9.0
17 Cearense71614%65.683.7-18.1
18 Caxias do Sul7070%64.779.6-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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