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Minas vs Sao Jose Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 21 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 91-64
16-22 28-14 25-17 22-11
Position#1
Record2-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game76.3
Minas 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#10
Record0-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game64.0
Allowed / game73.3
BrazilNBB· Arena Minas Tenis Clube
Other2024-25
Meetings · Minas v Sao Jose
05 Dec 2026
MINA v SAO
upcoming
20 Oct 2025
MINA88
SAO 86
21 Oct 2024
MINA91
SAO 64
25 Mar 2024
MINA73
SAO 56
23 Nov 2022
MINA104
SAO 53
27 Feb 2020
MINA124
SAO 119
16 Jan 2019
MINA75
SAO 80
04 Dec 2015
MINA91
SAO 84
21 Jan 2015
MINA91
SAO 76
21 Nov 2013
MINA87
SAO 90
22 Apr 2013
MINA59
SAO 75
16 Apr 2013
MINA70
SAO 68
05 Jan 2013
MINA97
SAO 77
28 Jan 2012
MINA85
SAO 80
23 Jan 2011
MINA72
SAO 98
03 Apr 2009
MINA83
SAO 78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sao Jose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#11
W
104-79
104
79
+25
101avg 81
H11/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
98-67
98
67
+31
97avg 81
H13/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
63-87
63
87
-24
54avg 81
A17/05
NBB
Franca
#1
W
80-67
80
67
+13
74avg 81
H20/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
72-82
72
82
-10
64avg 81
H22/05
NBB
Franca
#1
W
93-91 OT
93
91
+2
83avg 81
A25/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
76-82
76
82
-6
65avg 81
A27/05
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
74-66
74
66
+8
91avg 81
H12/10
NBB
Franca
#2
L
76-82
76
82
-6
69avg 81
A15/10
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
82-81 OT
82
81
+1
74avg 81
A17/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-14
22-18
21-24
29-23
22-13
22-18
28-17
26-19
14-16
13-23
16-22
20-26
23-14
18-24
27-17
12-12
16-19
16-20
15-24
25-19
21-21
16-11
16-27
18-12
24-20
13-22
19-16
20-24
16-15
18-18
17-13
23-20
21-20
20-20
10-17
25-25
9-12
23-14
22-13
17-32
160.2Avg total
81.8Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.376.3153.7+1.067%
Season at home (1)74.066.0140.0+8.0100%
Season away (2)79.081.5160.5-2.550%
Last 10 (10)81.878.4160.2+3.460%
Last 5 (5)80.280.4160.6-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)80.084.6164.6-4.625%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)84.976.0160.9+8.971%
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao JoseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJose
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
L
56-73
56
73
-17
45avg 71
A25/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
87-97
87
97
-10
78avg 71
A01/04
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
92-91
92
91
+1
96avg 71
A03/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
72-63
72
63
+9
69avg 71
H09/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
64-93
64
93
-29
48avg 71
H12/04
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
70-73
70
73
-3
64avg 71
H21/04
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
66-90
66
90
-24
55avg 71
A27/04
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
70-81
70
81
-11
58avg 71
H12/10
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
59-68
59
68
-9
57avg 71
H15/10
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
63-71
63
71
-8
52avg 71
H17/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-17
14-20
21-15
9-21
19-19
19-28
24-33
25-17
18-22
19-24
26-19
29-26
23-17
19-15
15-18
15-13
19-29
14-20
19-18
12-26
17-20
15-10
15-17
23-26
15-20
14-20
19-27
18-23
18-32
17-21
16-17
19-11
13-19
18-14
15-13
13-22
20-18
8-18
14-26
21-9
149.9Avg total
69.9Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)64.073.3137.3-9.30%
Season at home (3)64.073.3137.3-9.30%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)69.980.0149.9-10.120%
Last 5 (5)65.676.6142.2-11.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)68.481.4149.9-13.00%
vs Similar (14)74.979.7154.6-4.943%
vs Weaker (9)83.278.7161.9+4.656%
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -1.0-1.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -1.0-1.0
MinasSao Jose
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#11
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H11/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H13/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A17/05
NBB
Franca
#1
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H20/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H22/05
NBB
Franca
#1
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A25/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A27/05
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H12/10
NBB
Franca
#2
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A15/10
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A17/10
NBB
73.1Avg total
37.9Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.237.979.1+3.360%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.134.276.3+7.973%-
Last 30 away (15)40.341.681.9-1.347%-
Last 10 (10)37.935.273.1+2.770%-
Last 5 (5)36.234.670.8+1.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)37.940.478.2-2.538%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)42.237.179.3+5.167%-
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao JoseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A25/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A01/04
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A03/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H09/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H12/04
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H21/04
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A27/04
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
35-53
35
53
-18
H12/10
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H15/10
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H17/10
NBB
73.4Avg total
33.1Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.740.276.9-3.427%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.539.076.5-1.533%-
Last 30 away (15)36.041.377.3-5.320%-
Last 10 (10)33.140.373.4-7.220%-
Last 5 (5)31.038.469.4-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)32.140.072.1-7.90%-
vs Similar (14)37.239.476.6-2.136%-
vs Weaker (9)39.641.681.1-2.033%-
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.919.0
50.1%
50.9%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.4
34.1%
33.0%28.2
🏀 Free throws20.114.8
73.6%
72.7%14.8
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sao Josetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Jose: 69.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.717.0
47.6%
50.9%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.07.7
29.6%
33.0%23.1
🏀 Free throws19.412.0
61.9%
72.7%12.0
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minas
WLWLWLWLWW
Sao Jose
LLLLLLWWLL
#1
League position
#10
+4.2
Net rating
-13.7
106.7
Offensive rating
94.6
102.4
Defensive rating
108.3
50.5%
Effective FG%
46.3%
47.9%
Opp. effective FG%
56.5%
17.8%
Turnover %
18.3%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
26.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.1%
3-point %
29.6%
63.4%
Assist %
70.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence106.7 · 94.6Defence102.4 · 108.3Shooting50.5% · 46.3%3-point %34.1% · 29.6%Ball care17.8% · 18.3%Off. rebounds29.6% · 26.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Minas   ■ Sao Jose
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Minas wins
1
Sao Jose wins
DateGameScore
25/03/24Minas v Sao Jose73-56
08/11/23Sao Jose v Minas67-77
30/01/23Sao Jose v Minas89-96
23/11/22Minas v Sao Jose104-53
27/02/20Minas v Sao Jose124-119 OT
07/12/19Sao Jose v Minas93-109
16/01/19Minas v Sao Jose75-80
22/10/18Sao Jose v Minas62-71
19/02/16Sao Jose v Minas59-89
04/12/15Minas v Sao Jose91-84 OT
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/24ABauru82-81 OT
15/10/24AFranca76-82
12/10/24HBrasilia74-66
27/05/24AFranca76-82
25/05/24AFranca93-91 OT
22/05/24HFranca72-82
20/05/24HFranca80-67
17/05/24AFranca63-87
13/05/24HSao Paulo98-67
11/05/24HSao Paulo104-79
Sao Joselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/24HFlamengo63-71
15/10/24HVasco59-68
12/10/24HBotafogo70-81
27/04/24ACearense66-90
21/04/24HCearense70-73
12/04/24HPaulistano64-93
09/04/24HSao Paulo72-63
03/04/24ABauru92-91
01/04/24AFranca87-97
25/03/24AMinas56-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game77.374.079.0
Allowed / game76.366.081.5
Point differential+1.0+8.0-2.5
Avg total153.7140.0160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %33%0%50%
Sao Jose
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game64.064.0-
Allowed / game73.373.3-
Point differential-9.3-9.3-
Avg total137.3137.3-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo330100%81.359.7+21.7
2 Botafogo220100%76.570.0+6.5
3 Franca220100%80.575.0+5.5
4 Sao Paulo220100%85.080.5+4.5
5 Minas32167%77.376.3+1.0
6 Paulistano21150%73.567.0+6.5
7 Caxias do Sul21150%74.569.5+5.0
8 Bauru21150%87.086.5+0.5
9 Cearense21150%73.073.5-0.5
10 Uniao Corinthians21150%75.076.5-1.5
11 Unifacisa21150%73.076.0-3.0
12 Pinheiros21150%65.073.5-8.5
13 Mogi42250%68.579.5-11.0
14 Vasco31233%61.061.3-0.3
15 Pato31233%79.080.7-1.7
16 Corinthians Paulista2020%83.085.5-2.5
17 Brasilia3030%77.082.0-5.0
18 Sao Jose3030%64.073.3-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minas1628252291
Sao Jose2214171164
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