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Minas vs Cearense Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 86-64
25-10 24-10 21-16 16-28
Position#1
Record6-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game68.7
Minas 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#17
Record1-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game64.9
Allowed / game76.3
BrazilNBB· Arena Minas Tenis Clube
Other2024-25
Meetings · Minas v Cearense
14 Nov 2026
MINA v CEAR
upcoming
14 Apr 2026
MINA87
CEAR56
07 Nov 2024
MINA86
CEAR64
27 Jan 2024
MINA73
CEAR69
01 Dec 2023
MINA93
CEAR88
29 Nov 2022
MINA79
CEAR71
19 Dec 2021
MINA101
CEAR74
01 Apr 2021
MINA92
CEAR66
27 Mar 2020
MINA v CEAR
upcoming
24 Mar 2019
MINA95
CEAR85
27 Mar 2018
MINA75
CEAR63
01 Feb 2017
MINA62
CEAR66
05 Feb 2016
MINA61
CEAR75
27 Jan 2015
MINA90
CEAR63
25 Feb 2014
MINA79
CEAR81
19 Jan 2013
MINA76
CEAR74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cearense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
72-82
72
82
-10
64avg 82
H22/05
NBB
Franca
#1
W
93-91 OT
93
91
+2
83avg 82
A25/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
76-82
76
82
-6
65avg 82
A27/05
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
74-66
74
66
+8
91avg 82
H12/10
NBB
Franca
#2
L
76-82
76
82
-6
69avg 82
A15/10
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
82-81 OT
82
81
+1
74avg 82
A17/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
91-64
91
64
+27
85avg 82
H21/10
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
91-61
91
61
+30
89avg 82
H24/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
77-67
77
67
+10
70avg 82
A29/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
86-60
86
60
+26
86avg 82
A31/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
16-20
15-24
25-19
21-21
16-11
16-27
18-12
24-20
13-22
19-16
20-24
16-15
18-18
17-13
23-20
21-20
20-20
10-17
25-25
9-12
23-14
22-13
17-32
16-22
28-14
25-17
22-11
21-14
17-24
24-10
29-13
18-17
26-12
17-20
16-18
21-14
20-18
14-11
31-17
155.4Avg total
81.8Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.468.7151.1+13.786%
Season at home (3)85.363.7149.0+21.7100%
Season away (4)80.272.5152.8+7.875%
Last 10 (10)81.873.6155.4+8.270%
Last 5 (5)85.466.6152.0+18.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)79.183.7162.9-4.629%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)84.373.4157.7+10.978%
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#2
L
71-79
71
79
-8
63avg 69
A03/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
66-86
66
86
-20
52avg 69
H07/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
68-83
68
83
-15
57avg 69
H09/05
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
76-68
76
68
+8
66avg 69
H15/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
70-79
70
79
-9
65avg 69
H18/10
NBB
Pato
#14
L
60-89
60
89
-29
44avg 69
A22/10
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
52-77
52
77
-25
40avg 69
H27/10
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
56-78
56
78
-22
38avg 69
H29/10
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
68-70
68
70
-2
67avg 69
H01/11
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
72-73
72
73
-1
68avg 69
A05/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
14-21
17-21
15-15
15-23
21-26
13-11
17-26
18-25
8-24
21-16
21-18
15-18
18-17
25-13
18-20
19-16
11-24
18-22
22-17
11-23
15-25
19-21
15-20
10-17
17-20
11-22
14-18
23-21
11-25
9-14
13-18
18-14
16-13
22-26
12-17
25-20
14-19
14-17
19-17
144.1Avg total
65.9Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)64.976.3141.1-11.414%
Season at home (5)64.474.4138.8-10.020%
Season away (2)66.081.0147.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)65.978.2144.1-12.310%
Last 5 (5)61.677.4139.0-15.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)69.879.1148.9-9.311%
vs Similar (13)75.578.0153.5-2.554%
vs Weaker (7)82.075.4157.4+6.671%
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -6.9-6.9Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -2.0-2.0
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -6.9-6.9Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -2.0-2.0
MinasCearense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H22/05
NBB
Franca
#1
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A25/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A27/05
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H12/10
NBB
Franca
#2
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A15/10
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A17/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H21/10
NBB
Mogi
#16
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H24/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A29/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A31/10
NBB
72.7Avg total
38.0Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.437.577.9+2.963%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.233.874.0+6.577%-
Last 30 away (17)40.540.380.8+0.253%-
Last 10 (10)38.034.772.7+3.370%-
Last 5 (5)39.832.272.0+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)37.640.478.0-2.943%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)41.336.677.8+4.770%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#2
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A03/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H07/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
26-49
26
49
-23
H09/05
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H15/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H18/10
NBB
Pato
#14
L
26-48
26
48
-22
A22/10
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H27/10
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H29/10
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H01/11
NBB
Brasilia
#6
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A05/11
NBB
73.7Avg total
32.4Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.838.574.4-2.740%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.837.771.5-3.938%-
Last 30 away (14)38.139.577.6-1.443%-
Last 10 (10)32.441.373.7-8.910%-
Last 5 (5)32.039.471.4-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)35.141.476.6-6.333%-
vs Similar (13)33.037.470.4-4.423%-
vs Weaker (7)42.135.978.0+6.386%-
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.520.9
51.6%
50.9%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.6
34.1%
33.0%25.8
🏀 Free throws17.713.4
75.7%
72.7%13.4
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 65.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.418.0
50.8%
50.9%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.66.5
26.4%
33.0%19.5
🏀 Free throws14.19.8
69.5%
72.7%9.8
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minas
WWWWWLWLWL
Cearense
LLLLLLWLLL
#1
League position
#17
+10.6
Net rating
-16.2
107.5
Offensive rating
91.8
96.9
Defensive rating
108.0
51.4%
Effective FG%
46.2%
46.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
18.7%
Turnover %
20.9%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.23
34.1%
3-point %
26.4%
55.9%
Assist %
47.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 91.8Defence96.9 · 108.0Shooting51.4% · 46.2%3-point %34.1% · 26.4%Ball care18.7% · 20.9%Off. rebounds32.1% · 27.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 10%
■ Minas   ■ Cearense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Minas wins
1
Cearense wins
DateGameScore
20/03/24Cearense v Minas79-69
27/01/24Minas v Cearense73-69
01/12/23Minas v Cearense93-88 OT
08/04/23Cearense v Minas85-94
29/11/22Minas v Cearense79-71
27/03/22Cearense v Minas75-85
19/12/21Minas v Cearense101-74
01/04/21Minas v Cearense92-66
19/11/20Cearense v Minas67-82
12/12/19Cearense v Minas79-82
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/24ACorinthians Paulista86-60
29/10/24APinheiros77-67
24/10/24HMogi91-61
21/10/24HSao Jose91-64
17/10/24ABauru82-81 OT
15/10/24AFranca76-82
12/10/24HBrasilia74-66
27/05/24AFranca76-82
25/05/24AFranca93-91 OT
22/05/24HFranca72-82
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/24ABrasilia72-73
01/11/24HVasco68-70
29/10/24HFlamengo56-78
27/10/24HBotafogo52-77
22/10/24APato60-89
18/10/24HUniao Corinthians70-79
15/10/24HCaxias do Sul76-68
09/05/24HFlamengo68-83
07/05/24HFlamengo66-86
03/05/24AFlamengo71-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%100%75%
Points / game82.485.380.2
Allowed / game68.763.772.5
Point differential+13.7+21.7+7.8
Avg total151.1149.0152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %14%0%25%
Cearense
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %14%20%0%
Points / game64.964.466.0
Allowed / game76.374.481.0
Point differential-11.4-10.0-15.0
Avg total141.1138.8147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo87188%78.663.9+14.8
2 Minas76186%82.468.7+13.7
3 Uniao Corinthians54180%80.074.2+5.8
4 Sao Paulo75271%79.976.1+3.7
5 Bauru64267%79.077.8+1.2
6 Franca85362%80.577.8+2.8
7 Brasilia85362%83.181.0+2.1
8 Vasco63350%66.064.8+1.2
9 Pinheiros84450%69.272.1-2.9
10 Corinthians Paulista73443%79.479.9-0.4
11 Caxias do Sul52340%72.478.4-6.0
12 Pato83538%78.979.2-0.4
13 Botafogo83538%71.275.4-4.1
14 Mogi83538%70.180.8-10.6
15 Unifacisa62433%77.079.8-2.8
16 Paulistano72529%79.678.3+1.3
17 Sao Jose71614%69.377.4-8.1
18 Cearense71614%64.976.3-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minas2524211686
Cearense1010162864
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