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Caxias do Sul vs Pato Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 31 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 81-80
15-16 19-26 28-19 19-19
Position#15
Record1-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Position#14
Record3-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game78.7
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Sesi
Other2024-25
Meetings · Caxias do Sul v Pato
12 Nov 2026
CAXI v PATO
upcoming
21 Oct 2025
CAXI70
PATO63
31 Oct 2024
CAXI81
PATO80
12 Apr 2024
CAXI68
PATO85
06 Dec 2022
CAXI73
PATO84
28 Dec 2021
CAXI80
PATO67
07 Apr 2021
CAXI83
PATO85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caxias do Sul winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Caxias do SulBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSul
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#11
L
67-74
67
74
-7
61avg 61
A20/03
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
69-91
69
91
-22
57avg 61
H25/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
79-89
79
89
-10
70avg 61
H27/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
93-107
93
107
-14
95avg 61
A03/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
56-75
56
75
-19
48avg 61
A05/04
NBB
Minas
#3
L
88-99
88
99
-11
82avg 61
H10/04
NBB
Pato
#12
L
68-85
68
85
-17
57avg 61
H12/04
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
68-76
68
76
-8
54avg 61
A15/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
81-63
81
63
+18
82avg 61
A18/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
77-89
77
89
-12
66avg 61
H23/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
13-20
22-14
12-16
12-25
24-28
18-18
15-20
18-25
21-23
20-20
20-21
24-35
21-17
21-19
27-36
13-22
15-18
12-23
16-12
25-17
21-25
20-24
22-33
17-16
13-30
14-23
24-16
18-15
17-18
13-25
20-18
21-12
18-15
22-11
20-25
18-23
20-25
13-20
26-21
159.4Avg total
74.6Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)75.376.0151.3-0.733%
Season at home (1)77.089.0166.0-12.00%
Season away (2)74.569.5144.0+5.050%
Last 10 (10)74.684.8159.4-10.210%
Last 5 (5)76.482.4158.8-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)72.582.8155.4-10.312%
vs Similar (4)74.878.0152.8-3.225%
vs Weaker (1)79.067.0146.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Pato) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
77-75
77
75
+2
70avg 70
A10/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
85-68
85
68
+17
89avg 70
A12/04
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
74-93
74
93
-19
66avg 70
H21/04
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
62-71
62
71
-9
56avg 70
A27/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
67-68
67
68
-1
60avg 70
A12/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
89-86
89
86
+3
89avg 70
A14/10
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
81-88
81
88
-7
70avg 70
H17/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
89-60
89
60
+29
86avg 70
H22/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
85-77
85
77
+8
77avg 70
H25/10
NBB
Franca
#2
L
70-93
70
93
-23
54avg 70
A28/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
28-20
19-16
15-17
16-17
30-13
23-14
16-24
23-21
20-18
18-26
13-28
19-19
12-20
18-19
13-13
23-24
12-16
15-15
17-13
22-25
25-16
19-22
23-23
30-23
16-22
25-19
10-24
23-11
25-15
21-19
20-15
17-22
21-9
14-27
33-19
21-19
14-27
14-26
21-21
155.8Avg total
77.9Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.278.7158.8+1.550%
Season at home (3)85.075.0160.0+10.067%
Season away (3)75.382.3157.7-7.033%
Last 10 (10)77.977.9155.8+0.050%
Last 5 (5)82.880.8163.6+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.184.7161.8-7.633%
vs Similar (14)78.781.1159.9-2.436%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)84.772.0156.7+12.7100%
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -1.6-1.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -1.6-1.6
Caxias do SulPato
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Caxias do SulLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#11
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A20/03
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H25/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H27/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A03/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A05/04
NBB
Minas
#3
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H10/04
NBB
Pato
#12
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H12/04
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A15/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A18/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H23/10
NBB
80.2Avg total
36.9Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.841.376.0-6.523%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.441.077.4-4.629%-
Last 30 away (16)33.341.574.8-8.219%-
Last 10 (10)36.943.380.2-6.430%-
Last 5 (5)37.639.276.8-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)34.542.276.6-7.716%-
vs Similar (4)33.837.871.5-4.050%-
vs Weaker (1)46.033.079.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (Pato) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A10/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
46-30
46
30
+16
A12/04
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H21/04
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A27/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A12/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A14/10
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H17/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
48-26
48
26
+22
H22/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H25/10
NBB
Franca
#2
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A28/10
NBB
79.1Avg total
41.2Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.339.379.6+1.057%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.237.679.8+4.675%-
Last 30 away (14)38.141.179.3-3.036%-
Last 10 (10)41.237.979.1+3.370%-
Last 5 (5)42.837.880.6+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.942.881.7-3.944%-
vs Similar (14)39.139.278.4-0.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)44.434.979.3+9.6100%-
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Caxias do Sultheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caxias do Sul: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.316.1
45.6%
50.9%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.48.6
31.4%
33.0%25.8
🏀 Free throws20.515.2
74.1%
72.7%15.2
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.917.1
49.0%
50.9%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.8
36.8%
33.0%29.4
🏀 Free throws17.412.5
71.8%
72.7%12.5
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Caxias do Sul
LWLLLLLLLL
Pato
LWWLWLLLWW
#15
League position
#14
-13.9
Net rating
-0.8
100.0
Offensive rating
104.9
114.0
Defensive rating
105.8
46.3%
Effective FG%
51.7%
56.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
18.8%
Turnover %
18.3%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.28
31.4%
3-point %
36.8%
76.1%
Assist %
58.4%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.0 · 104.9Defence114.0 · 105.8Shooting46.3% · 51.7%3-point %31.4% · 36.8%Ball care18.8% · 18.3%Off. rebounds31.4% · 27.2%Free throws0.33 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Caxias do Sul   ■ Pato
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Caxias do Sul wins
5
Pato wins
DateGameScore
12/04/24Caxias do Sul v Pato68-85
29/12/23Pato v Caxias do Sul78-74
06/02/23Pato v Caxias do Sul88-80
06/12/22Caxias do Sul v Pato73-84
08/04/22Pato v Caxias do Sul59-68
28/12/21Caxias do Sul v Pato80-67
07/04/21Caxias do Sul v Pato83-85 OT
08/01/21Pato v Caxias do Sul77-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/24HUniao Corinthians77-89
18/10/24AUnifacisa81-63
15/10/24ACearense68-76
12/04/24HPato68-85
10/04/24HMinas88-99
05/04/24APaulistano56-75
03/04/24ACorinthians Paulista93-107
27/03/24HFranca79-89
25/03/24HCearense69-91
20/03/24ASao Paulo67-74
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/24AFranca70-93
25/10/24HUnifacisa85-77
22/10/24HCearense89-60
17/10/24HSao Paulo81-88
14/10/24ACorinthians Paulista89-86
12/10/24APinheiros67-68
27/04/24ABauru62-71
21/04/24HBauru74-93
12/04/24ACaxias do Sul85-68
10/04/24AUniao Corinthians77-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caxias do Sul
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game75.377.074.5
Allowed / game76.089.069.5
Point differential-0.7-12.0+5.0
Avg total151.3166.0144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pato
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game80.285.075.3
Allowed / game78.775.082.3
Point differential+1.5+10.0-7.0
Avg total158.8160.0157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sao Paulo550100%83.275.8+7.4
2 Flamengo65183%76.363.2+13.2
3 Minas65183%81.870.2+11.7
4 Franca54180%84.078.4+5.6
5 Uniao Corinthians32167%79.776.7+3.0
6 Corinthians Paulista42250%80.574.8+5.8
7 Pato63350%80.278.7+1.5
8 Unifacisa42250%78.277.8+0.5
9 Botafogo63350%71.572.5-1.0
10 Bauru42250%81.282.5-1.2
11 Pinheiros63350%67.269.8-2.7
12 Brasilia52340%79.680.4-0.8
13 Caxias do Sul31233%75.376.0-0.7
14 Mogi62433%69.282.5-13.3
15 Vasco41325%61.262.2-1.0
16 Paulistano51420%80.080.6-0.6
17 Cearense51420%62.878.2-15.4
18 Sao Jose5050%66.478.4-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Caxias do Sul1519281981
Pato1626191980
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